scholarly journals Resection and permanent intracranial brachytherapy using modular, biocompatible cesium-131 implants: results in 20 recurrent, previously irradiated meningiomas

2019 ◽  
Vol 131 (6) ◽  
pp. 1819-1828 ◽  
Author(s):  
David G. Brachman ◽  
Emad Youssef ◽  
Christopher J. Dardis ◽  
Nader Sanai ◽  
Joseph M. Zabramski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Median Number ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Adjuvant Radiation ◽  
Effective Treatment Option ◽  
Who Grade ◽  
Prior Therapy

OBJECTIVEEffective treatments for recurrent, previously irradiated intracranial meningiomas are limited, and resection alone is not usually curative. Thus, the authors studied the combination of maximum safe resection and adjuvant radiation using permanent intracranial brachytherapy (R+BT) in patients with recurrent, previously irradiated aggressive meningiomas.METHODSPatients with recurrent, previously irradiated meningiomas were treated between June 2013 and October 2016 in a prospective single-arm trial of R+BT. Cesium-131 (Cs-131) radiation sources were embedded in modular collagen carriers positioned in the operative bed on completion of resection. The Cox proportional hazards model with this treatment as a predictive term was used to model its effect on time to local tumor progression.RESULTSNineteen patients (median age 64.5 years, range 50–78 years) with 20 recurrent, previously irradiated tumors were treated. The WHO grade at R+BT was I in 4 (20%), II in 14 (70%), and III in 2 (10%) cases. The median number of prior same-site radiation courses and same-site surgeries were 1 (range 1–3) and 2 (range 1–4), respectively; the median preoperative tumor volume was 11.3 cm3 (range 0.9–92.0 cm3). The median radiation dose from BT was 63 Gy (range 54–80 Gy). At a median radiographic follow-up of 15.4 months (range 0.03–47.5 months), local failure (within 1.5 cm of the implant bed) occurred in 2 cases (10%). The median treatment-site time to progression after R+BT has not been reached; that after the most recent prior therapy was 18.3 months (range 3.9–321.9 months; HR 0.17, p = 0.02, log-rank test). The median overall survival after R+BT was 26 months, with 9 patient deaths (47% of patients). Treatment was well tolerated; 2 patients required surgery for complications, and 2 experienced radiation necrosis, which was managed medically.CONCLUSIONSR+BT utilizing Cs-131 sources in modular carriers represents a potentially safe and effective treatment option for recurrent, previously irradiated aggressive meningiomas.

Results of the randomized phase II portion of NRG Oncology/RTOG 0848 evaluating the addition of erlotinib to adjuvant gemcitabine for patients with resected pancreatic head adenocarcinoma.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4007-4007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Howard Safran ◽  
Kathryn A Winter ◽  
Ross A. Abrams ◽  
William Regine ◽  
Karyn A. Goodman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Pancreatic Head ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Adjuvant Radiation ◽  
Pancreatic Head Cancer ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Kaplan Meier

4007 Background: NRG/RTOG 0848 is a 2-step study designed to determine whether erlotinib (E) added to gemcitabine (G) (randomized Ph II) &/or adjuvant radiation with concurrent 5-FU or capecitabine following 6 months of systemic chemotherapy (Ph III), improve survival in patients (pts) with resected pancreatic head adenocarcinoma. The erlotinib results are reported here. Methods: Eligible pts include those with resected pancreatic head adenocarcinoma, pathologic stage T1-T3, N0-1, M0; PS 0-1, & CA19-9 ≤ 180 IU/L. Pts in Arms 1 & 2 received G 1 gm/m2 weekly for 3 weeks in a 28-day cycle for 6 cycles. Pts in Arm 2 also received E 100 mg/day. The primary hypothesis for the E portion was that G+E would increase overall survival (OS) compared to G alone. With a 1-sided alpha of 0.15, 200 OS events provide 80%/90% power to detect a signal for an increase in median OS from 22 to 28.8/30.6 months (mos). OS was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method & arms compared using the log rank test. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze treatment effect. Results: 336 pts were randomized from 11/17/2009 to 2/28/2014, with 163 pts evaluable for G and 159 for G+E. Median age was 63 years (39-86). Most pts had pathologic T3 disease (78%) & CA19-9 ≤ 90 (93%). There are 32 pts (20%) with grade 4 adverse events (AEs) & 2 pts (1%) with grade 5 AEs on G and 27 (17%) & 3 (2%) on G+E arm, respectively. There are fewer grade ≥ 3 GI AEs on the G arm (22%) as compared to the G+E arm (28%), and 110 (69.2%) & 93 (59.6%) pts received at least 85% of planned G dose for the G & G+E arms, respectively. 58% of E pts received at least 85% of planned E dose. The median follow-up for alive pts is 42.5 mos (min-max: < 1-75). With 203 deaths, median & 3-yr OS (95% CI) are 29.9 mos (21.7-33.4) & 39% (30, 45) for G and 28.1 mos (20.7-30.9) & 39% (31, 47) for G+E; log-rank p = 0.62. The hazard ratio (95% CI) comparing OS of G+E to G is 1.04 (0.79- 1.38). Conclusions: The addition of adjuvant E to G did not provide a signal for increased OS in pts with resected pancreatic head cancer compared to G alone. Accrual to the trial is continuing to answer the Ph III radiation question. Clinical trial information: NCT01013649.

