scholarly journals La disputa social por el Distrito Federal

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Reyes del Campillo Lona
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Mexico City ◽  
Selection Process ◽  
The Political ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Social ◽  
Distrito Federal ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls ◽  
Ruling Party

This paper analyzes the stages of the 2006 election in Mexico City and examines the social conflict that polarized the political figures as well as the electorate. It also talks about the selection process of the candidates, particularly those of the ruling party, as well as the campaigns and their impact on the public opinion polls and, finally, it analyzes the final results. The election showed an evident division or tension line among the electorate that entails a strong social and ideological content.

ATTITUDE OF VORONEZH RESIDENTS TOWARDS CORONAVIRUS AND MEANS OF ITS PREVENTION

2021 ◽  
pp. 74-84
Author(s):  
Nelli Romanovich
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
The Public ◽  
Political Relations ◽  
The Social ◽  
Voronezh Region ◽  
Social Project ◽  
The Government ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

The COVID-19 pandemic changed the behavioural attitudes of citizens and affected social, economic and even political relations. New patterns of behaviour are being formed and include both negative and positive components. The «pandemic of fear» is sometimes more destructive than the disease itself. Fear separates people not only by distance, but also in outlook. Society is split in relation to the phenomenon of coronavirus, to the methods of its treatment, to the means of its prevention, to the vaccination offered by the government. This is evidenced by both the results of surveys in Russia and public opinion research in the Voronezh region. Public opinion polls in Voronezh are carried out as a part of the social project initiative carried by the Public Opinion Institute «Qualitas».

Growing Inequality and Public Awareness of Inequality in the States

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
William W. Franko ◽  
Christopher Witko
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Public Awareness ◽  
Public Concern ◽  
The Public ◽  
Political Conditions ◽  
Perceptions Of Inequality ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Here the authors present the variation that exists in income inequality across the states, and variation in public awareness or concern about income inequality as measured by public opinion polls. Though politicians may decide to tackle income inequality even in the absence of public concern about inequality, the authors argue that government responses are more likely when and where there is a growing awareness of, and concern about, inequality, which is confirmed in the analyses in this book. To examine this question in subsequent chapters, a novel measure of public awareness of rising state inequality is developed. Using these estimates, this chapter shows that the growth in the public concern about inequality responds in part to objective increases in inequality, but also that state political conditions, particularly mass partisanship, shape perceptions of inequality.

Introduction

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Eric Lagenbacher
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Election Outcome ◽  
The Political ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Political Situation ◽  
German Politics ◽  
Left Party ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Although it has not been that long since the articles of the previous special issue devoted to the 2017 Bundestag election and its aftermath have been published, the political situation in Germany appears to have stabilized. After almost six months without a new government, German politics has sunk back into a kind of late-Merkel era normality. Public opinion polls continue to show that the CDU/CSU is slightly above its election outcome, the SPD is still down in the 17–18 percent range, the FDP has lost about 2 percent of its support, while the AfD, Greens and Left Party are up 1–2 percent.

scholarly journals Poll-Confident Voters in Iterative Voting

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
pp. 2205-2212
Author(s):  
Anaëlle Wilczynski
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Social Network ◽  
Incomplete Information ◽  
Strategic Voting ◽  
Descriptive Model ◽  
Model Based ◽  
The Social ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls ◽  
Iterative Voting

This article deals with strategic voting under incomplete information. We propose a descriptive model, inspired by political elections, where the information about the vote intentions of the electorate comes from public opinion polls and a social network, modeled as a graph over the voters. The voters are assumed to be confident in the poll and they update the communicated results with the information they get from their relatives in the social network. We consider an iterative voting model based on this behavior and study the associated “poll-confident” dynamics. In this context, we ask the question of manipulation by the polling institute.

