scholarly journals Yield Curve And Its Impact On Discount Rates In The Financial Evaluation Of A Project- Application case in Argentina

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Discount Rates ◽  
Financial Evaluation ◽  
Sovereign Bonds ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

This paper introduces some theories that attempt to explain the behavior of the “Temporary Structure of Interest Rates” (TSIR), which observe the correlation between various variables of the economy and projected interest rates, which will later serve as a reference for the determination of the discount rates of the projected flows in the economic-financial evaluation of a productive investment project. The empirical analysis focuses on evaluating the required returns on Sovereign Bonds issued in the Argentine Republic in dollar currency, which determine a yield curve that shows high levels of projected inflation expectations, such as high levels in the definition of rates discount of projected flows. Resumen El presente trabajo introduce algunas teorías que intentan explicar el comportamiento de la “Estructura Temporal de las Tasas de Interés” (ETTI), que observan la correlación entre diversas variables de la economía y las tasas de interés proyectadas, que servirá luego como referencia para la determinación de las tasas de descuentos de los flujos proyectados en la evaluación económico financiero de un proyecto de inversión productiva. El análisis empírico se centra en evaluar los rendimientos exigidos en los Bonos soberanos emitidos en la República Argentina en moneda dólar, que determinan una curva de rendimientos que pone en evidencia niveles altos de expectativas de inflación proyectada, como niveles altos en la definición de las tasas de descuento de los flujos proyectados.

Institutions, Models of Capitalism and Inequality in Income Distribution: An Empirical Investigation

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 651-685 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gilberto Antonelli ◽  
Pinuccia P Calia ◽  
Giovanni Guidetti
Keyword(s):  
Income Inequality ◽  
Income Distribution ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Econometric Evidence ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
The Empirical Analysis ◽  
Statistical Indicators ◽  
Different Levels

Abstract The article analyses the role of institutions in the determination of income inequality in a sample of OECD countries. Basing on the seminal approach by Amable, the article discusses the theoretical definition of model of capitalism. The basic idea is that each model of capitalism is defined by the cobweb of complementary relationships established among different institutions. Using a set of statistical indicators of the operation of institutions in two different years, 1995 and 2010, the empirical analysis points out five models of capitalism and exhibits how their composition has changed in this lapse of 15 years. In the following sections of the article, we investigate the role played by the model of capitalism in the determination of income distribution, measured through a standard Gini index. After controlling for a set of variables, the econometric evidence shows that different models of capitalism present significantly different levels of income inequality.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Surprises over Time

2018 ◽  
Vol 08 (01) ◽  
pp. 1840002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcello Pericoli ◽  
Giovanni Veronese
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Sovereign Spreads ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Term Premia ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time

We document how the impact of monetary surprises on euro-area and US financial markets has changed from 1999 to date. We use a definition of monetary policy surprises, which singles out movements in the long-end of the yield curve — rather than those changing nearby futures on the central bank reference rates. By focusing only on this component of monetary policy, our results are more comparable over time. We find a hump-shaped response of the yield curve to monetary policy surprises, both in the pre-crisis period and since 2013. During the crisis years, Fed path-surprises, largely through their effect on term premia, account for the impact on interest rates, which is found to be increasing in tenor. In the euro area, the path-surprises reflect the shifts in sovereign spreads, and have a large impact on the entire constellation of interest rates, exchange rates and equity markets.

scholarly journals The assault of finance’s ‘present futures’ on the rest of time

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timo Walter ◽  
Leon Wansleben
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Real Interest Rates ◽  
The Future ◽  
Coordination Process ◽  
Run Up ◽  
Sole Criterion

