scholarly journals The Accessing Foreign Aid’s Long Run Contribution to Economic Growth of Pakistan: An Evidence from Time Series Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-36
Author(s):  
Hina Ali ◽  
Javeria Masood ◽  
Afifa Sadar Ud Din

Purpose: This research examines the effectiveness of foreign aid on Pakistan’s economic growth.  The foreign aid efficiency is still under question. Some researches show positive affiliation of foreign aid with economic growth while some show negative affiliation. If foreign aid is not replacing or used as a substitute for domestic savings then foreign aid is useful for growth. To fill the two gaps of the economy the Two-Gap theory suggest that poor nations have to depend on overseas funds. Those two gaps are the Savings-Investment Gap and Import-Export Gap. There’re many kinds of international funds. Like foreign loans, development and non-development aid, FDI, and technological help. But underdeveloped nations like Pakistan have not a favorable speculation policy. Therefore, these nations are dependent on international aid and balance quite than foreign direct investment. Design/Methodology/Approach: For the analysis of this study the time era used is 1974 to 2016. The GDP is the dependent variable. Independent variables are population growth, foreign aid, inflation, foreign direct investment (FDI), and domestic savings. The annual data is collected from different sources. The technique for analysis is OLS and ARDL bound testing. Findings: Concluding remarks show that in Pakistan foreign aid affects economic growth negatively. Implications/Originality/Value: The  current  study  was  based  on the least  considered  variables  and  the  pioneer  in  testing  the  complex relationship through OLS and ARDL estimation.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina Septriani Putri ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni

Abstract : This study examined and analysis the effect of remittances, foreigndirect investment, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia in the long run andshort run. This study using Error Correction Model (ECM) method and using theannual time series data from 1989 to 2018. This study found that: (1) remittancehave an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in the long run and shortrun,(2)foreign direct investment have a significant positive impact on economicgrowth in the long run and short run, (3) import have an insignificant positiveimpact on economic growth both in the long run and short run. To increase theeconomic growth in the future, this study suggests the government to decresingimports of consume goods and increasing the inflow of capital goods, rawmaterial goods, remittances and foreign direct investment.Keyword : Remittance, Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Economic Growth andECM


Author(s):  
S. Maheswaranathan

Purpose: This paper investigates the long run relationship between electricity consumption, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Design/Methodology/Approach: The annual time series data over the period 1970–2017 is considered to this study. Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root analysis is employed for examining the stationary properties of the variables. Consequently, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis is employed to examining the short- run and long-run relationship between electricity consumption, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Further, this study used the diagnostic tests such as the residual normality test, heteroskedasticity and serial autocorrelation tests for misspecification to validate the parameter estimation outcomes achieved by the estimated model. CUSUM test is applied to test the stability of the model. Collected data were analyzed using STATA version 15. Findings: The findings of the bound test confirm that the variables are cointegrated. Further the results reveal that there is a statistically positive significant relationship between electricity consumption, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Sri Lanka in the long run and short term. The empirical finding reveals that one percent increase in electricity consumption and foreign direct investment increases the GDP by 1.5 percent and 12.9 percent in the long run respectively.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Brajaballav Pal

This paper examines the relationship among GDP, foreign direct investment and trade openness for India using time series data from 2001 to 2016. In this study unit root test is used to solve the problem of stationery and to determine the order of integration between the variables. Johnson co-integration test suggests that there is a long run equilibrium relationship among the variables by considering relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Trade Openness (TO). The result indicates that trade openness exerts influence on foreign direct investment. The government and policy makers should take up strategies to attract foreign investment so as to promote economic growth.


2016 ◽  
pp. 234-244
Author(s):  
Eglantina Hysa ◽  
Livia Hodo

Theoretical studies strongly support the positive effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the host country through technology transfer, human capital formation, etc. This study aims to examine the real effects of FDI in the economic growth of Albania, since FDI was one of the first pillars of the economy that the government gave priority to after 1990. This relationship was investigated by using the Co-Integration approach for the quarterly data from 1991 to 2012. The time series data are taken from the Bank of Albania. As expected, the empirical findings of this study reveal the existence of a long run relationship of GDP growth and FDI to GDP ratio. Being strongly correlated to each other, FDI to GDP ratio shows its significant contribution to Albanian economic growth.


