scholarly journals Impact of banking institutions on national economy an empirical study of time series analysis in Pakistan

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 327-333
Author(s):  
Nouman Badar ◽  
Munib Badar

This paper examines the long and short term relationship of financial sector development on economic growth of Pakistan where development of financial sector is detected by the variables truly depicts the efficiency of financial sector i.e. Money Supply, size of Advances, Private sector Credit growth and Bank’s equity with economic growth which is pronounced by Gross Domestic Product in this study. Data of almost 22 years ranges from 1992 to 2013 of overall banking industry is taken to obtain results by employing Johnson and Jusellious co integration technique to detect long run association while Granger Casualty test is used to determine cause and effect relationship and to measure short term dynamics Vector Error correction model is used. The result shows that both long and short run relationship exists between growth of financial sector and economy of Pakistan.

2021 ◽  
pp. 003464462110256
Author(s):  
Dal Didia ◽  
Suleiman Tahir

Even though remittances constitute the second-largest source of foreign exchange for Nigeria, with a $24 billion inflow in 2018, its impact on economic growth remains unclear. This study, therefore, examined the short-run and long-run impact of remittances on the economic growth of Nigeria using the vector error correction model. Utilizing World Bank data covering 1990–2018, the empirical analysis revealed that remittances hurt economic growth in the short run while having no impact on economic growth in the long run. Our parameter estimates indicate that a 1% increase in remittances would result in a 0.9% decrease in the gross domestic product growth rate in the short run. One policy implication of this study is that Nigeria needs to devise policies and interventions that minimize the emigration of skilled professionals rather than depending on remittances that do not offset the losses to the economy due to brain drain.


Author(s):  
Febri Ramadhani ◽  
Muhammad Rizkan

Indonesia is a country that adheres to a dual banking system, namely conventional and Islamic Banking. The growth rate of Islamic banking in the last three years is higher than conventional banking. However, in total assets, Islamic banking is still far behind conventional banking. Therefore, it is necessary to study further the performance of Islamic banking reflected in its profitability. So, it becomes an alternative input in determining Islamic banking policies. This study aims to know the factors affecting the profitability (ROA) of Islamic Banking in Indonesia. The data used are the 2014-2020 monthly data in the amount of 79 data. The method used in this study is a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to determine the effect of long-run and short-run relationships. The results of the study showed that the long-run relationship of the NPF variable affected and was significant positive toward ROA, CAR affected and was significant negative toward ROA, while the inflation variable had a negative relationship and not significant toward ROA. The results of the short-run relationships showed that the NPF and CAR variables positively affected ROA, while the inflation variable did not significantly affect the ROA.


2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (12) ◽  
pp. 49-57
Author(s):  
TAIWO AKINLO

This study examined the causal relationship between insurance and economic growth in Nigeria over the period 1986-2010. The Vector Error Correction model (VECM) was adopted. The cointegration test shows that GDP, premium, inflation and interest rate are cointegrated when GDP is the edogeneous variable. The granger causality test reveals that there is no causality between economic growth and premium in short run while premum, inflation and interest rate Granger cause GDP in the long run which means there is unidirectional causality running from premium, inflation and interest rate to GDP. This means insurance contributes to economic growth in Nigeria as they provide the necessary long-term fund for investment and absolving risks.


Author(s):  
Hanan Naser

This study examines the economic and environmental impact of large financial developments in Bahrain from year 2006 to 2016. To do so, the relationship between energy consumption, oil prices, market shares, dividend yields, and economic growth has been investigated using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The key findings are summarized as follow: (1) Long run relationship exists between the suggested variables. (2) Both energy and financial markets are significant in the long run relationship, and positively affect the economic growth of Bahrain. (3) According to the estimated ECM term, the model is stable in the short run. (4) Decline in oil price has negative significant drawback on the economic growth of Bahrain. Accordingly, it is recommended that policy makers in Bahrain focuses on implement strong strategies that aim at encouraging investments in non-oil sectors without impeding energy sector or economic growth in order to move towards sustainability.


