scholarly journals Hydrologic evaluation and effects of climate change on the Nong Han Lake Basin, northeastern Thailand

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 992-1000
Author(s):  
Jirawat Supakosol ◽  
Kowit Boonrawd
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Lake Basin ◽  
Model Soil ◽  
Regional Climates ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Effective Water ◽  
Northeastern Thailand

Abstract The purpose of this study is to investigate the future runoff into the Nong Han Lake under the effects of climate change. The hydrological model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been selected for this study. The calibration and validation were performed by comparing the simulated and observed runoff from gauging station KH90 for the period 2001–2003 and 2004–2005, respectively. Future climate projections were generated by Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) under the A2 and B2 scenarios. The SWAT model yielded good results in comparison to the baseline; moreover, the results of the PRECIS model showed that both precipitations and temperatures increased. Consequently, the amount of runoff calculated by SWAT under the A2 and B2 scenarios was higher than that for the baseline. In addition, the amount of runoff calculated considering the A2 scenario was higher than that considering the B2 scenario, due to higher average annual precipitations in the former case. The methodology and results of this study constitute key information for stakeholders, especially for the development of effective water management systems in the lake, such as designing a rule curve to cope with any future incidents.

scholarly journals EVALUATING THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON STREAMFLOW IN SREPOK WATERSHED

2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 18-32
Author(s):  
Khoi Nguyen Dao
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Large Decrease ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Delta Change ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Soil And Water ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

In this paper, the author investigated the effects of climate change on streamflow in Srepok watershed. The climate change scenarios were built by downscaling method (delta change method) based on the outputs of MIROC 3.2 Hires GCM. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model was used to investigate the impacts on streamflow under climate change scenarios. The calibration and validation results showed that the SWAT model was able to simulate the streamflow well. Their difference in simulating the streamflow under future climate scenarios was also investigated. Results indicated a 1.3-3.9oC increase in annual temperature and a -4.4 to -0.5% decreases in annual precipitation corresponded to a decrease in streamflow of about -7.6 to -2.8%. The large decrease in precipitation and runoff are observed in the dry season.

scholarly journals ASSESSING THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE HYDROLOGY OF THE INDRAWATI RIVER BASIN, NEPAL

2019 ◽  
Vol IV-5/W2 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
B. Bade ◽  
D. R. Gyawali ◽  
S. Timilsina
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Hydrological Regime ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Future Climate Change Scenario ◽  
Climate Change Assessment ◽  
Water Assessment

Abstract. This study details climate change assessment of the hydrological regime of Indrawati basin of Nepal. The study uses Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to delineate, discretize and parameterize the Indrawati basin to compute model’s input parameters. The model was then run for 1990–2014 to simulate the discharge at the outlet (Dholalghat). The coefficient of determination R2 and Nash-Sutcliffe (ENS) were used to evaluate model calibration and validation. The results found were satisfactory for the gauging station R2 = 0.951 and ENS = 0.901 for calibration and R2 = 0.937 and. ENS = 0.906 for validation. The calibrated hydrological model was run for the future climate change scenario using the RegCM4-LMDZ4 data and the relative changes with the baseline scenarios were analyzed. The comparison suggests that the historical trend of flow is decreasing at the rate of 0.55 m3/s per year. According to RegCM4-LMDZ4 simulations, the trend is going to continue but at a flatter rate. The decreasing trend is observed to be very less. The characteristic peak flow month in the historical scenario is August but the RegCM4-LMDZ4 led simulated flows suggest a shift in monthly peak to October suggesting decrease in monsoon flows and a subsequent significant increase in flows from October to January.

scholarly journals Prediction of erosion and sedimentation rates using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) method in the Jenelata Sub Watershed

2021 ◽  
Vol 886 (1) ◽  
pp. 012097
Author(s):  
Wahyuni ◽  
Andang Suryana Soma ◽  
Usman Arsyad ◽  
Riska Sariyani ◽  
Baharuddin Mappangaja
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Sedimentation Rates ◽  
Hydrologic Response ◽  
Model Soil ◽  
Hydrologic Response Unit ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Very High ◽  
Soil And Water

Abstract Erosion and sedimentation are problems that often occur in watershed ecosystems. The SWAT model (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) can be used to determine the output of a watershed’s performance. Jenelata sub-watershed area is one of the largest sub-watersheds of the Jeneberang watershed with 22.800 ha. This study aims to determine the spatial distribution of the hydrologic response unit (HRU) and analyze the rate of erosion and sedimentation in the Jenelata sub-watershed. The results showed that most HRUs are in secondary dryland forests with 447 HRU (19.09%). The level of erosion in the very light category, namely 5.74 ton/ha/year (37.53%) and light 34.71 ton/ha/year (27.76%), was in the villages of Moncongloe, Tana Karaeng, Sicini, Paladindang, Towata, Parang Lampoa, Manuju, and Buakkang. Meanwhile, moderate erosion was 104.07 ton/ha/year (23.92%), high 289.65 ton/ha/year (9.59%), and very high 553.74 ton/ha/year (1.20%) located in the villages of Pattallikang, Mangempang, Bontomanai, Bissoloro, Rannaloe, Jenebatu, and Sapaya. The largest sedimentation is 133.18 ton/ha/year in sub-watershed17, located in Bissoloro and Rannaloe villages.

