Error Correction Model Analysis in Measuring the Effect of Bank Internal Factors on Mudharabah Deposits for  Islamic Commercial Banks

Islamic bank products to raise public funds can be in the form of demand deposits (wadiah), savings (mudharabah), and deposits (mudharabah). One of the profit-sharing rates in Islamic banks comes from internal factors, namely Return on Assets, Capital Adequacy Ratio, Financing to Deposit Ratio, and Operational Expenses Operating Costs. This study will examine the effect of bank internal factors on mudharabah deposits of Islamic commercial banks using an econometric model, namely the error correction model. Findings. The results showed that the bank's internal variables had a significant effect on mudharabah deposits both in the short and long term. Variables Return on Assets, Capital Adequacy Ratio, and Operational Expenses Operational costs both short and long term have a negative effect on mudharabah deposits.

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PENGARUH NON PERFORMING FINANCING, CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIO, BEBAN OPERASIONAL PENDAPATAN OPERASIONAL DAN NET IMBALAN TERHADAP RETURN ON ASSETS (STUDI PADA BANK MAYBANK SYARIAH PERIODE 2012-2019)

Niqosiya: Journal of Economics and Business Research ◽

10.21154/niqosiya.v1i1.108 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 1 (1) ◽

pp. 78-93

Author(s):

Lely Awintasari ◽

Maulida Nurhidayati

Keyword(s):

Error Correction ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Capital Adequacy ◽

Short Term ◽

Return On Assets ◽

Correction Model ◽

Long Run ◽

Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽

Short And Long Term

The purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of Non Performing Financing (NPF), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Operating Expenses operating income (BOPO) and Net Rewards (NI) ratio on Return On Assets of Maybank Syariah Bank. A bank's Return on Assets (ROA) is a ratio that shows the bank's success in making a profit. If the ROA obtained by a small bank as a result of the bank can suffer losses and hinder the growth of the bank. This research is a type of quantitative research with Error Correction Model method with a significance rate of 5%, with a total of 32 samples in the form of quarterly data published by Bank Maybank Syariah in 2012-2019. The findings in this study are that NPF negatively affects ROA in the short term but NPF has no effect on ROA in the long run. CAR has no effect on ROA in the short term but CAR has a positive effect on ROA in the long run. BOPO in the short and long term negatively affects ROA. NI in the short and long term has no effect on ROA. Simultaneously NPF, CAR, BOPO and NI both short-term and long-term affect ROA simultaneously. The amount of influence exerted in the short term is 89.20% while in the long term it is 88.57%. In order to increase ROA, Maybank Syariah Bank as much as possible to reduce the percentage of NPF and BOPO and can increase the CAR owned. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh rasio kuangan Non Performing Financing (NPF), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Beban Operasional Pendapatan Operasional (BOPO) dan Net Imbalan (NI) terhadap Return On Assets Bank Maybank Syariah. Return on Assets (ROA) suatu bank merupakan rasio yang menunjukkan keberhasilan bank dalam menghasilkan keuntungan. Apabila ROA yang diperoleh bank kecil akibatnya bank dapat mengalami kerugian serta menghambat pertumbuhan bank tersebut. Penelitian ini berjenis penelitian kuantitatif dengan metode Error Correction Model dengan tingkat signifikansi 5%, dengan jumlah sampel sebanyak 32 yang berupa data triwulan yang dipublikasikan oleh Bank Maybank Syariah tahun 2012-2019. Temuan pada penelitian ini adalah NPF berpengaruh negatif pada ROA dalam jangka pendek tetapi NPF tidak berpengaruh pada ROA dalam jangka panjang. CAR tidak berpengaruh pada ROA pada jangka pendek namun CAR berpengaruh positif terhadap ROA dalam jangka panjang. BOPO dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang berpengaruh negatif pada ROA. NI dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang tidak berpengaruh pada ROA. Secara simultan NPF, CAR, BOPO dan NI baik jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang berpengaruh terhadap ROA secara simultan. Besarnya pengaruh yang diberikan pada jangka pendek adalah 89,20% sedangkan pada jangka panjang sebesar 88,57%. Untuk dapat meningkatkan ROA, Bank Maybank Syariah sebisa mungkin untuk menurunkan persentase NPF dan BOPO serta dapat meningkatkan CAR yang dimiliki.

