Predictors of Loss To Follow Up and Mortality Among Children ?12 Years Receiving Anti Retroviral Therapy during the First Year at a Referral Hospital in Bali

Author(s):  
S. Juergens ◽  
A.A.S. Sawitri ◽  
I.W.G. Artawan Eka Putra ◽  
Tuti Parwati Merati

Background and purpose: Many HIV-infected children in Bali have started antiretroviral therapy (ART), but loss to follow up (LTFU) is a continuing concern, and the issue of childhood adherence is more complex compared to adults.Methods: This was a retrospective study among cohort of 138 HIV+ children on ART in Sanglah General Hospital, Denpasar, Bali from January 2010 to December 2015. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to describe incidence and median time to LTFU/mortality and Cox Proportional Hazard Model was used to identify predictors. Variables which were analysed were socio-demographic characteristics, birth history, care giver and clinical condition of the children.Results: Mean age when starting ARV therapy was 3.21 years. About 25% experienced LTFU/death by 9.1 month resulting in an incidence rate of 3.28 per 100 child month. The higher the WHO stage, the higher the risk for LTFU/mortality along with low body weight (AHR=0.90; 95%CI: 0.82-0.99).Conclusion: Clinical characteristics were found as predictors for LTFU/mortality among children on ART.

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 101
Author(s):  
Stefanie Juergens ◽  
Anak Agung Sagung Sawitri ◽  
Ketut Dewi Kumara Wati ◽  
I Wayan Gede Artawan Eka Putra ◽  
Tuti Parwati Merati

Background and purpose: Many HIV-infected children in Bali have started antiretroviral therapy (ART), but loss to follow up (LTFU) is a continuing concern, and the issue of childhood adherence is more complex compared to adults.Methods: This was a retrospective study among cohort of 138 HIV+ children on ART in Sanglah General Hospital, Denpasar, Bali from January 2010 to December 2015. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to describe incidence and median time to LTFU/mortality and Cox Proportional Hazard Model was used to identify predictors. Variables which were analysed were socio-demographic characteristics, birth history, care giver and clinical condition of the children. Results: Mean age when starting ARV therapy was 3.21 years. About 25% experienced LTFU/death by 9.1 month resulting in an incidence rate of 3.28 per 100 child month. The higher the WHO stage, the higher the risk for LTFU/mortality along with low body weight (AHR=0.90; 95%CI: 0.82-0.99). Conclusion:  Clinical characteristics were found as predictors for LTFU/mortality among children on ART.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Zhiying Yin ◽  
Canjie Zheng ◽  
Quanjun Fang ◽  
Xiaoying Gong ◽  
Guoping Cao ◽  
...  

Mumps is a vaccine-preventable disease caused by the mumps virus, but the incidence of mumps has increased among the children who were vaccinated with one-dose measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) in recent years. In this study, we analyzed the influence of different doses of mumps-containing vaccine (MuCV) against mumps using Cox-proportional hazard model. We collected 909 mumps cases of children who were born from 2006 to 2010 and vaccinated with different doses of MuCV in Quzhou during 2006-2018, which were all clinically diagnosed. Kaplan-Meier survival methods and Cox-proportional hazard model were used to estimate the hazard probabilities. Kaplan–Meier curves showed that the cumulative hazard of male and female has no difference; lower hazards were detected among those who were vaccinated with two-dose MuCV, born in 2006, and infected after supplementary immunization activities (SIA). Cox-proportional hazard regression suggested that onset after SIA, born in 2006, and vaccinated with two-dose MuCV were protective factors against infection even after adjusting for potential confounding effects. Our study showed that it was necessary to revise the diagnostic criteria of mumps and identify RT-PCR as the standard for mumps diagnosis in China. We suggested that routine immunization schedule should introduce two doses of MMR and prevaccination screening should be performed before booster immunization in vaccinated populations.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 747-758 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Balogh ◽  
Wojciech Kapelański ◽  
Hanna Jankowiak ◽  
Lajos Nagy ◽  
Sandor Kovacs ◽  
...  

