scholarly journals Method for Gauging Usage Opportunities for Partially Automated Vehicles with Application to Public Travel Survey Data Sets

2017 ◽  
Vol 2625 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-50
Author(s):  
Kenneth P. Laberteaux ◽  
Karim Hamza ◽  
Alan Berger ◽  
Casey L. Brown
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Automated Driving ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Travel Survey ◽  
Human Driver ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Light Duty Vehicle ◽  
Vehicle Automation

Vehicle automation has garnered a significant amount of interest in recent years. When the automated driving (AD) capability of a vehicle is assessed, it is important to distinguish between full automation, in which no human driver is required, and partial automation, in which a human driver may be required to intervene or take control of the vehicle occasionally for portions of the trip. This paper presents a method for assessing usage opportunities of partial AD in light-duty vehicle fleets. Key assumptions are that ( a) the longer the time fraction of driving in which AD is active, the better, and ( b) drivers will value having longer contiguous sections of AD-active time over having to frequently regain vehicle control. Given second-by-second records of real-world driving trips, the method uses a fuzzy inference system to estimate the fraction of driving time at a certain quality-of-use level. Performing the quality-of-use assessment for all trips and vehicles in a representative data set can then provide insight into the fraction of the population that would likely find partial AD desirable. To demonstrate the proposed method, data on vehicle trips from public travel surveys in California (California Household Travel Survey) and Atlanta, Georgia (Atlanta Regional Commission Travel Survey), were used along with simplified prototypical models for partial AD. Simulation results were generally in agreement with common perceptions but showed a wide range of possibilities, which could have been narrowed down further when more detailed trip data became available.

COVID-19 Outbreak Prediction with Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sina Faizollahzadeh Ardabili ◽  
Amir Mosavi ◽  
Pedram Ghamisi ◽  
Filip Ferdinand ◽  
Annamaria R. Varkonyi-Koczy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Complex Nature ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Standard Models ◽  
High Level

Several outbreak prediction models for COVID-19 are being used by officials around the world to make informed-decisions and enforce relevant control measures. Among the standard models for COVID-19 global pandemic prediction, simple epidemiological and statistical models have received more attention by authorities, and they are popular in the media. Due to a high level of uncertainty and lack of essential data, standard models have shown low accuracy for long-term prediction. Although the literature includes several attempts to address this issue, the essential generalization and robustness abilities of existing models needs to be improved. This paper presents a comparative analysis of machine learning and soft computing models to predict the COVID-19 outbreak as an alternative to SIR and SEIR models. Among a wide range of machine learning models investigated, two models showed promising results (i.e., multi-layered perceptron, MLP, and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system, ANFIS). Based on the results reported here, and due to the highly complex nature of the COVID-19 outbreak and variation in its behavior from nation-to-nation, this study suggests machine learning as an effective tool to model the outbreak. This paper provides an initial benchmarking to demonstrate the potential of machine learning for future research. Paper further suggests that real novelty in outbreak prediction can be realized through integrating machine learning and SEIR models.

Safety Enhancement by Automated Driving: What are the Relevant Scenarios?

2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 1686-1690
Author(s):  
Niklas Grabbe ◽  
Michael Höcher ◽  
Alexander Thanos ◽  
Klaus Bengler
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Test Cases ◽  
Automated Driving ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
Human Driver ◽  
Driving Task ◽  
Promising Solution ◽  
Vehicle Automation ◽  
Safety Enhancement

Automated driving offers great possibilities in traffic safety advancement. However, evidence of safety cannot be provided by current validation methods. One promising solution to overcome the approval trap (Winner, 2015) could be the scenario-based approach. Unfortunately, this approach still results in a huge number of test cases. One possible way out is to show the current, incorrect path in the argumentation and strategy of vehicle automation, and focus on the systemic mechanisms of road traffic safety. This paper therefore argues the case for defining relevant scenarios and analysing them systemically in order to ultimately reduce the test cases. The relevant scenarios are based on the strengths and weaknesses, in terms of the driving task, for both the human driver and automation. Finally, scenarios as criteria for exclusion are being proposed in order to systemically assess the contribution of the human driver and automation to road safety.

