scholarly journals MEDIUM-TERM FORECASTING OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES BY ANOMALOUS VARIATIONS OF THE GROUNDWATER REGIME

Author(s):  
A.U. Abdullaev ◽  
Y.Zh. Yessenzhigitova ◽  
Zh. Turabaeva
Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 767 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniela Valigi ◽  
Davide Fronzi ◽  
Costanza Cambi ◽  
Giulio Beddini ◽  
Carlo Cardellini ◽  
...  

Co-seismic changes in groundwater regime are often observed after moderate to strong earthquakes. The 24 August 2016 Mw 6.0 extensional Amatrice earthquake, which was the first event of a long-lasting seismic sequence, including the 30 October 2016 Mw 6.5 Norcia event, triggered a significant discharge alteration to the Pescara di Arquata spring, located in the Umbria-Marche Apennines (Northern Apennines, Central Italy) and exploited for drinking purposes. During the first five months after the first mainshock, an extra flow of about 30% was recorded, while both water chemistry and temperature did not show significant changes. Thereafter, the spring discharge decreased significantly, and at the end of 2019 it was still lower than normal. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) indicates that these low mean monthly discharge values are not related to particularly dry conditions. The increase in post-seismic depletion coefficients indicates that the aquifer empties faster than it did during the inter-seismic period. The observed transient increase and subsequent decrease of discharge are consistent with a transient, earthquake-related increase in hydraulic conductivity.


2012 ◽  
Vol 73 (S 02) ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Ellenbogen ◽  
A. Kinshuck ◽  
M. Jenkinson ◽  
T. Lesser ◽  
D. Husband ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (142) ◽  
pp. 113-126
Author(s):  
Enrique Dussel Peters

China's socioeconomic accumulation in the last 30 years has been probably one of the most outstanding global developments and has resulted in massive new challenges for core and periphery countries. The article examines how China's rapid and massive integration to the world market has posed new challenges for countries such as Mexico - and most of Latin America - as a result of China's successful exportoriented industrialization. China's accumulation and global integration process does, however, not only question and challenges the export-possibilities in the periphery, but also the global inability to provide energy in the medium term.


2020 ◽  
pp. 121-134
Author(s):  
S. A. Andryushin

In 2019, a textbook “Macroeconomics” was published in London, on the pages of which the authors presented a new monetary doctrine — Modern Monetary Theory, MMT, — an unorthodox concept based on the postulates of Post-Keynesianism, New Institutionalism, and the theory of Marxism. The attitude to this scientific concept in the scientific community is ambiguous. A smaller part of scientists actively support this doctrine, which is directly related to state monetary and fiscal stimulation of full employment, public debt servicing and economic growth. Others, the majority of economists, on the contrary, strongly criticize MMT, arguing that the new theory hides simple left-wing populism, designed for a temporary and short-term effect. This article considers the origins and the main provisions of MMT, its discussions with the mainstream, criticism of the basic tenets of MMT, and also assesses possible prospects for the development of MMT in the medium term.


2006 ◽  
pp. 115-127
Author(s):  
T Natkhov

The article considers recent tendencies in the development of the market of insurance in Russia. On the basis of statistical data analysis the most urgent problems of the insurance sector are formulated. Basic characteristics of different types of insurance are revealed, and measures on perfection of the insurance institution in the medium term are proposed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Embung Megasari

This study aims to explore the factors of the implementation of Midterm-term Change Project proposed by alumni of Leadership Development Program (Diklatpim) Level held in 2017 in the Riau Province. Data was collected using interview technique and review of related documents. The informants included three parties namely the alumni as the owner of the change project, the alumni superior as the mentor and organizer of the Training. The results showed, from the perspective of implementation, there were internal factors (low willingness, seriousness and motivation, as well as alumni communication with limited work teams) and external (unavailability of IT staff, lack of support for infrastructure and budget facilities, inequality of perception between participants and stakeholders to supporting data, as well as the lack of direct attention of superiors as mentors) which is the cause of the suboptimal implementation of medium-term change projects. This research contributes to efforts to improve the implementation of medium- term change projects through an understanding of the factors that cause the low level of implementation of the project term change in 2017 Riau Province Diklatpim IV alumni.Keywords: leadership development, change project, training evaluation, Riau.


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