scholarly journals Deep learning-based anomaly-onset aware remaining useful life estimation of bearings

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e795
Author(s):  
Pooja Vinayak Kamat ◽  
Rekha Sugandhi ◽  
Satish Kumar

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation of rotating machinery based on their degradation data is vital for machine supervisors. Deep learning models are effective and popular methods for forecasting when rotating machinery such as bearings may malfunction and ultimately break down. During healthy functioning of the machinery, however, RUL is ill-defined. To address this issue, this study recommends using anomaly monitoring during both RUL estimator training and operation. Essential time-domain data is extracted from the raw bearing vibration data, and deep learning models are used to detect the onset of the anomaly. This further acts as a trigger for data-driven RUL estimation. The study employs an unsupervised clustering approach for anomaly trend analysis and a semi-supervised method for anomaly detection and RUL estimation. The novel combined deep learning-based anomaly-onset aware RUL estimation framework showed enhanced results on the benchmarked PRONOSTIA bearings dataset under non-varying operating conditions. The framework consisting of Autoencoder and Long Short Term Memory variants achieved an accuracy of over 90% in anomaly detection and RUL prediction. In the future, the framework can be deployed under varying operational situations using the transfer learning approach.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker

Abstract Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations of complex systems are essential to operational safety, increased efficiency, and help to schedule maintenance proactively. Modeling the remaining useful life of a system with many complexities is possible with the rapid development in the field of deep learning as a computational technique for failure prediction. Deep learning can adapt to multivariate parameters complex and nonlinear behavior, which is difficult using traditional time-series models for forecasting and prediction purposes. In this paper, a deep learning approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is used to predict the remaining useful life of the PCB at different conditions of temperature and vibration. This technique can identify the different underlying patterns in the time series that can predict the RUL. This study involves feature vector identification and RUL estimations for SAC305, SAC105, and Tin Lead solder PCBs under different vibration levels and temperature conditions. The acceleration levels of vibration are fixed at 5g and 10g, while the temperature levels are 55°C and 100°C. The test board is a multilayer FR4 configuration with JEDEC standard dimensions consists of twelve packages arranged in a rectangular pattern. Strain signals are acquired from the backside of the PCB at symmetric locations to identify the failure of all the packages during vibration. The strain signals are resistance values that are acquired simultaneously during the experiment until the failure of most of the packages on the board. The feature vectors are identified from statistical analysis on the strain signals frequency and instantaneous frequency components. The principal component analysis is used as a data reduction technique to identify the different patterns produced from the four strain signals with failures of the packages during vibration. LSTM deep learning method is used to model the RUL of the packages at different individual operating conditions of vibration for all three solder materials involved in this study. A combined model for RUL prediction for a material that can take care of the changes in the operating conditions is also modeled for each material.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 745-756
Author(s):  
Yi Lyu ◽  
Yijie Jiang ◽  
Qichen Zhang ◽  
Ci Chen

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction plays a crucial role in decision-making in conditionbased maintenance for preventing catastrophic field failure. For degradation-failed products, the data of performance deterioration process are the key for lifetime estimation. Deep learning has been proved to have excellent performance in RUL prediction given that the degradation data are sufficiently large. However, in some applications, the degradation data are insufficient, under which how to improve the prediction accuracy is yet a challenging problem. To tackle such a challenge, we propose a novel deep learning-based RUL prediction framework by amplifying the degradation dataset. Specifically, we leverage the cycle-consistent generative adversarial network to generate the synthetic data, based on which the original degradation dataset is amplified so that the data characteristics hidden in the sample space could be captured. Moreover, the sliding time window strategy and deep bidirectional long short-term memory network are employed to complete the RUL prediction framework. We show the effectiveness of the proposed method by running it on the turbine engine data set from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The comparative experiments show that our method outperforms a case without the use of the synthetically generated data.


Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker

Abstract This study focuses on the feature vector identification and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation of SAC305 solder alloy PCB's of two different configurations during varying conditions of temperature and vibration. The feature vectors are identified using the strain signals acquired from four symmetrical locations of the PCB at regular intervals during vibration. Two different types of experiments are employed to characterize the PCB's dynamic changes with varying temperature and acceleration levels. The strain signals acquired during each of these experiments are compared based on both time and frequency domain characteristics. Different statistical and frequency-based techniques were used to identify the strain signal variations with changes in the environment and loading conditions. The feature vectors in predicting failure at a constant working temperature and load were identified, and as an extension to this work, the effectiveness of the feature vectors during varying conditions of temperature and acceleration levels are investigated. The remaining Useful Life of the packages was estimated using a deep learning approach based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network. This technique can identify the underlying patterns in multivariate time series data that can predict the packages' life. The autocorrelation function's residuals were used as the multivariate time series data in conjunction with the LSTM deep learning technique to forecast the packages' life at different varying temperatures and acceleration levels during vibration.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianjiao Lin ◽  
Huaqing Wang ◽  
Liuyang Song ◽  
Lingli Cui

Abstract With the increasing complexity of CNC machine tools and other rotating machinery, it becomes more and more important to improve the reliability of such machines. It is necessary to estimate the remaining Useful Life (RUL) of the important parts such as bearings of these devices. However, the operating conditions of such parts are often very complicated, and there is a great difference between different devices. Therefore, it is difficult to use the traditional mechanism analysis method, which is not only very hard, but also generally has low prediction accuracy. In order to solve the above problems, this paper proposes a Feature-transferred Prediction Network (FTPN), which can adapt to various working conditions, combining with the neural network method in the field of artificial intelligence, and effectively realizes RUL prediction. Since the existing neural network methods were originally proposed to solve the problems in other fields, such as semantic recognition, this paper uses the feature transfer method to improve them. Firstly, the source network based on Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) is pre-trained for fault recognition, and the fault feature information extracted after training is stored in the fault feature layer. Second, CNN and Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) are used to build target networks and fit the relationship between time series and remaining longevity. Finally, a special loss function is designed to transfer the features extracted from the source network to the target network to help the target network learn fault features and better predict the mechanical RUL. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, experiments are carried out using the public data set of accelerated life of bearings, and high prediction accuracy is obtained, which proves that the proposed method has certain generalization. The comparison with the existing methods on the same data set shows that the proposed method has a broad industrial application prospect.


