scholarly journals Outsider Estimation of the Fair Value of Bank Stocks: Computational and Conceptual Issues

Author(s):  
Mohamed Ariff ◽  
Lina Suranto

This paper attempts to fill a void in the finance literature by reporting the reliability of theoretical valuation models against the market values of banking corporations. The dividend, operating cash flows and the free cash flow valuation approaches are operationalised to estimate fair values of banks. These values are then compared with market values. This results, using the Theil’s U-coefficient, show that the operating cash flow approach provides estimates that are better than the naïve model estimates. The other two approaches produced results no better than the naïve model. A probable reason for the poor performance of the free cash flow approach is suggested. Outsider’s estimation of investment values needed for free cash flow calculation is likely to introduce serious errors irrespective of the theoretical bases of models widely used in the industry.  

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-35
Author(s):  
Samoei Ben Kipngetich ◽  
Joel Tenai ◽  
Andrew Kimwolo

The main aim of the paper was to establish the effect of operating cash flow on stock return of firms listed in NSE. The study was informed by Free Cash Flow (FCF) theory. Census survey was adapted to review financial statements for 29 listed non-financial firms at NSE that had consistent data for all the study variables. Secondary data was extracted for 12 years from 2007-2019 with the aid of a data collection sheet. Explanatory research design which is panel in nature was followed by this study. Both descriptive and inferential statistics were used in data analysis. Panel data regression was used to make inferences and test research hypothesis. Fixed and Random effects methods were used to analyze the balanced panel data using STATA statistical package and Hausman test established that Random effect model was the most ideal method to analyze data in this study. The findings indicated that operating cash flow positively and significantly influenced the stock returns for firms listed at NSE. The study concludes that operating cash flow information affects stock returns. Therefore, the study advocates for firms to increase their levels of operating cash flows through prudent utilization of cash resources since it enhances the stock returns.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (01) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Meilianta Br Peranginangin ◽  
Cathrin Mutiara Saragih ◽  
Hantono Hantono ◽  
Namira Ufrida Rahmi ◽  
Siti Tiffany Guci

This study aims to determine the effect of asset structure, operating cash flow, and profitability on debt policy in property and real estate companies in the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013-2017. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression, F test and t test. The results of the analysis of this study indicate that the structure of assets, operating cash flows, and profitability have a simultaneous effect on debt policy. Meanwhile the analysis partially shows that the asset structure, operating cash flows, and profitability do not partially affect debt policy.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 176
Author(s):  
Hari Cahyadi ◽  
Akhmad Darmawan

This study to get empirical evidence that the EVA, MVA, Residual income, Earnings and operating cash flow affect the return earned by shareholders, either partially or simultaneously. The sampling method used was purposive sampling, with the criteria of the company that is always inclouded in the LQ-45 index listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) during the observation period of 2011-2014. Companies used in the sample have a positifve data. The analytical method used was multiple linear regression test. The result of this study concluded that the MVA, residual income and operating cash flows simultaneously affected the return earned by shareholders. MVA partially had no effect on returns received by shareholders. Residual income partially had an effect on returns received by shareholders. Operating cash flow partially had an influence on return received by shareholders. The second and the fifth hypothesis in this study could not be tested because EVA variables and earnings experienced multi co linearity, thus it was excluded from the study. Keywords : EVA, MVA, Residual income, Earnings, operating cash flows and stock returns


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-158
Author(s):  
Sherly Rinjani ◽  
Uswatun Hasanah

In invested, investors are more interested to shared profits at the form of cash dividends. The factor that can determine the amount of cash dividends that companies shared to investors are financial condition of the company which consists of net income and operating cash flow. The objective of this research is to determine the influence of net income and operating cash flows on cash dividends. The population of this research was pharmaceutical sub-sector manufacturing company on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) 2013-2018 Period. The sampling technique used in this research is purposive sampling method, and five companies have conform of that criteria sampling. This research used multiple linear regression analysis with IBM SPSS 23 software.The result of this research showed that (1) net income has influence on cash dividends (2) operating cash flow has influence on cash dividends.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Sinta Wardani ◽  
Hermiyetti Hermiyetti ◽  
Muhammad Yusuf

ABSTRACT This study aims to analyze and believe the factors that affect the return of sharia in the Jakarta Islamic Index. The sample of research is 29 companies with data from 2009-2015. Data analysis using multiple regression analysis. The results showed, liquidity and leverage is not significant significant to the return of sharia stocks. Operating cash flows are significant and positive against Sharia share returns. An interesting finding in this research is the role of operating cash flow as a determinant of stock returns. Future research can be proven the role of cash flow and other financial performance as a determinant of stock returns. A B S T R A K Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dan menguji secara empiris mengenai faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi return saham syariah di Jakarta Islamic Index. Sampel penelitian sebanyak 29 perusahaan dengan data tahun 2009-2015. Analisis data menggunakan analisis regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa profitabilitas. likuiditas dan leverage tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap return saham syariah. Arus kas operasi berpengaruh signifikan dan positif terhadap return saham syariah. Temuan menarik dalam penelitian ini adalah peran arus kas operasi sebagai penentu return saham. Penelitian mendatang dapat dibuktikan peran arus kas investasi dan pendanaan serta kinerja keuanganlainnya sebagai penentu return saham. JEL Classification: H54, R53


