scholarly journals Maximum chest CT score predicts progression to severe illness in patients with COVID-19: a retrospective study from Wuhan, China

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianwei Xiao ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Yuanliang Xie ◽  
Zengfa Huang ◽  
Yi Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: We investigated the clinical course and imaging findings of hospitalized patients who were initially diagnosed with moderate COVID-19 symptoms to identify risk factors associated with progression to severe/critical symptoms.Methods: This study was a retrospective single-center study at The Central Hospital of Wuhan. 243 patients with confirmed COVID­19 pneumonia were enrolled in the analysis, of which 40 patients progressed from moderate to severe/critical symptoms during follow up. Demographic, clinical, laboratory and radiological data were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between moderate and severe/critical symptom types. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify the risk factors associated with symptom progression.Results: Patients with severe/critical symptoms were older (p<0.001) and more often male (p=0.046). We found that the combination of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and high maximum CT scores was associated with disease progression. Maximum CT scores (≥11) had the greatest predictive value for disease progression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.861 (95% CI: 0.811-0.902).Conclusions: Maximum CT scores and COPD are associated with patient deterioration. Maximum CT scores (≥11) are associated with severe illness.

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianwei Xiao ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Yuanliang Xie ◽  
Zengfa Huang ◽  
Yi Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a world-wide health crisis. Limited information is available regarding which patients will experience more severe disease symptoms. We evaluated hospitalized patients who were initially diagnosed with moderate COVID-19 for clinical parameters and radiological feature that showed an association with progression to severe/critical symptoms. Methods This study, a retrospective single-center study at the Central Hospital of Wuhan, enrolled 243 patients with confirmed COVID­19 pneumonia. Forty of these patients progressed from moderate to severe/critical symptoms during follow up. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological data were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between moderate- and severe/critical-type symptoms. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify the risk factors associated with symptom progression. Results Patients with severe/critical symptoms were older (p < 0.001) and more often male (p = 0.046). A combination of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and high maximum chest computed tomography (CT) score was associated with disease progression. Maximum CT score (> 11) had the greatest predictive value for disease progression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.861 (95% confidence interval: 0.811–0.902). Conclusions Maximum CT score and COPD were associated with patient deterioration. Maximum CT score (> 11) was associated with severe illness.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianwei Xiao ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Yuanliang Xie ◽  
Zengfa Huang ◽  
Yi Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a world-wide health crisis. Limited information is available regarding which patients will experience more severe disease symptoms. We evaluated hospitalized patients who were initially diagnosed with moderate COVID-19 for clinical parameters and radiological feature that showed an association with progression to severe/critical symptoms. Methods: This study, a retrospective single-center study at the Central Hospital of Wuhan, enrolled 243 patients with confirmed COVID­19 pneumonia. Forty of these patients progressed from moderate to severe/critical symptoms during follow up. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological data were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between moderate- and severe/critical-type symptoms. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify the risk factors associated with symptom progression.Results: Patients with severe/critical symptoms were older (p<0.001) and more often male (p=0.046). A combination of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and high maximum chest computed tomography (CT) score was associated with disease progression. Maximum CT score (>11) had the greatest predictive value for disease progression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.861 (95% confidence interval: 0.811-0.902).Conclusions: Maximum CT score and COPD were associated with patient deterioration. Maximum CT score (>11) was associated with severe illness.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianwei Xiao ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Yuanliang Xie ◽  
Zengfa Huang ◽  
Yi Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a world-wide health crisis. Limited information is available regarding which patients will experience more severe disease symptoms. We evaluated hospitalized patients who were initially diagnosed with moderate COVID-19 for clinical parameters and radiological feature that showed an association with progression to severe/critical symptoms.Methods: This study, a retrospective single-center study at the Central Hospital of Wuhan, enrolled 243 patients with confirmed COVID­19 pneumonia. Forty of these patients progressed from moderate to severe/critical symptoms during follow up. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological data were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between moderate- and severe/critical-type symptoms. Univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify the risk factors associated with symptom progression.Results: Patients with severe/critical symptoms were older (p<0.001) and more often male (p=0.046). A combination of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and high maximum chest computed tomography (CT) score was associated with disease progression. Maximum CT score (>11) had the greatest predictive value for disease progression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.861 (95% confidence interval: 0.811-0.902).Conclusions: Maximum CT score and COPD were associated with patient deterioration. Maximum CT score (>11) was associated with severe illness.


