On empowering the central bank with goals to stimulate economic growth

2021 ◽  
pp. 142-151
Author(s):  
A. M. Kalinin

The specifics of the inflation targeting policy pursued by the Bank of Russia lead to the emergence of proposals to empower it with aims, goals or targets to promote economic growth. In the study, the feasibility of such proposals is considered from the point of view of targeting policy properties, arguments in favor of using growth indicators, the possibility of planning with multiple goal-setting conditions, and the impact on expectations. It has been established that the direct empowerment of growth targeting will only lead to the Bank’s claim that there is no opportunity to increase the growth rate. The imposition of the target value can be seen as the erosion of the independence of the Bank. The failure to coordinate goals (if they are set autonomously by the fiscal and monetary policy authorities) will lead to inefficiency. Planning in the context of multiple goals will return the Bank to a situation of dynamic inefficiency, evaporating the low inflationary expectations. The position of the Bank of Russia regarding assessments of potential economic growth and the ability to influence it needs much more detailed presentation than is currently declared in official documents.

2020 ◽  
pp. 6-19
Author(s):  
Davit Aslanishvili

This research focuses on the problem of large scale disproportion of success in the development of the banking sector and mostly unsuccessful development of the real sector of the economy. It should be noted that this disproportion is a subject of consideration in contemporary economic literature and our research is an attempt to broaden the issue and share ideas inside the international scientific circles. The main problem in the research is the impact of the banking sector's credit portfolio and the functioning of credit markets on the economic growth of the country. In this regard, it is very important to identify, study the macroeconomic stabilization and accelerated economic growth of the country and analyse the impact mechanisms of the credit market factors on economic growth. The conclusion that combines many of the research and opinions given in the survey can be as follows: From the economic point of view, the main function of banks is to increase the financing/lending of funds as the core point to increase investments in the economy. Thus, the development of the country in economic terms depends on the increase of investments. At present, it is in the hands of the banking sector whether to lead us to economic immobility or to accelerate the country's economic development through efficient allocation of resources.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Buabeng ◽  
Opoku Adabor ◽  
Elizabeth Nana-Amankwaah

Abstract The main objective of this paper is to investigate the impact of lending rate on economic growth in Ghana. To do this, we employ the autoregressive distributed lags model (ARDL) and the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causal approach as estimation strategy. The estimates from the ARDL model suggest that ceteris paribus one percent increase in lending rate generates approximately 0.15 decrease in economic growth of Ghana in the long. In the short run, one percent increase in lending rate also generates approximately 0.112 percent decrease in economic growth. Contrary to the widespread belief that lending rate induce economic growth, we find that gross domestic product rather spurs lending rate, using Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causal approach. Our findings suggest that monetary authorities should embark on policy interventions that aim at taming lending rate towards growth enhancing targets. This will encourage individuals, firms and other institutions to borrow from commercial banks to increase investment and consumption to accelerate economic growth. Other policy interventions include strengthening inflation targeting policy to reduce and stabilize inflation while taming exchange rate, monetary policy and treasury bill rate towards economic growth enhancing targets.


2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-41
Author(s):  
André Berardo Coelho ◽  
Nelson Leitão Paes

This paper uses the Zon and Muysken (2001) model to investigate the effect of increasing the retirement age on health care production, human capital accumulation, and economic growth. All three sectors are interrelated, since the overall level of health affects both workers and the accumulation of human capital, while a higher level of human capital is related to better quality of health. And, finally, health and human capital affect the output of the economy. From the economic growth point of view the results seem to be positive. Increasing labor availability raises productivity in the health sector, which ultimately improves labor productivity, resulting in increased capital accumulation and economic growth. On the other hand, it is estimated a reduction in the propensity to consume and a smaller portion of the labor force allocated in the health sector.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 166-174
Author(s):  
Oleh Kolodiziev ◽  
Наnna Telnova ◽  
Ihor Krupka ◽  
Myroslav Kulchytskyy ◽  
Iryna Sochynska-Sybirtseva

