scholarly journals ANALISIS HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA,TINGKAT INFLASI, DAN HARGA SAHAM DENGAN KURS RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA SERIKAT DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 571
Author(s):  
Resti Junia Sari ◽  
Sri Ulfa Sentosa
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
United States Dollar ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The aim of this study is to see and analyze the relationship of causality between:1. The interest rate with IDR (Indonesian Rupiah) towards USD (United States Dollar). (2) the inflation rate with IDR towards USD (3) The stock prices with IDR towards UDS.This study was conducted by using qualitative with descriptive and associative, where the data was used secondary data in the form of time series from the year 2006, first quarter to the year 2016 first quarter that was obtained from the relevant institutions. To analyze the data, this study have used vector autoregressive (VAR) in order to see the relation between casuallity and variable.The finding has shown that the exchange rate and interest rate do not have a causal relationship rather than a unidirectional correlation, it means thatthe exchange rates ,both it is high or low, have no influence to interest rates  however the interest rates will give an effect to exchange rate movements. Moreover, the exchange rates as well as the inflation do not have a causal relationship even one-way relationship, thus the changes in inflation have no effects to exchange rate movements and vice versa. While the exchange rates along with stock prices do not have a causal relation but stock prices have a one-way connection with the exchange rate. By this, the exchange rate movements do not have a relation with stock price movements but movements in stock prices have a relation to exchange rate movements.

scholarly journals The Relationship between the Exchange Rate, Interest Rate and Inflation: The Case of Turkey

2020 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 259-275
Author(s):  
Ercan Özen ◽  
Letife Özdemir ◽  
Simon Grima
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Producer Price ◽  
United States Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate

The purpose of the study is to measure the effects of changes in exchange rates and interest rates on inflation and to determine which of the exchange rates or interest rates has a greater impact on inflation rate following the July 15, 2016 coup attempt in Turkey. Our expectation is that similar to most authors is to find that there is a long-term relationship between the inflation rates and both the exchange rate and interest rates and that the effect of the exchange rate on the Producer Price Index (PPI) is greater than that of the interest rates. Moreover, we expect to find a unidirectional causality relationship between the Interest Rate of Commercial Banks Credit (IRBC), Over Night Interest Rate (O/N) and United States Dollar (USD) and the PPI, but not between the IRBC, O/N, USD and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

scholarly journals Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Inflasi Dan Nilai Kurs Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perhotelan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Per Triwulannya Periode 2016-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Ratio Analysis ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates

scholarly journals EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE AND INTEREST RATES SBI RUPIAHS TO GAIN SHARE PT. INDOFOOD SUKSES MAKMUR TBK

2019 ◽  
pp. 28-40
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
The World ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Model Equations ◽  
Variable Exchange

This study aimed to determine the effect of exchange rate and interest rate SBI to simultaneously benefit the company's shares, determine the effect of the exchange rate to gain partial shares of the company and determine the effect of SBI interest rate of the company's stock price partially. The study was conducted at PT. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk. The data used for 4 years were taken monthly or as many as 48 data. The data is sourced from the website of Bank Indonesia, Foam Indonesia, and the World Investment Securities. Based on data analysis known that the variable exchange rates and interest rates SBI affect the company's stock gains simultaneously. Calculated F value of 16.943 with a significance of 0.00. The significance value of less than 0.05 is the value of alpha. R squared value of 43.0%. It means variable exchange rate and the SBI interest rate effect on profit shares of the company amounted to 43.0% while the rest influenced by other variables not included in the model equations. The exchange rate has no effect on the company's stock gains were studied. T value of 0.872 with a significance value of 0.388. The significance values greater than 0.05. R squared value of 1.6%. This value shows the effect of the exchange rate variable to stock gains of 1, 6% and the rest is influenced by other variables that are not included in the analysis tables. Variable SBI affects the profit shares of the company being investigated. T value of 4.498 with a significance value of 0.00. The significance value less than 0.05. R squared value of 30.5%. This value indicates the SBI variables influence on stock gains of 30.5% and the rest is influenced by other variables that are not included in the analysis tables.

scholarly journals The Role of Exchange Rates in the Stock Price Development of Chemical Companies in the Visegrad Four Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 117-129
Author(s):  
Jana Šimáková ◽  
Nikola Rusková
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Pharmaceutical Industry ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Chemical Companies ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The aim of the paper is to evaluate the effect of exchange rates on the stock prices of companies in the chemical industry listed on the stock exchanges in the Visegrad Four countries. The empirical analysis was performed from September 2003 to June 2016 on companies from the petrochemical and pharmaceutical industry. The effect of the exchange rate on stock prices is analyzed using Jorion’s approach on monthly data. In contrast to the selected petrochemical companies, the pharmaceutical companies did not use any hedging instruments in the tested period. The effect of the exchange rate on the stock price was proved only in the case of companies from the pharmaceutical industry. This suggests that exchange rate risk could be eliminated by using hedging instruments.

