scholarly journals Use of Machine Learning and Deep Learning to Predict the Outcomes of Major League Baseball Matches

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4499
Author(s):  
Mei-Ling Huang ◽  
Yun-Zhi Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Major League Baseball ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Major League

Major League Baseball (MLB) is the highest level of professional baseball in the world and accounts for some of the most popular international sporting events. Many scholars have conducted research on predicting the outcome of MLB matches. The accuracy in predicting the results of baseball games is low. Therefore, deep learning and machine learning methods were used to build models for predicting the outcomes (win/loss) of MLB matches and investigate the differences between the models in terms of their performance. The match data of 30 teams during the 2019 MLB season with only the starting pitcher or with all pitchers in the pitcher category were collected to compare the prediction accuracy. A one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1DCNN), a traditional machine learning artificial neural network (ANN), and a support vector machine (SVM) were used to predict match outcomes with fivefold cross-validation to evaluate model performance. The highest prediction accuracies were 93.4%, 93.91%, and 93.90% with the 1DCNN, ANN, SVM models, respectively, before feature selection; after feature selection, the highest accuracies obtained were 94.18% and 94.16% with the ANN and SVM models, respectively. The prediction results obtained with the three models were similar, and the prediction accuracies were much higher than those obtained in related studies. Moreover, a 1DCNN was used for the first time for predicting the outcome of MLB matches, and it achieved a prediction accuracy similar to that achieved by machine learning methods.

scholarly journals Possibility of Autonomous Estimation of Shiba Goat’s Estrus and Non-Estrus Behavior by Machine Learning Methods

Animals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 771
Author(s):  
Toshiya Arakawa
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Tracking System ◽  
Video Tracking ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Mammalian behavior is typically monitored by observation. However, direct observation requires a substantial amount of effort and time, if the number of mammals to be observed is sufficiently large or if the observation is conducted for a prolonged period. In this study, machine learning methods as hidden Markov models (HMMs), random forests, support vector machines (SVMs), and neural networks, were applied to detect and estimate whether a goat is in estrus based on the goat’s behavior; thus, the adequacy of the method was verified. Goat’s tracking data was obtained using a video tracking system and used to estimate whether they, which are in “estrus” or “non-estrus”, were in either states: “approaching the male”, or “standing near the male”. Totally, the PC of random forest seems to be the highest. However, The percentage concordance (PC) value besides the goats whose data were used for training data sets is relatively low. It is suggested that random forest tend to over-fit to training data. Besides random forest, the PC of HMMs and SVMs is high. However, considering the calculation time and HMM’s advantage in that it is a time series model, HMM is better method. The PC of neural network is totally low, however, if the more goat’s data were acquired, neural network would be an adequate method for estimation.

Landslide susceptibility mapping based on convolutional neural network and conventional machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Liu ◽  
Xin Yang ◽  
Chong Xu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Xiangqiang Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Conventional Machine

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a useful tool to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence, providing a scientific basis for natural hazards prevention, land use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. To date, a large number of machine learning methods have been applied to LSM, and recently the advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been gradually adopted to enhance the prediction accuracy of LSM. The objective of this study is to introduce a CNN based model in LSM and systematically compare its overall performance with the conventional machine learning models of random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine. Herein, we selected the Jiuzhaigou region in Sichuan Province, China as the study area. A total number of 710 landslides and 12 predisposing factors were stacked to form spatial datasets for LSM. The ROC analysis and several statistical metrics, such as accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), Kappa coefficient, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the models in the training and validation datasets. Finally, the trained models were calculated and the landslide susceptibility zones were mapped. Results suggest that both CNN and conventional machine-learning based models have a satisfactory performance (AUC: 85.72% − 90.17%). The CNN based model exhibits excellent good-of-fit and prediction capability, and achieves the highest performance (AUC: 90.17%) but also significantly reduces the salt-of-pepper effect, which indicates its great potential of application to LSM.