scholarly journals The correlation between gain of chromosome 8q and survival in patients with clear and papillary renal cell carcinoma

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Mehrazin ◽  
Essel Dulaimi ◽  
Robert G. Uzzo ◽  
Karthik Devarjan ◽  
Jianming Pei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Renal Cell ◽  
Cytogenetic Analysis ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Renal Tumors ◽  
Rank Test

Background: The proto-oncogene c-MYC, located on chromosome 8q, can be upregulated through gain of 8q, causing alteration in biology of renal cell carcinoma (RCC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of c-MYC through chromosome 8q gain and to correlate findings with cancer-specific mortality (CSM), and overall survival (OS). Methods: Cytogenetic analysis by conventional or Chromosomal Genomic Microarray Analysis (CMA) was performed on 414 renal tumors. Nonclear and nonpapillary RCC were excluded. Impact of gain in chromosome 8q status on CSM, OS, and its correlation with clinicopathological variables were evaluated. CSM and OS were assessed using log-rank test and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: A total of 297 RCC tumors with cytogenetic analysis were included. Gain of 8q was detected in 18 (6.1%) tumors (9 clear cell and 9 papillary RCC), using conventional method ( n = 11) or CMA ( n = 7). Gain of 8q was associated with higher T stage ( p < 0.001), grade ( p < 0.001), nodal involvement ( p = 0.005), and distant metastasis ( p < 0.001). No association between gain of 8q and age ( p = 0.23), sex ( p = 0.46), and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI, p = 0.59) were seen. Gain of 8q was associated with an 8.38-fold [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.83–18.34, p < 0.001] and 3.31-fold (95% CI, 1.56–7.04, p = 0.001) increase in CSM and decrease in OS, respectively, at a median follow up of 56 months. Conclusion: Chromosome 8q harbors the proto-oncogene c-MYC, which can be upregulated by gain of 8q. Our findings suggest that gain of 8q, can predict aggressive tumor phenotype and inferior survival in RCC.

scholarly journals Blood eosinophils on hospital admission for COPD exacerbation do not predict the recurrence of moderate and severe relapses

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 00543-2020
Author(s):  
Balázs Csoma ◽  
András Bikov ◽  
Ferenc Tóth ◽  
György Losonczy ◽  
Veronika Müller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Forced Expiratory Volume ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Full Blood Count ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Severe Exacerbation ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Exacerbation Of Copd

Background and objectiveThe relationship between hospitalisation with an eosinophilic acute exacerbation of COPD (AE-COPD) and future relapses is unclear. We aimed to explore this association by following 152 patients for 12 months after hospital discharge or until their first moderate or severe flare-up.MethodsPatients hospitalised with AE-COPD were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups based on full blood count results on admission. All patients were treated with a course of systemic corticosteroid. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the association with the time to first re-exacerbation; a generalised linear regression model was applied to identify clinical variables related to the recurrence of relapses.ResultsWe did not find a difference in the time to the next moderate or severe exacerbation between the eosinophilic (≥2% of total leukocytes and/or ≥200 eosinophils·µL−1, n=51, median (interquartile range): 21 (10–36) weeks) and non-eosinophilic groups (n=101, 17 (9–36) weeks, log-rank test: p=0.63). No association was found when other cut-off values (≥3% of total leukocytes and/or ≥300 eosinophils·µL−1) were used for the eosinophilic phenotype. However, the higher number of past severe exacerbations, a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) at discharge and higher pack-years were related to shorter exacerbation-free time. According to a subgroup analysis (n=73), 48.1% of patients with initial eosinophilic exacerbations had non-eosinophilic relapses on readmission.ConclusionsOur data do not support an increased risk of earlier recurring moderate or severe relapses in patients hospitalised with eosinophilic exacerbations of COPD. Eosinophilic severe exacerbations present a variable phenotype.