scholarly journals Analisa Debit Andalan Pada Das Batang Arau Dengan Menggunakan Model Soil And Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Maryam Afifa ◽  
Afla Dina ◽  
Elvi Roza Syofyan ◽  
Wisafri -
Keyword(s):  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Primary Forest ◽  
Model Soil ◽  
Upstream Part ◽  
Hydrologic Response Unit ◽  
Water Catchment ◽  
The City ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Soil And Water

Batang Arau is one of the rivers that flows in the city of Padang, the upstream part of the Batang Arau watershed starting from the Lubuk Paraku river which is in the northeast of Padang City, with a water catchment area of 2,504 hectares which is Dr. Muhammad Hatta, Nature Reserve Area Barisan I and Arau downstream. The Batang Arau watershed has decreased its primary forest area due to the large number of additional settlements. The increase in residential area resulted in the land that was previously not waterproof. The mainstay discharge always increases in the rainy season and decreases in the dry season. The mainstay discharge in the Batang Arau watershed is calculated using the Fj Mock method. The Batang Arau watershed also knows the mainstay discharge that occurred in 2010, 2012 and 2018 using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The analysis was obtained from four processes, namely delineation of the watershed, the formation of the Hydrologic Response Unit (HRU), the formation of climatological data, and the simulation process. For the HRU analysis of the Batang Arau watershed, it was obtained 7 sub-watersheds, the dominant HRU, namely primary dryland forest, was 74.68%.

scholarly journals Climate Change Impacts on Reservoir Inflow in the Prairie Pothole Region: A Watershed Model Analysis

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 271 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ameer Muhammad ◽  
Grey R. Evenson ◽  
Fisaha Unduche ◽  
Tricia A. Stadnyk
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Prairie Pothole Region ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Prairie Pothole ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
The Impact

The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) is known for its hydrologically complex landscape with a large number of pothole wetlands. However, most watershed-scale hydrologic models that are applied in this region are incapable of representing the dynamic nature of contributing area and fill-spill processes affected by pothole wetlands. The inability to simulate these processes represents a critical limitation for operators and flood forecasters and may hinder the management of large reservoirs. We used a modified version of the soil water assessment tool (SWAT) model capable of simulating the dynamics of variable contributing areas and fill-spill processes to assess the impact of climate change on upstream inflows into the Shellmouth reservoir (also called Lake of the Prairie), which is an important reservoir built to provide multiple purposes, including flood and drought mitigation. We calibrated our modified SWAT model at a daily time step using SUFI-2 algorithm within SWAT-CUP for the period 1991–2000 and validated for 2005–2014, which gave acceptable performance statistics for both the calibration (KGE = 0.70, PBIAS = −13.5) and validation (KGE = 0.70, PBIAS = 21.5) periods. We then forced the calibrated model with future climate projections using representative concentration pathways (RCPs; 4.5, 8.5) for the near (2011–2040) and middle futures (2041–2070) of multiple regional climate models (RCMs). Our modeling results suggest that climate change will lead to a two-fold increase in winter streamflow, a slight increase in summer flow, and decrease spring peak flows into the Shellmouth reservoir. Investigating the impact of climate change on the operation of the Shellmouth reservoir is critically important because climate change could present significant challenges to the operation and management of the reservoir.

scholarly journals Analisa Pengaruh Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan terhadap DAS Batang Kuranji dengan Menggunakan Model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Annisa Fitriana Definnas ◽  
Rozy Fairuzza Reyandal ◽  
Elvi Roza Syofyan ◽  
Wisafri -
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Hydrological Process ◽  
Model Soil ◽  
Green Zone ◽  
Main Discharge ◽  
Hydrologic Response Unit ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Soil And Water

Batang Kuranji is one of six rivers that flow in the city of Padang, and is the main source of water for residents of Padang City to meet the raw water which is then processed into clean water and the needs of Mt. Nago irrigation water. The increase in population causes the population to move to a higher area (green zone). Batang Kuranji watershed has experienced a reduction in the area of forest land due to changes in land use activities by the population movement. As a result, land that was not watertight at first became watertight, the mainstay discharge or expected discharge is always available, always increasing during the rainy season and decreasing during the dry season. This study was conducted to determine the extent of land use change in the Batang Kuranji watershed, also to determine the main discharge that occurred in 2009, 2011, and 2017 using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The analysis consists of four processes, namely watershed delineation, formation of a Hydrologic Response Unit (HRU), formation of climatological data, and finally the simulation process. HRU analysis results obtained by Batang Kuranji watershed into 9 sub-watersheds, the dominant HRU is protection forest by 62%, soil type with depth (solum) level A and B, runoff coefficient of 0.3 and NS value obtained by 0.6. This shows that the SWAT model can predict the hydrological process in the upstream Batang Kuranji watershed. The most influential land use on surface runoff is land use for settlement.