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ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI LIKUIDITAS BANK SYARIAH DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (VECM)

Al-Masraf : Jurnal Lembaga Keuangan dan Perbankan ◽

10.15548/al-masraf.v4i2.262 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 4 (2) ◽

pp. 117

Author(s):

AYIF FATHURRAHMAN ◽

FIRSHA RUSDI

Keyword(s):

Interest Rates ◽

Capital Adequacy ◽

Return On Assets ◽

Internal Factors ◽

Correction Model ◽

Vector Error Correction ◽

Vector Error ◽

Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽

Positive Effect

This study aims to analyze the factors that affect the liquidity of Islamic banks in Indonesia. The analysis is carried out using sequential monthly data published by Bank Indonesia in the period 2010 to 2018. The variables used are internal factors (Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Return On Assets (ROA)) and external factors (SBI Inflation and Interest Rates) ) The method used in this study is the Vector Error Corection Model (VECM). Based on the results of the study show that in the short term, the variable CAR, ROA, Inflation and SBI interest rates positively and significantly affect FDR. Whereas in the long term, the CAR variable and inflation have a significant positive effect on FDR, the ROA variable negatively influences FDR. And the variable SBI interest rate does not have a significant effect on FDR.

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DETERMINAN PROFITABILITAS BANK UMUM SYARIAH DI INDONESIA

At-tijaroh: Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen dan Bisnis Islam ◽

10.24952/tijaroh.v5i2.1896 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 5 (2) ◽

pp. 201-215

Author(s):

Zuwardi MA ◽

Hardiansyah Padli

Keyword(s):

Error Correction ◽

Secondary Data ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Negative Influence ◽

Positive Influence ◽

Capital Adequacy ◽

Return On Assets ◽

Correction Model ◽

Long Run ◽

Capital Adequacy Ratio

AbstrakProfitabilitas adalah kemampuan bank untuk menghasilkan laba secara efektif dan efisien. Jadi, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh efisiensi modal kerja (BOPO), rasio kecukupan modal (CAR), likuiditas (FDR) dan Inflasi terhadap profitabiltas yang tercermin dari Return On Asset (ROA) pada Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang terdiri dari data bulanan dari tahun 2016-2018. Adapun metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini metode Error Correction Model (ECM). Berdasarkan penelitian diperoleh hasil bahwa dalam jangka pendek BOPO berpengaruh secara signifikan dan negatif terhadap ROA. Sedangkan inflasi berpengaruh secara signifikan dan positif terhadap ROA. Sementara CAR dan FDR tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap ROA. Dalam jangka panjang BOPO berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap ROA. Sedangkan FDR dan inflasi berpengaruh signifikan dan positif terhadap ROA. dalam jangka panjang. CAR tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ROA.Kata Kunci: BOPO, Inflasi, Profitabilitas AbstractProfitability is the ability of banks to generate profits effectively and efficiently. This study aims to analyze the effect of BOPO, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), liquidity (FDR) and inflation on profitability reflected in Return on Assets (ROA) at Islamic Banks in Indonesia. This study used secondary data consisting of monthly data from 2016-2018. Data analysis used the Error Correction Model (ECM). Based on the research results obtained that BOPO has a significant and negative influence on ROA in the short term. While inflation has a significant and positive influence on ROA. In other hand, CAR and FDR do not significantly influence on ROA. In the long run, BOPO has a negative and significant effect on ROA. While FDR and inflation have a significant and positive effect on ROA. CAR has no significant influence on ROA.

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DETERMINAN RETURN ON ASSETS BANK BNI SYARIAH: PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL

Niqosiya: Journal of Economics and Business Research ◽

10.21154/niqosiya.v1i2.117 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 1 (2) ◽

pp. 152-165

Author(s):

Deby Marlistyawati Putri ◽

Maulida Nurhidayati ◽

Nurul Khasanah

Keyword(s):

Error Correction ◽

Market Share ◽

Poor Performance ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Short Term ◽

