The Impact of Broadcast Campaigning on Electoral Outcomes

1975 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 769-793 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary C. Jacobson
Keyword(s):  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Active and passive: two ways party systems influence electoral outcomes

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 451-467
Author(s):  
Miroslav Nemčok
Keyword(s):  
Party System ◽  
Electoral Systems ◽  
Party Systems ◽  
Set Size ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Chapel Hill ◽  
Ideological Polarization ◽  
Two Factors ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Choice Set

AbstractParties can not only actively adjust the electoral rules to reach more favourable outcomes, as is most often recognized in political science, but they also passively create an environment that systematically influences electoral competition. This link is theorized and included in the wider framework capturing the mutual dependence of electoral systems and party systems. The impact of passive influence is successfully tested on one out of two factors closely related to party systems: choice set size (i.e., number of options provided to voters) and degree of ideological polarization. The research utilizes established datasets (i.e., Constituency-Level Elections Archive, Party System Polarization Index, Chapel Hill Expert Survey, and Manifesto Project Database) and via regression analysis with clustered robust standard errors concludes that the choice set size constitutes an attribute with passive influence over electoral systems. Thus, it must be reflected when outcomes of electoral systems are estimated or compared across various contexts.

Political Decentralization and Electoral Accountability: The Argentine Experience, 1983–2001

2005 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
FRANÇOIS GÉLINEAU ◽  
KAREN L. REMMER
Keyword(s):  
Public Support ◽  
Electoral Accountability ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Decentralized Decision Making ◽  
Public Resources ◽  
National Performance ◽  
Electoral Impact ◽  
Subnational Elections ◽  
The Impact

To what extent does public support for subnational officials fluctuate in response to local rather than national performance? Are the policy failures of subnational officials reliably punished by voters? Drawing upon both individual and aggregate level data, this article attempts to shed new light on these questions about the politics of decentralization by exploring electoral outcomes and public opinion at the subnational level in Argentina. Consistent with referendum voting models, this analysis suggests that the fate of candidates in both national and subnational elections is shaped by the performance of the incumbent presidential administration. Moreover, to the extent that subnational performance has an electoral impact, voters do not necessarily respond in ways that enhance electoral accountability. Voters not only blame and reward subnational officials for national performance, but also attribute responsibility for subnational performance to national authorities. The implications with respect to the impact of decentralized decision making on democratic accountability are decidedly mixed and anything but consistent with the argument that decentralization results in a closer match between citizen preferences and the allocation of public resources.

Morality Politics

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alesha Doan
Keyword(s):  
Political Science ◽  
Political Institutions ◽  
Science Research ◽  
The Political ◽  
Political Landscape ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Morality Politics ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Initial Research

The impact of morality conflicts on the political landscape is widespread. These debates have involved political institutions at every level of government, impacted electoral outcomes, shaped agendas, and occupied significant space in citizen discourses. However, despite the historical and modern regularity of these debates, scholars have been slow to consider belief-laden conflicts within the purview of political science research. This chapter explores the development of the morality politics literature. Attention is given to the initial research in this field, as well as the studies that refined and challenged several of the early assumptions underpinning morality politics scholarship.

scholarly journals Trust in information, political identity and the brain: an interdisciplinary fMRI study

2021 ◽  
Vol 376 (1822) ◽  
pp. 20200140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Moore ◽  
Sujin Hong ◽  
Laura Cram
Keyword(s):  
Political Identity ◽  
Information Source ◽  
Emotional Valence ◽  
Motivated Cognition ◽  
Related Information ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Fmri Study ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Brain

Misinformation has triggered government inquiries and threatens the perceived legitimacy of campaign processes and electoral outcomes. A new identity polarization has arisen between Remain and Leave sympathizers in the UK Brexit debate, with associated accusations of misinformation use. Competing psychological accounts of how people come to accept and defend misinformation pit self-reinforcing motivated cognition against lack of systematic reasoning as possible explanations. We harness insights from political science, cognitive neuroscience and psychology to examine the impact of trust and identity on information processing regarding Brexit in a group of Remain identifiers. Behaviourally, participants' affective responses to Brexit-related information are affected by whether the emotional valence of the message is compatible with their beliefs on Brexit (positive/negative) but not by their trust in the source of information. However, belief in the information is significantly affected by both (dis)trust in information source and by belief compatibility with the valence of the information. Neuroimaging results confirm this pattern, identifying areas involved in judgements of the self, others and automatic processing of affectively threatening stimuli, ultimately supporting motivated cognition accounts of misinformation endorsement. This article is part of the theme issue ‘The political brain: neurocognitive and computational mechanisms’.

scholarly journals Can a beautiful smile win the vote?

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Lena Masch ◽  
Anna Gassner ◽  
Ulrich Rosar
Keyword(s):  
Physical Attractiveness ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Potential Interaction ◽  
Hierarchical Regression ◽  
Emotional Facial Expressions ◽  
Electoral Success ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Candidate Characteristics ◽  
Recognition Software ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Several empirical studies have linked political candidates’ electoral success to their physical appearance. We reexamine the effects of candidates’ physical attractiveness by taking into account emotional facial expressions as measured by automated facial recognition software. The analysis is based on an observational case study of candidate characteristics in the 2017 German federal election. Using hierarchical regression modeling and controlling for candidates’ displays of happiness, consistent effects of physical attractiveness remain. The results suggest that a potential interaction effect between displays of happiness and attractiveness positively affects vote shares. The study emphasizes the importance of considering emotional expressions when analyzing the impact of candidate appearance on electoral outcomes.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Turnout among Ethnic Minority Voters