Virtual fit evaluation of pants using the Adaptive Network Fuzzy Inference System

2021 ◽  
pp. 004051752110205
Author(s):  
Xueqing Zhao ◽  
Ke Fan ◽  
Xin Shi ◽  
Kaixuan Liu
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Test Accuracy ◽  
Adaptive Network ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Second Stage ◽  
Simulated Environment ◽  
Two Stages ◽  
Fold Cross Validation

Virtual reality is a technology that allows users to completely interact with a computer-simulated environment, and put on new clothes to check the effect without taking off their clothes. In this paper, a virtual fit evaluation of pants using the Adaptive Network Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), VFE-ANFIS for short, is proposed. There are two stages of the VFE-ANFIS: training and evaluation. In the first stage, we trained some key pressure parameters by using the VFE-ANFIS; these key pressure parameters were collected from real try-on and virtual try-on of pants by users. In the second stage, we evaluated the fit by using the trained VFE-ANFIS, in which some key pressure parameters of pants from a new user were determined and we output the evaluation results, fit or unfit. In addition, considering the small number of input samples, we used the 10-fold cross-validation method to divide the data set into a training set and a testing set; the test accuracy of the VFE-ANFIS was 94.69% ± 2.4%, and the experimental results show that our proposed VFE-ANFIS could be applied to the virtual fit evaluation of pants.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Techniques for river flow forecasting in the Seyhan River Catchment, Turkey

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 1369-1406 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Firat
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Flow Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
River Flow Forecasting ◽  
Best Fit

Abstract. The use of Artificial Intelligence methods is becoming increasingly common in the modeling and forecasting of hydrological and water resource processes. In this study, applicability of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods, Generalized Regression Neural Networks (GRNN) and Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNN), for forecasting of daily river flow is investigated and the Seyhan catchment, located in the south of Turkey, is chosen as a case study. Totally, 5114 daily river flow data are obtained from river flow gauges station of Üçtepe (1818) on Seyhan River between the years 1986 and 2000. The data set are divided into three subgroups, training, testing and verification. The training and testing data set include totally 5114 daily river flow data and the number of verification data points is 731. The river flow forecasting models having various input structures are trained and tested to investigate the applicability of ANFIS and ANN methods. The results of ANFIS, GRNN and FFNN models for both training and testing are evaluated and the best fit forecasting model structure and method is determined according to criteria of performance evaluation. The best fit model is also trained and tested by traditional statistical methods and the performances of all models are compared in order to get more effective evaluation. Moreover ANFIS, GRNN and FFNN models are also verified by verification data set including 731 daily river flow data at the time period 1998–2000 and the results of models are compared. The results demonstrate that ANFIS model is superior to the GRNN and FFNN forecasting models, and ANFIS can be successfully applied and provide high accuracy and reliability for daily River flow forecasting.

scholarly journals Aplikasi Pengambilan Keputusan dengan Metode Tsukamoto pada Penentuan Tingkat Kepuasan pelanggan

CAUCHY ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Venny Riana Riana Agustin ◽  
Wahyu Henky Irawan
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Fuzzy Rules ◽  
Quality Of Services ◽  
Inference System ◽  
A Value ◽  
Fuzzy Logic Analysis

Tsukamoto method is one method of fuzzy inference system on fuzzy logic for decision making. Steps of the decision making in this method, namely fuzzyfication (process changing the input into kabur), the establishment of fuzzy rules, fuzzy logic analysis, defuzzyfication (affirmation), as well as the conclusion and interpretation of the results. The results from this research are steps of the decision making in Tsukamoto method, namely fuzzyfication (process changing the input into kabur), the establishment of fuzzy rules by the general form IF a is A THEN B is B, fuzzy logic analysis to get alpha in every rule, defuzzyfication (affirmation) by weighted average method, as well as the conclusion and interpretation of the results. On customers at the case, in value of 16 the quality of services, the value of 17 the quality of goods, and value of 16 a price, a value of the results is 45,29063 and the level is low satisfaction

scholarly journals Economic Security Threat Modelling of a Commercial Bank in a Globalized Economy

