Machine Learning as Accelerating Tool in Remote Operation Realisation through Monitoring Oil and Gas Equipments and Identifying its Failure Mode

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Naufal Naufal ◽  
Samy Abdelhamid Samy ◽  
Nenisurya Hashim Nenisurya ◽  
Zaharuddin Muhammad Zaharuddin ◽  
Eddy Damsuri Eddy ◽  
...  

Abstract Equipment failure, unplanned downtime operation, and environmental damage cost represent critical challenges in overall oil and gas business from well reservoir identification and drilling strategy to production and processing. Identifying and managing the risks around assets that could fail and cause redundant and expensive downtime are the core of plant reliability in oil and gas industry. In the current digital era; there is an essential need of innovative data-driven solutions to address these challenges, especially, monitoring and diagnosis of plant equipment operations, recognize equipment failure; avoid unplanned downtime; repair costs and potential environmental damage; maintaining reliable production, and identifying equipment failures. Machine learning-artificial intelligence application is being studied to develop predictive maintenance (PdM) models as innovative analytics solution based on real-data streaming to get to an elevated level of situational intelligence to guide actions and provide early warnings of impending asset failure that previously remained undetected. This paper proposes novel machine learning predictive models based on extreme learning/support vector machines (ELM-SVM) to predict the time to failure (TTF) and when a plant equipment(s) will fail; so maintenance can be planned well ahead of time to minimize disruption. Proper visualization with deep-insights (training and validation) processes of the available mountains of historian and real-time data are carried out. Comparative studies of ELM-SVM techniques versus the most common physical-statistical regression techniques using available rotating equipment-compressors and time-failure mode data. Results are presented and it is promising to show that the new machine learning (ELM-SVM) techniques outperforms physical-statistics techniques with reliable and high accurate predictions; which have a high impact on the future ROI of oil and gas industry.

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4776 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pier Francesco Orrù ◽  
Andrea Zoccheddu ◽  
Lorenzo Sassu ◽  
Carmine Mattia ◽  
Riccardo Cozza ◽  
...  

The demand for cost-effective, reliable and safe machinery operation requires accurate fault detection and classification to achieve an efficient maintenance strategy and increase performance. Furthermore, in strategic sectors such as the oil and gas industry, fault prediction plays a key role to extend component lifetime and reduce unplanned equipment thus preventing costly breakdowns and plant shutdowns. This paper presents the preliminary development of a simple and easy to implement machine learning (ML) model for early fault prediction of a centrifugal pump in the oil and gas industry. The data analysis is based on real-life historical data from process and equipment sensors mounted on the selected machinery. The raw sensor data, mainly from temperature, pressure and vibrations probes, are denoised, pre-processed and successively coded to train the model. To validate the learning capabilities of the ML model, two different algorithms—the Support Vector Machine (SVM) and the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)—are implemented in KNIME platform. Based on these algorithms, potential faults are successfully recognized and classified ensuring good prediction accuracy. Indeed, results from this preliminary work show that the model allows us to properly detect the trends of system deviations from normal operation behavior and generate fault prediction alerts as a maintenance decision support system for operatives, aiming at avoiding possible incoming failures.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afungchwi Ronald Ngwashi ◽  
David O. Ogbe ◽  
Dickson O. Udebhulu

Abstract Data analytics has only recently picked the interest of the oil and gas industry as it has made data visualization much simpler, faster, and cost-effective. This is driven by the promising innovative techniques in developing artificial intelligence and machine-learning tools to provide sustainable solutions to ever-increasing problems of the petroleum industry activities. Sand production is one of these real issues faced by the oil and gas industry. Understanding whether a well will produce sand or not is the foundation of every completion job in sandstone formations. The Niger Delta Province is a region characterized by friable and unconsolidated sandstones, therefore it's more prone to sanding. It is economically unattractive in this region to design sand equipment for a well that will not produce sand. This paper is aimed at developing a fast and more accurate machine-learning algorithm to predict sanding in sandstone formations. A two-layered Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with back-propagation algorithm was developed using PYTHON programming language. The algorithm uses 11 geological and reservoir parameters that are associated with the onset of sanding. These parameters include depth, overburden, pore pressure, maximum and minimum horizontal stresses, well azimuth, well inclination, Poisson's ratio, Young's Modulus, friction angle, and shale content. Data typical of the Niger Delta were collected to validate the algorithm. The data was further split into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%). Statistical analyses of the data yielded correlations between the parameters and were plotted for better visualization. The accuracy of the ANN algorithm is found to depend on the number of parameters, number of epochs, and the size of the data set. For a completion engineer, the answer to the question of whether or not a well will require sand production control is binary-either a well will produce sand or it does not. Support vector machines (SVM) are known to be better suited as the machine-learning tools for binary identification. This study also presents a comparative analysis between ANN and SVM models as tools for predicting sand production. Analysis of the Niger Delta data set indicated that SVM outperformed ANN model even when the training data set is sparse. Using the 30% test set, ANN gives an accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 - Score of about 80% while the SVM performance was 100% for the four metrics. It is then concluded that machine learning tools such as ANN with back-propagation and SVM are simple, accurate, and easy-to-use tools for effectively predicting sand production.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (4) ◽  
pp. 160-175
Author(s):  
Anna Popova

The author studies environmental insurance in nature management as a lever of management measures to prevent and eliminate environmental pollution by oil products during their transportation and oil fields development. The research aims to develop recommendations for environmental risks insurance in Russian oil and gas industry on the basis of economic and mathematical model that allows to estimate the scale of environmental pollution by oil products. Such methods as system and comparative analysis, expert assessments, forecasting, modeling used in this work helped the author to identify Russian environmental insurance features; to propose a method for solving the problem concerning the lack of statistical data on the frequency and scale of accidents and the environmental damage magnitude by mathematical modeling of the accident, which allows to estimate the radius and depth of the underlying surface pollution. These developments will help insurers to make more adequate insurance premiums and tariffs, as well as to improve the underwriting procedure for unique oil and gas projects. But in order for the obtained achievements to find their application, it is necessary to have legislation obliging oil companies to compensate for environmental damage, and due to the scale of such damage, oil companies will be obliged to insure the relevant risks.