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bharat Ram Dhungana

<p>This paper examines the causality of economic growth and financial institutions with reference to Nepalese economy and determines whether financial institutions supports for economic growth or not. The empirical analysis shows that there is existence of long run association among the variables of gross domestic product (GDP), broad money (M2) and domestic credit to private sectors (DCPS). Moreover, vector error correction model (VECM) also suggests for the validity of the long run association among variables. The Granger causality and Wald statistics test do not find any short run causal relationship. The empirical result shows that there is a long-run association between financial institutions and economic growth of Nepal. Thus, a sound financial system helps to promote financial institutions in the country that supports for economic growth of the nation in the long run. The regulatory authority and financial institutions should accelerate financial reforms to improve the efficiency of financial system that helps to stimulate adequate capital formation and investment in the productive sectors.</p><p>Economic Literature Vol.12 2014: 56-68</p>


TRIKONOMIKA ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Dimas Bagus Wiranata ◽  
Masyhudi Muqorrobin

Using a neo-classical one-sector aggregate production where energy is used as one inputs, the paper develops a vector error-correction (VEC) model to test for the existence and direction of causality between output growth and energy consumption in Malaysia. Using the Johansen co-integration technique, the empirical findings indicate that the long-run movements of output and energy do not exist by one co-integrating vector. Then using a VEC specification, the short-run dynamics of the variables indicate that Granger-causality is not running in both directions between output growth and energy consumption. Hence, those findings conform the presence of “neutral hypothesis theory” which imply Malaysia’s economic growth is not dependent highly upon energy consumption, and energy cannot be considered as a limiting factor to output growth in Malaysia.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
SAIMA SHADAB

Abstract Using the Vector Error Correction Model and Toda-Yamamoto Causality approach, this paper investigates the short-run and long-run relationship between export diversification, physical and human capital, imports, and economic growth in the UAE. The study period in consideration is 1975-2017. The findings obtained from the VECM test confirm the existence of a significant long-run relationship between export diversification, imports, and economic growth in the UAE. Besides, the Toda Yamamoto Granger Causality test results reveal that imports Granger-cause UAE’s economic growth which proves the validity of the Import-Led Growth hypothesis for the UAE economy in the long-run. The results also confirm that a unidirectional causal relationship exists from export diversification to economic growth for the UAE. This finding indicates the success of the UAE economy in attaining economic diversification and reduction from oil-dependency.


2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (12) ◽  
pp. 2187-2207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shrutikeerti Kaushal ◽  
Amlan Ghosh

Purpose The importance of banking and insurance, as an important part of the financial system, has been well accepted in the growth literature. Acting as financial intermediaries they perform important functions that may contribute in economic growth. Addressing this issue, the purpose of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between banking, insurance and economic growth in India in the post-liberalized era when the private sector was allowed to operate banking and insurance business. Design/methodology/approach In order to find the long-run and short-run relationship between banking, insurance and economic growth, the study uses the VAR-vector error correction model (VECM) along with Granger causality test to explore any causal relationship. Findings The results indicate that there is the long-term relationship between banking, insurance and economic growth and the causality results show a bi-directional relationship between insurance activity and economic growth; however, banking is not granger cause of insurance or economic growth rather it is economic growth that cause banking development. Research limitations/implications The only limitation to the study is the non-availability of monthly figures of GDP. The study therefore, as suggested by RBI, uses monthly data set of Index of Industrial Production to measure economic growth. Practical implications The findings of the study give policy directions to the policymakers to make strategies that are conducive toward boosting development in insurance in order to achieve the targeted economic growth. Originality/value This work is the first attempt to study the conjoint relationship between banking, insurance and economic growth on the Indian economy after the reforms were initiated in the financial sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hendra Kesuma

The financial sector plays a very significant role in triggering the economic growth of a country and also became the locomotive of growth in the real sector through capital accumulation and technological innovation. High performance financial sector will result in increased economic growth instead of economic growth is not the main cause of the improvement in the performance of the financial sector. This study aims to examine the relationship of causality between financial sector and economic growth in Indonesia, where the financial sector in the show by the monetization ratio, the ratio of loans, demand deposits and savings. By using secondary data for the period 2000-2010, This research uses the analytical framework cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) between financial sector development and economic growth. The results showed that the financial sector indicated by the ratio of monetization, credit ratios, demand deposits and savings have no causal relationship with economic growth in Indonesia. Significant influence given variable demand deposits to economic growth. Instead of economic growth significantly affect the monetization and savings.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 98-102
Author(s):  
Farman M. Ahmed ◽  
Dlawar M. Hadi ◽  
Aso K. Ahmed

This paper examines the effects of economic growth, financial development, and trade openness on the environment quality measured by CO2 emissions over the period of 1965–2014 in the case of Egypt. In this study, the series were stationary at their first difference form, and thus, a long-run model was adopted using the vector error correction model technique. The results confirm that the variables are cointegrated, indicating the long-run relationship between the variables. The empirical findings reveal a negative influence of economic growth and financial effect of the previous period of CO2 emissions, these effects are not significant in the short run. Any deviations from the long-run equilibrium return quickly, representing 59% speed of adjustment. The study proposes new policy insights into reduce CO2 emissions, especially in the long run.


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