scholarly journals Moisture variations during the first millennium CE and their linkage with social developments along the Silk Road in northwestern China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Zhang ◽  
Xuemei Shao ◽  
Qing Yang ◽  
Zhi-Yong Yin
Keyword(s):  
Tree Ring ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Climatic Data ◽  
Chinese History ◽  
Tree Ring Chronology ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
First Millennium ◽  
Moisture Conditions

Abstract Moisture conditions, especially those that occur as multi-decadal anomalies, have profound impacts on society, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. However, the lack of high-resolution climatic data for the first millennium CE greatly limits our understanding how moisture variations have influenced history. Here, we present an 1882-year (134–2015 CE) tree-ring chronology developed from the Qilian juniper (Juniperus przewalskii Kom.) growing in the western Qilian Mountains, northwest China. The tree-ring index correlates significantly with the May-June self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (sc-PDSI) and could therefore be used to reconstruct May-June moisture variations since 241 CE. The reconstruction reflects moisture conditions at the annual to multi-decadal time scales over the past two millennia. During the period from the 3rd to 8th centuries, there were prominent interdecadal fluctuations, with the 3rd century and the late 5th century being the wettest and driest periods in the reconstruction, respectively. The transition from the wet 3rd century to the dry 5th century corresponded with key events in Chinese history, namely the demise of the Western Jin Dynasty and the chaotic Southern and Northern Dynasties, as well as the fall of the ancient Loulan Kingdom in eastern Xinjiang. Thus, our reconstruction provides new evidence for the close linkage between abnormal climate conditions and social changes in ancient times.

Recent growth increases in old-growth longleaf pine

1993 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 846-853 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.C. West ◽  
T.W. Doyle ◽  
M.L. Tharp ◽  
J.J. Beauchamp ◽  
W.J. Platt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tree Ring ◽  
Longleaf Pine ◽  
Biomass Accumulation ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Tree Ring Chronology ◽  
Annual Increment ◽  
Old Growth ◽  
Tree Ring Data ◽  
Old Trees

Longleaf pine (Pinuspalustris Mill.) tree-ring data were obtained from an old-growth stand located in Thomas County, Georgia. The tree-ring chronology from the pine stand is composed of a collection of cores extracted from 26 trees ranging in age from approximately 100 to 400 years. These cores were prepared, dated, and measured, and the resulting data were examined with dendrochronological and statistical techniques. Beginning in approximately 1950 and continuing to the present, annual increments of all age classes examined in this study have increased, resulting in an average annual ring increment approximately 40% greater in 1987 than in 1950. When compared with expected annual increment, the increase for 100- to 150-year-old trees is approximately 45%, while the increase for 200- to 400-year-old trees is approximately 35%. In terms of stand-level aboveground biomass accumulation, the increased growth has resulted in approximately 5% more biomass than expected. The increased growth cannot be explained by disturbance; stand history; or trends in precipitation, temperature, or Palmer drought severity index over the last 57 years. Increased atmospheric CO2 is a possible explanation for initiation of the observed trend, while SOx and NOx may be augmenting continuation of this phenomenon.

scholarly journals Juniper Tree-Ring Data from the Kuramin Range (Northern Tajikistan) Reveals Changing Summer Drought Signals in Western Central Asia

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Chen ◽  
Tongwen Zhang ◽  
Andrea Seim ◽  
Shulong Yu ◽  
Ruibo Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Summer Drought ◽  
Tree Ring Chronology ◽  
Tree Ring Data ◽  
June July

Coniferous forests cover the mountains in many parts of Central Asia and provide large potentials for dendroclimatic studies of past climate variability. However, to date, only a few tree-ring based climate reconstructions exist from this region. Here, we present a regional tree-ring chronology from the moisture-sensitive Zeravshan juniper (Juniperus seravschanica Kom.) from the Kuramin Range (Tajikistan) in western Central Asia, which is used to reveal past summer drought variability from 1650 to 2015 Common Era (CE). The chronology accounts for 40.5% of the variance of the June–July self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) during the instrumental period (1901 to 2012). Seven dry periods, including 1659–1696, 1705–1722, 1731–1741, 1758–1790, 1800–1842, 1860–1875, and 1931–1987, and five wet periods, including 1742–1752, 1843–1859, 1876–1913, 1921–1930, and 1988–2015, were identified. Good agreements between drought records from western and eastern Central Asia suggest that the PDSI records retain common drought signals and capture the regional dry/wet periods of Central Asia. Moreover, the spectral analysis indicates the existence of centennial (128 years), decadal (24.3 and 11.4 years), and interannual (8.0, 3.6, 2.9, and 2.0 years) cycles, which may be linked with climate forces, such as solar activity and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The analysis between the scPDSI reconstruction and large-scale atmospheric circulations during the reconstructed extreme dry and wet years can provide information about the linkages of extremes in our scPDSI record with the large-scale ocean–atmosphere–land circulation systems.

