Structural Factors of Russian Economic Slowdown

2015 ◽  
pp. 69-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Orlova ◽  
S. Egiev

This article considers structural factors of Russian economic slowdown, particularly capital stock dynamics and labor market. Potential growth as of 2015 is estimated with a multivariate filter. The results indicate the structural slowdown of Russian economic growth to 0.5-1.0% per year. Low growth rates call for a new development strategy as the import-substitution approach that framed economic policy since the 2000s has failed to prevent the slowdown. Export-oriented strategy is more promising but will be hard to implement in an environment of weak global demand. Productivity improvement, particularly in the state sector, is necessary for averting stagnation.

2019 ◽  
pp. 74-79
Author(s):  
Ivan USHACHEV ◽  
Vyacheslav CHEKALIN

It is stated in I.G. Ushachev and V.S. Chekalin’s article that the agricultural sector has become in Russia an economic sector which currently demonstrates the growth and significant results of import substitution. Scientific-based proposals for improving the agricultural policy and developing the agribusiness development strategy until 2030 are presented.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 55-62
Author(s):  
N. А. LEBEDEV ◽  

The article analyzes the structural guidelines for the modernization of the domestic agricultural machinery industry, which are formed in the aspect of a new development model; some types of machine-building products that are innovative in nature. Separate tasks of digitalization for the development of production of unmanned vehicles are considered. It is concluded that in order to seriously promote the structural modernization of agricultural machinery enterprises, it is necessary to give priority to the development strategy of enterprises, which should be based on clear development guidelines for the long-term period.


Author(s):  
Irina Abramova

More than a year and a half has passed since the first Summit and the Russia-Africa Economic Forum. The crisis of “Western-style” globalization, accelerated by the coronavirus pandemic, has adjusted the formation of the Russian business strategy in the African direction. The most important areas of Russian-African cooperation in the near future are healthcare, ensuring food security, infrastructure projects, including digitalization, education and science. With what results will Russia and Africa approach the next Summit, planned for 2022? Which business strategy will meet both Russian and African interests? What Russian investment projects are already being implemented on the African continent? How are the new mechanism and tools of the Russian-African partnership formed? These and other issues on the Russian-African agenda were discussed at the Russia-Africa business dialogue, which was held on June 3, 2021 as part of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. This was the first major Russian African event in full-time format after the historic Russia-Africa Summit and Economic Forum, which was successfully held in Sochi on October 23-24, 2019. The participants in the discussion concluded that Africa needs Russia to achieve the ambitious goals of the Agenda 2063, but Russia also needs Africa to implement the new development strategy of the Russian Federation, which focuses on increasing non-resource exports and technological breakthrough. The African fast-growing market, formed by the youngest population in the world, is showing an increased demand for modern Russian goods and technologies, primarily in such areas as healthcare, agriculture, infrastructure, resource development, and digital products. To intensify cooperation, it is necessary to use the entire set of instruments of public-private partnership, to utilize the information resource at full capacity, and to develop cooperation in the field of science and education. The main thing for us now is to bring our cooperation, including in the economic sphere, to a fundamentally new level that meets the interests of our peoples. Both Russia and Africa have a lot to learn from each other, and our economic strategies can be successfully implemented if we combine our efforts.


2021 ◽  
pp. 048661342110219
Author(s):  
Lijun Su ◽  
Junshang Liang

The Chinese government has proposed a new development model called Dual Circulation, which, we argue, is a response to the upsurge of trade protectionism in recent years, as well as an acceleration of China’s long-planned restructuring of its economy. Our input-output analysis reveals the inferior global distributional position of China and the dire consequences it faces from a counterfactual US-China trade decoupling. Specifically, China on average transferred out about 9 percent of its abstract labor during 2010–14, and it stands to lose 2.5 percentage points in its growth rate and over 10 million jobs if the United States and China completely transfer their bilateral trade to other partners. JEL classification: B51, O24, D57


Author(s):  
John Rand ◽  
Finn Tarp

Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) have been at the core of Vietnam’s strategy for inclusive growth and economic transformation. Vietnam has experienced unprecedented growth and poverty reduction, turning the country into a middle-income economy relatively quickly. Most growth came from structural change with labour force movement to the manufacturing sector. This change has largely happened without worrying trends as regards income inequality, especially within urban areas. SMEs have been key for this transition following the Doi Moi reform process. Vietnam adopted a dual-track approach allowing private firms to expand alongside the state sector as long as they fulfilled their quotas at state-given prices. Also important for the development of a thriving SME sector has been reform design and willingness to experiment. These initiatives included state-owned enterprise (SOE) reform, foreign direct investment, industrial zone policies, and business-related administrative initiatives, with significant state influence remaining a core feature of the development strategy.


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