scholarly journals Seasonal Arctic sea-ice simulations with a prognostic ice-ocean model

1991 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 45-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter H. Ranelli ◽  
William D. Hibler

A prognostic ice-ocean model of the Arctic, Greenland and Norwegian seas with daily wind and atmospheric forcing is integrated for 30 years to quasi-equilibrium. Three simulations are carried out to investigate the role played by ice deformation and transport in baroclinic adjustment of the Arctic Ocean: a standard run with precipitation and ice transport, a simulation without precipitation and a “thermodynamics only” simulation without ice transport but including precipitation. A diagnostic model is integrated for five years to serve as a comparative control run. Comparison of the vertically integrated stream-function of each of the model runs indicates that the vertical density stratification needed to maintain the circulation of the Arctic Ocean is reduced excessively when precipitation is neglected and artificially enhanced if ice transport out of the basin is ignored. This effect is even more noticeable in the surface currents and is also apparent in a comparison of simulated and observed drifting-buoy tracks. An analysis of the salt budget of the Arctic Ocean indicates that the three main components, salt transport by the ocean, salt flux from the annual cycle of ice, and a fresh-water flux from precipitation and river runoff are approximately of the same magnitude. The main circulation deficiency identified in the simulations is an inadequate flow of Atlantic water into the Arctic Basin through the Fram Strait.

1991 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 45-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter H. Ranelli ◽  
William D. Hibler

A prognostic ice-ocean model of the Arctic, Greenland and Norwegian seas with daily wind and atmospheric forcing is integrated for 30 years to quasi-equilibrium. Three simulations are carried out to investigate the role played by ice deformation and transport in baroclinic adjustment of the Arctic Ocean: a standard run with precipitation and ice transport, a simulation without precipitation and a “thermodynamics only” simulation without ice transport but including precipitation. A diagnostic model is integrated for five years to serve as a comparative control run. Comparison of the vertically integrated stream-function of each of the model runs indicates that the vertical density stratification needed to maintain the circulation of the Arctic Ocean is reduced excessively when precipitation is neglected and artificially enhanced if ice transport out of the basin is ignored. This effect is even more noticeable in the surface currents and is also apparent in a comparison of simulated and observed drifting-buoy tracks. An analysis of the salt budget of the Arctic Ocean indicates that the three main components, salt transport by the ocean, salt flux from the annual cycle of ice, and a fresh-water flux from precipitation and river runoff are approximately of the same magnitude. The main circulation deficiency identified in the simulations is an inadequate flow of Atlantic water into the Arctic Basin through the Fram Strait.


2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. W. Lindsay ◽  
J. Zhang ◽  
A. Schweiger ◽  
M. Steele ◽  
H. Stern

Abstract The minimum of Arctic sea ice extent in the summer of 2007 was unprecedented in the historical record. A coupled ice–ocean model is used to determine the state of the ice and ocean over the past 29 yr to investigate the causes of this ice extent minimum within a historical perspective. It is found that even though the 2007 ice extent was strongly anomalous, the loss in total ice mass was not. Rather, the 2007 ice mass loss is largely consistent with a steady decrease in ice thickness that began in 1987. Since then, the simulated mean September ice thickness within the Arctic Ocean has declined from 3.7 to 2.6 m at a rate of −0.57 m decade−1. Both the area coverage of thin ice at the beginning of the melt season and the total volume of ice lost in the summer have been steadily increasing. The combined impact of these two trends caused a large reduction in the September mean ice concentration in the Arctic Ocean. This created conditions during the summer of 2007 that allowed persistent winds to push the remaining ice from the Pacific side to the Atlantic side of the basin and more than usual into the Greenland Sea. This exposed large areas of open water, resulting in the record ice extent anomaly.


2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 146-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshimasa Matsumura ◽  
Hiroyasu Hasumi

Abstract Eddy generation induced by a line-shaped salt flux under a sea ice lead and associated salt transport are investigated using a three-dimensional numerical model. The model is designed to represent a typical condition for the wintertime Arctic Ocean mixed layer, where new ice formation within leads is known to be one of the primary sources of dense water. The result shows that along-lead baroclinic jets generate anticyclonic eddies at the base of the mixed layer, and almost all the lead-originated salt is contained inside these eddies. These eddies survive for over a month after closing of the lead and transport the lead-originated salt laterally. Consequently, the lead-origin salt settles only on the top of the halocline and is not used for increasing salinity of the mixed layer. Sensitivity experiments suggest that the horizontal scale of generated eddies depends only on the surface forcing and is proportional to the cube root of the total amount of salt input. This scaling of eddy size is consistent with a theoretical argument based on a linear instability theory. Parameterizing these processes would improve representation of the Arctic Ocean mixed layer in ocean general circulation models.


