scholarly journals Prediksi Pemakaian Listrik Kelompok Tarif Menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan dan ARIMA

Author(s):  
Silviani E Rumagit ◽  
Azhari SN

AbstrakLatar Belakang penelitian ini dibuat dimana semakin meningkatnya kebutuhan listrik di setiap kelompok tarif. Yang dimaksud dengan kelompok tarif dalam penelitian ini adalah kelompok tarif sosial, kelompok tarif rumah tangga, kelompok tarif bisnis, kelompok tarif industri dan kelompok tarif pemerintah. Prediksi merupakan kebutuhan penting bagi penyedia tenaga listrik dalam mengambil keputusan berkaitan dengan ketersediaan energi listik. Dalam melakukan prediksi dapat dilakukan dengan metode statistik maupun kecerdasan buatan.            ARIMA merupakan salah satu metode statistik yang banyak digunakan untuk prediksi dimana ARIMA mengikuti model autoregressive (AR) moving average (MA). Syarat dari ARIMA adalah data harus stasioner, data yang tidak stasioner harus distasionerkan dengan differencing. Selain metode statistik, prediksi juga dapat dilakukan dengan teknik kecerdasan buatan, dimana dalam penelitian ini jaringan syaraf tiruan backpropagation dipilih untuk melakukan prediksi. Dari hasil pengujian yang dilakukan selisih MSE ARIMA, JST dan penggabungan ARIMA, jaringan syaraf tiruan tidak berbeda secara signifikan. Kata Kunci— ARIMA, jaringan syaraf tiruan, kelompok tarif.  AbstractBackground this research was made where the increasing demand for electricity in each group. The meaning this group is social, the household, business, industry groups and the government fare. Prediction is an important requirement for electricity providers in making decisions related to the availability of electric energy. In doing predictions can be made by statistical methods and artificial intelligence.            ARIMA is a statistical method that is widely used to predict where the ARIMA modeled autoregressive (AR) moving average (MA). Terms of ARIMA is the data must be stationary, the data is not stationary should be stationary  use differencing. In addition to the statistical method, predictions can also be done by artificial intelligence techniques, which in this study selected Backpropagation neural network to predict. From the results of tests made the difference in MSE ARIMA, ANN and merging ARIMA, artificial neural networks are not significantly different. Keyword—ARIMA, neural network, tarif groups

The objective of this undertaking is to apply neural systems to phishing email recognition and assess the adequacy of this methodology. We structure the list of capabilities, process the phishing dataset, and execute the Neural Network frameworks. we analyze its exhibition against that of other real Artificial Intelligence Techniques – DT , K-nearest , NB and SVM machine.. The equivalent dataset and list of capabilities are utilized in the correlation. From the factual examination, we infer that Neural Networks with a proper number of concealed units can accomplish acceptable precision notwithstanding when the preparation models are rare. Additionally, our element determination is compelling in catching the qualities of phishing messages, as most AI calculations can yield sensible outcomes with it.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-10
Author(s):  
Hendry Fonda

ABSTRACT Riau batik is known since the 18th century and is used by royal kings. Riau Batik is made by using a stamp that is mixed with coloring and then printed on fabric. The fabric used is usually silk. As its development, comparing Javanese  batik with riau batik Riau is very slowly accepted by the public. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) is a combination of artificial neural networks and deeplearning methods. CNN consists of one or more convolutional layers, often with a subsampling layer followed by one or more fully connected layers as a standard neural network. In the process, CNN will conduct training and testing of Riau batik so that a collection of batik models that have been classified based on the characteristics that exist in Riau batik can be determined so that images are Riau batik and non-Riau batik. Classification using CNN produces Riau batik and not Riau batik with an accuracy of 65%. Accuracy of 65% is due to basically many of the same motifs between batik and other batik with the difference lies in the color of the absorption in the batik riau. Kata kunci: Batik; Batik Riau; CNN; Image; Deep Learning   ABSTRAK   Batik Riau dikenal sejak abad ke 18 dan digunakan oleh bangsawan raja. Batik Riau dibuat dengan menggunakan cap yang dicampur dengan pewarna kemudian dicetak di kain. Kain yang digunakan biasanya sutra. Seiring perkembangannya, dibandingkan batik Jawa maka batik Riau sangat lambat diterima oleh masyarakat. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) merupakan kombinasi dari jaringan syaraf tiruan dan metode deeplearning. CNN terdiri dari satu atau lebih lapisan konvolutional, seringnya dengan suatu lapisan subsampling yang diikuti oleh satu atau lebih lapisan yang terhubung penuh sebagai standar jaringan syaraf. Dalam prosesnya CNN akan melakukan training dan testing terhadap batik Riau sehingga didapat kumpulan model batik yang telah terklasi    fikasi berdasarkan ciri khas yang ada pada batik Riau sehingga dapat ditentukan gambar (image) yang merupakan batik Riau dan yang bukan merupakan batik Riau. Klasifikasi menggunakan CNN menghasilkan batik riau dan bukan batik riau dengan akurasi 65%. Akurasi 65% disebabkan pada dasarnya banyak motif yang sama antara batik riau dengan batik lainnya dengan perbedaan terletak pada warna cerap pada batik riau. Kata kunci: Batik; Batik Riau; CNN; Image; Deep Learning


10.14311/1121 ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Chvalina

This article analyses the existing possibilities for using Standard Statistical Methods and Artificial Intelligence Methods for a short-term forecast and simulation of demand in the field of telecommunications. The most widespread methods are based on Time Series Analysis. Nowadays, approaches based on Artificial Intelligence Methods, including Neural Networks, are booming. Separate approaches will be used in the study of Demand Modelling in Telecommunications, and the results of these models will be compared with actual guaranteed values. Then we will examine the quality of Neural Network models. 


