scholarly journals Intrusive Seismic Swarms as Possible Precursors of Destructive Earthquakes on Mt. Etna’s Eastern Flank

Author(s):  
Salvatore Gambino ◽  
Giovanni Distefano

Abstract The Timpe Fault System (TFS) represents the source of shallow earthquakes that strike numerous towns and villages on Mt. Etna eastern flank. In the last 40 years, three destructive seismic events reached I0 = VIII EMS (heavily damaging) - in 1984 (October 25), 2002 (October 29) and 2018 (December 26). These events followed a few days after the occurrence of strong seismic swarms and the sudden acceleration of the eastern flank seaward. However, if the 2002 and 2018 events were caused by stress induced by eruptive dike propagation, in October 1984 no eruption occurred. In this work, parameters such as localization, cumulative seismic moment and hourly occurrence frequency of the 1984 seismic swarm, have been analyzed and shown to have typical values of Mt. Etna intrusive seismic swarms. This suggests that the 1984 episode may have been an aborted intrusive magma episode that triggered similar processes (long and powerful intrusions with acceleration of the eastern flank movement and destructive earthquakes), as in 2002 and 2018. These three episodes suggest that an evaluation of some seismic parameters during future intrusive swarms may furnish indications of a possible re-activation of the TFS.

Solid Earth ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 801-816
Author(s):  
Alessandro Tibaldi ◽  
Noemi Corti ◽  
Emanuela De Beni ◽  
Fabio Luca Bonali ◽  
Susanna Falsaperla ◽  
...  

Abstract. We collected drone data to quantify the kinematics at extensional fractures and normal faults, integrated this information with seismological data to reconstruct the stress field, and critically compared the results with previous fieldwork to assess the best practice. As a key site, we analyzed a sector of the northeast rift of Mt Etna, an area affected by continuous ground deformation linked to gravity sliding of the volcano's eastern flank and dike injections. The studied sector is characterized also by the existence of eruptive craters and fissures and lava flows. This work shows that this rift segment is affected by a series of NNE- to NE-striking, parallel extensional fractures characterized by an opening mode along an average N105.7∘ vector. The stress field is characterized by a σHmin trending northwest–southeast. Normal faults strike parallel to the extensional fractures. The extensional strain obtained by cumulating the net offset at extensional fractures with the fault heave gives a stretching ratio of 1.003 in the northeastern part of the study area and 1.005 in the southwestern part. Given a maximum age of 1614 CE for the offset lavas, we obtained an extension rate of 1.9 cm yr−1 for the last 406 years. This value is consistent with the slip along the Pernicana Fault system, confirming that the NE rift structures accommodate the sliding of the eastern flank of the volcano.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flavio Cannavò ◽  
Salvatore Gambino ◽  
Biagio Puglisi ◽  
Rosanna Velardita

Abstract. The Timpe Fault System is the source of very shallow but destructive earthquakes that affect several towns and villages on the eastern flank of Mt. Etna (Italy). In 1984, several seismic events, and specifically on October 25, caused one fatality, 12 injuries and produced serious damage in the Zafferana and Acireale territories. This seismicity was mainly related to the activity of the Fiandaca Fault, one of the structures belonging to the Timpe Fault System. We inverted ground deformation data collected by a geodimeter trilateration network set up in 1977 at a low altitude along the eastern side of the volcano in order to define the Timpe Fault System faulting mechanisms linked to the seismicity in 1984. We found that in the May 1980–October 1984 period, the Fiandaca Fault was affected by a strike slip and normal dip slip of about 27 and 23cm. This result is in fairly good accord with field observations of the co-seismic ground ruptures along the fault but it's notably large compared to displacements estimated by seismicity, then suggest ing that most of the slip over the fault plane was aseismic. The results once again confirm how seismicity and in particular ground ruptures represent a very high hazard to the several towns and villages situated along the Fiandaca Fault.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 2443-2453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flavio Cannavò ◽  
Salvatore Gambino ◽  
Biagio Puglisi ◽  
Rosanna Velardita

