scholarly journals RISK DIVERSIFICATION IN ASEAN-5 FINANCIAL MARKETS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS IN THE CONTEXT OF THE GLOBAL PANDEMIC (COVID-19)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rita Silva ◽  
◽  
Rui Dias ◽  
Paula Heliodoro ◽  
Paulo Alexandre ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
World Health ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Risk Diversification ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
Regional Markets

The World Health Organization (WHO) has designated the new coronavirus infection as a global pandemic, based on the risk of contagion, and the number of confirmed cases in more than 195 countries. COVID-19 has an intense impact on the global economy, resulting from uncertainty and pessimism, with adverse effects on financial markets. Due to these events, this essay aims to estimate if the portfolio’s diversification is feasible in the financial markets of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand (ASEAN-5), in the context of the global pandemic (Covid-19), regarding the period of July 1, 2019, to July 22, 2020. To achieve such an analysis, is intended to provide answers for two questions, namely: i) the global pandemic (Covid-19) has accentuated financial integration between the ASEAN-5 markets? ii) If so, can the persistence of returns affect the risk diversification of portfolios? The results obtained suggest that those regional markets present accentuated levels of integration. However, the Singapore's stock market index does not show any level of integration, indicating that the implementation of portfolio’s diversification strategies can be considered; however, the same can no longer be evident for the other ASEAN-5 markets. Additionally, we verified that the ASEAN-5 markets indicate persistence in returns, that is, the presence of accentuated long memories, except for the Singapore market (SGX). These findings show that prices do not fully reflect the information available and that changes in prices are not independent and identically distributed. This situation is found for investors, since some returns can be expected, creating opportunities for arbitrage and abnormal earnings. Corroborating the trendless cross-correlation coefficients (𝜆𝐷𝐶𝐶𝐴), proven evidence coefficients, mostly, suggest the existence of risk transmission between markets. In conclusion, the authors seek that the implementation of an efficient diversification strategy for portfolios requires agreement with the controversial application. These conclusions also open space for the regulators of these regional markets to take measures to ensure better information between these markets and international markets.

FINANCIAL MARKET INTEGRATION OF ASEAN-5 WITH CHINA: AN ECONOPHYSICS APPROACH

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Dias ◽  
◽  
Paula Heliodoro ◽  
Paulo Alexandre ◽  
Cristina Vasco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
International Markets ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Stock Market Crash ◽  
Regional Markets

The main objective of this research is to estimate whether portfolio diversification is feasible in the financial markets of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (ASEAN-5), and the market of China, in the context of the stock market crash in China in 2015. The purpose is to answer two questions, namely whether: (i) has the stock market crash in China increased financial integration in the ASEAN-5 financial markets and China? (ii) If the presence of long memories may put in question the diversification of portfolios? The results suggest that these markets are segmented, except for Malaysia/Singapore, bi-directional, and China/Filipinas, pre-crash. However, when analysing the stock market crash period, the results indicate 16 integrated market pairs with structure breakdown (in 30 possible). When compared with the previous sub-period it was found that during the stock market crash the level of financial integration increased significantly (533%). In the post-crash period, there were right integrated market pairs with broken structure. When compared to the crash period, the level of integration decreased in 50%. In addition, we observed that during the stock market crash these Asian markets did not have long memories, except for the Malaysian market, which reveals some predictability, that is, the increase in integration does not lead to persistence in these Asian markets. In conclusion, the ASEAN-5 markets and China mostly exhibit strong signs of efficiency in their weak form. The authors consider that the implementation of portfolio diversification strategies is beneficial for investors. These conclusions also open space for market regulators to take action to ensure better information between these regional markets and international markets.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 ON THE FINANCIAL MARKETS: EVIDENCE FROM G7

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paula Heliodoro ◽  
◽  
Rui Dias ◽  
Paulo Alexandre ◽  
Maria Manuel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
Canadian Market ◽  
Stock Indexes ◽  
The Impact