Tumor IGF-1 expression as a predictive biomarker for IGF1R-directed therapy in advanced pancreatic cancer (APC).

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4054-4054 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milind M. Javle ◽  
Rachna T. Shroff ◽  
Gauri R. Varadhachary ◽  
Robert A. Wolff ◽  
David R. Fogelman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Predictive Biomarker ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Primary Study ◽  
Study Objective ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Hazards Model

4054 Background: IGF-1 up-regulates PC proliferation and invasiveness through activation of PI3K/Akt signaling pathway and down-regulates PTEN. We investigated IGF-1 expression in tissue and blood as potential predictive markers in phase II study of IGF1R-directed monoclonal antibody, MK-0646 in APC. Prior phase I established the MTD of MK0646 at 5 mg/kg with gemcitabine (G) and erlotinib (E) and 10 mg/kg with G alone. Methods: Patients (pts) with stage IV, previously untreated APC, ECOG PS 0-1, adequate hematologic and organ function were enrolled. Arm A: G 1,000 mg/m2 over 100 min, weekly x 3, MK-0646 weekly x 4; Arm B: G 1000 mg/m2 and MK-0646 + E 100 mg daily. Arm C (control) was G 1,000 mg/m2 + E 100 mg. Cycles were repeated every 4 weeks. Pts were equally randomized in the 3 arms. Primary study objective was progression-free survival (PFS). Pre-treatment peripheral blood samples were measured for IGF-1 level by ELISA; archival core biopsies were analyzed for IGF-1 mRNA expression. RNA extraction from FFPE samples used Roche Transcriptor First Strand cDNA Synthesis Kit. TaqMan PreAmp technique was used to amplify target cDNA prior to TaqMan RT-PCR analysis. Cox proportional hazards model for PFS analyzed the interaction between tissue IGF-1 expression and treatment. Results: 50 pts were enrolled (A=15, B=16,C=16 pts, 3 ineligible). Median PFS of arms A, B and C were 5.5 months (95% CI: 3.9 – NA), 3.0 months (95% CI:1.8 – 5.6) and 2.0 months (95% CI: 1.8 – NA), respectively (log-rank test; p = 0.17). Median OS of A was 11.3 months (95% CI: 8.9 – NA), B 8.9 months (95% CI: 5.3 – NA) and C 5.7 months (95% CI: 2.0 – NA) (log-rank test; p = 0.44). 35 archival core biopsies were analyzed, 21 had adequate tissue for analysis. Using a Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model for PFS, where IGF-1 was dichotomized at the median, there was a 76% reduction in the risk of disease progression or death in arm A as compared with the control (arm C) at high IGF-1 level (p = 0.16). When IGF-1 was fitted as a continuous variable, this reduction was 96% (p = 0.08). There was no correlation between tissue and serum IGF-1. Conclusions: Tissue expression of IGF-1 level may represent a promising predictive biomarker for IGF1R-directed therapy in APC.

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia as a prognostic factor in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 324-324
Author(s):  
Motoyasu Kan ◽  
Hiroshi Imaoka ◽  
Masafumi Ikeda ◽  
Shuichi Mitsunaga ◽  
Izumi Ohno ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Prognostic Factor ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Who Grade ◽  
Chemotherapy Induced Neutropenia ◽  
Time Varying Covariates