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 90-97
Author(s):  
Sani Ali Ibrahim

The economic development performance can be used to measure the economic growth of a given country. In economic analysis, a country can attain economic growth through the growth in national income measurement. However, there were rigorous discussions on the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth and continued to be a topic of discussion on the contemporary economy. This paper serves as an extension to the previous empirical studies on the issue by providing some evidence from time series data for the period 1971 to 2013 of Nigeria. The primary aim of this study is to analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth of Nigeria taking trade openness, Gross Fixed Capital Formation and human capital as control variables. To investigate the long run equilibrium relationship, Johansen and Juselius co-integration approach is analyzed, while the speed of adjustment in the short run is analyzed through the use of VECM method. In Nigeria, FDI, GFCF and HK have long run relationship with economic growth. However, the coefficient of ECM in Nigeria is statistically significant at 1% level of significance. Thus, 10.8% of the adjustment is achieved due to the correction of the adjustment speed in a year.


Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been seen as an important factor influencing economic growth directly and indirectly in both developed and developing countries. This study assesses the impact of FDI on growth in Ghana since the return to constitutional rule in 1993. The study uses time series data from 1993 to 2016. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lagged model (ARDL), the study finds a positive impact of FDI on growth both in the short-run and long-run. However, there is a lag period of two. The study equally finds that Gross Saving has a positive impact on growth. On the other hand inflation has a negative effect on growth both in the short and long run. The study also discovered that FDI granger causes growth but GDP does not granger cause FDI. Post-election years with incidence of political uncertainty slow down FDI inflow into Ghana. The study recommends the adoption of stringent fiscal and monetary policies to keep inflation low. It also recommends maintaining and improving the liberal market environment to attract investors, policies to encourage saving, and improving on political transitions to avoid uncertainties for investors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 104-113
Author(s):  
Keshar Bahadur Kunwar

This study employed bounds test based cointegration technique using annual time series data from the period 1990/91 to 2015/16 for exploring relationship between RGDP and FDI in Nepal. This paper examines the effect of FDI on RGDP is insignificant at five percent level of significance. The coefficient (0.35) of (FDI) shows that one percent increase in FDI leads to over 0.35 percent increase RGDP in the long-run. There is no causality between foreign direct investment and economic growth.


IIUC Studies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 77-98
Author(s):  
Shah Asadullah Mohd. Zobair ◽  
Myne Uddin

This study aims at exploring time series data of economic growth indicator and foreign inflow of fund to Bangladesh to investigate the nature of impact of such fund inflows on economic growth. In this regard data has been collected from World Bank data base for a period ranging from 1976 to 2017. The analysis is conducted by using the ARDL approach. The study identified foreign direct investment as a crucial external factor for growth of Bangladeshi economy. But another two mentionable ways of fund inflow such as foreign aid and remittance are found to play negative role in this regard. Along with these findings, this study recommends that the competent authority of Bangladesh should focus on creating more investment friendly environment to attract and ensure continual of foreign investment. Additionally, the study also claims for proper action to ensure effective use of policy and rules to make the best use of foreign aid and ensure enhanced capital formation of the foreign remittance. IIUC Studies Vol.16, December 2019: 77-98


2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-54
Author(s):  
Verónica Cañal Fernández ◽  
Julio Tascón Fernández ◽  
María Gómez Martín

This paper analyzes the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), exports and economic growth in Spain using annual time series data for the period 1970 to 2016. To examine these linkages the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration for the long-run is applied. The results confirm a long-run relationship among the examined variables. The Granger causality test indicates a strong unidirectional causality between FDI and exports with direction from FDI to exports. Besides, the results for the relationship between FDI and economic growth are interesting and indicate that there is no significant Granger causality from FDI to economic growth and vice-versa.


The present study attempted to configure an ARDL model depicting the short and long-run effectiveness of foreign aid from the World Bank on India's growth and development. Analyzing the annual time series data of 27 years (1991 to 2017), the study indicated the effectiveness of foreign aid for economic growth in short-run and economic development in the long-run. However, with domestic savings in the country, foreign assistance only played a supportive role. Therefore, a self-reliant country like India favoured foreign assistance. The study suggested that India's Government focuses on making out policies and providing proper implementation and assistance from foreign financial assistance. Policy guidelines must be aimed at setting up a committee to review the proper utilization of foreign aid periodically. It would embark the effectiveness of foreign in the economic growth and development of the country.


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