scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Estimation Considering Prior Accelerated Degradation Data and Bayesian Inference for Multi-Stress Operating Conditions

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-117
Author(s):  
Shah M. Limon ◽  
Om Prakash Yadav
Keyword(s):  
Asset Management ◽  
Field Performance ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Management Plan ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Degradation Behavior ◽  
Accelerated Degradation ◽  
Degradation Data ◽  
Useful Life

Prediction of remaining useful life using the field monitored performance data provides a more realistic estimate of life and helps develop a better asset management plan. The field performance can be monitored (indirectly) by observing the degradation of the quality characteristics of a product. This paper considers the gamma process to model the degradation behavior of the product characteristics. An integrated Bayesian approach is proposed to estimate the remaining useful life that considers accelerated degradation data to model degradation behavior first. The proposed approach also considers interaction effects in a multi-stress scenario impacting the degradation process. To reduces the computational complexity, posterior distributions are estimated using the MCMC simulation technique. The proposed method has been demonstrated with an LED case example and results show the superiority of Bayesian-based RUL estimation.

scholarly journals Deep learning-based anomaly-onset aware remaining useful life estimation of bearings

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e795
Author(s):  
Pooja Vinayak Kamat ◽  
Rekha Sugandhi ◽  
Satish Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Rotating Machinery ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Vibration Data ◽  
Degradation Data ◽  
Useful Life

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation of rotating machinery based on their degradation data is vital for machine supervisors. Deep learning models are effective and popular methods for forecasting when rotating machinery such as bearings may malfunction and ultimately break down. During healthy functioning of the machinery, however, RUL is ill-defined. To address this issue, this study recommends using anomaly monitoring during both RUL estimator training and operation. Essential time-domain data is extracted from the raw bearing vibration data, and deep learning models are used to detect the onset of the anomaly. This further acts as a trigger for data-driven RUL estimation. The study employs an unsupervised clustering approach for anomaly trend analysis and a semi-supervised method for anomaly detection and RUL estimation. The novel combined deep learning-based anomaly-onset aware RUL estimation framework showed enhanced results on the benchmarked PRONOSTIA bearings dataset under non-varying operating conditions. The framework consisting of Autoencoder and Long Short Term Memory variants achieved an accuracy of over 90% in anomaly detection and RUL prediction. In the future, the framework can be deployed under varying operational situations using the transfer learning approach.

scholarly journals Prediction of Remaining Useful Life of Wind Turbine Bearings under Non-Stationary Operating Conditions

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 3318 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lixiao Cao ◽  
Zheng Qian ◽  
Hamid Zareipour ◽  
David Wood ◽  
Ehsan Mollasalehi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Wavelet Packet ◽  
Health Indicators ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Wind-powered electricity generation has grown significantly over the past decade. While there are many components that might impact their useful life, the gearbox and generator bearings are among the most fragile components in wind turbines. Therefore, the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) of faulty or damaged wind turbine bearings will provide useful support for reliability evaluation and advanced maintenance of wind turbines. This paper proposes a data-driven method combining the interval whitenization method with a Gaussian process (GP) algorithm in order to predict the RUL of wind turbine generator bearings. Firstly, a wavelet packet transform is used to eliminate noise in the vibration signals and extract the characteristic fault signals. A comprehensive analysis of the real degradation process is used to determine the indicators of degradation. The interval whitenization method is proposed to reduce the interference of non-stationary operating conditions to improve the quality of health indicators. Finally, the GP method is utilized to construct the model which reflects the relationship between the RUL and health indicators. The method is assessed using actual vibration datasets from two wind turbines. The prediction results demonstrate that the proposed method can reduce the effect of non-stationary operating conditions. In addition, compared with the support vector regression (SVR) method and artificial neural network (ANN), the prediction accuracy of the proposed method has an improvement of more than 65.8%. The prediction results verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.

scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Bearings Using Ensemble Learning: The Impact of Diversity in Base Learners and Features