Return On Assets ◽

Correction Model ◽

Business Units ◽

Short And Long Term

Return on Assets at BNI Syariah banks has shown poor performance. If this condition continues, it can have a destructive impact and result in many losses that must be borne. The study was conducted to determine the effect of mudharabah deposits, equity, and size on Return on Assets at BNI Syariah Bank. The research was conducted with a quantitative approach on quarterly data published by BNI Syariah, OJK, and BI for 2012-2019. The analysis technique uses the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results obtained indicate that mudharabah deposits and equity in the short and long term do not affect ROA. Size in the short term has no effect but in the long term affects ROA. Simultaneously, mudharabah deposits, equity, and size affect ROA both in the short and long term. The contribution amount given is 31.74% in the short term and 49.51% in the long term. BNI Syariah Bank can further increase customer interest in deposits, expand market share in larger-scale business units and the general public, and use promotional media more creatively according to the digital era. Return on Assets pada bank BNI Syariah telah menunjukkan performansi kurang baik. Jika kondisi ini terus berlangsung dapat berdampak buruk serta berakibat pada besarnya kerugian yang harus ditanggung. Penelitian dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh deposito mudharabah, ekuitas, dan size terhadap Return on Assets pada Bank BNI Syariah. Penelitian dilakukan dengan pendekatan kuantitatif pada data triwulan yang dipublikasikan oleh BNI Syariah, OJK dan BI periode 2012-2019. Teknik analisis menggunakan Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil yang diperoleh menunjukkan bahwa deposito mudharabah dan ekuitas pada jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang tidak berpengaruh pada ROA. Size dalam jangka pendek tidak berpengaruh tetapi dalam jangka panjang berpengaruh pada ROA. Secara simultan, deposito mudharabah, ekuitas dan size berpengaruh pada ROA baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Besarnya kontribusi yang diberikan adalah 31,74% pada jangka pendek dan 49,51% pada jangka panjang. Bank BNI Syariah dapat lebih meningkatkan minat nasabah pada deposito, memperluas market share pada unit usaha skala lebih besar serta masyarakat umum lainnya dan penggunaan media promosi sesuai era digital dengan lebih kreatif.

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Integration Rice Price And Farmers Welfare With Error Correction Model Analysis

Archives of Business Research ◽

10.14738/abr.79.7118 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 7 (9) ◽

pp. 221-228

Author(s):

Yogi Makbul

Keyword(s):

Error Correction ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Policy Intervention ◽

Correction Model ◽

Long Run ◽

Short Run ◽

Short And Long Term ◽

Rice Prices ◽

Support Policy

This research analyzes the short- and long-term influence of rice prices on the welfare of Indonesian farmers using an error correction model. Drawing upon data from Indonesia's Central Bureau of Statistics, it reveals that rice prices exert significant positive short-run effects and no significant long-run influence on farmers' welfare. These findings extend or refine results from earlier studies that lack the time series perspective of our research. They also support policy intervention by the Indonesian government to increase farmers' welfare and assure food supply.

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Strengthening Indonesia's Economic Growth with Islamic and non-Islamic Macroeconomic Variable

Economica Jurnal Ekonomi Islam ◽

10.21580/economica.2020.11.1.4907 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

pp. 107-128

Author(s):

Eba Ismi Alifah ◽

Anton Bawono

Keyword(s):

Economic Growth ◽

Error Correction ◽

Foreign Debt ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Correction Model ◽

Islamic Bank ◽

Short And Long Term ◽

The Government ◽

Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity

Abstract: This research was conducted to determine the effect of taxes, Sukuk, grants, inflation, foreign debt, total financing, and the network of Islamic bank offices on Indonesia's economic growth. Research data for each variable is monthly from 2009-2018. Data analysis variables use Error Correction Model (ECM) Test and Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) Test with Eviews ver.10. The results showed that in the short and long term, variables taxes, Sukuk, inflation, foreign debt, total financing, and office networks of Islamic banks) affected the Indonesian economic growth. At the same time, grants have no significant effect on economic growth. For variable predictions in the next year (2019), only economic growth, grants, inflation, foreign debt, and network of Islamic bank offices can be predicted. Meanwhile, taxes, Sukuk, and total financing cannot be identified in 2019 because the variables are not significant in the ARCH analysis, so it cannot be diagnosed about future values. This result implies that the government and the community must continue to work together to manage state revenues used to fund productive projects to stimulate economic growth.Abstrak: Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh pajak, sukuk negara, hibah, inflasi, utang luar negeri, jumlah pembiayaan dan jaringan kantor bank syariah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Data penelitian setiap variabel berupa bulanan dari tahun 2009-2018. Uji variabel penelitian menggunakan Uji Error Correction Model (ECM) dan Uji ARCH menggunakan Eviews ver.10. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang, variabel pajak, sukuk negara, inflasi, utang luar negeri, jumlah pembiayaan dan jaringan kantor bank syariah berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Sedangkan variabel hibah tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Untuk prediksi variabel di tahun berikutnya (tahun 2019), hanya variabel pertumbuhan ekonomi, hibah, inflasi, utang luar negeri dan jumlah jaringan kantor bank syariah yang dapat diprediksi, sedangkan pajak, sukuk negara, dan jumlah pembiayaan tidak dapat diketahui nilai perkembangannya di tahun 2019 karena variabel tersebut tidak signifikan pada analisis ARCH. Sehingga tidak dapat di diagnosa dalam bentuk ARCH untuk dilakukan forecast data agar diketahui tentang nilai di masa yang akan datang. Implikasi dari temuan ini adalah diperlukan upaya yang berkesinambungan dari pemerintah dan masyarakat dalam mengelola penerimaan negara yang dimanfaatkan untuk mendanai proyek yang produktif sehingga dapat mempercepat pertumbuhan ekonomi.

