scholarly journals Barotropic Interactions Between Summertime Tropical Cyclones/Sub-Monthly Wave Patterns and Intraseasonal Oscillations over the Western North Pacific

2014 ◽  
Vol 25 (5) ◽  
pp. 719
Author(s):  
Ken-Chung Ko ◽  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Wave Patterns ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillations

scholarly journals ISO Modulation on the Submonthly Wave Pattern and Recurving Tropical Cyclones in the Tropical Western North Pacific

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 582-599 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken-Chung Ko ◽  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Wave Pattern ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Atmospheric Flow ◽  
Wave Patterns ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillations ◽  
Pattern Development ◽  
Tropical Western North Pacific

Abstract This study demonstrates the multiscale nature, from synoptic to intraseasonal time scales, of the atmospheric flow in the tropical western North Pacific. The multiscale features include intraseasonal oscillations (ISO), northwestward-propagating submonthly wave patterns, and recurving tropical cyclones (TCs). In the ISO westerly phase, the wave pattern was better organized and the TCs were clustered near the cyclonic circulation of the wave pattern during the genesis, development, and propagation. On the other hand, the wave pattern and TCs were weak and poorly organized in the ISO easterly phase. The distinct characteristics between the westerly and easterly phases could be attributed to the ISO modulation on the monsoon trough and the subtropical anticyclonic ridge. The ISO in the westerly phase provided a favorable background (e.g., enhanced monsoon trough and moisture confluent zone) for the wave–TC pattern development, while the ISO in the easterly phase provided a less favorable environment.

Variations in High-frequency Oscillations of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 423-434
Author(s):  
Shumin Chen ◽  
Weibiao Li ◽  
Zhiping Wen ◽  
Mingsen Zhou ◽  
Youyu Lu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
High Frequency Oscillations

Interactions between Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations and Synoptic-Scale Disturbances over the Western North Pacific. Part I: Energetics Diagnosis*

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 927-941 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pang-chi Hsu ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Chih-Hua Tsou
Keyword(s):  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
Energy Conversion ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Active Phase ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Synoptic Eddies ◽  
Barotropic Energy Conversion

Abstract The role of scale interactions in the maintenance of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) during the extreme phases of the intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) is examined through the construction of a new eddy energetics diagnostic tool that separates the effects of ISO and a low-frequency background state (LFBS; with periods longer than 90 days). The LFBS always contributes positively toward the EKE in the boreal summer, regardless of the ISO phases. The synoptic eddies extract energy from the ISO during the ISO active phase. This positive barotropic energy conversion occurs when the synoptic eddies interact with low-level cyclonic and convergent–confluent ISO flows. This contrasts with the ISO suppressed phase during which the synoptic eddies lose kinetic energy to the ISO flow. The anticyclonic and divergent–diffluent ISO flows during the suppressed phase are responsible for the negative barotropic energy conversion. A positive (negative) EKE tendency occurs during the ISO suppressed-to-active (active-to-suppressed) transitional phase. The cause of this asymmetric EKE tendency is attributed to the spatial phase relation among the ISO vorticity, eddy structure, and EKE. The southwest–northeast-tilted synoptic disturbances interacting with cyclonic (anticyclonic) vorticity of ISO lead to a positive (negative) EKE tendency in the northwest region of the maximum EKE center. The genesis number and location and intensification rate of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific are closely related to the barotropic energy conversion. The enhanced barotropic energy conversion favors the generation and development of synoptic seed disturbances, some of which eventually grow into tropical cyclones.

scholarly journals Occurrences of Wintertime Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific under the Background of Global Warming

2009 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 333-338
Author(s):  
He Jie-Lin ◽  
Guan Zhao-Yong ◽  
Qian Dai-Li ◽  
Wan Qi-Lin ◽  
Wang Li-Juan
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific

scholarly journals High-Resolution Seeded Simulations of Western North Pacific Ocean Tropical Cyclones in Two Future Extreme Climates

2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 309-334
Author(s):  
J. G. McLay ◽  
E. A. Hendricks ◽  
J. Moskaitis
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Bootstrap Analysis ◽  
Western North Pacific Ocean ◽  
The Future

ABSTRACT A variant of downscaling is devised to explore the properties of tropical cyclones (TCs) that originate in the open ocean of the western North Pacific Ocean (WestPac) region under extreme climates. This variant applies a seeding strategy in large-scale environments simulated by phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) climate-model integrations together with embedded integrations of Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System for Tropical Cyclones (COAMPS-TC), an operational, high-resolution, nonhydrostatic, convection-permitting numerical weather prediction (NWP) model. Test periods for the present day and late twenty-first century are sampled from two different integrations for the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 forcing scenario. Then seeded simulations for the present-day period are contrasted with similar seeded simulations for the future period. Reinforcing other downscaling studies, the seeding results suggest that the future environments are notably more conducive to high-intensity TC activity in the WestPac. Specifically, the future simulations yield considerably more TCs that exceed 96-kt (1 kt ≈ 0.5144 m s−1) intensity, and these TCs exhibit notably greater average life cycle maximum intensity and tend to spend more time above the 96-kt intensity threshold. Also, the future simulations yield more TCs that make landfall at >64-kt intensity, and the average landfall intensity of these storms is appreciably greater. These findings are supported by statistical bootstrap analysis as well as by a supplemental sensitivity analysis. Accounting for COAMPS-TC intensity forecast bias using a quantile-matching approach, the seeded simulations suggest that the potential maximum western North Pacific TC intensities in the future extreme climate may be approximately 190 kt.

scholarly journals A Simple Statistical-Synoptic Track Prediction Technique for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones

1999 ◽  
Vol 127 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeng-Ming Chen ◽  
Russell L. Elsberry ◽  
Mark A. Boothe ◽  
Lester E. Carr
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Prediction Technique
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