A novel method of risk assessment based on improved AHP-Cloud model for freezing pipe fracture

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Fuwei Liu ◽  
Yansen Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
New Research

The freezing pipe fracture can cause freezing wall to thaw and even lead to major accidents such as mine flooding easily, which seriously threatens the safety in construction. Therefore, scientific and effective comprehensive risk assessment for freezing pipe fracture is of great significance. In this work, a risk assessment method is put forward based on improved AHP-Cloud model with 19 evaluation indicators. First, the multi-dimension evaluation index system and evaluation model are established, on the basis of in-depth analysis of the risk factors that may lead to accidents. Second, synthesizing the normalization process and the improved analytic hierarchy process (AHP), the evaluation grade cloud and comprehensive evaluation cloud of freezing pipe fracture can be acquired by using the forward cloud generator. Finally, According to the max-subjection principle and the comprehensive evaluation method, we obtain the risk level of freezing pipe fracture. The model is applied to Yangcun Coal Mine. It has been verified that the risk assessment problem of freezing pipe fracture in freezing sinking can be successfully solved by the model we proposed. Above all, the study offers a new research idea for the risk management of freezing pipe fracture in freeze sinking.

Risk Assessment of Reservoir by Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method Based on Information Entropy

2013 ◽  
Vol 438-439 ◽  
pp. 1612-1618
Author(s):  
Yong Jia Song ◽  
Cong Cong Jin ◽  
Xian Cai Zhang ◽  
Jing Li
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Information Entropy ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Entropy Weight ◽  
Weighting Method

This paper proposes a new risk assessment model on account of the fuzziness and uncertainty of risk factors in the reservoir after earthquake. The paper adopts methods of information entropy and fuzzy mathematics to assess risk level of the model. After analyzing the statistical data of earthquake-damaged reservoirs, we present comprehensive weight composed of importance and improved entropy weight. Base on comprehensive weight, we can adopt membership function to establish single factor evaluation of the model. Moreover, we combine fuzzy weighting method to assess risk level of a reservoir after earthquake. The result shows that risk level of the reservoir is high-risk. The case study verifies the practicability and rationality of the risk assessment method. Therefore, the method could be applied in the emergency rescue and reinforcement for reservoir after earthquake.

scholarly journals A Cloud Model-Based Risk Assessment Methodology for Tunneling-Induced Damage to Existing Tunnel

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Tian Xu ◽  
Zhanping Song ◽  
Desai Guo ◽  
Yuncai Song
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Assessment System ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Mechanism Analysis ◽  
Railway Tunnel ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Model Based

This study presents a cloud model-based approach for risk assessment of existing tunnels in tunneling construction environments where the cloud model provides a basis for uncertainty transformation between its qualitative concepts and quantitative expressions. An evaluation index system is established for risk assessment of existing tunnels based on the tunnel-induced failure mechanism analysis. The assessment result is obtained through the correlation with the cloud model of each risk level. Risk assessment for existing Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong Railway Tunnel in the tunneling environment of Shenzhen Metro Line 6 is shown in a case study. Comparisons between Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) methods are further discussed according to results. The proposed evaluation method is verified to be more competitive as the fuzziness and randomness of uncertainties in the risk assessment system can be considered comprehensively. This method can serve as a decision-making tool for other similar project risk assessment methods to increase the likelihood of a successful project in an uncertain environment.

Research on Evaluation Method of E-Commerce Customer Satisfaction Based on Cloud Model

2013 ◽  
Vol 411-414 ◽  
pp. 2258-2264
Author(s):  
Li Min Tao ◽  
Xi Kun Liang
Keyword(s):  
Customer Satisfaction ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Qualitative Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Research On Evaluation ◽  
Customer Satisfaction Evaluation ◽  
Satisfaction Evaluation

Customer satisfaction is an important index to measure the enterprise product and service quality, customer satisfaction evaluation of e-commerce enterprises is an important part of its overall assessment. In this paper, starting from the customer satisfaction, evaluation index system is established; the evaluation model of electronic commerce enterprise based on cloud model is constructed, customer satisfaction is made a scientific comprehensive evaluation. Compared with the traditional method of qualitative evaluation, qualitative evaluation method based on cloud model is practical, and the result is intuitive, comprehensive and profound, more in line with the actual situation.

Preliminary Study on Indexes and Assessment Method for Power Grid Development Diagnosis

2013 ◽  
Vol 291-294 ◽  
pp. 2217-2221
Author(s):  
Hai Yan Wang ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Xin Wei Du ◽  
Quan Ming Zhang ◽  
Song Ling Dai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Index System ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
High Efficiency ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Power Grid ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Grid Security ◽  
Development Evaluation

With integrated consideration of existing research on power grid development evaluation index system and requirements of power grid development diagnosis, a more comprehensive power grid development diagnostic index system is established from five aspects of power grid security and reliability, high efficiency, coordination, economics and social environment and more than 20 indicators. In addition, a new power grid development diagnostic evaluation method based on hierarchical analysis and multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is proposed in order to diagnose and assess power grid status quo and the actual level of development comprehensively, objectively and systematically ,which will help power grid enterprises conveniently to find the main reason of affecting the power grid and enterprise development and encourage enterprises to continuously improve the targeted improvement measures and the level of grid development.

Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method for Financial Risks of Electric Power Enterprises Analysis

2011 ◽  
Vol 403-408 ◽  
pp. 2632-2635
Author(s):  
Jin Yu Tian ◽  
Ling Ling Wu
Keyword(s):  
Electric Power ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
Power Enterprise ◽  
Electric Power Enterprise

In order to solve the financial risks of electric power enterprises analysis problem, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is used in this paper. By constructing evaluation index system and calculating index weights, the model can reasonably evaluate the financial risks of electric power enterprises. For illustration, an electric power enterprise example is utilized to show the feasibility of the model in solving the problem Results show that financial risk of the electric power enterprise is general. The paper provides a new way for financial risks of electric power enterprises analysis, and makes its research further perfected. Thus, electric power enterprises can control and prevent financial risks better.

scholarly journals The Risk Assessment of Debris Flow Hazards in Banshanmen Gully Based on the Entropy Weight-Normal Cloud Method

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
X. B. Gu ◽  
S. T. Wu ◽  
X. J. Ji ◽  
Y. H. Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Debris Flow ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Risk Estimation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Entropy Weight ◽  
Entropy Weight Method ◽  
Weight Method ◽  
Index Weight

The debris flow is one of the geological hazards; its occurrence is complex, fuzzy, and random. And it is affected by many indices; a new multi-index assessment method is proposed to analyze the risk level of debris flow based on the entropy weight-normal cloud model in Banshanmen gully. The index weight is calculated by using the entropy weight method. Then, the certainty degree of each index belonging to the corresponding cloud is obtained by using the cloud model. The final risk level of debris flow is determined according to the synthetic certainty degree. The conclusions are drawn that the method is feasible and accurate rate of risk estimation for debris flow is very high, so a new method and thoughts for the risk assessment of debris flow can be provided in the future.

Study on Evaluation Methods of Disciplines in Universities

2013 ◽  
Vol 423-426 ◽  
pp. 2930-2933
Author(s):  
Cong Jun Rao
Keyword(s):  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Scientific Research ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
First Grade ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Evaluation Indexes ◽  
Research Achievement

The level and status of disciplines are the important indexes in universities. The evaluation of multiple disciplines plays an important role in the disciplines development. This paper mainly studied the problem of disciplines evaluation in higher education. Firstly, it established the evaluation index system with eight first-grade evaluation indexes, i.e., discipline construction, teaching award, research funding, the scientific research achievement award, team construction, scientific research, talent training, and initial investment, and then used the method of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to solve the weight of each index. Thirdly, it established a disciplinary evaluation model based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and analyzed the rationality of the model. The study in this paper provides a new way for the evaluation of university disciplines.

Research on the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation for Social Insurance Fund Safety

2013 ◽  
Vol 281 ◽  
pp. 692-695
Author(s):  
Ying Guo ◽  
Li Quan Men
Keyword(s):  
Social Insurance ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Insurance Fund ◽  
Social Insurance Fund ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Government

Assessing social insurance fund safety objectively is useful to make effective risk management and control, so as to lower the economic loss. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based analytical hierarchy process(AHP) is adopted to evaluate the social insurance fund safety. And social insurance fund safety evaluation index system is established according to the characteristics of the social insurance fund safety and the development tendency of social insurance .Then AHP method is applied to determine the more reasonable index weight and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is used to evaluate social insurance fund safety of three cities.Finally, some improvement suggestions are proposed. The results show that the index is reasonable and quantitative and the method can help improve the safety of the social insurance fund as well as provide decision-making for the government.

scholarly journals Risk assessment of foundation pit construction using cloud model

2020 ◽  
Vol 165 ◽  
pp. 04070
Author(s):  
Tian Xun
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Simple Calculation ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Practical Application ◽  
Foundation Pit ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
Construction Risk

The risk level evaluation of foundation pit construction has the characteristics of fuzziness and randomness. Based on the theory of cloud model, a new model of risk level of foundation pit construction is discussed to comprehensively analyze the fuzziness and randomness of foundation pit construction risk assessment. Firstly, the evaluation index system of foundation pit construction risk level is established according to the field monitoring value, and then the cloud numerical characteristics of each evaluation factor belonging to different risk levels are calculated. According to the cloud digital characteristics of each evaluation factor, the determination degree of each evaluation factor belonging to different risk levels can be obtained. Finally, the weight and determination degree of the evaluation factor can be calculated comprehensively to obtain the comprehensive certainty degree of foundation pit construction risk, so as to determine the foundation pit construction risk level. The results of practical application and comparison with other evaluation methods show that this model is effective and feasible for risk classification of foundation pit construction, and has the advantages of simple calculation process and reliable results, which also provides a reference for the analysis of other similar problems.

Index System and Model of Evaluation to Implemented Performance of Patent Strategy from Perspective of Sustainable Development

2014 ◽  
Vol 1073-1076 ◽  
pp. 2852-2856
Author(s):  
Zhi Jin Xu ◽  
Yan Kui Song
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Index System ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Evaluation Index ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation Method ◽  
Patent Strategy

The implemented performance of enterprise’s patent strategy is an important component to measure its comprehensive benefits. It is of strategic significance for an enterprise to evaluate objectively its implemented performance of patent strategy. From the perspective of sustainable development, according to the 4 aspects of creation, application, protection and management of patent, the essay constitutes preliminarily a comprehensive evaluation index system of the implemented performance of enterprise’s patent strategy which is composed of a set of 21 indexes on the basis of an amount of domestic and foreign literature survey, case study and expert consultation, and analyzes the evaluation model and method of implemented performance of enterprise’s patent strategy with the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and through a real case. The essay thinks the constitution of evaluation index system should obey a series of basic principles of objectivity, systematization, science and conciseness and the evaluation in essence is multi-object, multi-factor and multi-layer. Therefore, it is effective and feasible to select the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method.

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