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Junchuan Shi ◽  
Tianyu Yu ◽  
Kai Goebel ◽  
Dazhong Wu
Keyword(s):  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
Health Management ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Vibration Data ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Prognostics and health management (PHM) of bearings is crucial for reducing the risk of failure and the cost of maintenance for rotating machinery. Model-based prognostic methods develop closed-form mathematical models based on underlying physics. However, the physics of complex bearing failures under varying operating conditions is not well understood yet. To complement model-based prognostics, data-driven methods have been increasingly used to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of bearings. As opposed to other machine learning methods, ensemble learning methods can achieve higher prediction accuracy by combining multiple learning algorithms of different types. The rationale behind ensemble learning is that higher performance can be achieved by combining base learners that overestimate and underestimate the RUL of bearings. However, building an effective ensemble remains a challenge. To address this issue, the impact of diversity in base learners and extracted features in different degradation stages on the performance of ensemble learning is investigated. The degradation process of bearings is classified into three stages, including normal wear, smooth wear, and severe wear, based on the root-mean-square (RMS) of vibration signals. To evaluate the impact of diversity on prediction performance, vibration data collected from rolling element bearings was used to train predictive models. Experimental results have shown that the performance of the proposed ensemble learning method is significantly improved by selecting diverse features and base learners in different degradation stages.

Accelerated degradation data of SiC MOSFETs for lifetime and Remaining Useful Life assessment

2014 ◽  
Vol 54 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 1718-1723 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Santini ◽  
S. Morand ◽  
M. Fouladirad ◽  
L.V. Phung ◽  
F. Miller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Accelerated Degradation ◽  
Degradation Data ◽  
Useful Life

An improved deep convolution neural network for predicting the remaining useful life of rolling bearings

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Yiming Guo ◽  
Hui Zhang ◽  
Zhijie Xia ◽  
Chang Dong ◽  
Zhisheng Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Rolling Bearing ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Convolution Neural Network ◽  
Dual Channel ◽  
Time Domain Data ◽  
Channel Input ◽  
Deep Convolution Neural Network ◽  
Useful Life

The rolling bearing is the crucial component in the rotating machinery. The degradation process monitoring and remaining useful life prediction of the bearing are necessary for the condition-based maintenance. The commonly used deep learning methods use the raw or processed time domain data as the input. However, the feature extracted by these approaches is insufficient and incomprehensive. To tackle this problem, this paper proposed an improved Deep Convolution Neural Network with the dual-channel input from the time and frequency domain in parallel. The proposed methodology consists of two stages: the incipient failure identification and the degradation process fitting. To verify the effectiveness of the method, the IEEE PHM 2012 dataset is adopted to compare the proposed method and other commonly used approaches. The results show that the improved Deep Convolution Neural Network can effectively describe the degradation process for the rolling bearing.

scholarly journals Particle Filtering Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Electromagnetic Coil Insulation

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 473
Author(s):  
Haifeng Guo ◽  
Aidong Xu ◽  
Kai Wang ◽  
Yue Sun ◽  
Xiaojia Han ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Particle Filtering ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Electrical Parameters ◽  
Degradation Model ◽  
Accelerated Degradation ◽  
Insulation Failure ◽  
Electromagnetic Coils ◽  
Degradation Monitoring ◽  
Insulation Degradation ◽  
Useful Life

Electromagnetic coils are one of the key components of many systems. Their insulation failure can have severe effects on the systems in which coils are used. This paper focuses on insulation degradation monitoring and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of electromagnetic coils. First, insulation degradation characteristics are extracted from coil high-frequency electrical parameters. Second, health indicator is defined based on insulation degradation characteristics to indicate the health degree of coil insulation. Finally, an insulation degradation model is constructed, and coil insulation RUL prediction is performed by particle filtering. Thermal accelerated degradation experiments are performed to validate the RUL prediction performance. The proposed method presents opportunities for predictive maintenance of systems that incorporate coils.

scholarly journals Predicting Remaining Useful Life of Rolling Bearings Based on Reliable Degradation Indicator and Temporal Convolution Network with the Quantile Regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 4773
Author(s):  
Qiaoping Tian ◽  
Honglei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Health State ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Degradation Indicator

High precision and multi information prediction results of bearing remaining useful life (RUL) can effectively describe the uncertainty of bearing health state and operation state. Aiming at the problem of feature efficient extraction and RUL prediction during rolling bearings operation degradation process, through data reduction and key features mining analysis, a new feature vector based on time-frequency domain joint feature is found to describe the bearings degradation process more comprehensively. In order to keep the effective information without increasing the scale of neural network, a joint feature compression calculation method based on redefined degradation indicator (DI) was proposed to determine the input data set. By combining the temporal convolution network with the quantile regression (TCNQR) algorithm, the probability density forecasting at any time is achieved based on kernel density estimation (KDE) for the conditional distribution of predicted values. The experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain the point prediction results with smaller errors. Compared with the existing quantile regression of long short-term memory network(LSTMQR), the proposed method can construct more accurate prediction interval and probability density curve, which can effectively quantify the uncertainty of bearing running state.

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