This essay aims to analyse the impact of the 2020 global pandemic on the stock indexes of France (CAC 40), Germany (DAX 30), USA (DOW JONES), United Kingdom (FTSE 100), Italy (FTSE MID), Japan (Nikkei 225) and Canada (TSX 300), from January 2018 to June 2020, with the sample being divided into two sub periods: first sub period from January 2018 to August 2019 (Pre-Covid); second period from September 2019 to June 2020 (Covid-19). In order to carry out this analysis, different approaches were taken in order to analyse whether: (i) the global pandemic (Covid-19) increased the persistence of the G7 financial markets? In the Pre-Covid period, we can verify the presence of long memories in the Canadian market (TSX), while the markets in France (CAC 40) and Italy (FTSE MID) show signs of balance, since the random walk hypothesis was not rejected. The German (DAX 30), USA (DJI), United Kingdom (FTSE 100) and Japan (NIKKEI 225) markets have anti-persistence (0 <α <0.5). In period II, the Covid-19-time scale is contained, and we verified the presence of significant long memories, except for the US stock index (0.49). These findings make it possible to show that the assumption of the market efficiency hypothesis may be called into question, because these markets are predictable, which validate the research question. The results of the pDCCA correlation coefficients, in the Pre-Covid period, show 14 pairs of median markets (0.333 → ≌ 0.666). We can also see 7 pairs of markets with strong correlation coefficients (0.666 → ≌ 1,000), showing that these markets have a tendency towards integration, this evidence may call into question the hypothesis of portfolio diversification. In period II (Covid-19) the λ_DCCA correlation coefficients have 7 strong market pairs (0.666 → ≌ 1,000), 5 pairs have weak pDCCA coefficient (0.000 → ≌ 0.333), 5 market pairs show anti-correlation (-1.000 → ≌ 0.000), and 4 market pairs show median coefficients (pDCCA) (0.333 → ≌ 0.666) (out of 21 possible). When compared to the previous subperiod, we found that the majority of the pDCCAs decreased, which shows that the markets have decreased their integration, making it possible to diversify portfolios in certain markets, especially in the Japanese market (NIKKEI 225). These conclusions open space for market regulators to take measures to ensure better informational information, in the stock markets, in the 7 most advanced economies in the world.

THE SHOCKS BETWEEN OIL MARKET TO THE BRIC STOCK MARKETS: A GENERALIZED VAR APPROACH

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Dias ◽  
◽  
Paula Heliodoro ◽  
Paulo Alexandre ◽  
Cristina Vasco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Normal Distributions ◽  
Oil Market ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
Arbitrage Opportunities ◽  
Market Shocks ◽  
The Impact

The pandemic (Covid-19) has affected the global economy, and the impact on financial markets seems inevitable. In view of these events, this essay aims to analyse the shocks between the stock market indices of Brazil (BOVESPA), China (SSEC) India (SENSEX), Russia (IMOEX) and oil (WTC), in the period from January 2, 2019 to May 29, 2020. In order to carry out this analysis, different approaches were undertaken with a view to gauging whether (i) the global pandemic has accentuated the shocks between the BRIC financial markets and the WTC? The daily yields do not have normal distributions, show negative asymmetries, leptokurtic, and exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity. In general, we find evidence that the WTC causes the markets of Russia and India, China does not cause any market, and Brazil is not caused by any market analysed. On the other hand, short-term market shocks are relevant and create some arbitrage opportunities. However, our study did not analyse anomalous returns in these financial markets. These findings also open space for market regulators to take action to ensure better information between international financial markets.

scholarly journals COVID-19 pandemic: A review of the global lockdown and its far-reaching effects

2021 ◽  
Vol 104 (2) ◽  
pp. 003685042110198
Author(s):  
Helen Onyeaka ◽  
Christian K Anumudu ◽  
Zainab T Al-Sharify ◽  
Esther Egele-Godswill ◽  
Paul Mbaegbu
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Health ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
The World ◽  
Education Delivery ◽  
Environmental Air ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
Almost All ◽  
The Impact