324 Background: Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia (CIN) has been reported to be associated with a longer survival in patients with various cancers. The aim of our study was to assess whether CIN could also be a prognostic factor in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer receiving treatment with gemcitabine (GEM) and nab-paclitaxel (nab-PTX). Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of pancreatic cancer patients who had been treated with GEM and nab-PTX as first-line chemotherapy. CIN was categorized on the basis of the worst WHO grade during chemotherapy: absent/mild (≦ grade 2), or severe (≧ grade 3). The background characteristics and CIN as time-varying covariates (TVCs) were analyzed as potential prognostic factors using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: We analyzed a total of 291 patients (absent/mild CIN: 116 patients; severe CIN: 174 patients). The median time to severe CIN was 14 days (interquartile range: 10–39 days). The median overall survival (OS) was significantly longer in the severe CIN group than in the absent/mild CIN group (19.2 vs. 11.3 months; p < 0.001) After adjustments, severe CIN was identified as an independent predictor of the OS (HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.38–0.77; p = 0.001). In the TVC model also, severe CIN was identified as an independent factor (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.68–0.92; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Severe CIN was associated with a longer survival in patients with pancreatic cancer treated with GEM and nab-PTX.

Prognostic factors for overall survival with sunitinib as first-line therapy in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC)

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5042-5042
Author(s):  
S. Patil ◽  
R. A. Figlin ◽  
T. E. Hutson ◽  
M. D. Michaelson ◽  
S. Négrier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Type I ◽  
First Line

5042 Background: Sunitinib demonstrated superior progression-free survival (PFS; the primary endpoint) over interferon-alfa (IFN-α) as first-line mRCC therapy (NEJM 2007;356:115). Median overall survival (OS) with sunitinib compared to IFN-α was: 26.4 vs. 21.8 months (HR=0.821; P=0.051 by unstratified log-rank test; Proc ASCO 2008;26, May 20 suppl; abstr 5024). An analysis of prognostic factors for OS was performed on data from this trial. Methods: 750 treatment-naïve mRCC patients were randomized 1:1 to receive sunitinib or IFN-α. By Cox proportional hazards model, selected pretreatment variables were evaluated univariately and in a multivariate model for each treatment arm. Multivariate models for each treatment arm were based on a stepwise algorithm with a type I error of 0.25 for entry and 0.15 for elimination. Further elimination was applied to identify variables significant at P<0.05. Results: In multivariate analysis of sunitinib patients, factors associated with longer OS include: interval from diagnosis to treatment ≥1 yr, ECOG PS of 0, lower corrected calcium, absence of bone metastases, lower lactic dehydrogenase (LDH), and higher hemoglobin (Hgb) ( table ). For the IFN-α treatment arm, male gender, absence of bone or lymph node metastases, lower LDH, higher Hgb, lower corrected calcium, higher neutrophil count, and interval from diagnosis to treatment ≥1 yr were associated with longer OS. Conclusions: For patients in the sunitinib treatment arm, prognostic factors identified were similar to the factors previously identified in the MSKCC risk groups (J Clin Oncol 2002;20:289). Additional prognostic factors were identified for the IFN-α arm. Further studies are warranted to independently validate these findings as well as to identify tumor-specific prognostic factors. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]

Hypertension (HTN) as a potential biomarker of efficacy in patients (pts) with gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) treated with sunitinib (SU).

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 38-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. George ◽  
T. Lechner ◽  
S. Li ◽  
D. P. Cohen ◽  
G. D. Demetri
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Tyrosine Kinases ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Significant Independent Predictor ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Potential Biomarker

