Predictive Modeling of Uniaxial Compressive Strength of Rocks for Protecting Environment Using Artificial Neural Network
Abstract Sedimentary rocks provide information on previous environments on the surface of the earth. As a result, they are the principal narrators of former climate, life, and important events on the surface of the earth. Complexity and expensiveness of direct destructive laboratory tests are adversely affects the data scarcity problem, making the development of intelligent indirect methods an integral step in attempts to address the problem faced by rock engineering projects. This study established artificial neural network (ANN) approach to predict uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) in MPa of soft sedimentary rocks using different input parameters i.e. dry density (ρd) in g/cm3; Brazilian tensile strength (BTS) in MPa; point load index (Is(50)) in MPa. The developed ANN models M1, M2 and M3 were divided into the overall dataset; 70% training dataset and 30% testing dataset; and 60% training dataset and 40% testing dataset respectively. In addition, multiple linear regression (MLR) was performed to compare with the proposed ANN models to verify the accuracy of the predicted values. The performance indices were also calculated by estimating the established models. The predictive performance of the M3 ANN model with the highest coefficient of correlation (R2), the smallest root mean squared error (RMSE), the highest variance accounts for (VAF) and reliable a10-index was 0.99, 0.00060, 0.99 and 0.99 respectively at the testing dataset revealing ideal results and proposed as the best-fit prediction model for UCS of soft sedimentary rocks at the Thar Coalfield, Pakistan, among other developed models in this study. Moreover, by performing sensitivity analysis, it was determined that the BTS and Is(50) were the most influential parameters in predicting UCS.