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Pengaruh Dow Jones Indeks, Strait Time , dan Hang Sheng Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan dengan Pendekatan Eror Correction Model

Jurnal Mandiri ◽

10.33753/mandiri.v3i2.92 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 3 (2) ◽

pp. 307-313

Author(s):

Tiar Lina Situngkir

Keyword(s):

Error Correction ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Stock Index ◽

Short Term ◽

Correction Model ◽

Jones Index ◽

Time Index ◽

Strait Time ◽

Short And Long Term

Abstrak Tujuan penelitian ini adalah menganalisis pengaruh Dow Jones Index, Strait Times Index dan Hang seng Indeks terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan. Metodologi yang digunakan dalam menganalisa adalah Error Correction Model. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa DJI dalam jangka pendek dan panjang berpengaruh positif tidak signifikan. STI dalam jangka pendek dan panjang berpengaruh berpengaruh positif signifikan. HSE dalam jangka pendek dan panjang berpengaruh negatif tidak signifikan. Simpulan secara simultan dalam penelitian ini terbukti paling tidak terdapat satu variabel independen berpengaruh signifikan. Abstract The objective of this research is to analyse whether the Dow Jones Index, Strait Times Index and Hang Seng Index, each has a significant effect on Composite Stock Index. The methodology of analysis of this research is the Error Correction Model. The result of research found that in the short term Dow Jones has no significant while in the long term it has a positive and significant impact on Indonesian Composite Stock Index. Summary In the short and long term Strait Time Index has a positive and significant impact. In short and long term Hang Seng Index has no significant on Composite Stock Index.

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INTERAKSI ASPEK PERMODALAN, RISIKO PEMBIAYAAN, DAN INDIKATOR MAKROEKONOMI DALAM MEMPENGARUHI PROFITABILITAS BPRS DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2014-2018

Jurnal Benefita ◽

10.22216/jbe.v5i3.5623 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 5 (3) ◽

pp. 401

Author(s):

Feri Irawan

Keyword(s):

Economic Growth ◽

Time Series ◽

Error Correction ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Series Data ◽

Short Term ◽

Correction Model ◽

Long Run ◽

Short And Long Term

ABSTRACTThis study aims to analyze the effect of capital aspects (CAR), financing risk (NPF) and macroeconomic variables including economic growth, inflation and the BI Rate on profitability (ROE) in the short and long term. By using time series data for the monthly period from 2013-2018 and the Error-Correction Model (ECM) and cointegration approach, it is found that CAR and NPF do not have a significant effect on ROE in the short and long term. Economic growth, inflation and the BI Rate in the short term do not have a significant effect on ROE, in the long run economic growth, inflation and the BI Rate have a significant effect on ROE. In the short term, economic growth, inflation and the BI Rate disturb the balance of profitability, but in the long run it returns to its equilibrium level. It is necessary to integrate the BPRS policy strategy in managing capital and risk with government policies related to economic growth and inflation. ABSTRACTPenelitian bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh aspek permodalan (CAR), risiko pembiayaan (NPF) dan variabel makroekonomi yang meliputi pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dam BI Rate terhadap profitabilitas (ROE) dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang. Dengan menggunakan data time series periode bulanan dari tahun 2013-2018 dan pendekatan Error-Correction Model (ECM) dan kointegrasi, ditemukan bahwa CAR dan NPF tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap ROE dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang. Pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan BI Rate dalam jangka pendek tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ROE, dalam jangka panjang pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan BI Rate berpengaruh signfikan terhadap ROE. Pada jangka pendek, pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan BI Rate menggangu keseimbangan profitabilitas namun dalam jangka panjang kembali pada tingkat keseimbangannya. Diperlukan pengintegrasi strategi kebijakan BPRS dalam mengelola permodalan dan risiko dengan kebijakan pemerintah terkait dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan inflasi.

