scholarly journals PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, INFLASI, KURS DAN PERTUMBUHAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
Tsoraya Utami ◽  
Murtala Murtala ◽  
Hilmi Hilmi

ABSTRACT This study aims to examine the effect of interest rates, inflation, exchange rates and gross domestic product growth on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) on the IDX during the 2003-2018 period on a quarterly basis. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data obtained from published reports from Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. The results of this study found that the exchange rate and inflation had a negative and significant effect on the IHSG, while GDP growth had a positive and significant effect on the IHSG. However, the interest rate did not have a significant effect on the IHSG. Keywords:         Interest Rate, Inflation, Exchange Rate, GDP Growth and IHSG

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-59
Author(s):  
Irine Melyani ◽  
Martha Ayerza Esra

The movement of stock price index is the important indicator for investors to determine whether the investor would sell, buy, or hold shares. The movement of CSPI is affected by several factor like macroeconomy. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate against CSPI. Theoretically, the effect of inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate is based on efficient market hyphothesis and signalling theory which inflation, interest rate and exchange rate provide signal to investor which affect their decision that cause change to CSPI. The type of data used in this study is secondary data with quantitative approach. The sampling is based on time series data from 2016-2018 using purposive sampling methodso that 36 samples are obtained. This research uses multiple uses multiple regression analysis method using SPSS 2.2. The results of this study indicate that during the period 2016-2018 inflation does not affect CSPI, the interest rate have negative affect on CSPI and exchange rate have positive affect on CSPI. Future research is expected to add another independent variable and extend the time range of the research to obtain ore accurate and comprehensive results. Keywords: Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Composite Stock Price Indonesia


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 928
Author(s):  
Martien Rachmawati ◽  
Nisful Laila

The capital market presence is such an important concern for many country because it relate to its function as economic booster through investation. This study aims to analyze macro economic factors that can affect the movement of stock price at Indonesia Sharia Stock Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange as the inflation factor, SBI interest rates and exchange rates. The method used in this research is quantitative approaches in which data is obtained from Indonesia Stock Exchange and Bank of Indonesia. The data used is the time series data starting from January 2012 to April 2015. The statistical tool used is multiple linear regression. Result showed that partially inflation is not significant and have a negative relation toward ISSI’s stock price, SBI interest rate is not significant and have a positive relation toward ISSI’s stock price, exchange rate significantly influence the stock price at Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) and have a negative effect. Simultaneously, both variable inflation rate, SBIinterest rate and the exchange rate significantly influence the stock price’s movement at Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI).


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 175
Author(s):  
Rais Sani Muharrami ◽  
Shufiatul Zahidah ◽  
Ika Yoga

This study aims to determine the macroeconomic indicators that affect sharia banking stock price index period 2014-2016. Four variables consist of inflation, BI interest rate, rupiah exchange rate and SBIS are considered to have an effect on the syariah bank stock price index. This research uses quantitative method. This study uses monthly time series data which is analyzed by multiple linear regression. The data used are secondary data with 36 data from January 2014-December 2016. Data collection is taken with documentation techniques sourced from the official website of Bank Indonesia and yahoofinance.com. The results showed that inflation did not significantly influence the sharia bank stock price index. While the BI interest rate, the exchange rate of rupiah and SBIS have a significant influence on PT Bank Panin Dubai Syariah Tbk stock price index. From the results of this study, it can be concluded that the indicators considered in the PT Bank Panin Dubai Syariah Tbk stock price index are BI rate, rupiah exchange rate and SBIS.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1(S)) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Peter Arhenful ◽  
Augustine Kwadwo Yeboah ◽  
Kofi Sarfo Adjei

The paper assesses the effect of interest rate on stock prices, with emphases on Ghana Stock Exchange; using monthly time series data from July 2007 to December 2019. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was employed to establish the stationarity properties of the data or otherwise. Using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation technique of Multiple Regression, the results (? = – 0.891, p < 0.05) revealed an indirect association between interest rates and stock prices in the Ghanaian context; which is consistent with the theoretical conclusion that an increase in interest rate results in a decrease in stock prices. Thus, in the light of this finding, it was recommended that policymakers should consider the stock market dynamics due to the significant relationship that exists between the two macroeconomic variables.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 17-23
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faisal Hassan ◽  
Hashim Bin Jusoh ◽  
Sajjad Khan ◽  
Fahad Ali Khan ◽  
Muhammad Naseem ◽  
...  