Abstract The aim of this study was to compare the characteristics of the productive lifetime (PLT) of sows kept on two farms, from the aspect of reasons for culling. The study was based on data from animals from two breeding farms in Hungary, using the data of 3493 crossbred Dutch Large White and Dutch Landrace sows (DLW × DL) between their first farrowing until the time of culling (2006 and 2012). For six years, the annual culling rate for both farms averaged 45%. The most frequent reasons for removal on both farms were reproductive problems (40%, 51%), leg problems (29%, 23%) and mortality (19%, 15%). There was a significant difference between the distributions of reasons for culling on the two farms (χ2=41.7, P≤0.001). The distributions of reasons for culling differed in three periods of sow breeding (Farm A: χ2=264.7, P≤0.001; Farm B: χ2=511.1, P≤0.001). The percentage of main removal reasons decreased, whereas the frequency of culling due to age increased. Using survival analysis (Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model), significant differences were identified between the PLT of sows culled due to reproductive problems (P≤0.001), leg problems (P≤0.001) and old age (P≤0.001). Reproductive problems (HR: 1.34, P≤0.001) and leg problems (HR: 1.39, P≤0.001) were higher and culling due to old age (HR: 0.44, P≤0.001) was lower on Farm A compared to Farm B. There were no significant differences between the two farms in terms of mortality (HR: 0.99, P=0.923). Overall, the results can be useful for breeders of crossbred (DLW × DL) sow populations in more accurately defining their culling systems.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akito Nakagawa ◽  
Yoshio Yasumura ◽  
Chikako Yoshida ◽  
Takahiro Okumura ◽  
Jun Tateishi ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundComplicated pathophysiology makes it difficult to identify the prognosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). While plasma osmolality has been reported to have prognostic importance, mainly in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), its prognostic meaning for HFpEF has not been elucidated. MethodsWe prospectively studied 960 patients in PURSUIT-HFpEF, a multicenter observational study of acute decompensated HFpEF inpatients. We divided patients into three groups according to the quantile values of plasma osmolality on admission. During a follow-up averaging 366 days, we examined the primary composite endpoint of cardiac mortality or heart failure re-admission using Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and Cox proportional hazard testing. Results216 (22.5%) patients reached the primary endpoint. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis revealed that the highest quantile of plasma osmolality on admission (higher than 300.3 mOsm/kg) was significantly associated with adverse outcomes (Log-rank P = 0.0095). Univariable analysis in the Cox proportional hazard model also revealed significantly higher rates of adverse outcomes in the higher plasma osmolality on admission (hazard ratio [HR] 7.29; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.25–23.92, P = 0.0009). Multivariable analysis in the Cox proportional hazard model also showed that higher plasma osmolality on admission was significantly associated with adverse outcomes (HR 4.70; 95% CI 1.33–17.35, P = 0.0160) independently from other confounding factors such as age, gender, comorbid of atrial fibrillation, hypertension history, diabetes, malnutrition, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide elevation. ConclusionsHigher plasma osmolality on admission was prognostically important for acute decompensated HFpEF inpatients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhuoming Zhou ◽  
Mengya Liang ◽  
Suiqing Huang ◽  
Rennan Weng ◽  
Jian Hou ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundCardiac surgery is associated with a specific inflammatory response. The lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) has been shown to be related to the prognosis of many cardiovascular diseases. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the preoperative LMR in patients who underwent cardiac surgery.MethodsClinical data were extracted from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III database. The optimum cutoff value of the LMR for 4-year mortality was determined by X-tile software. The Cox proportional hazard model was applied for the identification of independent prognostic factors of 4-year mortality. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed. The 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was performed to balance the influence of selection bias and potential confounding factors.ResultsA total of 1701 patients were included. The X‐tile software indicated that the optimum cutoff value of the LMR for 4-year mortality was 3.58. After PSM, 489 pairs of score-matched patients were generated. The Cox proportional hazard model showed that patients with an LMR < 3.58 had a significantly higher 4-year mortality than patients with an LMR ≥ 3.58 in the entire cohort (HR = 1.925, 95%CI: 1.509-2.456, p < 0.001) and the PSM subset (HR = 1.568, 95%CI: 1.2-2.05, p = 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with an LMR < 3.58 had a significantly lower 4-year survival rate in the entire cohort (71.7% vs. 88.5%, P < 0.001) and the PSM subset (73.2% vs. 81.4%, P = 0.002).ConclusionsA lower LMR (< 3.58) was associated with a higher risk of 4-year mortality and can potentially predict the long-term mortality of cardiac surgery patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (10) ◽  
pp. 1337-1342
Author(s):  
Y. Peng ◽  
B. Yu ◽  
D. G. Kong ◽  
Y. Y. Zhao ◽  
P. Wang ◽  
...  

