scholarly journals Financial Stability Report - September 2015

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Latin American ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
National Income ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Risk Indicator ◽  
Loan Portfolio ◽  
Credit Institutions

From this edition, the Financial Stability Report will have fewer pages with some changes in its structure. The purpose of this change is to present the most relevant facts of the financial system and their implications on the financial stability. This allows displaying the analysis more concisely and clearly, as it will focus on describing the evolution of the variables that have the greatest impact on the performance of the financial system, for estimating then the effect of a possible materialization of these risks on the financial health of the institutions. The changing dynamics of the risks faced by the financial system implies that the content of the Report adopts this new structure; therefore, some analyses and series that were regularly included will not necessarily be in each issue. However, the statistical annex that accompanies the publication of the Report will continue to present the series that were traditionally included, regardless of whether or not they are part of the content of the Report. In this way we expect to contribute in a more comprehensive way to the study and analysis of the stability of the Colombian financial system. Executive Summary During the first half of 2015, the main advanced economies showed a slow recovery on their growth, while emerging economies continued with their slowdown trend. Domestic demand in the United States allowed for stabilization on its average growth for the first half of the year, while other developed economies such as the United Kingdom, the euro zone, and Japan showed a more gradual recovery. On the other hand, the Chinese economy exhibited the lowest growth rate in five years, which has resulted in lower global dynamism. This has led to a fall in prices of the main export goods of some Latin American economies, especially oil, whose price has also responded to a larger global supply. The decrease in the terms of trade of the Latin American economies has had an impact on national income, domestic demand, and growth. This scenario has been reflected in increases in sovereign risk spreads, devaluations of stock indices, and depreciation of the exchange rates of most countries in the region. For Colombia, the fall in oil prices has also led to a decline in the terms of trade, resulting in pressure on the dynamics of national income. Additionally, the lower demand for exports helped to widen the current account deficit. This affected the prospects and economic growth of the country during the first half of 2015. This economic context could have an impact on the payment capacity of debtors and on the valuation of investments, affecting the soundness of the financial system. However, the results of the analysis featured in this edition of the Report show that, facing an adverse scenario, the vulnerability of the financial system in terms of solvency and liquidity is low. The analysis of the current situation of credit institutions (CI) shows that growth of the gross loan portfolio remained relatively stable, as well as the loan portfolio quality indicators, except for microcredit, which showed a decrease in these indicators. Regarding liabilities, traditional sources of funding have lost market share versus non-traditional ones (bonds, money market operations and in the interbank market), but still represent more than 70%. Moreover, the solvency indicator remained relatively stable. As for non-banking financial institutions (NBFI), the slowdown observed during the first six months of 2015 in the real annual growth of the assets total, both in the proprietary and third party position, stands out. The analysis of the main debtors of the financial system shows that indebtedness of the private corporate sector has increased in the last year, mostly driven by an increase in the debt balance with domestic and foreign financial institutions. However, the increase in this latter source of funding has been influenced by the depreciation of the Colombian peso vis-à-vis the US dollar since mid-2014. The financial indicators reflected a favorable behavior with respect to the historical average, except for the profitability indicators; although they were below the average, they have shown improvement in the last year. By economic sector, it is noted that the firms focused on farming, mining and transportation activities recorded the highest levels of risk perception by credit institutions, and the largest increases in default levels with respect to those observed in December 2014. Meanwhile, households have shown an increase in the financial burden, mainly due to growth in the consumer loan portfolio, in which the modalities of credit card, payroll deductible loan, revolving and vehicle loan are those that have reported greater increases in risk indicators. On the side of investments that could be affected by the devaluation in the portfolio of credit institutions and non-banking financial institutions (NBFI), the largest share of public debt securities, variable-yield securities and domestic private debt securities is highlighted. The value of these portfolios fell between February and August 2015, driven by the devaluation in the market of these investments throughout the year. Furthermore, the analysis of the liquidity risk indicator (LRI) shows that all intermediaries showed adequate levels and exhibit a stable behavior. Likewise, the fragility analysis of the financial system associated with the increase in the use of non-traditional funding sources does not evidence a greater exposure to liquidity risk. Stress tests assess the impact of the possible joint materialization of credit and market risks, and reveal that neither the aggregate solvency indicator, nor the liquidity risk indicator (LRI) of the system would be below the established legal limits. The entities that result more individually affected have a low share in the total assets of the credit institutions; therefore, a risk to the financial system as a whole is not observed. José Darío Uribe Governor