COVID-19, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on the 11th of March 2020, leading to some form of lockdown across almost all countries of the world. The extent of the global pandemic due to COVID-19 has a significant impact on our lives that must be studied carefully to combat it. This study highlights the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown on crucial aspects of daily life globally, including; Food security, Global economy, Education, Tourism, hospitality, sports and leisure, Gender Relation, Domestic Violence/Abuse, Mental Health and Environmental air pollution through a systematic search of the literature. The COVID-19 global lockdown was initiated to stem the spread of the virus and ‘flatten the curve’ of the pandemic. However, the impact of the lockdown has had far-reaching effects in different strata of life, including; changes in the accessibility and structure of education delivery to students, food insecurity as a result of unavailability and fluctuation in prices, the depression of the global economy, increase in mental health challenges, wellbeing and quality of life amongst others. This review article highlights the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown across the globe. As the global lockdown is being lifted in a phased manner in various countries of the world, it is necessary to explore its impacts to understand its consequences comprehensively. This will guide future decisions that will be made in a possible future wave of the COVID-19 pandemic or other global disease outbreak.

The Fiscal Response to the Global Crisis

2009 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 47-52
Author(s):  
Errol D'Souza
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Crisis ◽  
Fiscal Stimulus ◽  
Subprime Mortgage ◽  
Direct Exposure ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Lack Of Commitment

India's banks had no direct exposure to the subprime mortgage assets. Yet India was affected by the global financial crisis as its economy has significantly integrated with the global economy in the recent past in terms of the globalization of trade and financial integration. The global crisis resulted in a reversal of capital flows to India and a slump in the demand for its exports. This caused a deceleration in growth and the policy response was a fiscal and monetary stimulus that resulted in the fiscal deficit being the highest since 1993–94, the revenue deficit that is the largest ever in India's history, and an aggressive reduction in monetary policy rates. The massive government borrowing programme has resulted in a hardening of the yield on government securities which adversely affects aggregate output. As financial markets have factored in a lack of commitment to fiscal correction, the intentions of the fiscal stimulus have been impeded. The fiscal stimulus lacks sustainability, states Errol D'Souza.

scholarly journals Impact of Covid-19 on the Global Economy and Migration

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 251-260
Author(s):  
Maryam Adli ◽  
Amama Saleem ◽  
Tamima Saleem ◽  
Hawa Adli ◽  
Maria Adli
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
World Health ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Social Challenges ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
The World ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Immigrant Detention ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
The Impact

The World Health Organization stated COVID-19 a global pandemic, it has quickly spread all over the world, posing immense health, environmental and social challenges to the global population. The coronavirus outbreak is critically interrupting the global trade and has shattered the core sustaining pillars of the modern world economies. Concerns have been raised about policy changes, enforcement actions, immigrant detention, and deportation practices during the outbreak. The impact of COVID-19 on these trends implies new dimensions for global governance and organizations. This article seeks to highlight Azerbaijan's problems in the context of the battle against a pandemic. Because a country's economy has been impacted, a comprehensive study may give a better understanding of the results, illuminating the areas that require more assistance and growth.

scholarly journals THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 OUTBREAK

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khakim Gayurov ◽  
◽  
Munira Toshmatova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Health ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Chinese City ◽  
The World ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Do So

According to the World Health Organization, the new coronavirus, which first appeared in the Chinese city of Wuhan in December last year, infected more than 110,000 people in at least 110 countries and territories of the world. The virus outbreak has become one of the most serious threats to the global economy and financial markets. Large institutions and banks have reduced their forecasts for the global economy, and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development is one of the last countries to do so. Meanwhile, concerns about the impact of coronavirus on the global economy have stirred markets around the world: stock prices and bond yields have plummeted. The continued spread of the new coronavirus has become one of the biggest threats to the global economy and financial markets.

scholarly journals COVID-19 Impact on Public Health, Environment, Human Psychology, Global Socioeconomy, and Education

2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Youssef Miyah ◽  
Mohammed Benjelloun ◽  
Sanae Lairini ◽  
Anissa Lahrichi
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
World Health ◽  
Human Psychology ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
Quality Of Water ◽  
The World ◽  
To Come ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
The Impact