DENDROCLIMATOLOGICAL STUDIES OF PICEA LIKIANGENSIS AND TSUGA DUMOSA IN LIJIANG, CHINA

IAWA Journal ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 435-441 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaiai Guo ◽  
Zong-Shan Li ◽  
Qi-Bin Zhang ◽  
Ke-Ping Ma ◽  
Conglong Mu
Keyword(s):  
Tree Ring ◽  
Environmental Variability ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Tree Ring Chronology ◽  
Late 20Th Century ◽  
Moisture Condition ◽  
Individual Trees

Expansion of climate proxy records over space is needed for improving our knowledge of past climate variability. Here we report on a 112-year tree-ring chronology of Picea likiangensis (Franch.) E.Pritz. and a 165- year tree-ring chronology of Tsuga dumosa (D.Don) Eichler for the Lijiang area, northwestern Yunnan, China. Mean correlation coefficients of tree-ring width series among individual trees are 0.48 for P. likiangensis and 0.45 for T. dumosa, indicating a growth response to common environmental variability. Analysis of climate-growth relationships shows that the radial growth of P. likiangensis is mainly negatively correlated with temperature from December of the prior growth year to May of the growth year, and that of T. dumosa is mainly positively correlated with precipitation of January and May in the growth year. We further found that the chronology of T. dumosa can be used to reconstruct the May-June Palmer Drought Severity Index. The reconstruction shows that major wet periods occurred in the 1860s, 1910s and 1940s, and drought periods in 1892–1905, 1914–1924 and 1928–1938. The moisture condition of the late 20th century is characterized by a near-normal state from the 1950s to the 1970s and an increasing trend from 1982 to 2003.

scholarly journals Juniper tree-ring data from the Kuramenian Mountains (Republic of Tajikistan), reveals changing summer drought signals in western Central Asia

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Chen ◽  
Tongwen Zhang ◽  
Andrea Seim ◽  
Shulong Yu ◽  
Ruibo Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Summer Drought ◽  
Tree Ring Chronology ◽  
Tree Ring Data ◽  
June July

Abstract. Coniferous forests cover the mountains in many parts of central Asia and provide large potentials for dendroclimatic studies of past climate variability. However, to date, only a few tree-ring based climate reconstructions exist from this region. Here we present a regional tree-ring chronology from moisture-sensitive Juniperus seravschanica from the Kuramenian Mountains (Republic of Tajikistan), which is used to reveal past summer drought variability in western Central Asia. The chronology accounts for 40.5 % of the variance of the June–July self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) during the instrumental period (1901 to 2012). Seven dry periods including 1659–1696, 1705–1722, 1731–1741, 1758–1790, 1800–1842, 1860–1875 and 1931–1987, and five wet periods of 1742–1752, 1843–1859, 1876–1913, 1921–1930 and 1988–2015 were identified. Good agreements between drought records from western and eastern Central Asia suggest that the PDSI records retain common drought signals and captures the regional dry/wet periods of Central Asia. Moreover, the wavelet analysis indicates the existence of centennial (100–150 years), decadal (50–60, 24.4 and 11.4 years) and interannual (8.0 and 2.0-3.5 years) cycles, which may linked with climate forcings, such as solar activity and ENSO. The analysis between the scPDSI reconstruction and large-scale atmospheric circulations during the reconstructed extreme dry and wet years can provide information about the linkages of extremes in our scPDSI record with the Asian summer monsoon activity.

The dendroecology and climatic impacts for old-growth white pine and hemlock on the extreme slopes of the Berkshire Hills, Massachusetts, U.S.A.

2000 ◽  
Vol 78 (7) ◽  
pp. 851-861 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc D Abrams ◽  
Saskia van de Gevel ◽  
Ryan C Dodson ◽  
Carolyn A Copenheaver
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
Palmer Drought Severity Index ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
White Pine ◽  
Old Growth ◽  
Hardwood Species ◽  
Drought Severity Index