Critical Analysis of the Zero Risk Weight Privilege for European Sovereign Debt in Light of Art. 124 TFEU

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Hauser
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Individual Member ◽  
Member States ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Credit Institutions

AbstractThe zero risk weight privilege for European sovereign debt in the current capital adequacy requirements for credit institutions incentivises credit institutions to acquire and hold sovereign debt. However, it also poses a significant risk to the stability of the banking system and thus the financial system as a whole. It is argued that this privilege should not only be abolished due to the risk it entails but that it is also non conformant with EU primary law. Art. 124 TFEU prohibits privileged access of the EU and Member States' public sector to financial institutions except for prudential considerations. The protective purpose of Art. 124 TFEU to ensure sound budgetary policies by subjecting public borrowing to the same rules as borrowing by other market participants is thwarted by the uniform zero risk weight privilege. Further, as this privilege does not take into account the varying creditworthiness of the individual Member States it does not promote the soundness of financial institutions so as to strengthen the soundness of the financial system as whole, but rather endangers systemic stability. The zero risk weight privilege is therefore not based on prudential considerations and hence violates Art. 124 TFEU.

scholarly journals Financial stability: does social activism matter?

2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 183-214
Author(s):  
Peterson K. Ozili
Keyword(s):  
Gender Equality ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Environmental Sustainability ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Social Protection ◽  
Social Activism ◽  
Financial System ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This study investigate the impact of social activism on financial system stability. Design/methodology/approach Financial stability was analysed from two complementary perspectives: bank-led financial stability and financial system stability driven by sector-wide credit supply. Social activism was analysed from three perspectives: gender equality advocacy, environmental sustainability advocacy and social protection advocacy. Findings The findings reveal that gender equality and environmental sustainability advocacy have significant positive effects for financial stability, whereas social protection advocacy has a significant negative effect for financial stability. In addition, social activism has negative effects for financial stability in the post-2008 financial crisis era. Finally, there are differential effects for country-groups, for instance, social activism strongly improves bank-led financial stability in African countries and for BLEND countries (countries that are eligible for International Development Association (IDA) borrowing based on per capita income levels and are also creditworthy for some borrowing from the International Bank of Restructuring and Development). The findings are relevant for the on-going debate about whether social inclusivity and activism has any economic value for the stability of businesses and the financial system. The findings have implications. Research limitations/implications The implication for policy-making is that the pressure on, or commitment of, financial institutions to be socially inclusive in all social matters such as gender equality, environmental sustainability and social protection does not guarantee stability in the financial system – whether bank-led financial stability or sector-wide financial stability. Therefore, regulators should ensure that financial institutions exercise careful discretion when adjusting their risk models to include all “social risk” factors amidst the recent pressure on corporations to be socially inclusive. Practical implications Another implication for business practice is that business leaders in financial institutions should identify the optimal level of social inclusivity that improves the stability of their corporations, because it would seem counterproductive if business leaders adopt full-scale social inclusion (or considerations) that subsequently make their corporations financially unstable which could lead to loss of shareholders wealth. Originality/value This study is the first attempt to investigate the impact of social activism on financial stability to determine whether greater social activism promotes stability or instability in the financial system.

scholarly journals From illiquid financial instrument to market distress – selected institutional circumstances of the credit crisis

Equilibrium ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Krześniak
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Counterparty Risk ◽  
Credit Crisis ◽  
Financial Instrument ◽  
Underlying Mechanisms