38 Background: HTN is a class effect of VEGF signaling pathway inhibitors. SU is a multitargeted inhibitor of VEGFRs and other receptor tyrosine kinases. Associations between SU-induced HTN and efficacy endpoints (OS, PFS, TTP, and ORR) in pts with imatinib-resistant/intolerant GIST from 2 prospective clinical trials were investigated retrospectively. Methods: This analysis included pooled data from 319 pts who received SU and had post-baseline blood pressure (BP) data available. Tumor response data were based on investigator assessments. Most pts (87%) received SU 50 mg/d on the standard 4-wk-on/2-wk-off schedule. BP was measured on the first and last day of dosing in each treatment cycle at a minimum. HTN was defined as max or mean SBP ≥ 140 or DBP ≥ 90 mmHg. OS, PFS, and TTP were estimated by Kaplan—Meier methods and compared between pts with vs. without HTN using the log-rank test. The influence of prognostic risk factors was analyzed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: 233 and 187 pts (73% and 59%) had ≥ 1 HTN episode as defined by max SBP and DBP, respectively. Efficacy results significantly favored pts who developed HTN on SU based on max SBP or DBP (eg, median OS for pts with HTN [max SBP] was 89.4 weeks vs. 53.1 weeks for pts without HTN [p = 0.0001]). Using HTN onset as a time-dependent covariate, HTN defined by max DBP was a significant predictor of prolonged TTP and PFS, and HTN defined by both max SBP and DBP was a significant predictor of prolonged OS (p < 0.05). In multivariate analysis, HTN defined by max SBP or DBP was a significant independent predictor of improved OS, PFS, and TTP (p < 0.0001). Analysis of any-grade and grade ≥3 cerebrovascular, ocular, cardiac, and renal AEs in pts with/without HTN is ongoing and will be presented. Clinical outcomes were not compromised in pts treated with anti-HTN medications. Conclusions: SU-associated HTN was significantly and independently associated with improved clinical outcomes, supporting the hypothesis that HTN is a biomarker for antitumor efficacy in pts with GIST treated with SU. Serial BP monitoring and standard use of anti-HTN medications, which were not shown to compromise efficacy, are recommended during SU therapy. [Table: see text]

CA19-9 decrease at 8 weeks as a predictor of overall survival (OS) in a randomized phase III trial (MPACT) of weekly nab-paclitaxel (nab-P) plus gemcitabine (G) versus G alone in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (MPC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4058-4058 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Gabriela Chiorean ◽  
Daniel D. Von Hoff ◽  
Thomas J. Ervin ◽  
Francis P. Arena ◽  
Jeffrey R. Infante ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
To Receive ◽  
The Relationship

4058^ Background: nab-P + G showed promising efficacy in a phase I/II study in MPC, and decreases in CA19-9 correlated with OS. In MPACT, patients (pts) who received nab-P + G vs G had improved median OS (8.5 vs 6.7 mo; HR 0.72; p = 0.000015), PFS (5.5 vs 3.7 mo; HR 0.69; p = 0.000024) and ORR (23% vs 7%; p = 1.1 × 10−10). Here we present a prespecified exploratory analysis of CA19-9 from the MPACT trial. Methods: 861 previously untreated pts with MPC were randomized 1:1 to receive nab-P 125 mg/m2 + G 1000 mg/m2 days 1, 8, and 15 every 4 weeks or G alone 1000 mg/m2 weekly for 7 weeks followed by a week of rest (cycle 1) and then days 1, 8, and 15 every 4 weeks (cycle ≥ 2). CA19-9 was evaluated at baseline and then every 8 weeks. OS comparisons at different CA19-9 criteria were performed by stratified Cox proportional hazards model (P by stratified log-rank test using randomization criteria). Results: 750 pts had an evaluable CA19-9 at baseline. More pts in the nab-P + G arm vs the G arm demonstrated a best CA19-9 decrease from baseline of ≥ 20% and ≥ 90% (61% vs 44% and 31% vs 14%, respectively; Table). At the first postbaseline assessment (week 8), greater proportions of pts in the nab-P + G arm vs the G arm had CA19-9 decreases of ≥ 20% and ≥ 90% (Table). At that time point, for pts with a decrease of ≥ 20% in CA19-9, nab-P + G demonstrated a significantly longer OS vs G. The risk reduction for pts with a ≥ 90% decrease was greater than in pts with a ≥ 20% decrease. In pts with an 8-week CA19-9 decrease < 20%, median OS for nab-P + G vs G was 8.3 vs 8.0 mo (HR 0.92; p = 0.705). The relationship of CA19-9 kinetics with OS will also be examined. Conclusions: Higher proportions of pts in the nab-P + G arm had CA 19-9 responses of ≥ 20% and ≥ 90% vs the G arm. Pts who achieved a CA19-9 decrease at 8 weeks of ≥ 20% or ≥ 90% had significantly longer OS with nab-P + G than with G. Clinical trial information: NCT00844649. [Table: see text]

Association of morphologic response with progression free survival in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with bevacizumab-based chemotherapy: HGCSG0802.