2005 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 265-270 ◽  
Author(s):  
GG Alvarez ◽  
M Schulzer ◽  
D Jung ◽  
JM FitzGerald

BACKGROUND: Asthma mortality and morbidity continue to be a serious global problem. Systematic reviews provide an opportunity to review risk factors in detail.OBJECTIVE: To review all of the literature for risk factors associated with near-fatal asthma (NFA) and fatal asthma (FA).METHODS: A literature search from 1960 to January 2004 in MEDLINE and EMBASE was conducted. Studies were included based on the following criteria: NFA was defined as an asthma exacerbation resulting in respiratory arrest requiring mechanical ventilation or a partial pressure of CO2of at least 45 mmHg or asthma resulting in death (FA); the study reported the number of cases (NFA and/or FA) and asthmatic controls; there was explicit reporting of risk factors; cases that were adult and pediatric in nature; and all study types. Studies that included patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were excluded.RESULTS: Four hundred and three articles were identified, of which 27 met the inclusion criteria. Increased use of medications such as beta-agonists via metered dose inhalers (OR=1.67, 95% CI 0.99 to 2.84, P=0.057) and nebulizers (OR=2.45, 95% CI 1.52 to 3.93, P=0.0002), oral steroids (OR=2.71, 95% CI 1.34 to 5.51, P=0.006) and oral theophylline (OR=2.02, 95% CI 1.03 to 3.98, P=0.04) and a history of hospital (OR=2.62, 95% CI 1.04 to 6.58, P=0.04) and/or intensive care unit (OR=5.14, 95% CI 1.91 to 13.86, P=0.001) admissions and mechanical ventilation (OR=6.69, 95% CI 2.80 to 15.97, P=0.0001) due to asthma were predictors of NFA and FA. Prior emergency department assessment did not confer a greater risk of NFA and FA (OR=1.13, 95% CI 0.43 to 2.92, P=0.810).The use of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) measured in a dose-independent fashion (did the patient take ICS previously; yes or no) inferred equivocal risk of NFA and FA (OR=1.31, 95% CI 0.83 to 2.05, P=0.25). However, two studies measured the use of ICS in a dose-dependent fashion (ie, measured the number of prescriptions filled within the previous six to 12 months). Both studies showed a trend toward a protective effect against FA. One study showed that the premature cessation of ICS can hasten death.CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, risk factors of NFA and FA have been more accurately defined. Clinicians should identify patients with these characteristics to reduce their risk of NFA and FA. Further research should focus on quantifying the impact of risk factors on asthma deaths.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7_suppl6) ◽  
pp. 2325967120S0046
Author(s):  
Jacqueline Baron ◽  
Alan Shamrock ◽  
Trevor Gulbrandsen ◽  
Brian Wolf ◽  
Kyle Duchman ◽  
...  