Post-socialist governments are looking for the best options to implement a fully funded pension system along with a pay-as-you-earn pension scheme. The paper aims to establish the impact of pension assets on economic growth using the example of post-socialist countries (Hungary, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Poland, and the Czech Republic). The use of methods of correlation and regression analysis allows determining the type of dependence (linear, exponential, gradual, and logarithmic) of countries’ economic growth indicators on pension assets and patterns for their investment (deposits, securities of public and private sectors). The obtained economic growth indicators of the studied post-socialist countries show a strong logarithmic dependence on the size of pension assets: Gross fixed capital formation depends on changes in the pension asset amount by 76.44% and GDP by 71.01%. The economic growth of the studied post-socialist countries is most significantly influenced by pension assets invested in deposits. Investing pension savings in public and private sector securities is less effective. The proved provisions determine the expediency of moving from the predominant pay-as-you-earn pension scheme to the predominant fully funded pension system for Ukraine. Such a transformation requires a stable and efficient construction of the country’s banking system, a developed policy for reforming the pension system while considering the criteria of the internal demographic, social, and financial situation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (10) ◽  
pp. 81-94
Author(s):  
Viktoriia KOVALENKO ◽  
◽  
Sergii SHELUDKO ◽  

The article provides a comparative analysis of monetary regulation models and explores their impact on economic growth. The aim of the paper is to study models of monetary regulation and their impact on economic growth. The authors claim that monetary regulation of any country in the world should be aimed at ensuring economic growth. The study shows that the rapid development of monetary policy and economic growth theories is marked by certain contradictions, uncertainty and cross flows. Based on the analysis of the views of researchers on the impact of monetary regulation on economic growth, the authors conclude that concepts are divided according to those that characterize weak relations between these phenomena, and those that prove close correlation. The authors state that in Ukraine, in conditions of using a monetary design based on the inflation targeting regime and taking into account the importance of increasing the efficiency of using main instruments of monetary regulation, it is necessary, first of all, to ensure the consistency of monetary and fiscal policies. The coordination of monetary and fiscal policies should consist of developing and implementing them in such a way that they do not contradict each other and together contribute to the achievement of the common goals of economic policy, such as sustainable economic growth and low unemployment in terms of long-term price and external stabilities. That is, the main problem of the significant influence of monetary regulation on economic growth in the country lies in restoring the effectiveness of the channels of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, which depends on the choice of monetary design.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özcan Karahan

The impact of exchange rate change on the domestic price level which is called as exchange rate pass through has long been of interest in international economics literature. Along with the application of inflation targeting regime widely, the focus of this interest has also evolved to examine the changes in degree and speed of exchange rate pass through under inflation targeting regime. Turkey, adopted Inflation Targeting (IT) as a monetary regime between 2001 and 2006 implicitly and then explicitly, exhibits which was a genuine experience to be analyzed in this respect. From this point of view, the goal of the study is to provide a time-series analysis of exchange rate pass-through for Turkish economy based on single equation Error Correction Model estimation using the monthly data under pre-IT period 1995-2000 and post-IT period 2006-2014. Thus, we try to clarify the effectiveness of inflation targeting regime as monetary policy on the exchange rate pass-through. The findings of the study indicate that the exchange rate pass-through decreased in the post-IT period compared to pre- IT period. Accordingly, it can be argued that the implication of inflation targeting regime reduced exchange rate pass through in Turkey.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Thanh Tung

This paper uses the Johansen cointegration test and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to study the impact of fiscal and monetary policy on economy growth in Vietnam during the period from quarter I/2004 to quarter II/2013. The results showed the cointegration relation between the macroeconomic policies and economic growth. Besides, the variance decomposition and impulse response functions from VECM model showed the impact of the two policies on economic growth were limited, in which the impact of the monetary policy on growth is greater than that of the fiscal policy on growth. Subsequently, the paper provides some recommendations to improve the efficiency of the implementation of these policies in Vietnam.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-85
Author(s):  
Borivoje Krušković

AbstractThis paper analyses the effects of two alternative monetary strategies (exchange rate targeting and inflation targeting) on economic growth and employment. On the panel of 18 countries for the period from 1996 to 2013, I tested the hypothesis that countries in exchange rate targeting have a higher rate of GDP growth and lower inflation rate. In order to test the impact of exchange rate policy on economic growth and prices, I applied dynamic panel two stepwise method of least squares (2SLS method) and they were evaluated by two independent regression equation. In order to allow the comparison of results related to exchange rate targeting, the effects of the introduction of inflation targeting in the unemployment rate were also estimated using the panel method two stepwise least squares (2SLS method). Results of empirical studies show that countries with inflation targeting have a lower rate of economic growth and higher unemployment.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document