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 31
Author(s):  
Dian Firmansyah ◽  
Nurmala Ahmar ◽  
JMV Mulyadi

This study tries to prove empirically the effect of leverage, size, liquidity and operating cash flows on the revaluation of fixed assets. It used a sample of all non-financial companies, which revalued assets in the periode of 2012-2015, at companies listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange with upward revaluation category. The analysis was done using Path analysis (PLS) without requiring classical assumption and normality test. The results show that leverage affects Asset revaluation, it proves that high leverage because the company to do revaluation of fixed assets, large companies tend to want to display earnings reports that are not too large to reduce their political costs, with asset revaluation, the value of depreciation is calculated Repeated and reduce the company's profit. Operating cash flows affect the revaluation of fixed assets on the grounds that the company requires funds to pay its obligations as well as in revaluation assets cost a great deal for the appraisal services, audit fees and final tax payments. Yet, liquidity has no effect on the revaluation of fixed assets, Within the last 4 years, the study found that users of the Asset revaluation model reporting in Other Comprehensive Income continue to grow and are expected to become financial statements that have superiority and good quality by reporting fair value. In the next research to add the number of variables on Asset revaluation, as well as expand the sample by involving the company revaluation and non revaluation. In addition, to examine the development of asset revaluation, especially in ASEAN countries related to the adoption of IFRS in the case of fixed asset revaluation.Keyword: Leverage, Size, Liquidity, Cash Flow from operation, and Revaluations Assets.


2021 ◽  
pp. 0148558X2110352
Author(s):  
Sunil Dutta ◽  
Panos N. Patatoukas ◽  
Annika Yu Wang

Research in corporate financial reporting identifies two important roles of accounting accruals. First, accruals smooth fluctuations in operating cash flows. Second, accruals allow recognition of losses in an asymmetric timely manner. While these two roles imply different relations between individual accrual components and operating cash flow news, prior research often focuses on the properties of aggregate accruals. We investigate the role of individual accrual components and identify asymmetry in the relation of investment with operating cash flow news as a confounding factor. We show that this investment factor operates through depreciation and amortization accruals, which typically account for the bulk of aggregate accruals. Overall, our article demonstrates the importance of adopting a granular approach to identifying the different roles of individual accrual components.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 29-44
Author(s):  
Ika Neni Kristanti

Investors in investing always expect high stock returns. Therefore, investors should be able to assess which companies have good performance, so the stock return is also high. The financial statements, particularly those relating to information on changes in operating cash flows and corporate accounting profit, are one of the important information that can be used by investors to assess company performance. This study aims to provide empirical evidence related to the effect of operating cash flow and accounting earnings on stock returns. The data in this study is secondary data obtained from the company's annual financial statements in Indonesia Capital Market Directory (ICMD) and Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). This study was conducted using the company population of the company winning the investment award (best issues) 2017 listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015 and 2016. The result of this research is partially variable of operating cash flow (AKO) have positive and significant effect to stock return, while partially, variable of accountancy profit (LAK) have no effect to stock return and simultaneously variable operating cash flow (AKO) and change of accountancy profit (LAK) jointly have a significant effect on stock returns in the company's winning investment award (best issues) 2017 listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015 and 2016. Keywords: Operating Cash Flow, Accounting Profit, and Stock Return


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Nasrollah Takhtaei ◽  
Hassan Karimi

The aim of this research is to investigate earnings relative ability, operating cash flow, and two traditional criteria of cash flow, that is, net earnings plus depreciation and operating working capital in predicting operating future cash flows. Further, the effect of firm size on the ability to predict these criteria is investigated in this research. The sample firms contain listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) over the period 2005-2009. The results show that net earnings relative to operating cash flows and its traditional criteria have greater ability to predict future cash flows in small firms whereas operating cash flows compared with other criteria are better predictors in big firms. Results indicate thatthe predictability of all models increases considerably when firm size increases.  


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Sinta Wardani ◽  
Hermiyetti Hermiyetti ◽  
Muhammad Yusuf

ABSTRACT This study aims to analyze and believe the factors that affect the return of sharia in the Jakarta Islamic Index. The sample of research is 29 companies with data from 2009-2015. Data analysis using multiple regression analysis. The results showed, liquidity and leverage is not significant significant to the return of sharia stocks. Operating cash flows are significant and positive against Sharia share returns. An interesting finding in this research is the role of operating cash flow as a determinant of stock returns. Future research can be proven the role of cash flow and other financial performance as a determinant of stock returns. A B S T R A K Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dan menguji secara empiris mengenai faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi return saham syariah di Jakarta Islamic Index. Sampel penelitian sebanyak 29 perusahaan dengan data tahun 2009-2015. Analisis data menggunakan analisis regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa profitabilitas. likuiditas dan leverage tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap return saham syariah. Arus kas operasi berpengaruh signifikan dan positif terhadap return saham syariah. Temuan menarik dalam penelitian ini adalah peran arus kas operasi sebagai penentu return saham. Penelitian mendatang dapat dibuktikan peran arus kas investasi dan pendanaan serta kinerja keuanganlainnya sebagai penentu return saham. JEL Classification: H54, R53


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