The recently observed credit crunch is yet another market disruption confirming the critical role of liquidity in the financial system. It is however the first time that illiquidity of a single financial instrument has led to illiquidity of a significant part of the financial system. Although the credit crisis had limited effect on the Polish economy, thorough understanding of the underlying mechanisms is necessary to properly monitor the financial stability in the future, as the Polish financial system gets more integrated into the global one. The article discusses selected mechanisms of the crisis and concentrates on the characteristics of the financial markets that led to the sudden spill-over of the turbulence in the global financial markets. The paper highlights the two types of risk, which were underestimated in the past, but played a major role in instigating and magnifying the recent crisis. The first one is the liquidity risk, which may undermine the reliability of the mark-to-market valuation and produce extreme price volatility once the confidence in such valuations is eroded. The second one is the counterparty risk which results from concentration of market turnover in the period of rapidly growing volumes of derivatives traded in the market. The article leads to the conclusion that the lack of transparency and liquidity on the credit risk markets triggered the severe financial crisis in the global financial market. The analysis of the liquidity risk and the counterparty risk illustrates that some institutions became crucial for the functioning not only domestic but also global markets.

scholarly journals Modeling of the financial system?s stability on the example of Ukraine

Equilibrium ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 377-411
Author(s):  
Inna Shkolnyk ◽  
Serhiy Kozmenko ◽  
Olga Kozmenko ◽  
Volodymyr Orlov ◽  
Fathi Shukairi
Keyword(s):  
International Monetary Fund ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Desirability Function ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Value Added ◽  
The State ◽  
Depth Level ◽  
The International Monetary Fund ◽  
Range Of Variation

Research background: Financial stability is one of the key tasks in the functioning of the country?s financial system. National financial systems have significant differences in the level of their development, structure and approaches to regulation. There are no uniform world standards for methods and indicators of assessing financial stability. International financial institutions, including the International Monetary Fund, only outline certain areas and offer an indicative list of indicators that should be taken into account. Purpose of the article: Taking into account the peculiarities of the subject and object structure of Ukraine?s financial system, this study formed groups of indicators that reflect the state of financial depth, level of access and efficiency of the financial system, systematized by subject (financial institutions) and object financial markets) characteristics. Methods: The basis for the formation of a set of indicators is a matrix of characteristics of the financial system?s stability, which is formed according to the principle of 4x2 proposed by experts of the International Monetary Fund. The list of indicators to calculate the integrated indicator that characterizes the stability of the financial system of Ukraine, covers the period 2007?2019 and includes 29 indicators that take into account the peculiarities of its formation and development. Harrington?s desirability function is used to determine the integrated indicator that characterizes the state of financial stability. Findings & value added: The intermediate calculations obtained by modeling groups of indicators showed that the level of access to the financial system and the state of its depth are balanced during the study period (the range of variation of integrated indicators for these groups is minimal ? from 0.1 to 0.18), is at a satisfactory level and the basis for ensuring the financial system?s stability. Conversely, the efficiency of the financial system is low, and characterized by a high degree of volatility (range of variation ? 0.51). The obtained integrated indicator, which is in the range from 0.41 to 0.54 on the Harrington desirability scale, makes it possible to assess the state of the financial system?s stability in Ukraine as satisfactory, but with a high level of sensitivity to both external and internal shocks.

Educación financiera en las escuelas: la experiencia de la formación de profesores en el polo del estado de Minas Gerais

2021 ◽  
pp. 192-221
Author(s):  
André Luiz Medeiros ◽  
José Gilberto da Silva ◽  
Moisés Diniz Vassallo ◽  
Fabienne Mara Ferreira Matos ◽  
Leandro Lopes Trindade
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Education ◽  
Minas Gerais ◽  
High Demand ◽  
The People ◽  
Financial Issues

As from 1994, with the insertion of new clients in the financial system and the early days of financial stability, the Brazilian market has undergone profound changes (SAITO; SAVOIA; PETRONI, 2006). This context allowed financial institutions to expand the offer of products and services to a public that was previously neglected. However, a major roadblock lay ahead, as, despite a high demand for available products and services, these new consumers faced difficulties in terms of financial issues. This lack of expertise was likely to lead to undesirable consequences, both for the market and the people and these consequences would prevent them from attaining their objectives (SANTOS, 2009). Financial education thus revealed itself to be a necessary instrument in preparing the population,especially future consumers of these products and services, for the challenges of the new financial context.