1995 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 489-500 ◽  
Author(s):  
NAOHIRO ISHII ◽  
KEN-ICHI NAKA

Asymmetrical neural networks are shown in the biological neural network as the catfish retina. Horizontal and bipolar cell responses are linearly related to the input modulation of light, while amacrine cells work linearly and nonlinearly in their responses. These cells make asymmetrical neural networks in the retina. Several mechanisms have been proposed for the detection of motion in biological system. To make clear the difference among asymmetrical networks, we applied non-linear analysis developed by N. Wiener. Then, we can derive α-equation of movement, which shows the direction of movement. During the movement, we also can derive the movement equation, which implies that the movement holds regardless of the parameter α. By analyzing the biological asymmetric neural networks, it is shown that the asymmetric networks are excellent in the ability of spatial information processing on the retinal level. Then, the symmetric network was discussed by applying the non-linear analysis. In the symmetric neural network, it was suggested that memory function is needed to perceive the movement.


2016 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 918-929 ◽  
Author(s):  
A Manonmani ◽  
T Thyagarajan ◽  
M Elango ◽  
S Sutha

A greenhouse system (GHS) is a closed structure that facilitates modified growth conditions to crops and provides protection from pests, diseases and adverse weather. However, a GHS exhibits non-linearity due to the interaction between the biological subsystem and the physical subsystem. Non-linear systems are difficult to control, particularly when their characteristics change with time. These systems are best handled with methods of computation intelligence, such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and fuzzy systems. In the present work, the approximation capability of a neural network is used to model and control sufficient growth conditions of a GHS. An optimal neural network-based non-linear auto regressive with exogenous input (NARX) time series model is developed for a GHS. Based on the NARX model, two intelligent control schemes, namely a neural predictive controller (NPC) and non-linear auto regressive moving average (NARMA-L2) controller are proposed to achieve the desired growth conditions such as humidity and temperature for a better yield. Finally, closed-loop performances of the above two control schemes for servo and regulatory operations are analysed for various operating conditions using performance indices.


This chapter presents an introductory overview of the application of computational intelligence in biometrics. Starting with the historical background on artificial intelligence, the chapter proceeds to the evolutionary computing and neural networks. Evolutionary computing is an ability of a computer system to learn and evolve over time in a manner similar to humans. The chapter discusses swarm intelligence, which is an example of evolutionary computing, as well as chaotic neural network, which is another aspect of intelligent computing. At the end, special concentration is given to a particular application of computational intelligence—biometric security.


Author(s):  
Jay Rodge ◽  
Swati Jaiswal

Deep learning and Artificial intelligence (AI) have been trending these days due to the capability and state-of-the-art results that they provide. They have replaced some highly skilled professionals with neural network-powered AI, also known as deep learning algorithms. Deep learning majorly works on neural networks. This chapter discusses about the working of a neuron, which is a unit component of neural network. There are numerous techniques that can be incorporated while designing a neural network, such as activation functions, training, etc. to improve its features, which will be explained in detail. It has some challenges such as overfitting, which are difficult to neglect but can be overcome using proper techniques and steps that have been discussed. The chapter will help the academician, researchers, and practitioners to further investigate the associated area of deep learning and its applications in the autonomous vehicle industry.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Ning-Kang Pan ◽  
Chunwan Lv

Forecasting energy data, especially the primary energy requirement, is the key part of policy-making. For those territories of different developing types, seeking a knowledge-based and dependable forecasting model is an essential prerequisite for the prosperous development of policy-making. In this paper, both autoregressive integrated moving average and backpropagation neural network models which have been proved to be very efficient in forecasting are applied to the forecasts of the primary energy consumption of three different developing types of territories. It is shown that the average relative errors between the actual data and simulated value are from 4.5% to 5.9% by the autoregressive integrated moving average and from 0.04% to 0.47% by the backpropagation neural network. Specially, this research shows that the backpropagation neural network model presents a better prediction of primary energy requirement when considering gross domestic product, population, and the particular values as predictors. Furthermore, we indicate that the single-input backpropagation neural network model can still work when the particular values have contributed most to the energy consumption.


2018 ◽  
Vol 226 ◽  
pp. 04016
Author(s):  
Yuri G. Kabaldin ◽  
Dmitrii A. Shatagin ◽  
Pavel V. Kolchin

The method for optimizing control programs for CNC machines based on artificial intelligence approaches, in particular, the apparatus of artificial neural networks, is outlined. A neural network model of the dynamic stability of the cutting process is proposed, which makes it possible to simulate the dynamics of the cutting process using the CAM system.


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