scholarly journals Impact of Tunisian Revolution on the Relationship Between Macroeconomic Factors and Mutual Funds Performance

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marwa Zouaoui ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Tunisian Revolution ◽  
The Relationship

Testing Structural Break in the Relationship Between Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Variables

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 442-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saidia Jeelani ◽  
Joity Tomar ◽  
Tapas Das ◽  
Seshanwita Das
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ripple Effect ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Parameter Instability ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Relationship

The article aims to study the relationship between those macroeconomic factors that the affect (INR/USD) exchange rate (ER). Time series data of 40 years on ER, GDP, inflation, interest rate (IR), FDI, money supply, trade balance (TB) and terms of trade (ToT) have been collected from the RBI website. The considered model has suggested that only inflation, TB and ToT have influenced the ER significantly during the study period. Other macroeconomic variables such as GDP, FDI and IR have not significantly influenced the ER during the study period. The model is robust and does not suffer from residual heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation and non-normality. Sometimes the relationship between ER and macroeconomic variables gets affected by major economic events. For example, the Southeast Asian crisis caused by currency depreciation in 1997 and sub-prime loan crisis of 2008 severely strained the national economies. Any global economic turmoil will affect different economic variables through ripple effect and this, in turn, will affect the ER of different economies differently. The article has also diagnosed whether there is any structural break or not in the model by applying Chow’s Breakpoint Test and have obtained multiple breaks between 2003 and 2009. The existence of structural breaks during 2003–2009 is explained by the fact that volume of crude oil imported by India is high and oil price rise led to a deficit in the TB alarmingly, which caused a structural break or parameter instability.

Connecting the poor: the internet, mobile phones and financial inclusion in Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 568-581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olaniyi Evans
Keyword(s):  
Mobile Phones ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
The Internet ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose The increased adoption of internet-enabled phones in Africa has caused much speculation and optimism concerning its effects on financial inclusion. Policymakers, the media and various studies have all flaunted the potentials of internet and mobile phones for financial inclusion. An important question therefore is “Can the internet and mobile phones spur the inclusion of the financially excluded poor? This study therefore aims to examine the relationship and causality between internet, mobile phones and financial inclusion in Africa for the 2000-2016 period. Design/methodology/approach The empirical analysis followed these three steps: examination of the stationarity of the variables; testing for the cointegration; and evaluation of the effects of the internet and mobile phones on financial inclusion in Africa for the 2000-2016 period using three outcomes of panel FMOLS approach and Granger causality tests. Findings The empirical evidence shows that internet and mobile phones have significant positive relationship with financial inclusion, meaning that rising levels of internet and mobile phones are associated with increased financial inclusion. There is also uni-directional causality from internet and mobile phones to financial inclusion, implying that internet and mobile phones cause financial inclusion. The study also shows that macroeconomic factors such as capital formation, primary enrollment, bank credit, broad money, population growth, remittances, agriculture and interest rate, as well as institutional factors such as regulatory quality are important underlying factors for financial inclusion in Africa. Originality/value In the literature, there is a dearth of research on the internet, mobile phones and financial inclusion, especially in Africa. Most of the related studies are conceptual and micro-based, with little empirical attention to the relationship and causality between internet, mobile phones and financial inclusion. In fact, this dearth of rigorous empirical studies has been attributed as the main cause of inadequate policy guidance in enhancing information communication technologies (Roycroft and Anantho, 2003), despite saturation levels in developed economies. This study fills the gap by evaluating the effects of the Internet and mobile phones on financial inclusion for 44 African countries for the 2000-2016 period.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic Factors and Influence on Stock Return That Impact the Corporate Values

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fariz Mohamad Iqmal ◽  
Ivan Gumilar Sambas Putra
Keyword(s):  
Stock Return ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Corporate Values ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Analytical Technique ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Comprehensive Picture ◽  
The Relationship

This research aims to determine the influence of macroeconomic variables on stock return and its impact on corporate values. The population in this research is the sector of agriculture because based on the results of the sector's observation, the most severe decline in performance among others. Further sampling is done by the purposive sampling method, so from 22 companies that listings only 15 companies that meet the criteria. The analytical technique to be used in this study is to use a double linear regression analysis technique expanded with a pathway analysis method to obtain a comprehensive picture of the relationship between variables of one variable with other. We find is an inflation and interest rate negatively and significantly affecting the return of shares. The exchange rate positively and significantly affects the stock return and the influential stock return rate positively and significant to the corporate values.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic Factors and Equity Prices: An Empirical Investigation by Using ARDL Approach

2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (4II) ◽  
pp. 501-513 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arshad Hasan ◽  
Zafar Mueen Nasir
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Testing Procedure ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Equity Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between macroeconomic variables and the equity prices has attracted the curiosity of academicians and practitioners since the publication of seminal paper of Chen, et al. (1986). Many empirical studies those tested the relationship reveal that asset pricing theories do not properly identify macroeconomic factors that influence equity prices [Roll and Ross (1980); Fama (1981); Chen, et al. (1986); Hamao (1986); Faff (1988); Chen (1991); Maysami and Koh (2000) and Paul and Mallik (2001)]. In most of these studies, variable selection and empirical analyses is based on economic rationale, financial theory and investors’ intuition. These studies generally apply Eagle and Granger (1987) procedure or Johanson and Jusilieus (1990, 1991) approach in Vector Auto Regressor (VAR) Framework. In Pakistan, Fazal (2006) and Nishat (2001) explored the relationship between macroeconomic factors and equity prices by using Johanson and Jusilieus (1990, 1991) procedure. The present study tests the relationship between macroeconomic variables such as inflation, industrial production, oil prices, short term interest rate, exchange rates, foreign portfolio investment, money supply and equity prices by using Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure proposed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (1996, 2001). The ARDL approach in an errorcorrection setting has been widely applied to examine the impact of macroeconomic factors on economic growth but it is strongly underutilised in the capital market filament of literature. This methodology has a number of advantages over the other models. First, determining the order of integration of macroeconomic factors and equity market returns is not an important issue here because the Pesaran ARDL approach yields consistent estimates of the long-run coefficients that are asymptotically normal irrespective of whether the underlying regressors are I(0) or I(1) and of the extent of cointegration. Secondly, the ARDL approach allows exploring correct dynamic structure while many econometric procedures do not allow to clearly distinguish between long run and short run relationships.

