Changes in forest composition and associated biophysical climate feedbacks across boreal North America
Abstract Deciduous tree cover is expected to increase in North American boreal forests with climate warming and wildfire occurrence. This shift in composition can generate biophysical cooling effects via increased land surface albedo. Here we use newly derived maps of continuous tree canopy and fractional deciduous cover to assess change over recent decades. We find on average a small net decrease in deciduous fraction cover from 2000 to 2015 across boreal North America, and from 1992 to 2015 across Canada, despite extensive fire disturbance that locally increased deciduous vegetation. We further find a near-neutral net biophysical change in radiative forcing across the domain due to relatively small net changes in albedo. Thus, while there have been widespread changes in forest composition over the past several decades across the domain, the net changes in composition and associated post-fire radiative forcing have not yet induced systematic negative feedbacks to climate warming.