Liberal Colonialism? Israel’s 2013 Elections and the “Ethnocratic Bubble”

2013 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 48-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oren Yiftachel
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
The Other ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Quarter Century ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
First Time ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls ◽  
Ruling Party

Israel’s 2013 Knesset elections, in which the incumbent ruling party was returned to power for the first time in a quarter-century, were noteworthy in several respects. The basic divisions of Israeli politics into geopolitical and socioeconomic blocs were unchanged, only small electoral shifts being registered. On the other hand, as this report shows, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu barely achieved an electoral victory despite his overwhelming preponderance in public-opinion polls. Due to the rise of the new, personality-driven Yesh Atid party and the latter’s unlikely alliance with the settler-based Jewish Home, which together garnered as many Knesset seats as the winning Likud-Yisrael Beitenu list, for the first time in decades ultra-Orthodox parties were excluded from the governing coalition. The elections were marked by the near-invisibility of the Palestinian issue and Palestinian citizens of Israel. The report concludes that the continuing governing consensus in favor of “liberal colonialism” is unsustainable, although exploiting the “cracks” in that consensus is difficult and unlikely in the short term.

Gaullism Mark II: the Elections of 1973

1973 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 280-289
Author(s):  
René de Lacharrière
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
National Assembly ◽  
Real Possibility ◽  
The Public ◽  
Interesting Fact ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls ◽  
Common Platform

GENERAL ELECTIONS WERE HELD IN FRANCE ON 4 AND 11 MARCH 1973 for the renewal of the National Assembly which had been elected in June 1968. The interesting fact about them was that the public opinion polls had forecast some weeks before the date set for the elections that there was a very real possibility of a victory for the alliance concluded between the united socialists and communists, and some left-wing radicals, on a common platform of reforms and of government. This socialist-communist coalition did not, in fact, win, but the majority party's share fell from 372 to 275 seats, out of 487, while the total number of votes cast for it was less than that cast for the left.

scholarly journals The Pulse of Non-Democracy?

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 262-289
Author(s):  
Alexey Titkov
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Public Sphere ◽  
Representative Democracy ◽  
Political Regime ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Controversial Issues ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

The article continues the discussion of Grigory Yudin’s book Public Opinion. The review considers Yudin’s arguments on the “plebiscitarian bias” in opinion-poll technology, on the linkages between opinion-polls, Rousseauist tradition and the “plebiscitarian model”, and on Gallup’s, Schumpeter’s, and Weber’s contributions to plebiscitarism. In the context of the proposed conceptual model, controversial issues in the interpretation of Weber’s and Schumpeter’s ideas, as well as an estimation of the Russian political regime in the 2010s are debated. Models of plebescitarism (including their principles and criteria) as proposed by Yudin, and by Urbinati in Democracy Disfigured are compared. The article highlights the differences between Gallup and Schumpeter, as well as between Schumpeter and Weber, in their insights into democracy and public opinion. The reviewer pays attention to the relationship between the classical doctrine of representative democracy by Schumpeter and the bourgeois public sphere by Habermas, and between public debates and the quantification of public opinion. We examine the argument about the continuity between public-opinion polls and the big projects of Modernity, such as representative democracy, public sphere, and biopolitics. Continuity argument is proposed as an alternative to Yudin’s hypothesis about the radical reinvention of ‘democracy’ and ‘public opinion’ during the inter-war period of the 20th century. Yudin’s insights on the social and political onthology of opinion-polls are preliminary, and are reconstructed for further discussion.

Should Public Opinion Polls Make Election Forecasts?

1949 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-144
Author(s):  
Gideon Seymour ◽  
Archibald Crossley ◽  
Paul F. Lazarsfeld ◽  
George Gallup
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
The Political ◽  
Election Results ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Since the political upset last November, opinion has been divided on the question of whether pollsters should continue predicting election results. Here are the views of an editor, two poll-takers, and a communications scientist. By a vote of three to one, their answer to the question is “Yes!”

scholarly journals Os desafios para a eliminação da pena de morte no Japão

2015 ◽  
pp. 44-57
Author(s):  
Lilian Yamamoto
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Penal System ◽  
Japanese History ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
The Public ◽  
The Developed Countries ◽  
Governmental Politics ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Death penalty has been present in most part of Japanese history. In the opposite direction of the majority of the developed countries, there is not any short-medium term perspective it will be abolished from the Japanese penal system. This article intends to investigate what are the reasons for the predominance of its favorable position and its retention, in special, the public opinion and governmental politics. Before that, it will analyze the evolution of its execution methods, a discussion of its constitutionality, as well as its retentionist reasonings. Eventually, it aims to demonstrate that the public opinion polls can generate results according to the interests of those who carry them out.

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