scholarly journals Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks

2015 ◽  
Vol 105 (2) ◽  
pp. 564-608 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daron Acemoglu ◽  
Asuman Ozdaglar ◽  
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi
Keyword(s):  
Phase Transition ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Networks ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Financial Network

This paper argues that the extent of financial contagion exhibits a form of phase transition: as long as the magnitude of negative shocks affecting financial institutions are sufficiently small, a more densely connected financial network (corresponding to a more diversified pattern of interbank liabilities) enhances financial stability. However, beyond a certain point, dense interconnections serve as a mechanism for the propagation of shocks, leading to a more fragile financial system. Our results thus highlight that the same factors that contribute to resilience under certain conditions may function as significant sources of systemic risk under others. (JEL D85, E44, G21, G28, L14)

Part II Bank Resolution, 8 Resolution of US Banks and Other Financial Institutions

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivares-Caminal Rodrigo ◽  
Douglas John ◽  
Guynn Randall ◽  
Kornberg Alan ◽  
Paterson Sarah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Public Confidence ◽  
Bank Failures ◽  
Residual Value ◽  
Bank Resolution ◽  
History Of

The chapter starts by looking at resolution as understood in the United States. ‘Resolution’ refers to the way bank failures are dealt with in the United States. Similar to the traditional bankruptcy model, the chapter explains, two of the main goals of resolution are to maximize the value and minimize the losses of an institution for the benefit of its depositors and other stakeholders and, at least in a receivership situation, to determine who receives the residual value of the institution in satisfaction of their claims. However, resolution is also aimed at promoting a third goal: to deal with a failed institution in a manner that reduces the risk of contagion, preserves or restores public confidence in the banking or wider financial system, and otherwise promotes financial stability. The chapter then describes the history of financial resolution in the United States and outlines the fundamentals of resolution authority.

Financial Stability, Systemic Risk, and Taxpayers’ Money—The Rationale for a Special Resolution Regime

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Schillig
Keyword(s):  
Moral Hazard ◽  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Ex Ante

Special resolution regimes are generally introduced with the objective of helping to ‘maintain financial stability, minimize systemic risk, protect consumers, limit moral hazard and promote market efficiency’. The recurring themes are financial stability, systemic risk, and taxpayers’ exposure to losses. This chapter explores whether and to what extent a special resolution regime for banks and financial institutions can contribute to the enhancement of financial (system) stability and can limit systemic risk. It seeks to clarify these concepts and discusses possible ex ante incentives that a (recovery and) resolution regime may provide for controlling systemic risk. Further, it focuses on ex post remedies for the curtailment of systemic risk, and considers the international and cross-border implications.

scholarly journals Systemic liquidity contagion in the European interbank market

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Macchiati ◽  
Giuseppe Brandi ◽  
Tiziana Di Matteo ◽  
Daniela Paolotti ◽  
Guido Caldarelli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
High Time Resolution ◽  
Reconstruction Method ◽  
Interbank Market ◽  
Funding Liquidity ◽  
European Banks ◽  
Contagion Model

AbstractSystemic liquidity risk, defined by the International Monetary Fund as “the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions,” is a key topic in financial stability studies and macroprudential policy-making. In this context, the complex web of interconnections of the interbank market plays the crucial role of allowing funding liquidity shortages to propagate between financial institutions. Here, we introduce a simple yet effective model of the interbank market in which liquidity shortages propagate through an epidemic-like contagion mechanism on the network of interbank loans. The model is defined by using aggregate balance sheet information of European banks, and it exploits country and bank-specific risk features to account for the heterogeneity of financial institutions. Moreover, in order to obtain the European-wide topology of the interbank network, we define a block reconstruction method based on the exchange flows between the various countries. We show that the proposed contagion model is able to estimate systemic liquidity risk across different years and countries. Results suggest that our effective contagion approach can be successfully used as a viable alternative to more realistic but complicated models, which not only require more specific balance sheet variables with high time resolution but also need assumptions on how banks respond to liquidity shocks.