The title of our contribution refers to Alexander Kluge’s movie, “Der Angriff der Gegenwart auf die übrige Zeit” (“the assault of the present on the rest of time”). The question we ask is how financialized capitalism shapes and formats the politics of the future. Our central tenet is that, far from providing an engine ’imagining’ futures that substantively guide (collective) actions, finance ‘consumes’ forecasts, plans, or visions in its present coordination process. While the “oscillation” between present futures and future presents has been identified as a defining feature of modern conceptions of contingency, freedom, and choice (Luhmann; Esposito), these two temporal modalities are collapsed in contemporary financial markets in an ongoing ‘pricing in’ of various possible future states. Projected futures do not substantively shape collective paths towards them or instruct social learning, but are calculatively assimilated to improve coordination between present prices. Fatally, central banks have been at the forefront of “synchronist” (Langenohl) finance, believing that as long as numeric calibration of their own and the markets’ expectations as expressed in prices align, they have rendered capitalism governable. Under this regime, central banks really do not govern inflation, but inflation expectations as expressed in the “yield curve” and built into interest rate derivatives. We argue that financial techniques built on the efficient market hypothesis and the Black-Scholes-Merton formula, as two theoretical articulations of this modern “synchronist” (Langenohl) temporality of finance, allow central banks to ignore possible “random” fluctuations in actual inflation and concentrate on the internal calibration of present futures as the sole criterion for monetary policy success. We show that the resultant “assault” on “future presents” was an important factor in the run-up to the crisis of 2007-9. Central banks deliberately attempted to eliminate uncertainties in markets about the future course of monetary policies. For that purpose, shared fictions about the underlying logics of Western economies (real interest rates, NAIRU etc.) were rigidly built into the structures of asset prices. Moreover, since central banks and market actors aligned their expectations over real interest rates, market actors could act as if their uncertainties about future liquidity needs could be neglected, since current money market and official lending rates were supposed to already define the price of liquidity tomorrow. In the last part of the contribution, we will extend this argument to contemporary quantitative easing, to show how it reinforces the pitfalls of generating expectations of economic prosperity and stability via the contemporary financial system.

scholarly journals INTEREST RATES SENSITIVITY ARBITRAGE – THEORY AND PRACTICAL ASSESMENT FOR FINANCIAL MARKET TRADING

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (01) ◽  
pp. 12-23
Author(s):  
Bohumil Stadnik
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Research Methodology ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Algorithmic Trading ◽  
Mathematical Definition ◽  
Bond Portfolio ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Implementation Of The Strategy

Purpose – Nowadays popular algorithmic trading uses many strategies which are algoritmizable and promise profitability. This research assess if it is possible successfully use interest rates sensitivity arbitrage in bond portfolio (also known as convexity arbitrage) in financial praxis. This arbitrage is sparsely described in literature and an assessment about its practical success is missing. Research methodology – Methodology steps: mathematical definition of given arbitrage; construction of sufficient portfolio; backtesting on USD zero-coupon curves. Portfolio of two bonds is constructed (theoretically and practically) to have the same Macaulay duration and price, but a different convexity at certain YTM point. Therefore, being long the first bond while shorting the second (of higher convexity) would result in a market-directional bet for parallel zero-coupon yield curve shifts. Findings – To construct practically the portfolio which is sufficient for the convexity arbitrage could be unrealistic on markets with low liquidity; the presumptions necessary to practically succeed are not fulfilled enough to ensure the arbitrage is profitable. Research limitations – The backtesting is limited to USD market, testing other markets is recommended, but different result is not expected. Practical implications – The research helps practitioners considering this strategy for its implementation to algorithmic trading. Originality/Value – New important results for financial practitioners; states that practical and profitable utilization of convexity arbitrage is unrealizable and save costs during implementation of the strategy.

Why bond market couldn’t thrive in Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Seema Rehman ◽  
Jameel Ahmed Khilji
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Fixed Income Securities ◽  
Secondary Markets ◽  
Sovereign Bonds ◽  
Initial Stage ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
To Come

Fixed income market has recently emerged in Pakistan. Onward 1990, prolusion of government securities paved a way for corporates to come forward with their debt papers and long term yield curve came in to existence by introducing FIB’s in 1992 followed by issuance of first Term Finance Certificates (TFC) in 1995. The TFCs’ coupon rate exhibits a wide range of different fixed and floating coupons related to numerous interest rates containing the discount rate, the Karachi Inter-bank Offer Rate (KIBOR) and Pakistan Investment Bond (PIB) rates. The SBP launched electronic trading platform for fixed income securities on 11th January, 2010 with the intention of improving the functioning and profundity of primary and secondary markets of sovereign bonds. The data available reveals that through this platform, the cumulative trading of sovereign securities touched 66% of the overall trading volume till the end of 2010 relative to 58.0% in January, 2010. In its initial stage, the E-bond platform provided the complete trading of sovereign bonds like T-bills, PIBs and Ijarah Sukuk. The other type of fixed income securities like repo, FRAs and swaps facilitated in subsequent phases.

scholarly journals An analysis of the profitability of the restitution of sessile oak forests affected by wildfires in Serbia