Abstract. The Timpe Fault System is the source of very shallow but destructive earthquakes that affect several towns and villages on the eastern flank of Mt. Etna (Italy). In 1984, several seismic events, and specifically on 19 and 25 October, caused one fatality, 12 injuries and produced serious damage in the Zafferana and Acireale territories. This seismicity was mainly related to the activity of the Fiandaca Fault, one of the structures belonging to the Timpe Fault System. We inverted ground deformation data collected by a geodimeter trilateration network set up in 1977 at a low altitude along the eastern side of the volcano in order to define the Timpe Fault System faulting mechanisms linked to the seismicity in 1984. We have found that in the period May 1980–October 1984, the Fiandaca Fault was affected by a strike-slip and normal dip-slip of about 20.4 and 12.7 cm respectively. This result is kinematically consistent with field observations of the coseismic ground ruptures along the fault but it is notably large compared to displacements estimated by seismicity, then suggesting that most of the slip over the fault plane was aseismic. The results once again confirm how seismicity and its relation with ground ruptures and creep displacement represent a very high hazard to the several towns and villages situated along the Timpe Fault System.


1992 ◽  
Vol 82 (3) ◽  
pp. 1306-1349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Javier F. Pacheco ◽  
Lynn R. Sykes

Abstract We compile a worldwide catalog of shallow (depth < 70 km) and large (Ms ≥ 7) earthquakes recorded between 1900 and 1989. The catalog is shown to be complete and uniform at the 20-sec surface-wave magnitude Ms ≥ 7.0. We base our catalog on those of Abe (1981, 1984) and Abe and Noguchi (1983a, b) for events with Ms ≥ 7.0. Those catalogs, however, are not homogeneous in seismicity rates for the entire 90-year period. We assume that global rates of seismicity are constant on a time scale of decades and most inhomogeneities arise from changes in instrumentation and/or reporting. We correct the magnitudes to produce a homogeneous catalog. The catalog is accompanied by a reference list for all the events with seismic moment determined at periods longer than 20 sec. Using these seismic moments for great and giant earthquakes and a moment-magnitude relationship for smaller events, we produce a seismic moment catalog for large earthquakes from 1900 to 1989. The catalog is used to study the distribution of moment released worldwide. Although we assumed a constant rate of seismicity on a global basis, the rate of moment release has not been constant for the 90-year period because the latter is dominated by the few largest earthquakes. We find that the seismic moment released at subduction zones during this century constitutes 90% of all the moment released by large, shallow earthquakes on a global basis. The seismic moment released in the largest event that occurred during this century, the 1960 southern Chile earthquake, represents about 30 to 45% of the total moment released from 1900 through 1989. A frequency-size distribution of earthquakes with seismic moment yields an average slope (b value) that changes from 1.04 for magnitudes between 7.0 and 7.5 to b = 1.51 for magnitudes between 7.6 and 8.0. This change in the b value is attributed to different scaling relationships between bounded (large) and unbounded (small) earthquakes. Thus, the earthquake process does have a characteristic length scale that is set by the downdip width over which rupture in earthquakes can occur. That width is typically greater for thrust events at subduction zones than for earthquakes along transform faults and other tectonic environments.


1996 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Del Negro

The frequency-domain Wiener filtering was applied to magnetic anomalies in the volcanic area of Mt. Etna. This filter, under suitable conditions (additive noise, linear processing and mean-square error criterion), can furnish an effective tool for discriminating the geologic feature of interest (the signal) from the noise. The filter was first tested with synthetic data. Afterwards it was applied to a magnetic profile carried out across the principal fault system of the Mt. Etna volcano, that hosted the dykes feeding both the 1989 and the 1991-93 eruptions. The magnetic anomalies linked to the volcanic section and those linked to the contact between the clay basement and the lava coverage show significant spectral overlap. Thus by estimating the power spectrum of the signal, obtained resolving the forward problem, a least-squares Wiener filter has been designed. In such context, it was possible to verify the effectiveness of Wiener filters, whereas traditional band-pass filtering proved inadequate. In fact, analysis of the noise showed that all the meaningful components of the observed magnetic field were resolved. The results put further constraints on location and geometry of the shallow plumbing system of Mt. Etna.