scholarly journals Financial Stability Report - Second Semester of 2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
◽  
◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Hypothetical Scenario ◽  
Loan Quality ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Credit Institutions

The Colombian financial system has not suffered major structural disruptions during these months of deep economic contraction and has continued to carry out its basic functions as usual, thus facilitating the economy's response to extreme conditions. This is the result of the soundness of financial institutions at the beginning of the crisis, which was reflected in high liquidity and capital adequacy indicators as well as in the timely response of various authorities. Banco de la República lowered its policy interest rates 250 points to 1.75%, the lowest level since the creation of the new independent bank in 1991, and provided ample temporary and permanent liquidity in both pesos and foreign currency. The Office of the Financial Superintendent of Colombia, in turn, adopted prudential measures to facilitate changes in the conditions for loans in effect and temporary rules for rating and loan-loss provisions. Finally, the national government expanded the transfers as well as the guaranteed credit programs for the economy. The supply of real credit (i.e. discounting inflation) in the economy is 4% higher today than it was 12 months ago with especially marked growth in the housing (5.6%) and commercial (4.7%) loan portfolios (2.3% in consumer and -0.1% in microloans), but there have been significant changes over time. During the first few months of the quarantine, firms increased their demands for liquidity sharply while consumers reduced theirs. Since then, the growth of credit to firms has tended to slow down, while consumer and housing credit has grown. The financial system has responded satisfactorily to the changes in the respective demands of each group or sector and loans may grow at high rates in 2021 if GDP grows at rates close to 4.6% as the technical staff at the Bank expects; but the forecasts are highly uncertain. After the strict quarantine implemented by authorities in Colombia, the turmoil seen in March and early April, which was evident in the sudden reddening of macroeconomic variables on the risk heatmap in Graph A,[1] and the drop in crude oil and coal prices (note the high volatility registered in market risk for the region on Graph A) the local financial markets stabilized relatively quickly. Banco de la República’s credible and sustained policy response played a decisive role in this stabilization in terms of liquidity provision through a sharp expansion of repo operations (and changes in amounts, terms, counterparties, and eligible instruments), the purchases of public and private debt, and the reduction in bank reserve requirements. In this respect, there is now abundant aggregate liquidity and significant improvements in the liquidity position of investment funds. In this context, the main vulnerability factor for financial stability in the short term is still the high degree of uncertainty surrounding loan quality. First, the future trajectory of the number of people infected and deceased by the virus and the possible need for additional health measures is uncertain. For that reason, there is also uncertainty about the path for economic recovery in the short and medium term. Second, the degree to which the current shock will be reflected in loan quality once the risk materializes in banks’ financial statements is uncertain. For the time being, the credit risk heatmap (Graph B) indicates that non-performing and risky loans have not shown major deterioration, but past experience indicates that periods of sharp economic slowdown eventually tend to coincide with rises in non-performing loans: the calculations included in this report suggest that the impact of the recession on credit quality could be significant in the short term. This is particularly worrying since the profitability of credit establishments has been declining in recent months, and this could affect their ability to provide credit to the real sector of the economy. In order to adopt a forward-looking approach to this vulnerability, this Report presents several stress tests that evaluate the resilience of the liquidity and capital adequacy of credit institutions and investment funds in the event of a hypothetical scenario that seeks to simulate an extreme version of current macroeconomic conditions. The results suggest that even though there could be strong impacts on the credit institutions’ volume of credit and profitability under such scenarios, aggregate indicators of total and core capital adequacy will probably remain at levels that are above the regulatory limits over the horizon of a year. At the same time, the exercises highlight the high capacity of the system's liquidity to face adverse scenarios. In compliance with its constitutional objectives and in coordination with the financial system's security network, Banco de la República will continue to closely monitor the outlook for financial stability at this juncture and will make the decisions that are necessary to ensure the proper functioning of the economy, facilitate the flow of sufficient credit and liquidity resources, and further the smooth operation of the payment systems. Juan José Echavarría Governor

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