scholarly journals Bank Regulation and Level of Non performing Loans in Commercial Banks in Nakuru County Kenya

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-76
Author(s):  
Geoffrey Indeje Muhanji ◽  
Joseph Theuri
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Bank Regulation ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Liquidity Management ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Management Efficiency ◽  
Asset Quality ◽  
The Relationship

The study sought to determine the effect of bank regulation and level of nonperforming loans in commercial banks in Nakuru County Kenya. The specific objectives of the study were to explore the effect of capital adequacy on the level of nonperforming loans in commercial banks in Nakuru County Kenya, to find out the effect of asset quality on the level of nonperforming loans in commercial banks in Nakuru County Kenya, to evaluate the effect of liquidity management on the level of nonperforming loans in commercial banks in Nakuru County Kenya, to examine the effect of management efficiency on the level of nonperforming loans in commercial banks in Nakuru County Kenya and to determine the moderating effect of macroeconomic factors on the relationship between bank regulation and level of nonperforming loans. The literature review focused on portfolio theory of investment, capital asset pricing theory and the capital buffer theory of capital adequacy. The primary data was collected using structured questionnaires and secondary data was collected from the banking survey 2017 and central bank of Kenya annual supervisory reports. The study employed multiple linear regression analysis and the finding revealed that there exist a negative and statistically insignificant relationship between capital adequacy and non-performing loans. It was also observed that there exist a negative and statistically insignificant relationship between liquidity management and non-performing loans. On the other hand, there exist a positive and statistically significant relationship between asset quality and non-performing loans. Similarly, there exist a positive and statistically insignificant relationship between management efficiency and non-performing loans. Finally, the findings indicated that macroeconomic factors have moderating effect on the relationship between bank regulations and non-performing loans in commercial banks in Nakuru County. It was concluded that asset quality positively influences non-performing loans while management efficiency influence positively the non-performing loans. Similarly, liquidity management exerts a negative influence on non-performing loans. Finally, capital adequacy influence negatively on non-performing loans. The study recommends that Central Bank of Kenya should regularly access lending behavior to ensure compliance with banking regulations to avoid increasing incidences of non-performing loans. In addition, Central Bank of Kenya should closely monitor banks with deteriorating asset quality. Further, Central Bank of Kenya should strictly monitor the economic sector and ensure that banks provide adequate provisions for loans to mitigate risks of default. Furthermore, banks should maintain a good balance on deposits and lending out loans and adhere to regulators decisions about monetary policies. Finally, banks should increase the operational efficiency of operation weakness and improve corporate governance on the sanction of loans and Central Bank of Kenya should focus on managerial performance in order to detect banks with potential increases in non-performing loans.

Indonesian mutual funds: performance determinants and interaction of macroeconomic factors

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Risna Wijayanti ◽  
Sumiati Sumiati ◽  
Ubud Salim ◽  
Mahartha Titi
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Performance Determinants

scholarly journals The Relationship between Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market Indices Performances in Indian Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.36) ◽  
pp. 592
Author(s):  
D. Kinslin ◽  
V. P. Velmurugan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Significant Finding ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Money Markets ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Financing Costs ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Relationship

This investigation endeavors in observationally testing the connection between macroeconomic variables and the exhibitions of two noteworthy Indian security advertise lists of BSE-sensex and NSE-clever. The yearly information of a few macroeconomic elements of FIIs net venture, trade rates, oil value, financing costs, swelling rates and gold rates from 1995-96 to 2014-15 are thought about and it attempts to uncover the most impact of these elements on the 'Stock files exhibitions' of the Indian securities exchange. In compatibility of this, the connection investigation and various relapse examination was utilized to contemplate the connection between the two chose security advertise files exhibitions and the six chose macroeconomic elements from the Indian economy. The significant finding is that macroeconomic elements impact securities exchange lists exhibitions in India. It is suggested that the usage of appropriate monetary approaches will be useful to money markets files and it will result in required development in the Indian capital market.   

LOW-FREQUENCY VOLATILITY AND MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS: CONVENTIONAL VERSUS ISLAMIC STOCK MARKETS

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
HONG-BAE KIM ◽  
A.S.M. SOHEL AZAD
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Frequency Component ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Macroeconomic Dynamics ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Risk ◽  
Islamic Countries ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigates the relationship between macroeconomic risk and low-frequency volatility of conventional and Islamic stock markets from around the world. Using a panel of 36 countries, representing developed, emerging and Islamic countries for the period from 2000 to 2016, the study finds that low-frequency market volatility is lower for Islamic countries and, markets with more number of listed companies, higher market capitalization relative to GDP and larger variability in industrial production. The study also finds that low-frequency component of volatility is greater when the macroeconomic factors of GDP, unemployment, short-term interest rates, inflation, money supply and foreign exchange rates are more volatile. The empirical results are robust to various alternative specifications and split sample analyses. The findings imply that religiosity has an influence on the correction of market volatility and investors may consider the Islamic stocks to diversify their risks.

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