Dendrochronological techniques were used to investigate the dynamics of an old-growth forest on the extreme slope (65%) at Ice Glen Natural Area in southwestern Massachusetts. The site represented a rare opportunity to study the disturbance history, successional development, and responses to climatic variation of an old-growth hemlock (Tsuga canadensis (L.) Carr) - white pine (Pinus strobus L.) - northern hardwood forest in the northeastern United States. Hemlock is the oldest species in the forest, with maximum tree ages of 305-321 years. The maximum ages for white pine and several hardwood species are 170-200 years. There was continuous recruitment of hemlock trees from 1677 to 1948. All of the existing white pine was recruited in the period between 1800 and 1880, forming an unevenly aged population within an unevenly aged, old-growth hemlock canopy. This was associated with large increases in the Master tree-ring chronologies, indicative of major stand-wide disturbances, for both hemlock and white pine. Nearly all of the hardwood species were also recruited between 1800 and 1880. After 1900, there was a dramatic decline in recruitment for all species, including hemlock, probably as a result of intensive deer browsing. White pine and hemlock tree-ring growth during the 20th century was positively correlated with the annual Palmer drought severity index (r = 0.61 and 0.39, respectively). This included reduced growth during periods of low Palmer drought severity index values, the drought years of 1895-1922, and dramatic increases during periods of high Palmer drought severity index values in the 1970s and 1990s. Significant positive and negative correlations of certain monthly Palmer drought severity index values with 20th century tree-ring chronologies also exist for white pine and hemlock using response function analysis. The results of this study suggest that old-growth forests on extreme sites in the eastern United States may be particularly sensitive to direct and indirect allogenic factors and climatic variations and represent an important resource for studying long-term ecological and climatic history.Key words: age structure, radial growth analysis, disturbance, climate, fire, tree rings.

scholarly journals A 424-year tree-ring-based Palmer Drought Severity Index reconstruction of <i>Cedrus deodara</i> D. Don from the Hindu Kush range of Pakistan: linkages to ocean oscillations

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 783-798
Author(s):  
Sarir Ahmad ◽  
Liangjun Zhu ◽  
Sumaira Yasmeen ◽  
Yuandong Zhang ◽  
Zongshan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tree Ring ◽  
Palmer Drought Severity Index ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Mountain Range ◽  
Cedrus Deodara ◽  
Hindu Kush ◽  
Drought Severity Index

Abstract. The rate of global warming has led to persistent drought. It is considered to be the preliminary factor affecting socioeconomic development under the background of the dynamic forecasting of the water supply and forest ecosystems in West Asia. However, long-term climate records in the semiarid Hindu Kush range are seriously lacking. Therefore, we developed a new tree-ring width chronology of Cedrus deodara spanning the period of 1537–2017. We reconstructed the March–August Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for the past 424 years, going back to 1593 CE. Our reconstruction featured nine dry periods (1593–1598, 1602–1608, 1631–1645, 1647–1660, 1756–1765, 1785–1800, 1870–1878, 1917–1923, and 1981–1995) and eight wet periods (1663–1675, 1687–1708, 1771–1773, 1806–1814, 1844–1852, 1932–1935, 1965–1969, and 1990–1999). This reconstruction is consistent with other dendroclimatic reconstructions in West Asia, thereby confirming its reliability. The multi-taper method and wavelet analysis revealed drought variability at periodicities of 2.1–2.4, 3.3, 6.0, 16.8, and 34.0–38.0 years. The drought patterns could be linked to the large-scale atmospheric–oceanic variability, such as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, and solar activity. In terms of current climate conditions, our findings have important implications for developing drought-resistant policies in communities on the fringes of the Hindu Kush mountain range in northern Pakistan.

scholarly journals Last Millennium Reanalysis with an expanded proxy database and seasonal proxy modeling

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1251-1273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Tardif ◽  
Gregory J. Hakim ◽  
Walter A. Perkins ◽  
Kaleb A. Horlick ◽  
Michael P. Erb ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tree Ring ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Tree Ring Width ◽  
Forward Models ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Northern Latitudes

Abstract. The Last Millennium Reanalysis (LMR) utilizes an ensemble methodology to assimilate paleoclimate data for the production of annually resolved climate field reconstructions of the Common Era. Two key elements are the focus of this work: the set of assimilated proxy records and the forward models that map climate variables to proxy measurements. Results based on an updated proxy database and seasonal regression-based forward models are compared to the LMR prototype, which was based on a smaller set of proxy records and simpler proxy models formulated as univariate linear regressions against annual temperature. Validation against various instrumental-era gridded analyses shows that the new reconstructions of surface air temperature and 500 hPa geopotential height are significantly improved (from 10 % to more than 100 %), while improvements in reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index are more modest. Additional experiments designed to isolate the sources of improvement reveal the importance of the updated proxy records, including coral records for improving tropical reconstructions, and tree-ring density records for temperature reconstructions, particularly in high northern latitudes. Proxy forward models that account for seasonal responses, and dependence on both temperature and moisture for tree-ring width, also contribute to improvements in reconstructed thermodynamic and hydroclimate variables in midlatitudes. The variability of temperature at multidecadal to centennial scales is also shown to be sensitive to the set of assimilated proxies, especially to the inclusion of primarily moisture-sensitive tree-ring-width records.

