scholarly journals Shear Wave Elastography and Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TIRADS) for the Risk Stratification of Thyroid Nodules—Results of a Prospective Study

Diagnostics ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Manuela Petersen ◽  
Simone A. Schenke ◽  
Jonas Firla ◽  
Roland S. Croner ◽  
Michael C. Kreissl

Purpose: To compare the diagnostic performance of thyroid imaging reporting and data system (TIRADS) in combination with shear wave elastography (SWE) for the assessment of thyroid nodules. Methods: A prospective study was conducted with the following inclusion criteria: preoperative B-mode ultrasound (US) including TIRADS classification (Kwak-TIRADS, EU-TIRADS), quantitative SWE and available histological results. Results: Out of 43 patients, 61 thyroid nodules were detected; 10 nodules were found to be thyroid cancer (7 PTC, 1 FTC, 2 HüCC) and 51 were benign. According to Kwak-TIRADS the majority of benign nodules (47 out of 51, 92.2%) were classified in the low-risk- and intermediate-risk class, four nodules were classified as high-risk (7.8%). When using EU-TIRADS, the benign nodules were distributed almost equally across all risk classes, 21 (41.2%) nodules were classified in the low-risk class, 16 (31.4%) in the intermediate-risk class and 14 (27.4%) in the high-risk class. In contrast, most of the malignant nodules (eight out of ten) were classified as high-risk on EU-TIRADS. One carcinoma was classified as low-risk and one as intermediate-risk nodule. For SWE, ROC analysis showed an optimal cutoff of 18.5 kPa to distinguish malignant and benign nodules (sensitivity 80.0%, specificity 49.0%, PPV 23.5% and NPV 92.6%). The addition of elastography resulted in an increase of accuracy from 65.6% to 82.0% when using Kwak-TIRADS and from 49.2% to 72.1% when using EU-TIRADS. Conclusion: Our data demonstrate that the combination of TIRADS and SWE seems to be superior for the risk stratification of thyroid nodules than each method by itself. However, verification of these results in a larger patient population is mandatory.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuehua Xi ◽  
Ying Wang ◽  
Luying Gao ◽  
Yuxin Jiang ◽  
Zhiyong Liang ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe incidence and mortality of thyroid cancer, including thyroid nodules > 4 cm, have been increasing in recent years. The current evaluation methods are based mostly on studies of patients with thyroid nodules < 4 cm. The aim of the current study was to establish a risk stratification model to predict risk of malignancy in thyroid nodules > 4 cm.MethodsA total of 279 thyroid nodules > 4 cm in 267 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Nodules were randomly assigned to a training dataset (n = 140) and a validation dataset (n = 139). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to establish a nomogram. The risk stratification of thyroid nodules > 4 cm was established according to the nomogram. The diagnostic performance of the model was evaluated and compared with the American College Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (ACR TI-RADS), Kwak TI-RADS and 2015 ATA guidelines using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).ResultsThe analysis included 279 nodules (267 patients, 50.6 ± 13.2 years): 229 were benign and 50 were malignant. Multivariate regression revealed microcalcification, solid mass, ill-defined border and hypoechogenicity as independent risk factors. Based on the four factors, a risk stratified clinical model was developed for evaluating nodules > 4 cm, which includes three categories: high risk (risk value = 0.8-0.9, with more than 3 factors), intermediate risk (risk value = 0.3-0.7, with 2 factors or microcalcification) and low risk (risk value = 0.1-0.2, with 1 factor except microcalcification). In the validation dataset, the malignancy rate of thyroid nodules > 4 cm that were classified as high risk was 88.9%; as intermediate risk, 35.7%; and as low risk, 6.9%. The new model showed greater AUC than ACR TI-RADS (0.897 vs. 0.855, p = 0.040), but similar sensitivity (61.9% vs. 57.1%, p = 0.480) and specificity (91.5% vs. 93.2%, p = 0.680).ConclusionMicrocalcification, solid mass, ill-defined border and hypoechogenicity on ultrasound may be signs of malignancy in thyroid nodules > 4 cm. A risk stratification model for nodules > 4 cm may show better diagnostic performance than ACR TI-RADS, which may lead to better preoperative decision-making.


2018 ◽  
Vol 218 (1) ◽  
pp. S258
Author(s):  
Courtney Olson-Chen ◽  
Kam Szlachetka ◽  
Dzhamala Gilmandyar ◽  
Erica Faske ◽  
Elizabeth Fountaine ◽  
...  