2003 ◽  
Vol 16 (13) ◽  
pp. 2159-2177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangdong Zhang ◽  
Moto Ikeda ◽  
John E. Walsh

Abstract Observational and modeling studies have indicated recent large changes of sea ice and hydrographic properties in the Arctic Ocean. However, the observational database is sufficiently sparse that the mechanisms responsible for the recent changes are not fully understood. A coupled Arctic ocean–sea ice model forced by output from the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis is employed to investigate the role that the leading atmospheric mode has played in the recent changes of the Arctic Ocean. A modified Arctic Oscillation (AO) index is derived for the region poleward of 62.5°N in order to avoid ambiguities in the distinction between the conventional AO and the North Atlantic Oscillation index. The model results indicate that the AO is the driver of many of the changes manifested in the recent observations. The model shows reductions of Arctic sea ice area and volume by 3.2% and 8.8%, respectively, when the AO changes from its negative to its positive phase. Concurrently, freshwater storage decreases by about 2%, while the sea ice and freshwater exports via Fram Strait increase substantially. The changes of sea ice and freshwater storage are strikingly asymmetric between the east and the west Arctic. Notable new findings include 1) the interaction of the dynamic and thermodynamic responses in the sense that changes of sea ice growth and melt are driven by, and feed back negatively to, the dynamically (transport) driven changes of sea ice volume; and 2) the compatibility of the associated freshwater changes with recently observed changes in the salinity of the upper Arctic Ocean, thereby explaining the observed salinity variations by a mechanism that is distinct from, but complementary to, the altered circulation of Siberian river water. In addition, the enhanced freshwater export could be a contributing factor to the increased salinity in the Arctic Ocean. The results of the simulations indicate that Arctic sea ice and freshwater distributions change substantially if one phase of the AO predominates over a decadal timescale. However, such results are based on an idealization of the real-world situation, in which the pattern of forcing varies interannually and the number of positive-AO years varies among decades.


2008 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond S. Bradley ◽  
John H. England

AbstractWe propose that prior to the Younger Dryas period, the Arctic Ocean supported extremely thick multi-year fast ice overlain by superimposed ice and firn. We re-introduce the historical term paleocrystic ice to describe this. The ice was independent of continental (glacier) ice and formed a massive floating body trapped within the almost closed Arctic Basin, when sea-level was lower during the last glacial maximum. As sea-level rose and the Barents Sea Shelf became deglaciated, the volume of warm Atlantic water entering the Arctic Ocean increased, as did the corresponding egress, driving the paleocrystic ice towards Fram Strait. New evidence shows that Bering Strait was resubmerged around the same time, providing further dynamical forcing of the ice as the Transpolar Drift became established. Additional freshwater entered the Arctic Basin from Siberia and North America, from proglacial lakes and meltwater derived from the Laurentide Ice Sheet. Collectively, these forces drove large volumes of thick paleocrystic ice and relatively fresh water from the Arctic Ocean into the Greenland Sea, shutting down deepwater formation and creating conditions conducive for extensive sea-ice to form and persist as far south as 60°N. We propose that the forcing responsible for the Younger Dryas cold episode was thus the result of extremely thick sea-ice being driven from the Arctic Ocean, dampening or shutting off the thermohaline circulation, as sea-level rose and Atlantic and Pacific waters entered the Arctic Basin. This hypothesis focuses attention on the potential role of Arctic sea-ice in causing the Younger Dryas episode, but does not preclude other factors that may also have played a role.


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (10) ◽  
pp. 4027-4033 ◽  
Author(s):  
Doo-Sun R. Park ◽  
Sukyoung Lee ◽  
Steven B. Feldstein

Abstract Wintertime Arctic sea ice extent has been declining since the late twentieth century, particularly over the Atlantic sector that encompasses the Barents–Kara Seas and Baffin Bay. This sea ice decline is attributable to various Arctic environmental changes, such as enhanced downward infrared (IR) radiation, preseason sea ice reduction, enhanced inflow of warm Atlantic water into the Arctic Ocean, and sea ice export. However, their relative contributions are uncertain. Utilizing ERA-Interim and satellite-based data, it is shown here that a positive trend of downward IR radiation accounts for nearly half of the sea ice concentration (SIC) decline during the 1979–2011 winter over the Atlantic sector. Furthermore, the study shows that the Arctic downward IR radiation increase is driven by horizontal atmospheric water flux and warm air advection into the Arctic, not by evaporation from the Arctic Ocean. These findings suggest that most of the winter SIC trends can be attributed to changes in the large-scale atmospheric circulations.