Detecting a keystone species European aspen in boreal forests with airborne hyperspectral, LiDAR and UAV data with machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timo Kumpula ◽  
Janne Mäyrä ◽  
Anton Kuzmin ◽  
Arto Viinikka ◽  
Sonja Kivinen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Boreal Forests ◽  
Tree Level ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
European Aspen

<p>Sustainable forest management increasingly highlights the maintenance of biological diversity and requires up-to-date information on the occurrence and distribution of key ecological features in forest environments. Different proxy variables indicating species richness and quality of the sites are essential for efficient detecting and monitoring forest biodiversity. European aspen (Populus tremula L.) is a minor deciduous tree species with a high importance in maintaining biodiversity in boreal forests. Large aspen trees host hundreds of species, many of them classified as threatened. However, accurate fine-scale spatial data on aspen occurrence remains scarce and incomprehensive.</p><p> </p><p>We studied detection of aspen using different remote sensing techniques in Evo, southern Finland. Our study area of 83 km<sup>2</sup> contains both managed and protected southern boreal forests characterized by Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst), and birch (Betula pendula and pubescens L.), whereas European aspen has a relatively sparse and scattered occurrence in the area. We collected high-resolution airborne hyperspectral and airborne laser scanning data covering the whole study area and ultra-high resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data with RGB and multispectral sensors from selected parts of the area. We tested the discrimination of aspen from other species at tree level using different machine learning methods (Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machine) and deep learning methods (3D convolutional neural networks).</p><p> </p><p>Airborne hyperspectral and lidar data gave excellent results with machine learning and deep learning classification methods The highest classification accuracies for aspen varied between 91-92% (F1-score). The most important wavelengths for discriminating aspen from other species included reflectance bands of red edge range (724–727 nm) and shortwave infrared (1520–1564 nm and 1684–1706 nm) (Viinikka et al. 2020; Mäyrä et al 2021). Aspen detection using RGB and multispectral data also gave good results (highest F1-score of aspen = 87%) (Kuzmin et al 2021). Different remote sensing data enabled production of a spatially explicit map of aspen occurrence in the study area. Information on aspen occurrence and abundance can significantly contribute to biodiversity management and conservation efforts in boreal forests. Our results can be further utilized in upscaling efforts aiming at aspen detection over larger geographical areas using satellite images.</p>

scholarly journals Evaluation of Different Machine Learning Methods and Deep-Learning Convolutional Neural Networks for Landslide Detection

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omid Ghorbanzadeh ◽  
Thomas Blaschke ◽  
Khalil Gholamnia ◽  
Sansar Meena ◽  
Dirk Tiede ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Window Size ◽  
Optical Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

There is a growing demand for detailed and accurate landslide maps and inventories around the globe, but particularly in hazard-prone regions such as the Himalayas. Most standard mapping methods require expert knowledge, supervision and fieldwork. In this study, we use optical data from the Rapid Eye satellite and topographic factors to analyze the potential of machine learning methods, i.e., artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machines (SVM) and random forest (RF), and different deep-learning convolution neural networks (CNNs) for landslide detection. We use two training zones and one test zone to independently evaluate the performance of different methods in the highly landslide-prone Rasuwa district in Nepal. Twenty different maps are created using ANN, SVM and RF and different CNN instantiations and are compared against the results of extensive fieldwork through a mean intersection-over-union (mIOU) and other common metrics. This accuracy assessment yields the best result of 78.26% mIOU for a small window size CNN, which uses spectral information only. The additional information from a 5 m digital elevation model helps to discriminate between human settlements and landslides but does not improve the overall classification accuracy. CNNs do not automatically outperform ANN, SVM and RF, although this is sometimes claimed. Rather, the performance of CNNs strongly depends on their design, i.e., layer depth, input window sizes and training strategies. Here, we conclude that the CNN method is still in its infancy as most researchers will either use predefined parameters in solutions like Google TensorFlow or will apply different settings in a trial-and-error manner. Nevertheless, deep-learning can improve landslide mapping in the future if the effects of the different designs are better understood, enough training samples exist, and the effects of augmentation strategies to artificially increase the number of existing samples are better understood.

scholarly journals Deep learning accurately predicts estrogen receptor status in breast cancer metabolomics data

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fadhl M Alakwaa ◽  
Kumardeep Chaudhary ◽  
Lana X Garmire
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Estrogen Receptor ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Integrated Analysis ◽  
Learning Method ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Metabolomics Data ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