Thorax ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 74 (3) ◽  
pp. 247-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan E Walter ◽  
Marjolein A Heuvelmans ◽  
Kevin ten Haaf ◽  
Rozemarijn Vliegenthart ◽  
Carlijn M van der Aalst ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe US guidelines recommend low-dose CT (LDCT) lung cancer screening for high-risk individuals. New solid nodules after baseline screening are common and have a high lung cancer probability. Currently, no evidence exists concerning the risk stratification of non-resolving new solid nodules at first LDCT screening after initial detection.MethodsIn the Dutch-Belgian Randomized Lung Cancer Screening (NELSON) trial, 7295 participants underwent the second and 6922 participants the third screening round. We included participants with solid nodules that were registered as new or <15 mm³ (study detection limit) at previous screens and received additional screening after initial detection, thereby excluding high-risk nodules according to the NELSON management protocol (nodules ≥500 mm3).ResultsOverall, 680 participants with 1020 low-risk and intermediate-risk new solid nodules were included. A total of 562 (55%) new solid nodules were resolving, leaving 356 (52%) participants with a non-resolving new solid nodule, of whom 25 (7%) were diagnosed with lung cancer. At first screening after initial detection, volume doubling time (VDT), volume, and VDT combined with a predefined ≥200 mm3 volume cut-off had high discrimination for lung cancer (VDT, area under the curve (AUC): 0.913; volume, AUC: 0.875; VDT and ≥200 mm3 combination, AUC: 0.939). Classifying a new solid nodule with either ≤590 days VDT or ≥200 mm3 volume positive provided 100% sensitivity, 84% specificity and 27% positive predictive value for lung cancer.ConclusionsMore than half of new low-risk and intermediate-risk solid nodules in LDCT lung cancer screening resolve. At follow-up, growth assessment potentially combined with a volume limit can be used for risk stratification.Trial registration numberISRCTN63545820; pre-results.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. e023897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cansheng Zhu ◽  
Yaofei Wang ◽  
Weihua Mao ◽  
Hongshan Zhang ◽  
Jiaju Ma

ObjectivesTo characterise the prevalence and distribution of human papillomavirus (HPV) types in genital warts in Xi’an, China.MethodsThis prospective study was conducted in Shaanxi Provincial Institute for Skin Disease and STD Control (SPISSC) between September 2014 and April 2017. Genital wart samples were obtained from 879 patients, including 512 men and 367 women. HPV genotyping was performed by using an automatic nucleic acid hybridisation system.ResultsOf the 879 patients with genital warts, the detectable rates of low-risk, high-risk and total HPV types were 45.4%, 34.5% and 57.8%, respectively. The detectable rate of low-risk HPV types (45.4%) was significantly higher than that of high-risk HPV types (34.5%) (χ2=21.85, p<0.01). The detectable rate of low-risk HPV types of men (52.3%) was significantly higher than that of women (35.7%) (χ2=23.90, p<0.01). The detectable rates of one HPV type infection and two and three or more HPV type coinfections were 26.1%, 17.5% and 14.2%, respectively. HPV6 (24.9%), HPV11 (17.9%), HPV52 (9.9%) and HPV16 (7.3%) were the four most common HPV types.ConclusionsThe results of this study suggest that low-risk HPV types are major pathogens of genital warts, but high-risk HPV type infections and multiple HPV type coinfections are also common in genital warts. HPV6, 11, 52 and 16 are the four most common HPV types in genital wart in Xi’an, China.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anabela Zunino ◽  
Claudia Vazquez ◽  
Laura Delfino ◽  
Adriana Reyes ◽  
Alicia Lowenstein

Abstract Purpose We performed a prospective study in patients with positive thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAb), to describe their ultrasound (US) patterns and the prevalence of thyroid nodules. Methods In 195 consecutive patients, with positive TPOAb, thyroid US was performed by the same physician and equipment and categorized into four echographic patterns (EP). We determined the prevalence of thyroid nodules and their etiology confirmed by cytology or histology. Results The median TPOAb was 526 IUI/ml. EP1 or normal US was present in 9,7%; EP2 or early/indeterminate stage in 29,4%; EP3 or established thyroiditis in 45,4% and EP4 or advanced/late stage in 15,5% of the patients. TPOAb (median = 857 UI / ml) (p = 0.001), TSH and thyroid volume ​​were higher in EP3. A higher degree of fibrosis was associated with TPOAb > 1000 IU/ml(p = 0,003). Thyroid nodules were reported on US at 47,2% of HT. Fine needle aspiration(FNA) was performed in 49/60 nodules. Cytology: BII: 41 patients (83,7%), B V: 1 patient (2%): suspicious for lymphoma; B VI: 3 patients(6,1%) : Papillary thyroid carcinoma. Benign cytology was present in 56% of EP3 (p = 0,048). Conclusions Higher TPOAb, TSH levels, and thyroid volume were associated with EP3. Fibrosis correlated with TPOAb > 1000 IU/ml. In our population, benign nodules were associated with established thyroiditis patterns. The increased inflammation and immunological activity of Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT) could be a favorable environment for growth factors for benign nodular development.


Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 5485-5485
Author(s):  
Massimo Gentile ◽  
Gianluigi Reda ◽  
Francesca Romana Mauro ◽  
Paolo Sportoletti ◽  
Luca Laurenti ◽  
...  

The CLL-IPI score, which combines genetic, biochemical, and clinical parameters, represents a simple worldwide model able to refine risk stratification for CLL patients. This score, developed in the era of chemo-immunotherapy, has not been gauged extensively in R/R-CLL patients treated with novel targeted agents, such as BCR and BCL2 inhibitors. Soumerai et al (Lancet Hematol 2019) assembled a novel risk model for OS in the setting of R/R-CLL receiving targeted therapies in clinical trials. This model, consisting of four accessible markers (β2M, LDH, Hb, and time from initiation of last therapy; BALL score), is able to cluster 3 groups of CLL patients with significantly different OS. This multicenter, observational retrospective study aimed to validate the proposed Soumerai (BALL) and/or CLL-IPI scores for R/R-CLL real-world patients treated with idelalisib and rituximab (IDELA-R). The primary objectives were to determine whether: i) the CLL-IPI retains its prognostic power also in R/R patients treated with IDELA-R; ii) the BALL score is of prognostic value for IDELA-treated R/R-CLL patients, and iii) the BALL score is predictive of PFS. This study, sponsored by Gilead (ISR#IN-IT-312-5339), included CLL patients collected from 12 Italian centers, who received IDELA-R (idelalisib 150 mg b.i.d. and a total of 8 rituximab infusions intravenously) outside clinical trials as salvage therapy with available data for the calculation of the CLL-IPI and BALL scores at the time of treatment start. OS was estimated for all subgroups of both scores. Additionally, risk-specific PFS was assessed. Kaplan-Meier curve, log-rank test, and Cox regression analyses were performed. The prognostic accuracy of the predictive model was assessed by Harrell's C-index. Overall, 120 CLL patients were included in this analysis. The majority of patients were Binet stage B and C (94.2%). The median age was 75 years and 83 cases (69.2%) were male. The median number of previous therapies was 3 (range 1-9) Baseline patient features are listed in Table 1. After a median follow-up of 1.6 years (1 month to 5.8 years), 33 patients had died and 39 experienced an event (death or progression). CLL-IPI scoring (115/120 evaluable cases) indicated that 6 patients (5.2%) were classified as low-risk, 24 (20.9%) as intermediate-risk, 58 (50.4%) as high-risk, and 27 (23.5%) as very high-risk. Stratification of patients according to the CLL-IPI score did not allow prediction of significant differences in OS. Thus, low-risk patients had a 2-year OS probability of 75% (HR=1), with an intermediate-risk of 68% (HR=2.9, 95%CI 0.37-23.3, P=0.3), high-risk of 83% (HR=1.58, 95%CI 0.2-12.5, P=0.66), and very high-risk of 63% (HR=5.9, 95%CI 0.78-45.2, P=0.86). Next, we tested a modified CLL-IPI by assigning a more balanced score to the original CLL-IPI variables (Soumerai et al, Leukemia Lymphoma 2019), partially overlapping previous results. Specifically, modified CLL-IPI high-risk group showed a significantly different OS as compared with intermediate- and low-risk groups. However, differently from the original report no difference was observed between low- and intermediate-risk). According to the BALL score (120/120 evaluable cases), 33 patients (27.5%) were classified as low-risk, 68 (56.7%) as intermediate-risk, and 19 (15.8%) as high-risk. Stratification of patients according to the BALL score predicted significant differences in terms of OS. Thus, low-risk patients had a 2-year OS probability of 92% (HR=1), intermediate-risk of 76% (HR=5.47, 95%CI 1.3-23.7, P=0.023), and high-risk of 54% (HR=15.1, 95%CI 3.4-67, P<0.0001) (Figure 1). Harrell's C-statistic was 0.68 (P<0.001) for predicting OS. To note, BALL score failed to significantly stratify patients in terms of PFS. As for Soumerai et al (Leukemia Lymphoma 2019), the original CLL-IPI score did not retain discriminative power in term of OS in R/R-CLL patients receiving IDELA-R. The modified CLL-IPI failed to stratify low- and intermediate-risk groups, likely due to the number of cases analysed in the current cohort and the heterogeneous IDELA-containing regimens included in the Soumerai study (Soumerai et al, Leukemia Lymphoma 2019). The CLL-IPI was designed for CLL patients treated with first-line chemo-immunotherapy. Herein, we confirm the prognostic power of the BALL score in this real-world series for OS, while losing the predictive impact of patient outcomes in terms of PFS. Disclosures Mauro: Gilead: Consultancy, Research Funding; Jannsen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Shire: Consultancy, Research Funding; Abbvie: Consultancy, Research Funding; Roche: Consultancy, Research Funding. Coscia:Abbvie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Gilead: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Karyopharm Therapeutics: Research Funding; Janssen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding. Varettoni:ABBVIE: Other: travel expenses; Roche: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy; Gilead: Other: travel expenses. Rossi:Gilead: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Abbvie: Honoraria, Other: Scientific advisory board; Janseen: Honoraria, Other: Scientific advisory board; Roche: Honoraria, Other: Scientific advisory board; Astra Zeneca: Honoraria, Other: Scientific advisory board. Gaidano:AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Sunesys: Consultancy, Honoraria; Astra-Zeneca: Consultancy, Honoraria; Janssen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui-Juan Zuo ◽  
Xian-Tao Song ◽  
Jin-Wen Wang ◽  
Hong-Xia Yang ◽  
Jie Lin

