Demand-pull Inflation and Cost-push Inflation: Factors of Origination and Forms of Expansion

2011 ◽  
pp. 40-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Dmitrieva ◽  
D. Ushakov

The paper treats the problems of correlation among inflation, increase in government spending and increase in money supply (M2). It is shown that there is no correlation for 13 out of 14 investigated countries including Russia. The paper proves that the type of inflation in Russia is cost-push inflation. Its main sources are monopolistic surplus for raw materials and energy being included in prices as well as prices for the products of natural federal and regional monopolies.

2017 ◽  
pp. 131-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Yefimov

The review discusses the institutional theory of money considered in the books by King and Huber, and the conclusions that follow from it for economic policy. In accordance with this theory, at present the most of the money supply is created not by the Central Bank but by private banks. When a bank issues a loan, new money is created, and when the loan is repaid this money is destructed. The concept of sovereign money involves the monopoly of money creation of the central bank. In this case the most of newly created money is handed over to the ministry of finance to implement government spending.


2005 ◽  
pp. 4-20
Author(s):  
E. Yasin

Currency inflow in Russia from raw materials exports allows taking into account high business activity to assimilate growing money supply transforming it into economic growth. Fall in business activity as a result of pressure on business led to saturation of demand for money. This considerably increases the danger of inflation growth and requires sterilization of excess money supply including the usage of the Stabilization Fund. According to the author's estimates, corresponding losses in GDP growth will equal 1-2 percentage points per year.


2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Risna Risna

This study aims to determine the effect of government spending, the money supply, the interest rate of Bank Indonesia against inflation.This study uses secondary data. Secondary data were obtained directly from the Central Bureau of Statistics and Bank Indonesia. It can be said that there are factors affecting inflationas government spending, money supply, and interest rates BI. The reseach uses a quantitative approach to methods of e-views in the data. The results of analysis of three variables show that state spending significantand positive impact on inflationin Indonesia, the money supply significantand negative to inflationin Indonesia, BI rate a significantand positive impact on inflation in Indonesia


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
Zul Azhar ◽  
Alpon Satrianto ◽  
Nofitasari Nofitasari

This study aims to analyze the effect of money supply M2, interest rate, government spending and local tax on the inflation in West Sumatera. This type of research is descriptive research and secondary datain the form of time-series from quartely 1 2007 to 2017 quartely 4 using the method of Autoregresive Distributed Lag analysis. The results of this study indicate that money supply in the long run have a significant and positive effect on inflation West Sumatera. In the short run  and long run the interest rate has a significant and positive effect on inflation in West Sumatera. Government spending in the Long run has a significant and negative effect on inflation in West Sumatera. Based on the result of this study can be concluded that there is inflation in West Sumatera is monetery of phenomenon in the long run. 


Author(s):  
MAJED S. ALMOZAINI

The aim of this study is to analyze how oil price shocks affect the economic growth of floating exchange rate regimes and fixed exchange rate regimes in oil-exporting countries with a ratio of oil exports to total exports exceeding 70%. Also, this study seeks to determine what monetary and fiscal policies both regimes apply in order to curb business cycles and reduce inflationary and recessionary gaps. The analytical study uses panel data for the period from 1991 to 2019, covering 24 oil-exporting countries, from the World Economic Outlook (WEO) database and World Bank. The econometric model is estimated by applying a panel VECM to examine the short- and long-term interdependencies in the macroeconomic variables. The results demonstrate that when there is a negative shock to the oil price, the exchange rate of the floating exchange rate regimes depreciates, money supply increases, and government spending decreases. In contrast, the exchange rate of the fixed exchange rate regimes fluctuates slightly; the money supply slightly decreases in the near, medium, and long term; and government spending decreases.


TRIKONOMIKA ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Adrian Sutawijaya ◽  
Zulfahmi Zulfahmi

Exports and investment play an important role in the economy of a country that is open. Exports will generate foreign exchange, foreign exchange to finance imports of capital goods and raw materials required in the production process that will create added value for the economy. The variables examined in this study is the difference in private sector investment plans, loan interest rates, government spending, and Gross Domestic Bruto (GDP). Research on the analysis using the method of least squares OLS (Ordinary Least Square). Results of regression test based on the theory, statistical and econometric criteria. The results of this study are interest rates significantly have a positive affect on the private investment. GDP will have a positive effect on investment and also government spending has a positive effect on private investment.


2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 185
Author(s):  
Nayef Al-Shammari ◽  
Mohammed Al-Sabaey

This paper investigates the sources of inflation across a sample of countries in the world. The data set covers around fifty nine countries using yearly data over the period from 1970 through 2007. The model is estimated using a panel model with a random effects specification. Results indicate that the main determinants of inflation for developing countries are different than those for developed countries. Our findings show that the main determinants of inflation for developed countries include government spending, money supply growth, world oil prices, interest rate, nominal effective exchange rate, and population. Whereas, sources of inflation for developing countries are estimated to include government spending, money supply growth, world oil prices, and the nominal effective exchange rate. Findings also report that there is no significant evidence for factors such as interest rate and population to affect the general price levels in developing countries.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 433-442
Author(s):  
Triyas Ayu Hadi Setiowati ◽  
Ris Yuwono Yudo Nugroho

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of monetary policy as seen from the BI Rate and the money supply (M2, and fiscal policy as seen from government spending and tax revenue in influencing the unemployment rate in Indonesia. The approach used in this research is quantitative. The data used are the BI Rate, the money supply (M2), government spending, tax revenue and unemployment in the form of time series data in an annual form from 1995 to 2019. The method used in this study is the Vector Auto analysis model. Regression (VAR). The stages used in this research test are a stationarity test, optimum lag test, VAR stability test, impulse response test, and variance decomposition test. The results of the impulse response indicate that the unemployment variable responds most to the shock of the interest rate variable (monetary policy) compared to other variables. The results of variance decomposition indicate that the contribution given by the BI Rate to the unemployment rate is the most significant relative to the contribution given by the variable money supply (M2), government spending, and tax revenue


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Turgut Tursoy ◽  
Muhammad Mar’i

Abstract The study investigates the lead-lag relationship in Turkey by employing wavelet analysis, mainly continuous wavelet analysis, cross wavelet transforms and wavelet coherence and phase-difference, during the period from 1987 to 2019. Our finding confirms the existing relationship between money supply and inflation, and also showing a different pattern for the structure of the relationship between money supply and inflation; moreover, the result corresponds with the fact that Turkey experienced many economic crises during the period. Additionally, the results show that the lead-lag relationship between money supply and inflation is changeable and the inflation leads as a result of the Demand-pull theory. The result is consistent with the traditional quantity theory of money in the long run, and; also regarding the modern quantity theory of money, there is also short-run and long-run relationship between money supply and inflation.


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