ABSTRACTMetabolomics holds the promise as a new technology to diagnose highly heterogeneous diseases. Conventionally, metabolomics data analysis for diagnosis is done using various statistical and machine learning based classification methods. However, it remains unknown if deep neural network, a class of increasingly popular machine learning methods, is suitable to classify metabolomics data. Here we use a cohort of 271 breast cancer tissues, 204 positive estrogen receptor (ER+) and 67 negative estrogen receptor (ER-), to test the accuracies of autoencoder, a deep learning (DL) framework, as well as six widely used machine learning models, namely Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Recursive Partitioning and Regression Trees (RPART), Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Prediction Analysis for Microarrays (PAM), and Generalized Boosted Models (GBM). DL framework has the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.93 in classifying ER+/ER-patients, compared to the other six machine learning algorithms. Furthermore, the biological interpretation of the first hidden layer reveals eight commonly enriched significant metabolomics pathways (adjusted P-value<0.05) that cannot be discovered by other machine learning methods. Among them, protein digestion & absorption and ATP-binding cassette (ABC) transporters pathways are also confirmed in integrated analysis between metabolomics and gene expression data in these samples. In summary, deep learning method shows advantages for metabolomics based breast cancer ER status classification, with both the highest prediction accurcy (AUC=0.93) and better revelation of disease biology. We encourage the adoption of autoencoder based deep learning method in the metabolomics research community for classification.

Predictions of chalcospinels with composition ABCX4 (X – S or Se)

2020 ◽  
pp. 5-18
Author(s):  
N. N. Kiselyova ◽  
◽  
V. A. Dudarev ◽  
V. V. Ryazanov ◽  
O. V. Sen’ko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Crystal Lattice ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Cross Validation ◽  
Chemical Elements ◽  
Optical Memory ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Linear Discriminant ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

New chalcospinels of the most common compositions were predicted: AIBIIICIVX4 (X — S or Se) and AIIBIIICIIIS4 (A, B, and C are various chemical elements). They are promising for the search for new materials for magneto-optical memory elements, sensors and anodes in sodium-ion batteries. The parameter “a” values of their crystal lattice are estimated. When predicting only the values of chemical elements properties were used. The calculations were carried out using machine learning programs that are part of the information-analytical system developed by the authors (various ensembles of algorithms of: the binary decision trees, the linear machine, the search for logical regularities of classes, the support vector machine, Fisher linear discriminant, the k-nearest neighbors, the learning a multilayer perceptron and a neural network), — for predicting chalcospinels not yet obtained, as well as an extensive family of regression methods, presented in the scikit-learn package for the Python language, and multilevel machine learning methods that were proposed by the authors — for estimation of the new chalcospinels lattice parameter value). The prediction accuracy of new chalcospinels according to the results of the cross-validation is not lower than 80%, and the prediction accuracy of the parameter of their crystal lattice (according to the results of calculating the mean absolute error (when cross-validation in the leave-one-out mode)) is ± 0.1 Å. The effectiveness of using multilevel machine learning methods to predict the physical properties of substances was shown.

scholarly journals Retrieval of aerosol optical depth from surface solar radiation measurements using machine learning algorithms, non-linear regression and a radiative transfer-based look-up table

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (13) ◽  
pp. 8181-8191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jani Huttunen ◽  
Harri Kokkola ◽  
Tero Mielonen ◽  
Mika Esa Juhani Mononen ◽  
Antti Lipponen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Surface Solar Radiation ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Look Up Table ◽  
Non Linear

