scholarly journals The North Atlantic Warming Hole as Part of a Century-Long Fluctuating Phenomenon

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arnold Taylor
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Temperature Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Meridional Circulation ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
The North ◽  
Published Evidence ◽  
North Atlantic Climate ◽  
The North Atlantic

Despite global warming, a region of the North Atlantic has been observed to cool, a phenomenon known as theáNorth Atlantic Warming Holeá(NAWH). The causes of the NAWH remain under debate but its emergence has been linked to a slowdown of the meridional circulation leading to a reduced ocean heat transport into the warming hole region. This note uses previously published evidence to suggest that the pattern of temperature change is not unique but may have been a recurring feature during the last century and a half, fluctuating between a positive and negative phase. It appears global warming has amplified one of these phases in the North Atlantic climate.

scholarly journals Impact of Anomalous Ocean Heat Transport on the North Atlantic Oscillation

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (23) ◽  
pp. 4955-4969 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabio D’Andrea ◽  
Arnaud Czaja ◽  
John Marshall
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Wind Driven Circulation ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

Abstract Coupled atmosphere–ocean dynamics in the North Atlantic is studied by means of a simple model, featuring a baroclinic three-dimensional atmosphere coupled to a slab ocean. Anomalous oceanic heat transport due to wind-driven circulation is parameterized in terms of a delayed response to the change in wind stress curl due to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Climate variability for different strengths of ocean heat transport efficiency is analyzed. Two types of behavior are found depending on time scale. At interdecadal and longer time scales, a negative feedback is found that leads to a reduction in the spectral power of the NAO. By greatly increasing the efficiency of ocean heat transport, the NAO in the model can be made to completely vanish from the principal modes of variability at low frequency. This suggests that the observed NAO variability at these time scales must be due to mechanisms other than the interaction with wind-driven circulation. At decadal time scales, a coupled oscillation is found in which SST and geopotential height fields covary.

scholarly journals Reduction in Ocean Heat Transport at 26°N since 2008 Cools the Eastern Subpolar Gyre of the North Atlantic Ocean

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (5) ◽  
pp. 1677-1689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry L. Bryden ◽  
William E. Johns ◽  
Brian A. King ◽  
Gerard McCarthy ◽  
Elaine L. McDonagh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic Current ◽  
The North ◽  
Heat Uptake ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Atlantic Current

AbstractNorthward ocean heat transport at 26°N in the Atlantic Ocean has been measured since 2004. The ocean heat transport is large—approximately 1.25 PW, and on interannual time scales it exhibits surprisingly large temporal variability. There has been a long-term reduction in ocean heat transport of 0.17 PW from 1.32 PW before 2009 to 1.15 PW after 2009 (2009–16) on an annual average basis associated with a 2.5-Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) drop in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). The reduction in the AMOC has cooled and freshened the upper ocean north of 26°N over an area following the offshore edge of the Gulf Stream/North Atlantic Current from the Bahamas to Iceland. Cooling peaks south of Iceland where surface temperatures are as much as 2°C cooler in 2016 than they were in 2008. Heat uptake by the atmosphere appears to have been affected particularly along the path of the North Atlantic Current. For the reduction in ocean heat transport, changes in ocean heat content account for about one-quarter of the long-term reduction in ocean heat transport while reduced heat uptake by the atmosphere appears to account for the remainder of the change in ocean heat transport.

scholarly journals Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongshi Zhang ◽  
Xiangyu Li ◽  
Chuncheng Guo ◽  
Odd Helge Otterå ◽  
Kerim H. Nisancioglu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Surface Warming ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract. In the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (PlioMIP2), coupled climate models have been used to simulate an interglacial climate during the mid-Piacenzian warm period (mPWP, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma). Here, we compare the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), poleward ocean heat transport and sea surface warming in the Atlantic simulated with these models. In PlioMIP2, all models simulate an intensified mid-Pliocene AMOC. However, there is no consistent response in the simulated Atlantic ocean heat transport, or the depth of the Atlantic overturning cell. The models show a large spread in the simulated AMOC maximum, the Atlantic ocean heat transport, as well as the surface warming in the North Atlantic. Although a few models simulate a surface warming of ~ 8–12 ° in the North Atlantic, similar to the reconstruction from Pliocene Research, Interpretation and Synoptic Mapping (PRISM), most models underestimate this warming. The large model-spread and model-data discrepancies in the PlioMIP2 ensemble does not support the hypothesis that an intensification of the AMOC, together with an increase in northward ocean heat transport, is the dominant forcing for the mid-Pliocene warm climate.

scholarly journals Atlantic Ocean Heat Transport Influences Interannual-to-Decadal Surface Temperature Predictability in the North Atlantic Region

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (17) ◽  
pp. 6763-6782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonard F. Borchert ◽  
Wolfgang A. Müller ◽  
Johanna Baehr
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic Region ◽  
Atlantic Region ◽  
Northeast Atlantic ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