Intersections ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamás Kiss ◽  
István Gergő Székely ◽  
Gergő Barna
Keyword(s):  
Minority Group ◽  
Voting Behaviour ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Minority Community ◽  
Political Processes ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Two Populations ◽  
Micro Foundations

Our article investigates minority voting behaviour through an in-depth analysis of the case of Transylvanian Hungarians, one of the politically mobilised ethnic groups of post-communist Eastern Europe. Members of this minority community have overwhelmingly supported RMDSZ, a robust ethnic party, in each of the parliamentary (and other types of) elections following the regime change. We argue that both macro-political processes and the micro-foundations of voting behaviour should be analysed to properly understand the factors conducive to ethnic block voting. Our main focus is on micro-determinants; however, we also discuss some elements of the macro-political context. Without considering these factors we cannot account for the sustained ethnic mobilisation of the minority group in question. However, the main goal of this article is to provide a micro-level analysis of voting behaviour. We focus primarily on turnout, which is the most important determinant of electoral outcomes in the case under analysis. Our main empirical question is whether the impact of the main factors discussed in the theories of electoral turnout is similar in the case of minority (Transylvanian Hungarian) and national (Romanian) electorates. We conclude that social embeddedness has different effects on the two populations: namely, embeddedness measured through network density supports political mobilisation only in the case of the minority group.

EMERGENCE OF SOCIAL MEDIA AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY : A STUDY OF DELHI ASSEMBLY ELECTION 2013

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd. Safiullah ◽  
Pramod Pathak ◽  
Saumya Singh
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
Political Parties ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Popular Opinion ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
National Congress ◽  
The Impact

The electronic revolution has made Social media one of the important tools for advertisement in the election. Social media has become a potent tool of expressing opinion worldwide. Even in an emerging economy like India, its growing impact is discernible. Its rise in popularity has made political parties think of its use as a means of both gauging and creating public opinion. The Delhi assembly in 2013 is a case in point. The present study aims to examine the impact of social media on public opinion, its significance as a measure of popular opinion and how it predicts popular opinion with the help of an evaluation of popularity on Facebookand its relationship with electoral outcomes. For this research 4,500,000 likes ofFacebook fan pagefor the month of December 2013 were taken into consideration. And the Political parties namely Indian National Congress (INC), BhartityaJanta Party (BJP) and AamAdmi Party (AAP), contesting for Delhi Assembly election. Linear Regression analysis method was used to analyzes the secondary data, the result indicates that 'Facebooklikes' of political parties and votes gained by political parties in Delhi Assembly election 2013 are positively correlated.

The Impact of the Local Candidate in Canadian Federal Elections

1971 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 287-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Cunningham
Keyword(s):  
Religious Affiliation ◽  
Party Identification ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Total Vote ◽  
Local Candidate ◽  
The Impact

The impact of the local candidate in Canadian federal elections has received scant theoretical or empirical attention. Voting in Canada is usually accounted for in terms of party identification, party leader attraction, ethnicity, and religious affiliation. Possible local candidate influence on electoral outcomes is rarely considered systematically. An observer of British elections placed the average influence of the local candidate at about 10 per cent of the total vote. Morris Davis, in a study of a Halifax two-member constituency, states that the local candidate is responsible for at least 6 per cent of the vote

The impact of voters’ preference diversity on the probability of some electoral outcomes

2013 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
pp. 352-365 ◽  
Author(s):  
William V. Gehrlein ◽  
Issofa Moyouwou ◽  
Dominique Lepelley
Keyword(s):  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
The Impact

Examining the Impact of Electoral Competition and Endogenous Lobby Formation on Equilibrium Policy Platforms

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Deepti Kohli
Keyword(s):  
Group Formation ◽  
Campaign Contributions ◽  
Policy Choice ◽  
Fixed Cost ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Ideological Bias ◽  
Electoral Outcomes ◽  
Separable Preferences ◽  
Electoral Uncertainty ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis paper formulates a mathematical model that combines the dynamics of interest group formation with electoral politics, involving office-seeking and corrupt political candidates and voting population with well-defined policy as well as ideological preferences. The analysis provides several interesting insights into the factors affecting lobby membership, free-riding incentives of citizen-voters and aggregate monetary donations garnered by lobby groups. Besides this, the paper also explores the impact of the formation of distinct lobby groups, the presence of swing voters and the corrupt practices or financial embezzlement on the equilibrium policy choice of electoral contenders. The findings reveal that more honest spending of campaign donations by electoral contenders reduces both the size of the lobby (or membership) as well as aggregate campaign contributions in equilibrium. In contrast, a rise in the fixed cost of organization is found to augment lobby membership along with the total amount of campaign contributions. In addition, a reduction in the level of electoral uncertainty as well as a rise in the ideological or swing voter density is found to increase the effectiveness of campaign contributions in raising an electoral candidate’s perceived popularity and, therefore, a smaller lobby group with lower aggregate donations is deemed as sufficient in influencing electoral outcomes. Moreover, the results indicate that a lower utility difference derived by the citizen-voters when comparing the two electoral candidate’s policy choices translates into smaller dispersion of the voters’ ideological bias, and consequently results in an increase in the size of lobby groups and their corresponding aggregate donations. As regards the choice of equilibrium policy, evidence of full policy convergence is not found in the case when citizen-voters of the two groups have separable preferences. In addition, policy equilibrium for a more realistic case in which the two policy platforms exhibit strategic interaction by reacting to each other has also been estimated with the help of simulations. Finally, this paper helps in categorically deciphering the influence of the median voter effect (or the centripetal force) and the distinct centrifugal forces in the form of lobbying effect, swing voter effect and the financial embezzlement effect on the equilibrium policy choice by employing different parametric specifications of the model.

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