scholarly journals Predicting Remaining Useful Life of Rolling Bearings Based on Reliable Degradation Indicator and Temporal Convolution Network with the Quantile Regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 4773
Author(s):  
Qiaoping Tian ◽  
Honglei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Health State ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Degradation Indicator

High precision and multi information prediction results of bearing remaining useful life (RUL) can effectively describe the uncertainty of bearing health state and operation state. Aiming at the problem of feature efficient extraction and RUL prediction during rolling bearings operation degradation process, through data reduction and key features mining analysis, a new feature vector based on time-frequency domain joint feature is found to describe the bearings degradation process more comprehensively. In order to keep the effective information without increasing the scale of neural network, a joint feature compression calculation method based on redefined degradation indicator (DI) was proposed to determine the input data set. By combining the temporal convolution network with the quantile regression (TCNQR) algorithm, the probability density forecasting at any time is achieved based on kernel density estimation (KDE) for the conditional distribution of predicted values. The experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain the point prediction results with smaller errors. Compared with the existing quantile regression of long short-term memory network(LSTMQR), the proposed method can construct more accurate prediction interval and probability density curve, which can effectively quantify the uncertainty of bearing running state.

A Clustering-Based Framework for Performance Degradation Prediction of Slewing Bearing Using Multiple Physical Signals

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Ding ◽  
Hua Wang ◽  
Yongfen Dai
Keyword(s):  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Self Organizing Map ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Heavy Load ◽  
Joint Application ◽  
Learning Modes ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Slewing Bearings

Diagnosing the failure or predicting the performance state of low-speed and heavy-load slewing bearings is a practical and effective method to reduce unexpected stoppage or optimize the maintenances. Many literatures focus on the performance prediction of small rolling bearings, while studies on slewing bearings' health evaluation are very rare. Among these rare studies, supervised or unsupervised data-driven models are often used alone, few researchers devote to remaining useful life (RUL) prediction using the joint application of two learning modes which could fully take diversity and complexity of slewing bearings' degradation and damage into consideration. Therefore, this paper proposes a clustering-based framework with aids of supervised models and multiple physical signals. Correlation analysis and principle component analysis (PCA)-based multiple sensitive features in time-domain are used to establish the performance recession indicators (PRIs) of torque, temperature, and vibration. Subsequently, these three indicators are divided into several parts representing different degradation periods via optimized self-organizing map (OSOM). Finally, corresponding data-driven life models of these degradation periods are generated. Experimental results indicate that multiple physical signals can effectively describe the degradation process. The proposed clustering-based framework is provided with a more accurate prediction of slewing bearings' RUL and well reflects the performance recession periods.

scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Rolling Bearings Using PSR, JADE, and Extreme Learning Machine

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongbin Liu ◽  
Bing He ◽  
Fang Liu ◽  
Siliang Lu ◽  
Yilei Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Feature Extraction ◽  
Phase Space ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Phase Point ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Point Distribution ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Learning Machine

Rolling bearings play a pivotal role in rotating machinery. The degradation assessment and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of bearings are critical to condition-based maintenance. However, sensitive feature extraction still remains a formidable challenge. In this paper, a novel feature extraction method is introduced to obtain the sensitive features through phase space reconstitution (PSR) and joint with approximate diagonalization of Eigen-matrices (JADE). Firstly, the original features are extracted from bearing vibration signals in time and frequency domain. Secondly, the PSR is applied to embed the original features into high dimensional phase space. The between-class and within-class scatter (SS) are calculated to evaluate the feature sensitivity through the phase point distribution of different degradation stages and then different weights are assigned to the corresponding features based on the calculatedSS. Thirdly, the JADE is employed to fuse the weighted features to obtain the advanced features which can better reflect the bearing degradation process. Finally, the advanced features are input into the extreme learning machine (ELM) to train the RUL prediction model. A set of experimental case studies are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that the extracted advanced features can better reflect the degradation process compared to traditional features and could effectively predict the RUL of bearing.

Remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearings based on the three-parameter Weibull distribution proportional hazards model

2020 ◽  
Vol 62 (12) ◽  
pp. 710-718
Author(s):  
Ye Wang ◽  
Zhixiong Chen ◽  
Yang Zhang ◽  
Xin Li ◽  
Zhixiong Li
Keyword(s):  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Intelligent Maintenance ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Essential Knowledge

In order to accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings, a novel method based on the threeparameter Weibull distribution proportional hazards model (WPHM) is proposed in this paper. In this new method, degradation features of the bearing vibration signals were calculated in the time, frequency and time-frequency domains and treated as the input covariates of the predictive WPHM. Essential knowledge of the bearing degradation dynamics was learnt from the input features to build an effective three-parameter WPHM for bearing RUL prediction. Experimental data acquired from the run-to-failure bearing tests of the intelligent maintenance system (IMS) was used to evaluate the proposed method. The analysis results demonstrate that the proposed model is able to produce accurate RUL prediction for the tested bearings and outperforms the popular two-parameter WPHM.

Residual life prediction for ball bearings based on joint approximate diagonalization of eigen matrices and extreme learning machine

2015 ◽  
Vol 231 (9) ◽  
pp. 1699-1711 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang Liu ◽  
Yongbin Liu ◽  
Fenglin Chen ◽  
Bing He
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Domain ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Residual Life ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Fast Learning ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Degradation Indicator

Data-driven approaches have been proved effective for remaining useful life estimation of key components (bearings for example) in rotating machinery. In such approaches, it is important to determine an appropriate degradation indicator from the collected run-to-failure life cycle data. In this paper, a new degradation indicator is introduced based on the joint approximate diagonalization of eigen matrices algorithm. First, a matrix consisting of time domain, frequency domain, and time–frequency domain features extracted from the collected data instances is created. Then a two-layer joint approximate diagonalization of eigen matrices is introduced to transform the matrix to the advanced features (a vector) that represents the behavior of the bearing’s degradation. As an independent component analysis method, the designed two-layer joint approximate diagonalization of eigen matrices is able to eliminate the redundancy of the directly extracted features. Further, the obtained vector is input into an extreme learning machine to train a remaining useful life prediction model. Finally, a set of experimental cases are utilized to verify the presented method. Results show that the two-layer joint approximate diagonalization of eigen matrices is capable of exploring features that reflects the trend of bearing’s degradation state much better. And due to the easy parameter configuration and fast learning speed, the extreme learning machine is capable of training a model that can effectively predict the remaining useful life of the bearings.

scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Prediction and Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearings Based on Short-Time Fourier Transform and Convolutional Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Shuang Zhou ◽  
Maohua Xiao ◽  
Petr Bartos ◽  
Martin Filip ◽  
Guosheng Geng
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Fault Identification ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Diagnosis Method ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Short Time

Rolling bearings play a pivotal role in rotating machinery. The remaining useful life prediction and fault diagnosis of bearings are crucial to condition-based maintenance. However, traditional data-driven methods usually require manual extraction of features, which needs rich signal processing theory as support and is difficult to control the efficiency. In this study, a bearing remaining life prediction and fault diagnosis method based on short-time Fourier transform (STFT) and convolutional neural network (CNN) has been proposed. First, the STFT was adopted to construct time-frequency maps of the unprocessed original vibration signals that can ensure the true and effective recovery of the fault characteristics in vibration signals. Then, the training time-frequency maps were used as an input of the CNN to train the network model. Finally, the time-frequency maps of testing signals were inputted into the network model to complete the life prediction or fault identification of rolling bearings. The rolling bearing life-cycle datasets from the Intelligent Management System were applied to verify the proposed life prediction method, showing that its accuracy reaches 99.45%, and the prediction effect is good. Multiple sets of validation experiments were conducted to verify the proposed fault diagnosis method with the open datasets from Case Western Reserve University. Results show that the proposed method can effectively identify the fault classification and the accuracy can reach 95.83%. The comparison with the fault diagnosis classification effects of backpropagation (BP) neural network, particle swarm optimization-BP, and genetic algorithm-BP further proves its superiority. The proposed method in this paper is proved to have strong ability of adaptive feature extraction, life prediction, and fault identification.

scholarly journals Health Indicator for Predictive Maintenance Based on Fuzzy Cognitive Maps, Grey Wolf, and K-Nearest Neighbors Algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
G. Mazzuto ◽  
S. Antomarioni ◽  
F. E. Ciarapica ◽  
M. Bevilacqua
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Maps ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps ◽  
Predictive Maintenance ◽  
Health State ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Health Indicator ◽  
Neural Network Approach ◽  
Useful Life