An analysis of a three-member ensemble of initialized coupled simulations with the MPI-ESM-LR covering the period 1901–2010 shows that Atlantic northward ocean heat transport (OHT) at 50°N influences surface temperature variability in the North Atlantic region for several years. Three to ten years after strong OHT phases at 50°N, a characteristic pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies emerges: warm anomalies are found in the North Atlantic and cold anomalies emerge in the Gulf Stream region. This pattern originates from persistent upper-ocean heat content anomalies that originate from southward-propagating OHT anomalies in the North Atlantic. Interannual-to-decadal SST predictability of yearly initialized hindcasts is linked to this SST pattern: when ocean heat transport at 50°N is strong at the initialization of a hindcast, SST anomaly correlation coefficients in the northeast Atlantic at lead years 2–9 are significantly higher than when the ocean heat transport at 50°N is weak at initialization. Surface heat fluxes that mask the predictable low-frequency oceanic variability that influences SSTs in the northwest Atlantic after strong OHT phases, and in the northwest and northeast Atlantic after weak OHT phases at 50°N lead to zonally asymmetrically predictable SSTs 7–9 years ahead. This study shows that the interannual-to-decadal predictability of North Atlantic SSTs depends strongly on the strength of subpolar ocean heat transport at the start of a prediction, indicating that physical mechanisms need to be taken into account for actual temperature predictions.

scholarly journals Atlantic meridional ocean heat transport at 26° N: impact on subtropical ocean heat content variability

Ocean Science ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 1057-1069 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Sonnewald ◽  
J. J.-M. Hirschi ◽  
R. Marsh ◽  
E. L. McDonagh ◽  
B. A. King
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Ocean Heat Content ◽  
Box Model ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract. Local climate is significantly affected by changes in the oceanic heat content on a range of timescales. This variability is driven by heat fluxes from both the atmosphere and the ocean. In the Atlantic the meridional overturning circulation is the main contributor to the oceanic meridional heat transport for latitudes south of about 50° N. The RAPID project has been successfully monitoring the Atlantic meridional overturning at 26° N since 2004. This study demonstrates how these data can be used to estimate the variability of the basin-wide ocean heat content in the upper 800 m between 26° and 36° N. Traditionally the atmosphere is seen to dominate the ocean heat content variability. However, previous studies have looked at smaller areas in the Gulf Stream region, finding that the ocean dominates deseasoned fluctuations of ocean heat content, while studies of the whole North Atlantic region suggest that the atmosphere may be dominant. In our study we use a box model to investigate fluctuations of the ocean heat content in the subtropical North Atlantic between 26° and 36° N. The box model approach is validated using 19 yr of high-resolution general circulation model (GCM) data. We find that in both the GCM- and RAPID-based data the ocean heat transport dominates the deseasoned heat content variability, while the atmosphere's impact on the ocean heat content evolution stabilizes after 6 months. We demonstrate that the utility of the RAPID data goes beyond monitoring the overturning circulation at 26° N, and that it can be used to better understand the causes of ocean heat content variability in the North Atlantic. We illustrate this for a recent decrease in ocean heat content which was observed in the North Atlantic in 2009 and 2010. Our results suggest that most of this ocean heat content reduction can be explained by a reduction of the meridional ocean heat transport during this period.

scholarly journals Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 529-543
Author(s):  
Zhongshi Zhang ◽  
Xiangyu Li ◽  
Chuncheng Guo ◽  
Odd Helge Otterå ◽  
Kerim H. Nisancioglu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Surface Warming ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract. In the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2), coupled climate models have been used to simulate an interglacial climate during the mid-Piacenzian warm period (mPWP; 3.264 to 3.025 Ma). Here, we compare the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), poleward ocean heat transport and sea surface warming in the Atlantic simulated with these models. In PlioMIP2, all models simulate an intensified mid-Pliocene AMOC. However, there is no consistent response in the simulated Atlantic ocean heat transport nor in the depth of the Atlantic overturning cell. The models show a large spread in the simulated AMOC maximum, the Atlantic ocean heat transport and the surface warming in the North Atlantic. Although a few models simulate a surface warming of ∼ 8–12 ∘C in the North Atlantic, similar to the reconstruction from Pliocene Research, Interpretation and Synoptic Mapping (PRISM) version 4, most models appear to underestimate this warming. The large model spread and model–data discrepancies in the PlioMIP2 ensemble do not support the hypothesis that an intensification of the AMOC, together with an increase in northward ocean heat transport, is the dominant mechanism for the mid-Pliocene warm climate over the North Atlantic.

scholarly journals Glacial fluctuations of the Indian monsoon and their relationship with North Atlantic climate: new data and modelling experiments