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ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYALURAN KREDIT BANK UMUM MILIK NEGARA PERIODE TAHUN 2004 - 2012

Jurnal Manajemen ◽

10.24912/jm.v19i3.40 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 19 (3) ◽

pp. 398

Author(s):

Renaldo Prima Sutikno ◽

Hermanto Siregar ◽

Muhammad Firdaus

Keyword(s):

Financial Crisis ◽

Error Correction ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Capital Adequacy ◽

Vector Error Correction Model ◽

Correction Model ◽

Vector Error Correction ◽

Vector Error ◽

Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽

Lending Activity

Krisis keuangan global yang terjadi menjelang akhir tahun 2008 berdampak terhadap industri perbankan di Indonesia. Krisis keuangan ikut berperan dalam melambatnya pertumbuhan aktivitas penyaluran kredit perbankan. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang dominan dalam mempengaruhi aktivitas penyaluran kredit pada bank-bank BUMN dan merumuskan strategi untuk meningkatkan penyaluran kredit bagi setiap bank-bank BUMN. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Variabel mikro keuangan yang diteliti dalam penelitian ini adalah Dana Pihak Ketiga (DPK), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Non Performing Loan (NPL), dan Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR). Variabel makroekonomi yang diteliti dalam penelitian ini adalah BI Rate, Nilai Tukar, dan Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa hanya beberapa variabel yang memiliki kontribusi yang signifikan dari masing-masing bank dalam jangka panjang, yaitu DPK pada Bank Mandiri, NPL pada Bank BRI dan Bank BTN, dan PDB pada Bank BNI dan Bank BCA. Setelah mengetahui faktor-faktor dominan tersebut, maka masing-masing bank dapat memilih strategi untuk memberikan hadiah promosi dan cash back dalam periode tertentu, melakukan verifikasi data kredit dengan menggunakan four eyes principles, dan melakukan ekspansi pasar pada daerah potensial.The global financial crisis that occurred towards the end of 2008 have many impact on the banking industry in Indonesia. Financial crisis also had a role in slowing the growth of credit lending activity. The purpose of this study was to describe the most dominant factors that affect lending activity at the government banks and to formulate strategies to increase lending activity by each government bank. The methods used in this research were Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Micro-financial variables examined in this study were Third Party Fund (DPK), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Non Performing Loan (NPL), and Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR). The macroeconomic variables examined in this study were BI Rate, Exchange Rate, and Gross Domestic Product (PDB). The result of this research indicated that only a few variables that have a significant contribution of each bank in the long run are DPK on Bank Mandiri, NPL on Bank BRI and Bank BTN, and PDB on Bank BNI and Bank BCA. After knowing that dominant factors, each bank can raise capital by giving promotional gifts and cash back in certain periods, verifying credit data by using four eyes principles, doing market expansion in the potential region.

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Determinants of Money Demand in Algeria: An Empirical Study Using Cointegration and Error Correction Model

Modern Applied Science ◽

10.5539/mas.v13n10p78 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 13 (10) ◽

pp. 78

Author(s):

Mohammed Djebbouri ◽

Abdelkarim Mansouri ◽

Abderrahmane Tahi

Keyword(s):

Error Correction ◽

Money Demand ◽

Demand Function ◽

Real Income ◽

Error Correction Model ◽

Short Term ◽

Correction Model ◽

Cointegration Tests ◽

Short And Long Term

This investigation aims primarily to estimate the determinants of the demand function of money in its broad sense, in Algeria during the period 1980-2017. To accomplish this study, Cointegration and Error Correction Model (ECM) have been used. Thus, these tests proved the no stationary of time series which led us to apply the cointegration tests, so in the end we estimate the model with error correction. The results of this estimation show that the importance of determinants of money demand in the short and long term are ordered as follows: real income, the velocity of circulation of money (VM2) in the short and long term, the long-term exchange rate; in the short term its importance diminishes in favor of inflation, which has a decisive effect on the demand for money in the short term. The findings reveal that the money demand function is insensitive to the interest rate, which explains why speculation is generally regarded as a less important reason in Algeria.

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