1990 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 171
Author(s):  
Albert J. Hudec ◽  
Joni R. Paulus

As the environmental law regime in Alberta becomes increasingly detailed and stringent, participants in the oil and gas industry will face greater liability arising from environmental damage. This paper reviews the current provincial environmental regulatory structure as it applies to the oil and gas industry. Prospective developments in the law are also considered. The drafting of operating agreements, sale of oil and gas assets, and the liability of subsequent users are discussed in this context. Insurance coverage for environmental damage and the liability of lenders are also examined.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajeev Ranjan Sinha ◽  
Supriya Gupta ◽  
Praprut Songchitruksa ◽  
Saniya Karnik ◽  
Amey Ambade

Abstract Electrical Submersible Pump (ESP) systems efficiently pump high volumes of production fluids from the wellbore to the surface. They are extensively used in the oil and gas industry due to their adaptability, low maintenance, safety and relatively low environmental impact. They require specific operating conditions with respect to the power, fluid level and fluid content. Oilfield operation workflows often require extensive surveillance and monitoring by subject-matter experts (SMEs). Detecting issues like formation of unwanted gas and emulsions in ESPs requires constant analysis of downhole data by SMEs. The lack of adequate and accurate monitoring of the downhole pumps can lead to low efficiency, high lifting costs, and frequent repair and replacements. There are 3 workflows described in the paper which demonstrate that the maintenance costs of the ESPs can be significantly reduced, and production optimized with the augmentation of machine learning approaches typically unused in ESP surveillance and failure analysis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayman Amer ◽  
Ali Alshehri ◽  
Hamad Saiari ◽  
Ali Meshaikhis ◽  
Abdulaziz Alshamrany

Abstract Corrosion under insulation (CUI) is a critical challenge that affects the integrity of assets where the oil and gas industry is not immune. Its severity arises due to its hidden nature as it can often times go unnoticed. CUI is stimulated, in principle, by moisture ingress through the insulation layers to the surface of the pipeline. This Artificial Intelligence (AI)-powered detection technology stemmed from an urgent need to detect the presence of these corrosion types. The new approach is based on a Cyber Physical (CP) system that maximizes the potential of thermographic imaging by using a Machine Learning application of Artificial Intelligence. In this work, we describe how common image processing techniques from infra-red images of assets can be enhanced using a machine learning approach allowing the detection of locations highly vulnerable to corrosion through pinpointing locations of CUI anomalies and areas of concern. The machine learning is examining the progression of thermal images, captured over time, corrosion and factors that cause this degradation are predicted by extracting thermal anomaly features and correlating them with corrosion and irregularities in the structural integrity of assets verified visually during the initial learning phase of the ML algorithm. The ML classifier has shown outstanding results in predicting CUI anomalies with a predictive accuracy in the range of 85 – 90% projected from 185 real field assets. Also, IR imaging by itself is subjective and operator dependent, however with this cyber physical transfer learning approach, such dependency has been eliminated. The results and conclusions of this work on real field assets in operation demonstrate the feasibility of this technique to predict and detect thermal anomalies directly correlated to CUI. This innovative work has led to the development of a cyber-physical that meets the demands of inspection units across the oil and gas industry, providing a real-time system and online assessment tool to monitor the presence of CUI enhancing the output from thermography technologies, using Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning technology. Additional benefits of this approach include safety enhancement through non-contact online inspection and cost savings by reducing the associated scaffolding and downtime.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Hui-Hai Liu ◽  
Jilin Zhang ◽  
Feng Liang ◽  
Cenk Temizel ◽  
Mustafa A. Basri ◽  
...  

Summary Prediction of well production from unconventional reservoirs is often a complex problem with an incomplete understanding of physics and a considerable amount of data. The most effective way for dealing with it is to use the gray-box approach that combines the strengths of physics-based models and machine learning (ML) used for dealing with certain components of the prediction where physical understanding is poor or difficult. However, the development of methodologies for the incorporation of physics into ML is still in its infancy, not only in the oil and gas industry, but also in other scientific and engineering communities, including the physics community. To set the stage for further advancing the use of combining physics-based models with ML for predicting well production, in this paper we present a brief review of the current developments in this area in the industry, including ML representation of numerical simulation results, determination of parameters for decline curve analysis (DCA) models with ML, physics-informed ML (PIML) that provides an efficient and gridless method for solving differential equations and for discovering governing equations from observations, and physics-constrained ML (PCML) that directly embeds a physics-based model into a neural network. The advantages and potential limitations of the methods are discussed. The future research directions in this area include, but are not limited to, further developing and refining methodologies, including algorithm development, to directly embed physics-based models into ML; exploring the usefulness of PIML for reservoir simulations; and adapting the new developments of how the physics and ML are incorporated in other communities to the well-production prediction. Finally, the methodologies we discuss in the paper can be generally applied to conventional reservoirs as well, although the focus here is on unconventional reservoirs.


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