AbstractHand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) is an acute infectious disease caused by serotypes of the enterovirus (EV) family. HFMD reinfection occurs commonly in lack of cross-protection between different EV serotypes. In this study, we investigated the hazards of HFMD reinfection using Cox-proportional hazard model. Retrospective data of 95 209 HFMD cases in Wuhan during 2008–2015 was used. Kaplan–Meier survival methods and Cox-proportional hazard model were used to estimate the hazard probabilities. Of the all HFMD cases, about 2% experienced reinfection (1842/95 209). Kaplan–Meier curves revealed the reinfection risk sharply increased before 40 months from first infection. Higher hazards of reinfection were detected among those who were males, aged 3 years and below, scattered children, belonging to urban areas and first infected with coxsackievirus (CV)-A16 compared with their respective counterparts. Cox-proportional hazard model suggested that gender, age, group, living area and serotypes of first infection had significant effect on reinfection even after adjusting for potential confounding effects of other selected factors considered in the study. These results indicate that boys aged 3 years and below, especially those living in urban areas and first infected with CV-A16 are more prone to reinfection. Interventions should be imposed on these high-risk populations.


Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 118 (21) ◽  
pp. 4727-4727
Author(s):  
Xiao Shuai ◽  
Ting Liu ◽  
Ting Niu ◽  
Hong Chang ◽  
Jianjun Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 4727 Hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a rare but potentially life-threatening condition. HLH can be classified as primary one and secondary one (sHLH). sHLH is an aetiologically heterogeneous entity, including infection (infection-associated HLH, IHLH), malignancy (malignancy-associated HLH, MHLH), and connective tissue disease (CTD). The majority of previous cases in the literature are paediatric HLH. Published data on HLH in adults are limited. In addition, present clinical data are mostly from western countries and Japan. There are few studies of HLH in China. Here, we present a retrospective study of 56 adult HLH patients in a single institute of China, to evaluate the underlying causes, clinical features, medical intervention, outcome and prognosis of HLH in the Chinese adult population. We searched the hospital registry and identified 56 consecutive patients diagnosed as HLH in our institute, between Jun 2008 and Jun 2011. The diagnosis of HLH was based on the HLH-04 criteria. We retrospectively collected data on demographics, etiology, clinical features, laboratory tests, treatment and outcome. SPSS 13.0 software was used for statistical analysis. The Mann-Whitney test was used to compare variables. Curves for overall survival were plotted according to Kaplan-Meier test, and compared by log-rank test. Prognostic factors were determined by Cox proportional hazard model. The median age at diagnosis was 34 (range, 14–83 years). The male to female ratio was 1.95:1. Regarding etiologies, 43 patients (76.8%) were MHLH, 4 patients (7.1%) were IHLH, 1 patient (1.8%) had CTD, and for the remaining 8 patients (14.3%) the underlying cause could not be determined. Of the 43 cases of MHLH, 23 patients (53.5%) had Mature T- and NK-cell neoplasms; 10 patients (23.2%) had mature B-cell neoplasms; 1 patients (2.3%) had B lymphoblastic leukaemia; 2 patients (4.7%) had Hodgkin lymphomas, and the remaining 7 patients (16.3%) had unclassified hematological malignancies. The clinical characteristics and laboratory findings were summarized in Table. 1, and compared with literature (GE Janka, 2007) our patients had lower triglycerides and higher ferritin levels. The median time from symptoms to diagnosis was 1.4 months (range, 0.1–24.0 months), the median time from admission to diagnosis was 2 days (range, 0–30 days). Interestingly, patients admitted to departments other than the hematology department had significantly longer time for diagnosis (16 versus 2 days, P<0.001). Most patients were treated with HLH-04 based therapy, including steroid (54/56, 96.4%), cyclosporine (36/56, 64.3%), and etoposide (29/56, 51.8%). In MHLH patients, 19/43 patients (44.2%) received chemotherapy. Infection complicated the course in 45/56 (80.4%) patients. The median follow-up time of the survived patients was 300 days (range, 63–825 days). Seven patients lost follow-up, 38 patients died, 11 patients survived. The median survival time was 28 days (range, 0–825 days). The modality rate was 67.9%, and the major cause of death was multiple organs failure. MHLH had significantly shorter survival time than non-malignancy HLH (P=0.05, Figure 1). Cox proportional hazard model indicated that age, hypoalbuminemia and hypofibrinogenemia were the risk factors of poor prognosis.Table 1.Main clinical features and lab tests of the 56 patientsN(%)MedianRangeClinical featuresFever56 (100.0)NANANeurological symptom11 (19.6)NANASplenomegaly51 (91.1)NANALaboratory TestsHemoglobin (g/dL)42 (75.0)8.34.8–12.2Platelet count (per mm3)54 (96.4)27,0002,000–289,000Neutrophils count (per mm3)32/55 (58.2)90030–15,7300Triglycerides (mmol/L)23 (41.1)2.511.02–8.05Albumin (g/L)54 (96.4)26.315.0–37.0Fibrinogen (g/L)36 (64.3)1.300.50–5.85Ferritin (ng/mL)40/41 (97.6)>2000.0373.0->2000.0Hemophagocytosis42/54 (77.8)NANAEBV infection24/34 (70.6)NANANA indicates not applicable; EBV, Epstein-Barr virus.Figure 1.Overall Survival of Patients with MHLH and non-MHLHFigure 1. Overall Survival of Patients with MHLH and non-MHLH Our study reveals that three-quarter causes of adult HLH in our institute are malignancies, especially T/NK-cell neoplasms, co-infection with EBV is common. Age, albumin and fibrinogen levels are the most important factors for prognosis. More educational and research work about HLH should be conducted in developing countries. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2019 ◽  
Vol 82 (4) ◽  
pp. 357-371
Author(s):  
Magdalena Kosińska ◽  
Grażyna Liczbińska ◽  
Rajesh K. Gautam ◽  
Pragya Dubey ◽  
Ajay Kumar Ahirwar ◽  
...  