1998 ◽  
Vol 120 (2) ◽  
pp. 77-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. V. Polyakov ◽  
I. Yu. Kulakov ◽  
S. A. Kolesov ◽  
N. Eu. Dmitriev ◽  
R. S. Pritchard ◽  
...  

A fully prognostic coupled ice-ocean model is described. The ice model is based on the elastic-plastic constitutive law with ice mass and compactness described by distribution functions. The ice thermodynamics model is applied individually to each ice thickness category. Advection of the ice partial mass and concentrations is parameterized by a fourth-order algorithm that conserves monotonicity of the solution. The ocean is described as a three-dimensional time-dependent baroclinic model with free surface. The coupled model is applied to establish the Arctic Ocean seasonal climatology using fully prognostic models for ice and ocean. Results reflect the importance of the ice melting/freezing in the formation of the thermohaline structure of the upper ocean layer.


1984 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 61-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Holt ◽  
P. M. Kelly ◽  
B. S. G. Cherry

Soviet plans to divert water from rivers flowing into the Arctic Ocean have led to research into the impact of a reduction in discharge on Arctic sea ice. We consider the mechanisms by which discharge reductions might affect sea-ice cover and then test various hypotheses related to these mechanisms. We find several large areas over which sea-ice concentration correlates significantly with variations in river discharge, supporting two particular hypotheses. The first hypothesis concerns the area where the initial impacts are likely to which is the Kara Sea. Reduced riverflow is associated occur, with decreased sea-ice concentration in October, at the time of ice formation. This is believed to be the result of decreased freshening of the surface layer. The second hypothesis concerns possible effects on the large-scale current system of the Arctic Ocean and, in particular, on the inflow of Atlantic and Pacific water. These effects occur as a result of changes in the strength of northward-flowing gradient currents associated with variations in river discharge. Although it is still not certain that substantial transfers of riverflow will take place, it is concluded that the possibility of significant cryospheric effects and, hence, large-scale climate impact should not be neglected.


2021 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-129
Author(s):  
Gianluca Meneghello ◽  
John Marshall ◽  
Camille Lique ◽  
Pål Erik Isachsen ◽  
Edward Doddridge ◽  
...  

AbstractObservations of ocean currents in the Arctic interior show a curious, and hitherto unexplained, vertical and temporal distribution of mesoscale activity. A marked seasonal cycle is found close to the surface: strong eddy activity during summer, observed from both satellites and moorings, is followed by very quiet winters. In contrast, subsurface eddies persist all year long within the deeper halocline and below. Informed by baroclinic instability analysis, we explore the origin and evolution of mesoscale eddies in the seasonally ice-covered interior Arctic Ocean. We find that the surface seasonal cycle is controlled by friction with sea ice, dissipating existing eddies and preventing the growth of new ones. In contrast, subsurface eddies, enabled by interior potential vorticity gradients and shielded by a strong stratification at a depth of approximately 50 m, can grow independently of the presence of sea ice. A high-resolution pan-Arctic ocean model confirms that the interior Arctic basin is baroclinically unstable all year long at depth. We address possible implications for the transport of water masses between the margins and the interior of the Arctic basin, and for climate models’ ability to capture the fundamental difference in mesoscale activity between ice-covered and ice-free regions.


1995 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 91-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
James R. Miller ◽  
Gary L. Russell

A global coupled atmosphere–ocean model is used to examine the hydrologic cycle of the Arctic Ocean. The model has a horizontal resolution of 4° × 5°, nine vertical layers in the atmosphere and 13 in the ocean. River discharge into the Arctic Ocean is included by allowing runoff from each continental grid box to flow downstream according to a specified direction file and a speed that depends on topography. A 74 year control simulation of the present climate is used to examine variability of the hydrologic cycle, including precipitation, sea ice, glacial ice and river discharge. A 74 year transient simulation in which atmospheric CO2increases each year at a compound rate оf 1% is then used to examine potential changes in the hydrologic cycle. Among these changes are a 4°C increase in mean annual surface air temperature in the Arctic Ocean, a decrease in ice cover which begins after 35 years, and increases in river discharge and cloud cover. There is little change in the net difference between precipitation and evaporation. Also in the transient simulation, glacial ice on Greenland decreases relative to the control.


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