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 743-743
Author(s):  
Satoshi Yuki ◽  
Hiroshi Nakatsumi ◽  
Hideyuki Hayashi ◽  
Hiraku Fukushima ◽  
Takashi Kato ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
First Line ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Contrast Enhanced Ct ◽  
Morphologic Response

743 Background: It was reported that an optimal morphologic response to preoperative chemotherapy was associated with better overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with colorectal liver metastases (CLM). We investigated association of morphologic response with progression free survival (PFS) in pts with unresectable CLM from HGCSG0802 observational cohort study in pts with mCRC treated with first-line bevacizumab (BV)-based chemotherapy. Methods: The objective of HGCSG0802 was to evaluate PFS, OS, time to treatment failure (TTF), response rate (RR), safety, etc. The key eligibility criteria were evaluable lesions, older than 20 years old, ECOG PS 0-2. Pts with CLM underwent contrast-enhanced CT at the start and every 8-weeks of BV-based chemotherapy. In this analysis, three blinded, independent radiologists evaluated images for morphologic response, based on metastases changing from heterogeneous masses with ill-defined margins into homogeneous hypoattenuating lesions with sharp borders. Association of morphologic response and pts characteristics, RR, and PFS were evaluated. PFS was analyzed with Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of 108 pts (the full analysis set), 73 pts with CLM were evaluable for morphologic criteria. Eighteen pts (24.7%) had optimal morphologic response (OR), 31 (42.5%) had incomplete (IR), and 24 (32.9%) had no response (NR). The pts characteristics between those with OR, IR and NR were generally balanced. The median TTF was 7.2 months in NR versus 7.2 months in IR versus 6.8 months in OR (HR (OR/NR) = 0.91, HR (OR/IR) = 0.90; p = 0.93). RR was 77.8% in OR versus 64.5% in IR and 58.3% in NR (p = 0.528). The median PFS was 8.3 months in NR versus 8.5 months in IR versus 9.1 months in OR (HR (OR/NR) = 0.72, HR (OR/IR) = 1.04; p = 0.420). Conclusions: In this analysis, morphologic response might not be a prognostic marker in first-line BV-based chemotherapy in pts with CLM.

Early carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) dynamics to predict fruquintinib efficacy in FRESCO, a 3+ line metastatic colorectal carcinoma (mCRC) phase III trial.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16001-e16001
Author(s):  
Yuxian Bai ◽  
Shukui Qin ◽  
Jin Li ◽  
Yanhong Deng ◽  
Lei Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Placebo Group ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
P Value ◽  
Radiological Evaluation

e16001 Background: The FRESCO phase 3 trial demonstrated a significant survival benefit with fruquintinib vs. placebo in the third-line or later therapy of mCRC patients. CEA levels are widely used in conjunction with imaging to monitor response to systemic therapy in patients with mCRC. Herein, we undertook post-hoc analyses of FRESCO patient data to investigate the early changes in CEA during treatment, as well as potential relationships with efficacy parameters. Methods: Patients were included if baseline CEA was abnormal according to local lab reference range. Serum CEA levels were measured at baseline and Day 1 of each cycle (except for Cycle 1). Early CEA change was analyzed at first radiological evaluation (C3D1, Week 8), CEA response was defined as ≥ 50% decrease from baseline, and CEA progression was defined as ≥ 100% increase from baseline. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method; hazard ratio (HR) was estimated through Cox proportional hazards model; p-value was generated from log rank test. Results: 88.4% (245/277) and 94.9% (130/137) of patients had an abnormal baseline CEA in the fruquintinib group and placebo group, respectively. Median baseline CEA values were similar between treatment groups. After 2 cycles of treatment, the proportion of patients had CEA response was significantly higher in the fruquintinib group than placebo group (30.0% vs. 1.3%, p < 0.001). In the fruquintinib group, patients with early CEA response (n = 63) had longer median OS (12.8 vs. 7.8 months, HR = 0.45, p < 0.001) and median PFS (5.6 vs. 3.7 months, HR = 0.49, p < 0.001) than patients without (n = 147). 66.7% (140/210) of patients in fruquintinib group had stable disease (SD), and fruquintinib in those patients with concomitant CEA response exhibited a significantly greater OS benefit than with CEA progression (14.4 vs. 8.7 months, HR = 0.38, p = 0.004). Conclusions: Fruquintinib increased early CEA response. CEA response at first radiological evaluation after cycle 2 could be considered as a predictor for better OS and PFS. Among patients with SD at first evaluation, those with CEA response seems benefit more from fruquintinib. Clinical trial information: NCT02314819 .

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