Assessment of Russian non-financial companies' systemic risk in financial stability monitoring

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 724-743
Author(s):  
M.V. Parfenova ◽  
N.A. L'vova

Subject. The article addresses the issues of financial stability monitoring as part of macroprudental supervision and regulation. The study concerns non-financial companies as a source of systemic risk for the national financial system. There are a lot of discussions about monitoring of systemically important borrowers under the auspices of the Russian Regulator. Objectives. Research is aimed at developing a methodology for assessing the systemic risk of Russian non-financial companies. Methods. We propose a set of indicators to assess the systemic risk derived from non-financial companies in Russia. The sample of indicators corresponds with the leading international practice and available data. The dynamic analysis of the sampled indicators should be conducted. We should focus on separate indicators and for a comprehensive view using a new composite indicator of systemic risk. Results. We devised a methodology for assessing the systemic risk of Russian non-financial companies. The relevance of the methodology was proved with empirical data. The sample includes 3,766 companies per year. The proposed indicators were proved to reflect an adequate change in the tested period (the year before, during and after financial instability). Conclusions and Relevance. Our methodology contributes to the current scientific discussion on new directions for assessing the financial stability. The results can be applied to the analytical practice, including the macroprudential supervision and regulation.

2012 ◽  
pp. 32-47
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin ◽  
V. Kuznetsova

The paper analyzes central banks macroprudencial policy and its instruments. The issues of their classification, option, design and adjustment are connected with financial stability of overall financial system and its specific institutions. The macroprudencial instruments effectiveness is evaluated from the two points: how they mitigate temporal and intersectoral systemic risk development (market, credit, and operational). The future macroprudentional policy studies directions are noted to identify the instruments, which can be used to limit the financial systemdevelopment procyclicality, mitigate the credit and financial cycles volatility.


2018 ◽  
Vol 78 (2) ◽  
pp. 319-357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael D. Bordo

This article surveys the co-evolution of monetary policy and financial stability for a number of countries from 1880 to the present. Historical evidence on the incidence, costs, and determinants of financial crises (the most extreme form of financial instability), combined with narratives on some famous financial crises, suggests that financial crises have many causes, including credit-driven asset price booms, which have become more prevalent in recent decades, but in general financial crises are very heterogeneous and hard to categorize. Moreover, evidence shows that the association across the country sample between credit booms, asset price booms, and serious financial crises is quite weak.


Author(s):  
Nataliia Danik ◽  
Kateryna Novak ◽  
Anastasiia Yakovenko

The article covers the problems of the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine during 2018-2021, as one of the main sectors of the financial market and the national economy as a whole. When analyzing the state of the banking sector, regularities and general trends in the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine have been established, and appropriate calculations have been made. The impact of global financial crises on the activities of banking structures, which must operate in conditions of constant financial instability, is described. Today, the whole world, including Ukraine, is on the verge of a global financial and economic crisis. This raises the question of whether Ukrainian banks have the necessary margin of resilience to vulnerabilities to the financial and economic crisis. In recent years, the functioning and development of the banking system has been characterized by increased financial stability, the level of bank capitalization, liquidity, some improvement in asset quality, reducing risks in banking, as well as the presence of positive structural changes. Today, Ukraine's banking system operates in a complex socio-economic and legal environment, most of which - macroeconomic instability, irrational structure of the industrial complex, the crisis of science and technology, imperfect fiscal and monetary policy, low level of effective demand - complicate sustainable development banking sector and increase competitiveness. In conditions of instability, intensification of turbulent processes, the development of the banking system requires new innovative approaches to determining the mechanisms of effective functioning and stable development based on a system-synergetic approach, which led to the choice and relevance of the chosen topic of this scientific article. Efficiency of banks is a multicomponent, multifaceted, multidimensional system characteristic that depends on many factors and is an effective indicator of performance of functions and achievement of goals and objectives of banks development provided financial stability based on financial stability and dynamic balance, achievement of multiplicative and synergistic effects.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 195-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Hodula ◽  
Lukáš Pfeifer