2020 ◽  
pp. 142-151
Author(s):  
О.V. Dymchenko ◽  
О.О. Rudachenko ◽  
P. Gazzola
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Security Threat ◽  
Research Information ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Security Research ◽  
Threat Modelling

In the paper, one develops a set of models for diagnosing threats to the economic security of a commercial bank, which allows improving the quality of decisions forming and making on managing the safe functioning and development of the bank. The bank's economic security research system has been developed, it includes 3 main blocks: research information space creation; assessment and analysis of the security of a commercial bank; generalization, and formation of decisions on the economic security of a commercial bank. The research made it possible to draw an inference of a theoretical, methodological, and applied nature that reflects the solution of the tasks set following the purpose of the study. A set of models has been built with modern tools of economic and mathematical modelling to improve the quality of decisions made to manage the bank's security and reduce the risks of threats. A model for calculating the bank's economic security indicator has been developed, which includes the following main stages: the construction of a structural scheme taking into account the rules of the theory of banking functioning security, then the terms and their membership functions are set for each input and output variable of the fuzzy inference system under consideration. Results of the response surface for the model are shown in the figure on the graphs of the dependence of the bank's economic security indicator on various input components. The paper requires that it is convenient to diagnose the state of economic security of a bank using fuzzy logic, this allows getting a clear quantitative representation of economic security state of the bank, as the indicators used for diagnostics may be indistinct and approximate and this a priori cannot give an adequate result when accurately calculated.

Real-Time Control of a Rotary Inverted Pendulum using Robust LQR-based ANFIS Controller

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 379-389 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ishan Chawla ◽  
Ashish Singla
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Inverted Pendulum ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Sliding Mode ◽  
Linear Quadratic Regulator ◽  
Linear Quadratic ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Lqr Controller ◽  
Rotary Inverted Pendulum

AbstractFrom the last five decades, inverted pendulum (IP) has been considered as a benchmark problem in the control literature due to its inherit nature of instability, non-linearity and underactuation. Its applicability in wide range of practical systems, demands the need of a robust controller. It is found in the literature that wide range of controllers had been tested on this problem, out of which the most robust being sliding mode controller while the most optimal being linear quadratic regulator (LQR) controller. The former has a problem of discontinuity and chattering, while the latter lacks the property of robustness. To address the robustness issue in LQR controller, this paper proposes a novel robust LQR-based adaptive neural based fuzzy inference system controller, which is a hybrid of LQR and fuzzy inference system. The proposed controller is designed and implemented on rotary inverted pendulum. Further, to validate the robustness of proposed controller to parametric uncertainties, pendulum mass is varied. Simulation and experimental results show that as compared to LQR controller, the proposed controller is robust to variations in pendulum mass and has shown satisfactory performance.

Embracing Macro-, Meso-, and Micro-Levels of Analysis of FIS-Based LMS Users' Quality of Interaction

2015 ◽  
pp. 355-387
Keyword(s):  
Online Education ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Systemic Approach ◽  
Levels Of Analysis ◽  
Independent Group ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Objective Interpretation ◽  
Learning Functions

An essential factor in determining the efficiency of the online education is the users' quality of interaction (QoI) with LMSs. In this chapter, the macro-meso-micro structure analysis is adopted, to examine the Fuzzy Inference System (FIS)-based approach of QoI, taking into account the LMS users' (professors' and students') interactions within a b-learning environment, in order to quantitatively estimate a normalized index of their QoI, accordingly. Additionally, for capturing the dynamics of the users interacting with the LMS, the data corresponding to a 51-week LMS Moodle usage time-period of two consequent academic years (2009/2010 and 2010/2011) at a HEI were analyzed. Finally, based on a systemic approach of the derived QoI, user-dependent/independent (group-like) (dis)similarities in LMS interaction trends, correlations, distributions and dependencies with the time-period of the LMS use are analyzed, towards an effort to contribute to a more objective interpretation of the way LMS Moodle-based b-learning functions within the HEIs.

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