2018 ◽  
Vol 357 ◽  
pp. 418-424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giorgio De Guidi ◽  
Fabio Brighenti ◽  
Francesco Carnemolla ◽  
Sebastiano Imposa ◽  
Salvatore Antonio Marchese ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 514-522 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salvatore Gambino

AbstractOn the 9th of January 2001 a seismic swarm on the southeastern flank of Mt. Etna at 3.5 km beside sea level (b.s.l.), caused co-seismic variations on short and long baseline tiltmeters of the Mt. Etna permanent tilt network.Taking account of the geometry and mechanism of the active tectonic structure obtained by seismological studies, the theoretical tilt linked to the faulting source was calculated at multiple different recording stations. It was found that the amount of measured deformation exceeded that which was generated seismically, indicating that much of the deformation along the fault was aseismic.The 9 January 2001 episode represents a shear response to a local stress caused by a volcanic source that acted in the period preceding the 2001 eruption. Tilt data also suggest a marked slip of 70-140 cm along the fault, probably due to the presence of fluids.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Octavi Gómez-Novell ◽  
María Ortuño ◽  
Julián García-Mayordomo ◽  
Eulàlia Masana ◽  
Thomas Rockwell ◽  
...  

<p>The Alhama de Murcia Fault (AMF) is one of the most seismically active faults in the Iberian Peninsula, with important associated historical and instrumental seismicity (e.g. the 1674 I<sub>EMS </sub>VIII and 2011 Mw 5.1 Lorca earthquakes), and numerous geomorphic and paleoseismic evidence of paleoearthquakes. It is an oblique left-lateral strike slip fault within the Eastern Betics Shear Zone (EBSZ), a nearly 500 km long fault system that absorbs a great part of convergence between the Nubian and Eurasian plates. Previous paleoseismic studies have mainly focused on the southwestern and especially the central segment of the fault and yielded slip rate values ranging from 1.0 up to 1.7 mm/yr. In the central segment (Lorca-Totana), the fault splays into several branches, the two frontal ones forming a pressure ridge. Paleoseismic trenches have exclusively been dug in the northwestern fault of the pressure ridge, where most of the displacement is along strike, while the expected reverse southeastern branch has never been directly observed.</p><p>We present the first results of paleoseismic trenching across a complete transect of the pressure ridge in the Lorca-Totana segment of AMF. To do so we excavated an exceptionally large trench (7 m deep) in the NW branch and 5 trenches in the SE branch. We have been able to: a) extend the paleoearthquake catalogue in the NW branch by interpreting a total of 13 paleoearthquakes, 6 of which were not identified in previous studies. A restoration analysis has been performed; b) unveil the existence and recent activity (Holocene) of the thrust that bounds the pressure ridge to the SE. We have interpreted at least 5 surface ruptures, with the last one being younger than 8-9 kyr BP, based on new radiocarbon dates.</p><p>The study of these two sites allows for the refinement of the seismic parameters of the fault, formerly inferred from the study of a single branch. In this sense, the more complete paleoearthquake catalogue will allow for reassessment of the recurrence intervals assigned to the fault and new slip rate estimates will be inferred by combining data from the two studied sites. Furthermore, forthcoming OSL dates may allow us to prove or reject the synchronicity of surface ruptures on both sides of the pressure ridge, shedding light on the rupturing style of this fault system during the Late Quaternary. We discuss how these new data on fault-interaction may affect several seismic parameters and their repercussion in source modelling for fault-based probabilistic seismic hazard assessments (PSHA) of the region.</p>


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