Abstract In this paper, we shed some light on the mutual interplay of economic policy and the financial stability objective. We contribute to the intense discussion regarding the influence of fiscal and monetary policy measures on the real economy and the financial sector. We apply a factor-augmented vector autoregression model to Czech macroeconomic data and model the policy interactions in a data-rich environment. Our findings can be summarized in three main points: First, loose economic policies (especially monetary policy) may translate into a more stable financial sector, albeit only in the short term. In the medium term, an expansion-focused mix of monetary and fiscal policy may contribute to systemic risk accumulation, by substantially increasing credit dynamics and house prices. Second, we find that fiscal and monetary policy impact the financial sector in differential magnitudes and time horizons. And third, we confirm that systemic risk materialization might cause significant output losses and deterioration of public finances, trigger deflationary pressures, and increase the debt service ratio. Overall, our findings provide some empirical support for countercyclical fiscal and monetary policies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (54) ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoria V. Kovalenko ◽  

In the article, the author considers the main aspects of the impact of goodwill on the financial stability of banks. It is substantiated that among the numerous threats that lead to financially unstable development of the banking business, a special place should be given to the support of banks’ business reputation. The main reasons are the phenomena of financial instability caused not only by the cyclical development of the economy, but also the ability to take into account a certain state in which the financial system is able to: effectively allocate resources, assess and manage financial risks, absorb shocks. It is proved that the relationship between business reputation and financial stability is determined by the characteristics of the conceptual apparatus; the system of risks to which they are exposed in the course of their activities; methodical approaches to assessing their level. The author concludes that the key challenges for the banking business in the context of digital transformation should be considered from the standpoint of customer interests, from the standpoint of investors (owners) of the banking business and from the standpoint of the regulator. In today’s realities, when the systemic banking crisis has imposed on a large-scale economic, the decisive factor for success and continued activity in the market is the quality of business reputation. The methods of quantitative assessment of the bank’s business reputation include balance-normative, methods of additional and excess profits, methods of royalties and residual value, the method of rating and comprehensive assessment. It is proved that the level of business reputation is related to the life cycle of banks, which includes the stages of formation, growth, maturity and decline. Measures to ensure business reputation depending on the stage of development of the bank are considered. Both the business reputation and financial stability are affected by the established image of the bank. The article states that a positive image is able to maintain the bank in times of financial instability. It is determined that depending on the group of users (non-financial corporations, households, government agencies or social organizations) the image of the bank should be different and meet all requirements.It is determined that a modern bank is not only an institution of the financial market, but also a financial institution for which social role and reputation in social and economic relations become the primary criteria for ensuring their competitive position.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (6(J)) ◽  
pp. 42-49
Author(s):  
Nolungelo Cele ◽  
Kapingura FM

The importance of financial liberalization is well documented in the literature. However, there has been an emergency of studies, which indicate that this can be another channel through which financial instability is generated in the domestic economy. Utilising data from four SADC countries, the empirical findings show that financial reforms are positively related to financial instability in almost all the specifications. The empirical results further revealed that financial instability intensifies in the face of a financial crisis. The result suggests that financial liberalization can therefore be another source of financial instability in the region. The empirical results imply that though policymakers should liberalise the financial system, policies aimed at maintaining financial stability should also be promoted.


2011 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-213 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. M. Lastra

2015 ◽  
Vol 62 (s1) ◽  
pp. 29-36
Author(s):  
Ion Pârţachi ◽  
Eugeniu Gârlă

Abstract Difficulties related to the problem of evaluating the economic security / insecurity, including the threshold of economic security / insecurity, namely the impossibility of giving an analytical description of a criterion entirely made up of a set of indicators describing the degree of economic security / insecurity, makes more and more researchers, including the authors, to seek indirect ways of finding solutions, for example considering systemic risk., as a measure of evaluation. Thus, starting from a new approach, and given the specific components of systemic risk to financial stability: the banking sector, corporate sector, public sector, volume of credits, economic activity index the threshold vector of economic security / insecurity can be developed. The study shows that systemic risk can be used to measure the threshold of economic security /insecurity.


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