scholarly journals Climatology of Tropical System Rainfall in the Eastern Corn Belt

2014 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 395-405 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Haberlie ◽  
Kari Gale ◽  
David Changnon ◽  
Mike Tannura
Keyword(s):  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Corn Belt ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Event Risk ◽  
Moisture Conditions ◽  
Tropical System ◽  
Tropical Systems

AbstractThis study examines the frequency of daily rainfall totals greater than 2.54 cm (1 in.) averaged within a climate division (CD) associated with tropical systems that moved through the U.S. eastern Corn Belt region during the growing season. These occurrences are defined as “events.” From 1913 to 2012, the tracks of 60 tropical systems moved over a study area that included 24 CDs—9 in Illinois, 9 in Indiana, and 6 in western Ohio. Of those 60 tropical systems, 37 were associated with events. Event risk varied through the growing season ranging from 3 events in June to 21 events in September. Decadal analysis showed an increase in the frequency of tropical systems and events during the last decade of the study (2003–12). Tropical systems were infrequent, and the timing of rainfall associated with the majority of events (i.e., September) was too late to impact corn and soybean development or yield in this region. Events had some impact on current and subsequent CD average soil moisture conditions; however, only 8 of the 37 events produced dramatic improvements in Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) values from categorical moderate to severe drought levels to near-normal conditions in the eastern Corn Belt. Those CDs that experienced a September or October event were associated with significantly higher PDSI values (+1.34) prior to the following summer than those that did not experience an event (+0.54).

scholarly journals Last 1100 yr of precipitation variability in western central Asia as revealed by tree-ring data from the Pamir-Alay

2018 ◽  
Vol 91 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdalena Opała-Owczarek ◽  
Tadeusz Niedźwiedź
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Tree Ring ◽  
Tree Growth ◽  
Palmer Drought Severity Index ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Mountainous Area ◽  
Transfer Function Method ◽  
Tree Ring Data

AbstractWe developed a 1108 yr chronology of tree-ring widths, based on 64 Himalayan pencil juniper (Juniperus semiglobosa Regel) trees, for the Pamir-Alay Mountains, central Asia. Dendroclimatological analysis demonstrates that precipitation has significant effects on tree growth in the semiarid mountainous area of northwestern Tajikistan located on the edge of the great midlatitude Karakum and Kyzylkum deserts. The highest level of linear correlation (r=0.67) is observed between tree growth and seasonalised winter (previous December–February) precipitation. Our studies also show that moisture (precipitation/Palmer Drought Severity Index) from the previous June to the current September was the dominant climatic factor accounting for interannual variations in tree-ring width, suggesting that this should be considered in climate reconstruction. Using the transfer function method, we reconstructed the region’s drought history over the period AD 908–2015. The results of this moisture reconstruction showed that the most recent millennium was characterised by series of dry and wet stages. The driest periods occurred before 1000, 1200–1250, and at the end of the eighteenth century and beginning of the nineteenth century. The wettest conditions existed in 1650–1700 and after 1990.

scholarly journals Growth response of Abies spectabilis to climate along an elevation gradient of the Manang valley in the central Himalayas

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 2245-2254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samresh Rai ◽  
Binod Dawadi ◽  
Yafeng Wang ◽  
Xiaoming Lu ◽  
Huang Ru ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tree Ring ◽  
Elevation Gradient ◽  
Ring Width ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Moisture Stress ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Forest Growth ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Tree Ring Width ◽  
Standard Tree

Abstract The Himalayas are characterized by a broad gradient of bioclimatic zones along their elevation. However, less is known how forest growth responds to climatic change along elevation. In this study, four standard tree-ring width chronologies of Himalayan fir (Abiesspectabilis) were developed, spanning 142–649 years along an elevation gradient of 3076–3900 m a.s.l. Principal component analysis classified the four chronologies into two groups; the ones at lower elevations (M1 and M2) and higher elevations (M3 and M4) show two distinct growth trends. Radial growth is limited by summer (June–August) precipitation at M3, and by precipitation during spring (March–May) and summer at M4. It is limited by spring temperatures and winter precipitation (December–February) at M1. Tree-ring width chronologies also significantly correlate with winter and spring Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) at M1, and with summer PDSI at M3 and M4. Thus, Himalayan fir growth at high elevations is mainly limited by moisture stress rather than by low temperatures. Furthermore, the occurrence of missing rings coincides with dry periods, providing additional evidence for moisture limitation of Himalayan fir growth.

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