Objectives: The current opioid epidemic in the United States is a significant cause of increasing morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study was to determine rate of opioid use before and after arthroscopic meniscal surgery, and assess patient factors associated with prolonged opioid use following primary arthroscopic meniscal surgery. Methods: Patients undergoing primary arthroscopic meniscal surgery procedures from 2007-2016 were retrospectively accessed from the Humana Inc. administrative claims database. Patients were categorized as patients who filled opioid prescriptions within 3 months (OU), within 1 month (A-OU), between 1 to 3 months (C-OU), and never filled opioid prescriptions (N-OU) before surgery. Rates of opioid use were evaluated preoperatively and longitudinally tracked for OU and N-OU cohorts. Prolonged opioid use was defined as continued opioid prescription filling at ≥3 months after surgery. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to control for various patient characteristics and identify factors associated with opioid use at 12 months after surgery, with significance defined as P<0.05 Results: There were 107,717 patients (54% female) that underwent arthroscopic meniscal surgery during the study period, of which 46.1% (n=49,630) were N-OU. One year after surgery, opioid fill rate was significantly higher in the OU group compared to the N-OU group with a relative risk of 6.98 (21.1% vs 3.02%; 95% CI: 6.61-7.36; p<0.0001). Multiple logistic regression model identified C-OU (OR:10.23, 95% CI: 9.74-10.76, p<0.0001) as the strongest predictor of opioid use at 12 months postoperatively. Furthermore, patients with acute preoperative opioid use (p<0.0001), preoperative diagnosis of diabetes mellitus (p<0.0001), hypertension (p<0.0001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p<0.0001), anxiety or depression (p<0.0001), alcohol abuse (p= 0.0019), and tobacco use (p=0.0345) had a significantly increased odds of opioid use at 12 months postoperatively. However, males (p<0.0001) and patients <40 years (p<0.0001) had a significantly decreased odds of opioid use 12 months postoperatively. Conclusion: Preoperative opioid use is a significant risk factor for opioid use at 12 months following surgery. Diabetes mellitus, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, smoking status, and psychiatric diagnosis were independent risk factors for opioid use 1-year following surgery.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (T3) ◽  
pp. 168-171
Author(s):  
Huzaipah Huzaipah ◽  
Elmeida Efffendy ◽  
Nazli Mahdinasari Nasution

BACKGROUND: Depression is major global public health problems. This disease is often associated with other chronic diseases, for example, depression in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The presence of depression in chronic disease exacerbates the underlying disease and leads to non-adherence to treatment, loss of disease control, lower quality of life, increased use of health resources, and increased morbidity and mortality and also depression in people with COPD can result in a high economic burden, therefore, screening, investigated the risk factors, and timely treatment of depressive symptoms in people with COPD are very important. AIM: This study aims to determine factors associated with depression score in people with COPD. METHODS: This study is a multivariate type of predictive study with a cross-sectional approach to determine the risk factors of depression score in people with COPD. Symptomatology of depression was assessed using the Beck depression inventory-II. RESULTS: Of the 119 people included, majority 76.5% of the participants were male. The mean ages were 61.09 ± 7.708 years. There was a significant association between depression and independent variables of the duration of illness (p < 0.001), gender (p = 0.006), employment status (p < 0.001), and marital status (p = 0.003) in people with COPD. CONCLUSIONS: Duration of illness, gender, employment status, and marital status were associated with depression in people with COPD.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 289-298
Author(s):  
Chaya Sindaghatta Krishnarao ◽  
Mahendra Maheshwarappa ◽  
Thippeswamy Thippeswamy ◽  
Jayaraj Biligere Siddaiah ◽  
Komarla Sundararaja Lokesh ◽  
...  

Background: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease is an important cause of morbidity and mortality globally. The onset of pulmonary hypertension and corpulmonale is associated with decreased survival in patients with COPD. Objective: To assess risk factors associated with the development of pulmonary hypertension and corpulmonale and to identify high-risk phenotypes who may need early evaluation and intervention. Methods: Consecutive adult patients with COPD were evaluated for factors influencing the development of pulmonary hypertension and corpulmonale which included symptomatology, hospitalization in the previous year, MMRC dyspnea grade, SGRQ score, 6 minute walk test, ABG, CRP, spirometry and echocardiography. Results: We found Pulmonary Hypertension in 36(30%) patients and 27(22.5%) had corpulmonale. On multivariate analysis, we found PaO2 ≤75 mm Hg and six minute walk test <80% predicted to be significantly associated with the development of Pulmonary hypertension and we found hospitalization in the previous year to be significantly and independently associated with the development of corpulmonale. Conclusion: We observed hospitalization in the previous year was an independent risk factor for the development of corpulmonale and six-minute walk test <80% predicted, PaO2 <75 mm Hg were independent risk factors for the development of pulmonary hypertension.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document