scholarly journals SWAT Model Adaptability to a Small Mountainous Forested Watershed in Central Romania

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 860
Author(s):  
Nicu Constantin Tudose ◽  
Mirabela Marin ◽  
Sorin Cheval ◽  
Cezar Ungurean ◽  
Serban Octavian Davidescu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Metropolitan Area ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Forested Watershed ◽  
Sensitive Parameters ◽  
Lower Uncertainty ◽  
Validation Stage ◽  
Water Assessment

This study aims to build and test the adaptability and reliability of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool hydrological model in a small mountain forested watershed. This ungauged watershed covers 184 km2 and supplies 90% of blue water for the Brașov metropolitan area, the second largest metropolitan area of Romania. After building a custom database at the forest management compartment level, the SWAT model was run. Further, using the SWAT-CUP software under the SUFI2 algorithm, we identified the most sensitive parameters required in the calibration and validation stage. Moreover, the sensitivity analysis revealed that the surface runoff is mainly influenced by soil, groundwater and vegetation condition parameters. The calibration was carried out for 2001‒2010, while the 1996‒1999 period was used for model validation. Both procedures have indicated satisfactory performance and a lower uncertainty of model results in replicating river discharge compared with observed discharge. This research demonstrates that the SWAT model can be applied in small ungauged watersheds after an appropriate parameterisation of its databases. Furthermore, this tool is appropriate to support decision-makers in conceiving sustainable watershed management. It also guides prioritising the most suitable measures to increase the river basin resilience and ensure the water demand under climate change.

scholarly journals Application of SWAT in Hydrological Simulation of Complex Mountainous River Basin (Part II: Climate Change Impact Assessment)

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 1548
Author(s):  
Suresh Marahatta ◽  
Deepak Aryal ◽  
Laxmi Prasad Devkota ◽  
Utsav Bhattarai ◽  
Dibesh Shrestha
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Mountainous River

This study aims at analysing the impact of climate change (CC) on the river hydrology of a complex mountainous river basin—the Budhigandaki River Basin (BRB)—using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model that was calibrated and validated in Part I of this research. A relatively new approach of selecting global climate models (GCMs) for each of the two selected RCPs, 4.5 (stabilization scenario) and 8.5 (high emission scenario), representing four extreme cases (warm-wet, cold-wet, warm-dry, and cold-dry conditions), was applied. Future climate data was bias corrected using a quantile mapping method. The bias-corrected GCM data were forced into the SWAT model one at a time to simulate the future flows of BRB for three 30-year time windows: Immediate Future (2021–2050), Mid Future (2046–2075), and Far Future (2070–2099). The projected flows were compared with the corresponding monthly, seasonal, annual, and fractional differences of extreme flows of the simulated baseline period (1983–2012). The results showed that future long-term average annual flows are expected to increase in all climatic conditions for both RCPs compared to the baseline. The range of predicted changes in future monthly, seasonal, and annual flows shows high uncertainty. The comparative frequency analysis of the annual one-day-maximum and -minimum flows shows increased high flows and decreased low flows in the future. These results imply the necessity for design modifications in hydraulic structures as well as the preference of storage over run-of-river water resources development projects in the study basin from the perspective of climate resilience.

scholarly journals A Review of SWAT Model Application in Africa

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1313
Author(s):  
George Akoko ◽  
Tu Hoang Le ◽  
Takashi Gomi ◽  
Tasuku Kato
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Model Parameterization ◽  
Basin Scale

The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) is a well-known hydrological modeling tool that has been applied in various hydrologic and environmental simulations. A total of 206 studies over a 15-year period (2005–2019) were identified from various peer-reviewed scientific journals listed on the SWAT website database, which is supported by the Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD). These studies were categorized into five areas, namely applications considering: water resources and streamflow, erosion and sedimentation, land-use management and agricultural-related contexts, climate-change contexts, and model parameterization and dataset inputs. Water resources studies were applied to understand hydrological processes and responses in various river basins. Land-use and agriculture-related context studies mainly analyzed impacts and mitigation measures on the environment and provided insights into better environmental management. Erosion and sedimentation studies using the SWAT model were done to quantify sediment yield and evaluate soil conservation measures. Climate-change context studies mainly demonstrated streamflow sensitivity to weather changes. The model parameterization studies highlighted parameter selection in streamflow analysis, model improvements, and basin scale calibrations. Dataset inputs mainly compared simulations with rain-gauge and global rainfall data sources. The challenges and advantages of the SWAT model’s applications, which range from data availability and prediction uncertainties to the model’s capability in various applications, are highlighted. Discussions on considerations for future simulations such as data sharing, and potential for better future analysis are also highlighted. Increased efforts in local data availability and a multidimensional approach in future simulations are recommended.

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