The Short Term Interest and Brazilian Stock Market Capitalization: A Linear Regression Model Under Keynesian Conjecture of Investment

Author(s):  
Antonio Nunes Pereira
Author(s):  
Hongyu Sun ◽  
Henry X. Liu ◽  
Heng Xiao ◽  
Rachel R. He ◽  
Bin Ran

The traffic-forecasting model, when considered as a system with inputs of historical and current data and outputs of future data, behaves in a nonlinear fashion and varies with time of day. Traffic data are found to change abruptly during the transition times of entering and leaving peak periods. Accurate and real-time models are needed to approximate the nonlinear time-variant functions between system inputs and outputs from a continuous stream of training data. A proposed local linear regression model was applied to short-term traffic prediction. The performance of the model was compared with previous results of nonparametric approaches that are based on local constant regression, such as the k-nearest neighbor and kernel methods, by using 32-day traffic-speed data collected on US-290, in Houston, Texas, at 5-min intervals. It was found that the local linear methods consistently showed better performance than the k-nearest neighbor and kernel smoothing methods.


2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hani A.K. Ihlayyel ◽  
Nurfadhlina Mohd Sharef ◽  
Mohd Zakree Ahmed Nazri ◽  
Azuraliza Abu bakar

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Aneeque Ahmed Mir ◽  
Kafait Ullah ◽  
Zafar A. Khan ◽  
Furrukh Bashir ◽  
Tauseef Ur Rehman Khan ◽  
...  

With the emergence of advanced computational technologies, the capacity to process data for developing machine learning-based predictive models has increased multifold. However, reliance on the model’s mere accuracy has swiftly shifted attention away from its interpretability. Resultantly, a need has emerged amongst forecasters and academics to have predictive models that are not only accurate but also interpretable as well. Therefore, to facilitate energy forecasters, this paper advances the knowledge of short-term load forecasting through generalized regression analysis using high degree polynomials and cross terms. To predict the irregularly changing energy demand at the consumer level, the proposed model uses a time series of an hourly load of three years of an electricity distribution company in Pakistan. Two variants of regression analysis are used: (a) generalized linear regression model (GLRM), and (b) generalized linear regression model with polynomials and cross-terms (GLRM-PCT) for comparative reasons. Experiments revealed that GLRM-PCT showed higher forecasting accuracy across a variety of performance metrics such as mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and r-squared values. Moreover, the enhanced interpretability of GLRM-PCT also explained a wide range of combinations of weather variables, public holidays, as well as lagged load and climatic variables.


Author(s):  
Aliva Bera ◽  
D.P. Satapathy

In this paper, the linear regression model using ANN and the linear regression model using MS Excel were developed to estimate the physico-chemical concentrations in groundwater using pH, EC, TDS, TH, HCO3 as input parameters and Ca, Mg and K as output parameters. A comparison was made which indicated that ANN model had the better ability to estimate the physic-chemical concentrations in groundwater. An analytical survey along with simulation based tests for finding the climatic change and its effect on agriculture and water bodies in Angul-Talcher area is done. The various seasonal parameters such as pH, BOD, COD, TDS,TSS along with heavy elements like Pb, Cd, Zn, Cu, Fe, Mn concentration in water resources has been analyzed. For past 30 years rainfall data has been analyzed and water quality index values has been studied to find normal and abnormal quality of water resources and matlab based simulation has been done for performance analysis. All results has been analyzed and it is found that the condition is stable. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (8A) ◽  
pp. 1143-1153
Author(s):  
Yousif K. Shounia ◽  
Tahseen F. Abbas ◽  
Raed R. Shwaish

This research presents a model for prediction surface roughness in terms of process parameters in turning aluminum alloy 1200. The geometry to be machined has four rotational features: straight, taper, convex and concave, while a design of experiments was created through the Taguchi L25 orthogonal array experiments in minitab17 three factors with five Levels depth of cut (0.04, 0.06, 0.08, 0.10 and 0.12) mm, spindle speed (1200, 1400, 1600, 1800 and 2000) r.p.m and feed rate (60, 70, 80, 90 and 100) mm/min. A multiple non-linear regression model has been used which is a set of statistical extrapolation processes to estimate the relationships input variables and output which the surface roughness which prediction outside the range of the data. According to the non-linear regression model, the optimum surface roughness can be obtained at 1800 rpm of spindle speed, feed-rate of 80 mm/min and depth of cut 0.04 mm then the best surface roughness comes out to be 0.04 μm at tapper feature at depth of cut 0.01 mm and same spindle speed and feed rate pervious which gives the error of 3.23% at evolution equation.


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