The researcher investigates the Impact of inflation, exchange rate and interest rate on Pakistan stock Exchange performance KSE-100 index by using monthly time series data which covers the period of 2013 to 2020. The econometrics techniques which are employed includes ADF test, Ordinary Least squares regression Model, testing for Multi-collinearity, Residual analysis serial correlation, testing for co-integration, Error correction model (ECM), variance decomposition (VAR) and Pair wise granger causality test. The results indicate that there is positive impact of exchange rate on PSX 100 index and the impact of inflation and interest rate is fond negative but inflation have insignificant relationship with PSX 100 index and the other two relationships are found significant. From the ECM result it is found that in short run 20% of the variation in dependent variable is due to inflation, exchange rate and interest rate and 80% variation is unexplained in short run. Form the results of VAR test it is concluded that exchange rate 1.67, inflation 14.25%, and interest rate 3.90% variation cause in PSX 100 index performance due to these three independent variables.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-138
Author(s):  
Musa Abdullahi Sakanko ◽  
Kanang Amos Akims

Several countries have integrated monetary easement into their foreign policy to faucet the gains from trade thereby, assuring that market forces determine monetary policy instruments such as interest rate and exchange rate. It is on this note and this paper empirically evaluate the effect of monetary policy on Nigeria's trade balance using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model on the time series data spanning from 1980 to 2018. The findings reveal that monetary policy tools of real interest and effective exchange rate have a long-run co-integration relationship and significant adverse effects on Nigeria's trade balance both in the short-run and long-run. Thus, the paper concludes that monetary policy is a veritable tool through which Nigeria can maintain a favorable trade balance. Therefore, policymakers should step on measures that will maintain low-interest rates to sustain a flexible exchange rate and remove all rigidities associated with the international payment system.JEL Classification: C22, E52, F13How to Cite:Sakanko, M. A., & Akims, K. A. (2021). Monetary Policy and Nigeria’s Trade Balance, 1980-2018. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 10(1), 129-138. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v10i1.18132.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Romikul Ghurub

The purpose of the research is to know whether the automotive sector companies operating in Indonesia is facing economic exposure. This study uses the Distributed Lag regression to determine whether there is economic exposure that must be faced by the automotive subsector in Indonesian companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the period 2008 to 2013 or not.The results of the analysis show that the effect of the company's external economic exposure in the show by the exchange rate against foreign currencies (U.S. dollar and Japanese yen) are not shown to significantly affect the price of shares in companies listed automotive sector The Indonesia Stock Exchange. The results of this analysis can occur due to factors that affect economic exposure not only fixated on the exchange rate against foreign currencies but also there are other factors that affect the economy, such as interest rates and inflation.The results of simultaneous test (F test ) and partial test ( t test ) which found results that support each addition has no significant effect , the rupiah exchange rate against the U.S. Dollar and Japanese Yen also has a coefficient of determination with such a small proportion is 2.8 % and 0.01%. Small proportion of this which reinforce that the rupiah exchange rate against foreign currencies does not have an influence on company's stock price. Keywords: Economic Exposure, Exchange Rate, Stock Price, Regression Distributed Lag


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imaduddin Murdifin ◽  
Suriyanti Andi Mangkona

This study aimed to examine the effect of Composite Stock Price Index (Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI)), the exchange rate, and interest rates on stock prices of mining companies listed in Indonesia stock Exchange. This research is associative with quantitative approach. Data were analyzed using panel data regression. The data used is secondary data such as financial data, and the percentage of monthly interest rates over the last three years. The collection of data taken with documentation techniques derived from published reports of Bank Indonesia and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Sampling was done by purposive sampling with the number nine companies. The results showed that the CSPI and interest rates but not significant positive effect on stock prices. The rupiah exchange rate and significant negative effect on stock prices. Simultaneously the composite stock price index, the rupiah exchange rate, and interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices of mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Galih Abi Nugroho ◽  
Sri Hermuningsih

This study aims to determine the effect of the rupiah exchange rate, inflation and interest rates in sub construction and building service companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2014-2018 period. The nature of this research is a quantitative approach because the data used are in the form of numbers in statistical analysis. The population is construction and building companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample used was panel data, with time series data of 5 years and cross section data of 12 companies. The sampling technique was obtained by using purposive sampling technique. Data collection techniques using documentation, while data analysis techniques using multiple linear regression analysis supported by the classical assumption test that is normality test, multicollinearity test, heteroscedasticity test and autocorrelation test. In this study also used the Sobel test. Based on the results of data analysis, it shows that: (1) Rupiah exchange rate has a positive and not significant effect on stock return (2) Inflation has a negative and significant effect on stock return (3) Interest rates have a negative and significant effect on stock return, (4) simultaneously, rupiah exchange rate, inflation and interest rates have a significant effect on stock return. The results of the coefficient of determination (R2) of 12.1% while the remaining 87.9% is influenced by other variables outside the model.Keywords: Rupiah Exchange Rate, Inflation, Interest Rates, Stock Return


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