Author(s):  
Shah M. Limon ◽  
Om Prakash Yadav

Prediction of remaining useful life using the field monitored performance data provides a more realistic estimate of life and helps develop a better asset management plan. The field performance can be monitored (indirectly) by observing the degradation of the quality characteristics of a product. This paper considers the gamma process to model the degradation behavior of the product characteristics. An integrated Bayesian approach is proposed to estimate the remaining useful life that considers accelerated degradation data to model degradation behavior first. The proposed approach also considers interaction effects in a multi-stress scenario impacting the degradation process. To reduces the computational complexity, posterior distributions are estimated using the MCMC simulation technique. The proposed method has been demonstrated with an LED case example and results show the superiority of Bayesian-based RUL estimation.


Author(s):  
Ikram Remadna ◽  
Labib Sadek Terrissa ◽  
Soheyb Ayad ◽  
Nourddine Zerhouni

The turbofan engine is one of the most critical aircraft components. Its failure may introduce unwanted downtime, expensive repair, and affect safety performance. Therefore, It is essential to accurately detect upcoming failures by predicting the future behavior health state of turbofan engines as well as its Remaining Useful Life. The use of deep learning techniques to estimate Remaining Useful Life has seen a growing interest over the last decade. However, hybrid deep learning methods have not been sufficiently explored yet by researchers.In this paper, we proposed two-hybrid methods combining Convolutional Auto-encoder (CAE), Bi-directional Gated Recurrent Unit (BDGRU), Bi-directional Long-Short Term Memory (BDLSTM), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to enhance the RUL estimation. The results indicate that the hybrid methods exhibit the most reliable RUL prediction accuracy and significantly outperform the most robust predictions in the literature.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 1542-1559 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amin Aria ◽  
Enrique Lopez Droguett ◽  
Shapour Azarm ◽  
Mohammad Modarres

In this article, a new deep learning-based approach for online estimation of damage size and remaining useful life of structures is presented. The proposed approach consists of three modules. In the first module, a long short-term memory regression model is used to construct a sensor-based estimation of the damage size where different ranges of temporal correlations are considered for their effects on the accuracy of the damage size estimations. In the second module, a convolutional neural network semantic image segmentation approach is used to construct automated damage size estimations in which a pixel-wise classification is carried out on images of the damaged areas. Using physics-of-failure relations, frequency mismatches associated with sensor- and image-based size estimations are resolved. Finally, in the third module, damage size estimations obtained by the first two modules are fused together for an online remaining useful life estimation of the structure. Performance of the proposed approach is evaluated using sensor and image data obtained from a set of fatigue crack experiments performed on aluminum alloy 7075-T6 specimens. It is shown that using acoustic emission signals obtained from sensors and microscopic images in these experiments, the damage size estimations obtained from the proposed data fusion approach have higher accuracy than the sensor-based and higher frequency than the image-based estimations. Moreover, the accuracy of the data fusion estimations is found to be more than that of image-based estimations for the experiment with the largest sensor dataset. Based on the results obtained, it is concluded that the consideration of longer temporal correlations can lead to improvements in the accuracy of crack size estimations and, thus, a better remaining useful life estimation for structures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 4113
Author(s):  
Viet Tra ◽  
Tuan-Khai Nguyen ◽  
Cheol-Hong Kim ◽  
Jong-Myon Kim

Remaining useful life (RUL) prognosis is one of the most important techniques in concrete structure health management. This technique evaluates the concrete structure strength through determining the advent of failure, which is very helpful to reduce maintenance costs and extend structure life. Degradation information with the capability of reflecting structure health can be considered as a principal factor to achieve better prognosis performance. In traditional data-driven RUL prognosis, there are drawbacks in which features are manually extracted and threshold is defined to mark the specimen’s breakdown. To overcome these limitations, this paper presents an innovative SAE-DNN structure capable of automatic health indicator (HI) construction from raw signals. HI curves constructed by SAE-DNN have much better fitness metrics than HI curves constructed from statistical parameters such as RMS, Kurtosis, Sknewness, etc. In the next stage, HI curves constructed from training degradation data are then used to train a long short-term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM-RNN). The LSTM-RNN is utilized as a RUL predictor since its special gates allow it to learn long-term dependencies even when the training data is limited. Model construction, verification, and comparison are performed on experimental reinforced concrete (RC) beam data. Experimental results indicates that LSTM-RNN generally estimates more accurate RULs of concrete beams than GRU-RNN and simple RNN with the average prediction error cycles was less than half compared to those of the simple RNN.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Gang Zhang ◽  
Weige Liang ◽  
Bo She ◽  
Fuqing Tian

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction plays a significant role in developing the condition-based maintenance and improving the reliability and safety of machines. This paper proposes a remaining useful life prediction scheme combining deep-learning-based health indicator and a new relevance vector machine. First, both one-dimensional time-series information and two-dimensional time-frequency maps are input into a hybrid deep-learning structure network consisting of convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory network (LSTM) to construct health indicator (HI). Then, the prediction results and confidence interval are calculated by a new RVM enhanced by a polynomial regression model. The proposed method is verified by the public PRONOSTIA bearing datasets. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in improving the prediction accuracy and analyzing the prediction uncertainty.


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