Abstract We assessed the impact of socio-economic factors on age at menarche among the adolescent female population from the state of Madhya Pradesh, Central India. Records such as date of birth, chronological age, caste affiliation, size of place of residence, parents’ level of education and occupation, number of siblings, body height and weight, and age at menarche were collected for 330 students of A Central University, Sagar. The impact of socio-economic factors on age at menarche was analysed using analysis of variance. To establish the probability of menarche occurrence at a given age, time-to-event analysis was carried out using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test for curve comparison. The association between probability of attaining menarche and the independent variables was investigated using Cox proportional-hazard model. ANOVA and the Kaplan-Meier curves showed statistically significant differences in age at menarche according to size of the place of residence, number of siblings, parental level of education, father’s occupation and females’ BMI. The Cox proportional hazard model revealed that father’s occupation was the strongest factor affecting age at menarche among all SES characteristics under study. Irrespective of rapid economic progress over the past few decades, Indian society is still patriarchal with societal male dominance. This translates into participation of fewer women in the paid workforce and labour market, their lower wage rates and smaller contribution to the household budget compared to their male counterparts.


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 262-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Hao Xue ◽  
Yu-Shin Peng ◽  
Hsin-Fu Ting ◽  
Jason Peijer Hsieh ◽  
Yu-Kai Huang ◽  
...  

Introduction: This population-based cohort study investigates the association between osteoarthritis (OA) and dementia as well as the connection between NSAIDs and dementia. Methods: We chose the samples from the Taiwan Longitudinal Health Insurance Database and then divided them into two groups, which were then matched 1: 1 by propensity score. The first group was the OA group that contained patients with newly diagnosed OA and the second group was the non-OA group. We used the χ2 test, Student t test, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Cox proportional hazard model for different purposes. Results: The prevalence of dementia in the OA group was higher than that in the non-OA group. The adjusted hazard ratio of the former was 1.42 (95% CI, 1.30–1.54). We also found that etoricoxib and diclofenac might reduce the incidence of dementia. Conclusion: Patients with OA might have a higher risk of dementia. Both etoricoxib and diclofenac might lower the risk of dementia in patients with OA.


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