scholarly journals Effect of Interest Rate on Stock Prices in Ghana

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1(S)) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Peter Arhenful ◽  
Augustine Kwadwo Yeboah ◽  
Kofi Sarfo Adjei
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Ghana Stock Exchange ◽  
Adf Test

The paper assesses the effect of interest rate on stock prices, with emphases on Ghana Stock Exchange; using monthly time series data from July 2007 to December 2019. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was employed to establish the stationarity properties of the data or otherwise. Using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation technique of Multiple Regression, the results (? = – 0.891, p < 0.05) revealed an indirect association between interest rates and stock prices in the Ghanaian context; which is consistent with the theoretical conclusion that an increase in interest rate results in a decrease in stock prices. Thus, in the light of this finding, it was recommended that policymakers should consider the stock market dynamics due to the significant relationship that exists between the two macroeconomic variables.

scholarly journals Impact of Macro-Economic Variable on Pakistan Stock Exchange KSE-100 Index

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 17-23
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faisal Hassan ◽  
Hashim Bin Jusoh ◽  
Sajjad Khan ◽  
Fahad Ali Khan ◽  
Muhammad Naseem ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

The researcher investigates the Impact of inflation, exchange rate and interest rate on Pakistan stock Exchange performance KSE-100 index by using monthly time series data which covers the period of 2013 to 2020. The econometrics techniques which are employed includes ADF test, Ordinary Least squares regression Model, testing for Multi-collinearity, Residual analysis serial correlation, testing for co-integration, Error correction model (ECM), variance decomposition (VAR) and Pair wise granger causality test. The results indicate that there is positive impact of exchange rate on PSX 100 index and the impact of inflation and interest rate is fond negative but inflation have insignificant relationship with PSX 100 index and the other two relationships are found significant. From the ECM result it is found that in short run 20% of the variation in dependent variable is due to inflation, exchange rate and interest rate and 80% variation is unexplained in short run. Form the results of VAR test it is concluded that exchange rate 1.67, inflation 14.25%, and interest rate 3.90% variation cause in PSX 100 index performance due to these three independent variables.

scholarly journals PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, INFLASI, KURS DAN PERTUMBUHAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
Tsoraya Utami ◽  
Murtala Murtala ◽  
Hilmi Hilmi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Distributed Lag

ABSTRACT This study aims to examine the effect of interest rates, inflation, exchange rates and gross domestic product growth on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) on the IDX during the 2003-2018 period on a quarterly basis. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data obtained from published reports from Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. The results of this study found that the exchange rate and inflation had a negative and significant effect on the IHSG, while GDP growth had a positive and significant effect on the IHSG. However, the interest rate did not have a significant effect on the IHSG. Keywords:         Interest Rate, Inflation, Exchange Rate, GDP Growth and IHSG

scholarly journals Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Inflasi Dan Nilai Kurs Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perhotelan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Per Triwulannya Periode 2016-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Ratio Analysis ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates

scholarly journals A Study on Estimation and Prediction of Vector Time Series Model Using Financial Big Data (Interest Rates)

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 309-316
Author(s):  
Jae-Hyun Kim, Chang-Ho An
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Information Criteria ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Call Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Autoregressive

Due to the global economic downturn, the Korean economy continues to slump. Hereupon the Bank of Korea implemented a monetary policy of cutting the base rate to actively respond to the economic slowdown and low prices. Economists have been trying to predict and analyze interest rate hikes and cuts. Therefore, in this study, a prediction model was estimated and evaluated using vector autoregressive model with time series data of long- and short-term interest rates. The data used for this purpose were call rate (1 day), loan interest rate, and Treasury rate (3 years) between January 2002 and December 2019, which were extracted monthly from the Bank of Korea database and used as variables, and a vector autoregressive (VAR) model was used as a research model. The stationarity test of variables was confirmed by the ADF-unit root test. Bidirectional linear dependency relationship between variables was confirmed by the Granger causality test. For the model identification, AICC, SBC, and HQC statistics, which were the minimum information criteria, were used. The significance of the parameters was confirmed through t-tests, and the fitness of the estimated prediction model was confirmed by the significance test of the cross-correlation matrix and the multivariate Portmanteau test. As a result of predicting call rate, loan interest rate, and Treasury rate using the prediction model presented in this study, it is predicted that interest rates will continue to drop.

Terrorism and Stock Market Linkages: An Empirical Study from a Front-line State

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 365-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imtiaz Arif ◽  
Tahir Suleman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Front Line ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Factor Index ◽  
The Impact

This article investigates the impact of prolonged terrorist activities on stock prices of different sectors listed in the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) by using the newly developed terrorism impact factor index with lingering effect (TIFL) and monthly time series data from 2002 (January) to 2011 (December). Johansen and Juselius (JJ) cointegration revealed a long-run relationship between terrorism and stock price. Normalized cointegration vectors are used to test the effect of terrorism on stock price. Results demonstrate a significantly mixed positive and negative impact of prolonged terrorism on stock prices of different sectors and show that the market has not become insensitive to the prolonged terrorist attacks.