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 2135-2151 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Marzin ◽  
N. Kallel ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
J.-C. Duplessy ◽  
P. Braconnot
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Indian Monsoon ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The North ◽  
North Atlantic Climate ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract. Several paleoclimate records such as from Chinese loess, speleothems or upwelling indicators in marine sediments present large variations of the Asian monsoon system during the last glaciation. Here, we present a new record from the northern Andaman Sea (core MD77-176) which shows the variations of the hydrological cycle of the Bay of Bengal. The high-resolution record of surface water δ18O dominantly reflects salinity changes and displays large millennial-scale oscillations over the period 40 000 to 11 000 yr BP. Their timing and sequence suggests that events of high (resp. low) salinity in the Bay of Bengal, i.e. weak (resp. strong) Indian monsoon, correspond to cold (resp. warm) events in the North Atlantic and Arctic, as documented by the Greenland ice core record. We use the IPSL_CM4 Atmosphere-Ocean coupled General Circulation Model to study the processes that could explain the teleconnection between the Indian monsoon and the North Atlantic climate. We first analyse a numerical experiment in which such a rapid event in the North Atlantic is obtained under glacial conditions by increasing the freshwater flux in the North Atlantic, which results in a reduction of the intensity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. This freshwater hosing results in a weakening of the Indian monsoon rainfall and circulation. The changes in the continental runoff and local hydrological cycle are responsible for an increase in salinity in the Bay of Bengal. This therefore compares favourably with the new sea water δ18O record presented here and the hypothesis of synchronous cold North Atlantic and weak Indian monsoon events. Additional sensitivity experiments are produced with the LMDZ atmospheric model to analyse the teleconnection mechanisms between the North Atlantic and the Indian monsoon. The changes over the tropical Atlantic are shown to be essential in triggering perturbations of the subtropical jet over Africa and Eurasia, that in turn affect the intensity of the Indian monsoon. These relationships are also found to be valid in additional coupled model simulations in which the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is forced to resume.

scholarly journals The North Atlantic Eddy Heat Transport and Its Relation with the Vertical Tilting of the Gulf Stream Axis

2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 1281-1289 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. Treguier ◽  
C. Lique ◽  
J. Deshayes ◽  
J. M. Molines
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Model ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Gulf Stream ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
The North ◽  
Spatial Shift ◽  
Eddy Heat Flux ◽  
Eddy Heat Transport ◽  
The North Atlantic

AbstractCorrelations between temperature and velocity fluctuations are a significant contribution to the North Atlantic meridional heat transport, especially at the northern boundary of the subtropical gyre. In satellite observations and in a numerical model at ⅞° resolution, a localized pattern of positive eddy heat flux is found northwest of the Gulf Stream, downstream of its separation at Cape Hatteras. It is confined to the upper 500 m. A simple kinematic model of a meandering jet can explain the surface eddy flux, taking into account a spatial shift between the maximum velocity of the jet and the maximum cross-jet temperature gradient. In the Gulf Stream such a spatial shift results from the nonlinear temperature profile and the vertical tilting of the velocity profile with depth. The numerical model suggests that the meandering of the Gulf Stream could account, at least in part, for the large eddy heat transport (of order 0.3 PW) near 36°N in the North Atlantic and for its compensation by the mean flow.

scholarly journals Understanding Bjerknes Compensation in Meridional Heat Transports and the Role of Freshwater in a Warming Climate

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (12) ◽  
pp. 4791-4806 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qianzi Yang ◽  
Yingying Zhao ◽  
Qin Wen ◽  
Jie Yao ◽  
Haijun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Box Model ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
The North ◽  
Warming Climate ◽  
Transient Period ◽  
The North Atlantic

The Bjerknes compensation (BJC) under global warming is studied using a simple box model and a coupled Earth system model. The BJC states the out-of-phase changes in the meridional atmosphere and ocean heat transports. Results suggest that the BJC can occur during the transient period of global warming. During the transient period, the sea ice melting in the high latitudes can cause a significant weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), resulting in a cooling in the North Atlantic. The meridional contrast of sea surface temperature would be enhanced, and this can eventually enhance the Hadley cell and storm-track activities in the Northern Hemisphere. Accompanied by changes in both ocean and atmosphere circulations, the northward ocean heat transport in the Atlantic is decreased while the northward atmosphere heat transport is increased, and the BJC occurs in the Northern Hemisphere. Once the freshwater influx into the North Atlantic Ocean stops, or the ocean even loses freshwater because of strong heating in the high latitudes, the AMOC would recover. Both the atmosphere and ocean heat transports would be enhanced, and they can eventually recover to the state of the control run, leading to the BJC to become invalid. The above processes are clearly demonstrated in the coupled model CO2 experiment. Since it is difficult to separate the freshwater effect from the heating effect in the coupled model, a simple box model is used to understand the BJC mechanism and freshwater’s role under global warming. In a warming climate, the freshwater flux into the ocean can cool the global surface temperature, mitigating the temperature rise. Box model experiments indicate clearly that it is the freshwater flux into the North Atlantic that causes out-of-phase changes in the atmosphere and ocean heat transports, which eventually plays a stabilizing role in global climate change.

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