An essential step in the implementation of predictive maintenance involves the health state analysis of productive equipment in order to provide company managers with performance and degradation indicators which help to predict component condition. In this paper, a supervised approach for health indicator calculation is provided combining the Grey Wolf Optimisation method, Swarm Intelligence algorithm, and Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. The k-neighbors algorithms is used to predict the Remaining Useful Life of an item, since, in addition to its simplicity, they produce good results in a large number of domains. The approach aims to solve the problem that frequently occurs in interpolation procedures: the approximation of functions belonging to a chosen class of functions of which we have no knowledge. The proposed algorithm allows maintenance managers to distinguish different degradation profiles in depth with a consequently more precise estimate of the Remaining Useful Life of an item and, in addition, an in-depth understanding of the degradation process. Specifically, in order to show its suitability for predictive maintenance, a dataset on NASA aircraft engines has been used and results have been compared to those obtained with a neural network approach. Results highlight how all of the degradation profiles, obtained using the proposed approach, are modelled in a more detailed manner, allowing one to significantly distinguish different situations. Moreover, the physical core speed and the corrected fan speed have been identified as the main critical factors to the engine degradation.

Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process Evaluation Method of Gas Turbine Based on Health Degree

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunpeng Cao ◽  
Pan Hu ◽  
Qingcai Yang ◽  
Yinghui He ◽  
Shuying Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gas Turbine ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Health State ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Hierarchy Process ◽  
Evaluation Parameters

In this paper, a gas turbine fuzzy analytic hierarchy process based on health degree is proposed to determine the current health state and remaining useful life of the gas turbine. The concept of health degree is introduced to quantitatively represent the health state of gas turbine and its components and parameters. The probability density function is used to calculate the health degree of the evaluation parameters to avoid the complexity of evaluation caused by different orders of magnitude. This paper proposes the weights hiding method that reflects the inhomogeneity of the evaluation parameters and proposes a remaining useful life prediction algorithm based on the health degree. Finally, the training data set from the Commercial Modular Aero-Propulsion System Simulation (CMAPSS) simulator is used to validate the proposed health evaluation method and the remaining useful life prediction algorithm. The results show that the gas turbine health degree obtained by the method in this paper can be used to accurately predict the degradation trend of gas turbine, and the predicted remaining useful life coincides with the result of the test data set, thereby demonstrating the validity and practicability of the proposed method of using health degree to describe the gas turbine health state.

scholarly journals A Reliable Prognosis Approach for Degradation Evaluation of Rolling Bearing Using MCLSTM

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 1864 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gangjin Huang ◽  
Hongkun Li ◽  
Jiayu Ou ◽  
Yuanliang Zhang ◽  
Mingliang Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Health Management ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Rolling Bearing ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Variable Model ◽  
Management Technology ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Degradation Evaluation

Prognostics and health management technology (PHM), a measure to ensure the reliability and safety of the operation of industrial machinery, has attracted attention and application adequately. However, how to use the monitored information to evaluate the degradation of rolling bearings is a significant issue for its predictive maintenance and autonomic logistics. This work presents a reliable health prognosis approach to estimate the health indicator (HI) and remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings. Firstly, to accurately capture the degradation process, a novel health index (HI) is constructed based on correlation kurtosis for different iteration periods and a Gaussian process latency variable model (GPLVM). Then, a multiple convolutional long short-term memory (MCLSTM) network is proposed to predict HI values and RUL values. Finally, we perform experimental datasets of rolling bearings, demonstrating that the presented method surpasses other state-of-the-art prognosis approaches. The results also confirm the feasibility of the presented method in industrial machinery.

An improved deep convolution neural network for predicting the remaining useful life of rolling bearings

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Yiming Guo ◽  
Hui Zhang ◽  
Zhijie Xia ◽  
Chang Dong ◽  
Zhisheng Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Rolling Bearing ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Convolution Neural Network ◽  
Dual Channel ◽  
Time Domain Data ◽  
Channel Input ◽  
Deep Convolution Neural Network ◽  
Useful Life

The rolling bearing is the crucial component in the rotating machinery. The degradation process monitoring and remaining useful life prediction of the bearing are necessary for the condition-based maintenance. The commonly used deep learning methods use the raw or processed time domain data as the input. However, the feature extracted by these approaches is insufficient and incomprehensive. To tackle this problem, this paper proposed an improved Deep Convolution Neural Network with the dual-channel input from the time and frequency domain in parallel. The proposed methodology consists of two stages: the incipient failure identification and the degradation process fitting. To verify the effectiveness of the method, the IEEE PHM 2012 dataset is adopted to compare the proposed method and other commonly used approaches. The results show that the improved Deep Convolution Neural Network can effectively describe the degradation process for the rolling bearing.

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