Exchange Rates and the Effectiveness of Actual and Oral Official Interventions: A Survey on Findings, Issues and Policy Implications

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1850213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nevin Cavusoglu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Consistent Finding ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
Exchange Markets

Monetary authorities of many open economies have been regularly intervening in foreign exchange markets for years to limit volatility in exchange rates and/or push exchange rates back to some desired level. Such interventions have taken the form of actual and oral official interventions. Review of studies investigating the effectiveness of interventions reveals one major issue, related to the assumption that interventions are mostly sterilized. This assumption might lead to unreliable results when changes in interest rates and interventions are both used as explanatory variables for exchange rates. One major consistent finding is that intervention has a significant but short-lasting effect on exchange rates. Studies have reached this conclusion by investigating whether intervention has been effective in turning around the exchange rate over the few days, weeks or months following intervention(s). Only a few studies have investigated and provided evidence that intervention has been effective in limiting long swings in exchange rates. Studies testing for the effectiveness of interventions specifically through the signaling channel also provide evidence on the importance of macroeconomic variables for exchange rates. The significance of official intervention and official communication for exchange rate movements combined with the importance of macroeconomic variables for exchange rates provide a role for official intervention and parity announcement to influence exchange rate movements and limit the magnitude of exchange rate swings.

scholarly journals The Stock Market and Exchange Rates in Five South Asian Countries

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Firmansyah Firmansyah ◽  
Shanty Oktavilia
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The composite price index and return of stocks are the important indicators, both as a measure of the company's portfolio performance, as well as an indicator of macroeconomic health and the aggregate investment. In addition, the stock prices are also influenced by macroeconomic variables and one of the most important is the exchange rates. The objective of this study is to determine the behavior of exchange rate affects the stock returns in Southeast Asia, pre and post of the 2008 world financial crisis. By employing the daily stock market return in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore more than seventeen years from 1 September 1999 to 31 March 2017, this study utilizes Engle-Granger error correction model and cointegration approach to investigate and compare the long and short run of the structural effect of the exchange rates on stock returns. To differentiate the behavior of variables between pre and post occurrence of 2008 world financial crisis, the estimation of the model is divided into two periods. This study finds that the exchange rate growth influence the stock returns in the long and short run, and proves that the cointegration between the two variables exist in all countries. The study has the implication that the exchange rate, which the one of the fundamental measures of a country's macroeconomic health, is an important determinant of influencing stock return, even its effects are responded by the stock return in one day.

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI, SUKU BUNGA DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP HARGA SSAHAM PERUSAHAAN SEKTOR PROPERTI DAN REAL ESTATE YANG TERCATAT DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fitri Ramadani
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Analysis Techniques ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Thepurpose of this research is to knowthe influence of inflation,interestrates, and the exchange rate of the rupiah against the stock price. This research wasconducted on 30 companies secto rproperty and real estatelisted onthe IndonesiastockexchangePeriod 2012 – 2014. Data analysis techniques used in research namely OLS (Ordinary Least Square)through the help of multiple software SPSS version 18.0. Research results indicate that simultaneous inflation, interest rates, the rupiah exchanger ateand effect on stock prices. Research partially indicate that inflation is not a negative and apositive effect against the stock price, while the negative effect of interest rates significantly to the stock price and the exchange rate of rupiah apositive significant effect against the stock price.

scholarly journals EFFECT OF RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE), DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO (DER) AND EXCHANGE RATE ON STOCK PRICE PT. INDOFOOD SUKSES MAKMUR TBK

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
LC Anang Zamiarto ◽  
Suharto Suharto ◽  
Budhi Suparningsih
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
The Exchange Rate

This study aimed to determine the effect of return on equity (ROE), debt to equity ratio (DER), the exchange rate on stock prices either partially or simultaneously. Data were taken from 2008 to 2016. The data were analyzed using with regression. The results showed that in partial return on equity (ROE), debt to equity ratio (DER) effect on stock prices and exchange rates partially no effect on stock prices. Variable return on return on equity (ROE), debt to equity ratio (DER) and the exchange rate simultaneously positive and significant effect on the stock price.

scholarly journals Asimetris Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Harga Saham Sektor Keuangan Periode 2013-2019

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 143-152
Author(s):  
Abdul Aziz
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Asymmetrical Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Asymmetrical Impact ◽  
Data Estimation

This paper examines the asymmetrical effect of the rupiah exchange rate on financial sector stock prices on the Indonesian stock exchange using the Non-Linear Autregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) method with monthly data. Estimation results show that interest rates and exchange rates affect the movement of stock prices in the financial sector, there is a long-term relationship between the exchange rate with financial sector stock prices, our results also show the asymmetrical impact of exchange rate variables on financial sector stock prices, we also find when the exchange rate is positive (appreciation ) the effect is lower than when the exchange rate is negative (depreciation).   Tulisan ini meneliti tentang efek asimetris kurs rupiah terhadap harga saham sektor keuangan di bursa efek Indonesia dengan menggunakan metode Non-Linier Autregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) dengan data bulanan.  Hasil estimasi menunjukkan bahwa  suku bunga dan kurs berpengaruh terhadap pergerakan harga saham sektor keuangan, terdapat hubungan jangka panjang antara kurs dengan harga saham sektor keuangan, hasil kami juga menunjukkan dampak asimetris variabel kurs terhadap harga saham sektor keuangan, kami juga menemukan ketika kurs positif (apresiasi) pengaruhnya lebih rendah dibandingkan saat kurs negative (depresiasi).

scholarly journals Financial Market Integration in Pakistan: Evidence Using Post-1999 Data

2006 ◽  
Vol 45 (4II) ◽  
pp. 1041-1053
Author(s):  
Ahmed M. Khalid ◽  
Gulasekaran Rajaguru
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Multinational Firms ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Goods Market ◽  
Pass Through

The recent wave of financial sector reforms and internationalisation in emerging markets has increased perceived interlinkages within various sectors of national financial markets. For example, the existence of a strong linkage between stock prices and exchange rates is a popular topic in academic research. Similarly, changes in stock prices and exchange rates are expected to influence movements in interest rates. A number of hypotheses suggest such a causal relationship. For instance, using a goods market approach, any changes in the value of currency would affect the competitiveness of multinational firms and hence influence stock prices [Dornbusch and Fischer (1980)]. Similarly, the hypotheses of ‘exchange rate pass-through’ and ‘interest rate pass-through’ suggest that changes in exchange rates and/or interest rates could affect stock prices. The portfolio balance model suggests that fluctuations in stock prices influence exchange rate changes.

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