2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 12260
Author(s):  
Tatjana RATKNIĆ ◽  
Mihailo RATKNIĆ ◽  
Jonel SUBIĆ ◽  
Zoran PODUŠKA ◽  
Gordana ŠEKULARAC ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Cost Benefit Analysis ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Cost Benefit ◽  
Oak Forests ◽  
Production Cycle ◽  
Discount Rates ◽  
Wood Production ◽  
Sessile Oak ◽  
Break Even Point

Wildfires caused by climate change in Europe have numerous and long-lasting ecological, economic, and social implications for sustainable development (natural environment, economy, and society as a whole). Artificial revitalization of sessile oak forests destroyed by wildfires in Serbia is feasible, but it is quite expensive compared to the spontaneous regeneration. Cost-benefit analysis (an economic approach to comparing and estimating the benefits and shortcomings of a particular business plan, i.e., an investment project by analyzing its costs and benefits) is aimed at finding the best solutions and making the best decisions about the desirability of a project. It was concluded that the investment in the restitution of sessile oak forests could be profitable only if it was based on wood production. Wood production may bear slightly higher interest rates compared to previous estimates which ranged mainly around 3%. This primarily applies to better site classes, while poor quality sites require lower rates. At lower discount rates, it takes more time to reach the break-even point, while the period of time needed to reach the break-even point shortens with higher discount rates. The length of the production cycle plays an important role in determining the investment profitability, especially regarding the relationship between the length of the production cycle and production targets (the type and the quality of wood assortments produced). According to the results of the analysis of intangible benefits and costs, the costs outweigh the benefits, which makes the restitution of sessile oak forests destroyed by fires unacceptable.

State Failure and the Political Violence Phenomenon: A Comparative Analysis of Iraq and Syria Cases

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 170 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Eylem Özkaya Lassalle
Keyword(s):  
Cold War ◽  
Political Violence ◽  
State Failure ◽  
The Political ◽  
Collective Violence ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
The Cold War

The concept of failed state came to the fore with the end of the Cold War, the collapse of the USSR and the disintegration of Yugoslavia. Political violence is central in these discussions on the definition of the concept or the determination of its dimensions (indicators). Specifically, the level of political violence, the type of political violence and intensity of political violence has been broached in the literature. An effective classification of political violence can lead us to a better understanding of state failure phenomenon. By using Tilly’s classification of collective violence which is based on extent of coordination among violent actors and salience of short-run damage, the role played by political violence in state failure can be understood clearly. In order to do this, two recent cases, Iraq and Syria will be examined.

DEFINITION OF TIME SPENT ON REPAIR OF BUS TRANSMISSION UNITS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT TECHNOLOGICAL EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (9) ◽  
pp. 29-33
Author(s):  
Sergey Bulatov
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Probabilistic Method ◽  
Technological Equipment ◽  
Quality And Safety ◽  
Transmission Unit ◽  
Equipment Reliability ◽  
Hours Of Work ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Time Decrease

The paper purpose is the effectiveness estimation in the technological equipment use, taking into account its reliability and productivity for defective transmission units of buses. The problem consists in the determination of time to be spent on repair of bus transmission units taking into account technological equipment reliability. In the paper there is used a probabilistic method for the prediction bus transmission units, and also a method of the dynamics of averages which allow ensuring minimum of costs for units downtime during repair and equipment cost. The need for repair of transmission units (gear box) arises on an average after 650 hours, the average productivity of the bench makes 4.2 bus / hour. The bench fails on the average after 4600 hours of work, the average time of the bench makes 2 hours. In such a way the solution of the problem specified allows analyzing the necessity of time decrease for transmission unit repair to avoid long downtimes of buses in repair areas without negative impact upon high repair quality and safety during the further operation.

Tests of jackhammers (formation of bench techniques)

2020 ◽  
pp. 28-32
Author(s):  
V.S. Vanaev
Keyword(s):  
Impact Energy ◽  
Bench Tests ◽  
Measuring Complex ◽  
Energy Indicators ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Determination Of Parameters ◽  
Dynamic Indicators

Development of complex determination of parameters of jackhammers at bench tests is studied. The modern support of tests of jackhammers for the purpose of definition of their energy, vibration and noise indicators is considered. Descriptions of the SORP universal bench and UIPU measuring complex are given. Keywords jackhammer, bench, tests, processing object, energy indicators, impact energy, dynamic indicators [email protected]

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