scholarly journals https://www.asianinstituteofresearch.org/JEBarchives/The-Influences-of-Interest-Rate%2C-Inflation-and-Market-Risk-on-the-Performance-of-Stock-Mutual-Funds-Through-to-the-Variables-Moderating-of-Stock-Index-LQ45-Registered-on-IDX-2016-2019

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nur Anny Rahayu ◽  
◽  
Zainul Kisman ◽  
Dwi Sunu Kanto
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Independent Variable

This study aims to determine the effect of interest rates, inflation and market risk on the performance of stock mutual funds with a stock index of lq45 as the moderating variable. The independent variable in this case is the interest rate (x1), inflation (x2), market risk (x3) and the dependent variable is the performance of stock mutual funds (y) and the stock index lq45 as the intervening variable (m). The type of research used is associative research, with a quantitative approach. This study takes all time series data that converts interest rates, inflation and market risk, stock index lq45 and the performance of stock mutual fund for the period 2016 to 2019. The number of research samples using saturated sampling techniques obtained is 40 samples. Data analysis used multiple regression analysis and moderated regression analysis using spss23. The results of the F test show that the lq45 index is able to moderate the independent variable interest rate, inflation, market risk together on the performance of stock mutual funds. The t test results show that the stock index lq45 is able to moderate the relationship between the variable interest rate and market risk on the performance of stock mutual funds, while the inflation variable cannot be moderated by the stock index lq45 on the performance of stock mutual funds.

scholarly journals Do the Monetary Policy Makers Follow Rules? Testing Taylor’s Rule for Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 42 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 34-42
Author(s):  
Khagendra Katuwal
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Output Gap ◽  
Treasury Bills ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller

The study estimates Taylor’s rule for Nepal by using the annual time series data for the period of 1988-2018. As a requirement of Taylor's rule, the output gap has been estimated by using Hodric-Perscott filter. Consumer price index has been used as measure of inflation and 91-days treasury bills rate is taken as the proxy for the short-term interest rate set by central bank of Nepal. The ordinary least square method has been used to estimate the Taylor's equation The results show that. As Augmented Dickey-Fuller test shows that all  the variables used in this study are in level form. The results show that there is a positive relationship of T-bills rule with inflation output gap. Interest rate smoothing is found to be a major concern of central bank of Nepal but follows the Taylor’s rule partially.

scholarly journals PENGARUH RETURN ON EQUITY, DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO DAN SIZE TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA (BEI)

BISMA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Marzuki Marzuki
Keyword(s):  
Firm Size ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Section Data

The objective of this study is to examine the effect of ROE, DER, and firm size on stock prices of the manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The data used in this study were panel data sourced from the combination of cross section data and time series data. This research used purposive sampling method with the sample consisted of 86 manufacturing companies listed on IDX in 2017. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results showed that ROE and firm size had a positive and significant influence on stock price. However, DER did not have a significant influence on stock price. Keywords : ROE, DER, company size, stock price

scholarly journals PENGARUH KURS RUPIAH, INFLASI DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM PERUSAHAAN SEKTOR JASA SUB KONSTRUKSI DAN BANGUNAN PADA BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Galih Abi Nugroho ◽  
Sri Hermuningsih
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Series Data

This study aims to determine the effect of the rupiah exchange rate, inflation and interest rates in sub construction and building service companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2014-2018 period. The nature of this research is a quantitative approach because the data used are in the form of numbers in statistical analysis. The population is construction and building companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample used was panel data, with time series data of 5 years and cross section data of 12 companies. The sampling technique was obtained by using purposive sampling technique. Data collection techniques using documentation, while data analysis techniques using multiple linear regression analysis supported by the classical assumption test that is normality test, multicollinearity test, heteroscedasticity test and autocorrelation test. In this study also used the Sobel test. Based on the results of data analysis, it shows that: (1) Rupiah exchange rate has a positive and not significant effect on stock return (2) Inflation has a negative and significant effect on stock return (3) Interest rates have a negative and significant effect on stock return, (4) simultaneously, rupiah exchange rate, inflation and interest rates have a significant effect on stock return. The results of the coefficient of determination (R2) of 12.1% while the remaining 87.9% is influenced by other variables outside the model.Keywords: Rupiah Exchange Rate, Inflation, Interest Rates, Stock Return

scholarly journals NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN NET EKSPOR INDONESIA 2000 – 2017 (GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST)

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-24
Author(s):  
Try Beta Anggraini ◽  
Yefriza Yefriza
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Net Export ◽  
Adf Test

The aims of this research is to find out the relationship of rupiah exchange rate and net export Indonesia. This research covers the periode for 2000.Q1-2017.Q4, used secondary data which were analyzed using Granger Causality Test and Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and existing data processed by using computer program of Eviews 9.0. The stationary properties of the time series data are examined by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Granger Causality test is applied to find out long-run relationship along with causality among the variables. The result of the data analysis show that there is no causality between rupiah exchange rate and net xport. Granger Causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality between net export to rupiah exchange rate. It is mean that net export  effect rupiah exchange rate, but rupiah exchange rate does not effect net export. Keywords: Causality, Net Export, Exchange Rate

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