Abstract. In order to have a good estimate of the current forcing by anthropogenic aerosols, knowledge on past aerosol levels is needed. Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is a good measure for aerosol loading. However, dedicated measurements of AOD are only available from the 1990s onward. One option to lengthen the AOD time series beyond the 1990s is to retrieve AOD from surface solar radiation (SSR) measurements taken with pyranometers. In this work, we have evaluated several inversion methods designed for this task. We compared a look-up table method based on radiative transfer modelling, a non-linear regression method and four machine learning methods (Gaussian process, neural network, random forest and support vector machine) with AOD observations carried out with a sun photometer at an Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) site in Thessaloniki, Greece. Our results show that most of the machine learning methods produce AOD estimates comparable to the look-up table and non-linear regression methods. All of the applied methods produced AOD values that corresponded well to the AERONET observations with the lowest correlation coefficient value being 0.87 for the random forest method. While many of the methods tended to slightly overestimate low AODs and underestimate high AODs, neural network and support vector machine showed overall better correspondence for the whole AOD range. The differences in producing both ends of the AOD range seem to be caused by differences in the aerosol composition. High AODs were in most cases those with high water vapour content which might affect the aerosol single scattering albedo (SSA) through uptake of water into aerosols. Our study indicates that machine learning methods benefit from the fact that they do not constrain the aerosol SSA in the retrieval, whereas the LUT method assumes a constant value for it. This would also mean that machine learning methods could have potential in reproducing AOD from SSR even though SSA would have changed during the observation period.

scholarly journals ML-Based Analysis of Particle Distributions in High-Intensity Laser Experiments: Role of Binning Strategy

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Yury Rodimkov ◽  
Evgeny Efimenko ◽  
Valentin Volokitin ◽  
Elena Panova ◽  
Alexey Polovinkin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Quantum Electrodynamics ◽  
Strong Field ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Research Area ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

When entering the phase of big data processing and statistical inferences in experimental physics, the efficient use of machine learning methods may require optimal data preprocessing methods and, in particular, optimal balance between details and noise. In experimental studies of strong-field quantum electrodynamics with intense lasers, this balance concerns data binning for the observed distributions of particles and photons. Here we analyze the aspect of binning with respect to different machine learning methods (Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosting Trees (GBT), Fully-Connected Neural Network (FCNN), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)) using numerical simulations that mimic expected properties of upcoming experiments. We see that binning can crucially affect the performance of SVM and GBT, and, to a less extent, FCNN and CNN. This can be interpreted as the latter methods being able to effectively learn the optimal binning, discarding unnecessary information. Nevertheless, given limited training sets, the results indicate that the efficiency can be increased by optimizing the binning scale along with other hyperparameters. We present specific measurements of accuracy that can be useful for planning of experiments in the specified research area.

scholarly journals A stacking ensemble deep learning approach to cancer type classification based on TCGA data

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohanad Mohammed ◽  
Henry Mwambi ◽  
Innocent B. Mboya ◽  
Murtada K. Elbashir ◽  
Bernard Omolo
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Feature Selection Method ◽  
Morphological Characteristics ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Cancer Type ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Significant Difference

AbstractCancer tumor classification based on morphological characteristics alone has been shown to have serious limitations. Breast, lung, colorectal, thyroid, and ovarian are the most commonly diagnosed cancers among women. Precise classification of cancers into their types is considered a vital problem for cancer diagnosis and therapy. In this paper, we proposed a stacking ensemble deep learning model based on one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) to perform a multi-class classification on the five common cancers among women based on RNASeq data. The RNASeq gene expression data was downloaded from Pan-Cancer Atlas using GDCquery function of the TCGAbiolinks package in the R software. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) as feature selection method. We compared the results of the new proposed model with and without LASSO with the results of the single 1D-CNN and machine learning methods which include support vector machines with radial basis function, linear, and polynomial kernels; artificial neural networks; k-nearest neighbors; bagging trees. The results show that the proposed model with and without LASSO has a better performance compared to other classifiers. Also, the results show that the machine learning methods (SVM-R, SVM-L, SVM-P, ANN, KNN, and bagging trees) with under-sampling have better performance than with over-sampling techniques. This is supported by the statistical significance test of accuracy where the p-values for differences between the SVM-R and SVM-P, SVM-R and ANN, SVM-R and KNN are found to be p = 0.003, p =  < 0.001, and p =  < 0.001, respectively. Also, SVM-L had a significant difference compared to ANN p = 0.009. Moreover, SVM-P and ANN, SVM-P and KNN are found to be significantly different with p-values p =  < 0.001 and p =  < 0.001, respectively. In addition, ANN and bagging trees, ANN and KNN were found to be significantly different with p-values p =  < 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively. Thus, the proposed model can help in the early detection and diagnosis of cancer in women, and hence aid in designing early treatment strategies to improve survival.

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