The end of the year 2019 was marked by the introduction of a third highly pathogenic coronavirus, after SARS-CoV (2003) and MERS-CoV (2012), in the human population which was officially declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11, 2020. Indeed, the pandemic of COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 19) has evolved at an unprecedented rate: after its emergence in Wuhan, the capital of the province of Hubei of the People's Republic of China, in December 2019, the total number of confirmed cases did not cease growing very quickly in the world. In this manuscript, we have provided an overview of the impact of COVID-19 on health, and we have proposed different nutrients suitable for infected patients to boost their immune systems. On the other hand, we have described the advantages and disadvantages of COVID-19 on the environment including the quality of water, air, waste management, and energy consumption, as well as the impact of this pandemic on human psychology, the educational system, and the global economy. In addition, we have tried to come up with some solutions to counter the negative repercussions of the pandemic.

Inter-linkages and performance of Asian stock markets amidst COVID 2019

2020 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 2050028
Author(s):  
Rajani B. Bhat ◽  
V. N. Suresh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
World Health ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
The World ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
The Impact

The corona virus outbreak, which originated in China, has infected lakhs of people. Its spread has left businesses around the world counting costs. The corona virus is going global, and it could bring the world economy to a standstill. COVID-2019 that began in the depths of China’s Hubei province is spreading rapidly, persuading the World Health Organization to declare it as a pandemic. There are now significant outbreaks from South Korea to Italy and Iran, from America to Britain. The ongoing spread of the new corona virus has become one of the biggest threats to the global economy and financial markets. The economic impact of the COVID-2019 pandemic has introduced extraordinary volatility in global financial markets, as participants are obliged to reassess their valuations of all investments and associated derivatives as the situation develops. In an environment where uncertainty makes it unusually hard to price assets and for market-makers to operate, exchanges are providing the only way to establish consensus on these valuations in real time. Volatility has reached levels comparable with the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, with one-day losses not seen since 1987. The situation is made more challenging by high levels of indebtedness and already low interest rates. The financial markets are all integrated into one as global markets in the current era of globalization. It is important that financial markets remain able to perform their role — providing investors with liquidity, facilitating price discovery, and allowing for risk transfer and the transmission of monetary policy. This study aims at examining the performance of the selected Asian stock markets amidst the times of COVID-2019. This study intends to examine the interlinkages of Asian stock markets selected and to observe the impact of COVID-2019 on these markets. The period of study is from 1st December, 2019 to 31st March, 2020. The tools adopted for the study are correlation, regression, ANOVA and paired sample [Formula: see text] test.

scholarly journals Impact of Covid-19 on Islamic Stock Markets: An Investigation using Threshold Volatility and Event Study Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Irfan ◽  
Salina Kassim ◽  
Sonali Dhimmar
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
World Health ◽  
Global Pandemic ◽  
The World ◽  
Socio Economic Impact ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
The Impact

The Covid-19 is an unexpected event in the world history with substantial socio-economic impact on the global economy. The global financial market was also badly affected as reflected by the extreme volatility as well as weak performances in the stock markets all over the world.  How do the Islamic stock markets in various parts of the world behave during the Covid-19 shock? The objective of this study is to identify the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization on the Islamic stock markets. Using the threshold volatility and event study models, the study analyses the impact of the Covid-19 announcement on the Islamic stock indices in the Indian Stock Exchange (represented by the Bombay Stock Exchange - BSE Shariah Index) and Indonesian Stock Exchange (represented by the Jakarta Islamic Indices - JII). With the date of event identified as 11th March 2020, the event window consists of 60, 30, and 20 days. The results show that the BSE Shariah and JII have positive coefficients, with the BSE Shariah Index shows negative response to the announcement of Covid-19 as global pandemic. On the other hand, the JII reacted positively to the event. The study shows the reaction of a stock exchange is dependent on other economic factors unique to the country, resulting in the events impact of the Covid-19 to vary from one country to another.

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