Abstract Background: Ischemic cardiovascular disease (ISCVD) is a massive public health problem. ISCVD risk prediction models based on traditional risk factors as predictors is limited. Carotid atherosclerosis plays a fundamental value in the occurrence of ISCVD. The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of risk stratification plus carotid plaque improving the prediction of ISCVD. Methods: Between June 2016 and June 2017, 3998 subjects with hypertension were prospectively recruited and completed traditional risk factors survey and carotid ultrasound measurements in Anzhen Hospital, Beijing, China. Results: A total of 2010 (50.3%) subjects were detected carotid plaque. Among patients free from ISCVD (n=3479), there were 884 patients (25.4%) at high risk for ISCVD, and 868 (25.0%), 1727 (49.6%) was classified as intermediate risk or low risk according to Chinese cardiovascular risk score chart. The detected rate of carotid plaque was 64.7%, 53.7%, and 38.5% among patients at high risk to low risk, respectively. Carotid plaques and risk stratification alone or in combination were significantly associated with ischemic stroke, and negatively correlated with coronary heart disease (all P>0.05). Adding carotid plaque to risk stratification, the ischemic stroke prevalence increased from 5.3% to 9.1% in the low-risk group (P=0.001), 5.4% to 12.3% in the intermediate-risk group (P<0.001) and 8.2% to 14.4% than in the high-risk group (P=0.004). Intermediate risk plus carotid plaque (443/3998) were reclassified to a new high-risk group, high risk only (749/3998) and low risk plus carotid plaque (353/3998) were reclassified to a new intermediate risk group; and intermediate risk only (553/3998) were reclassified to a new low risk group. According to the reclassification, there were 1635 subjects (40.9%) at high risk, and 1102 (27.6%), 1261 (31.5%) was classified as intermediate risk or low risk. Conclusions: Carotid plaque has an important position as it plus risk stratification may improve the risk assessment of ischemic stroke and have resulted in reclassification.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 3230-3230
Author(s):  
Cecilia Becattini ◽  
Giancarlo Agnelli ◽  
Aldo P Maggioni ◽  
Francesco Dentali ◽  
Andrea Fabbri ◽  
...  

Abstract Background. New management strategies, risk stratification procedures and treatments have become available over the last years for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), leading to changes in clinical practice and potentially influencing patient's course and outcome. Methods: The COntemporary management of Pulmonary Embolism (COPE) is an academical prospective, non-interventional, multicentre study in patients with confirmed acute symptomatic PE. In-hospital and 30-day mortality were the co-primary study outcomes. At first evaluation, patients were categorized at low-risk (simplified PESI [sPESI]=0), intermediate-risk (further classified based presence/absence of increased levels and right ventricle dysfunction [RVD] at echocardiography) and high-risk (shock or cardiac arrest). Results. Among 5213 study patients, PE was confirmed by computed tomography in 96.3% and at least one test for risk stratification was obtained in more than 80% (81% echocardiography, 83% troponin, 56% brain natriuretic peptide/NT-pro BNP). Among 4885 patients entering the Emergency Department for acute PE, 1.2% were managed as outpatients and 5.8% by short-observation. In-hospital, 289 patients underwent reperfusion (5.5%); at discharge, 6.7% received a vitamin K antagonist and 75.6% a direct oral anticoagulant. Median duration of hospitalization was 7 days (IQR 5-12 days). Overall in-hospital mortality was 3.4% (49% due to PE, 16% cancer and 4.5% major bleeding) and 30-day mortality 4.8% (36% PE, 28% cancer and 4% major bleeding). In-hospital major bleeding was 2.6%. Death at 30 days occurred in 22.6% of 177 high-risk patients, in 6% of the 3281 intermediate-risk and in 0.5% of 1702 low-risk patients. Time to death at 30 days in patients at low, intermediate and high risk for death is reported in the Figure. Conclusions: COPE is the largest ever cohort of patients with acute PE. In this contemporary scenario, the majority of patients received CT for diagnosis, at least one test for risk stratification and direct oral anticoagulants as long-term treatment. Short term death remains not negligible in patients with high and intermediate-risk PE. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Becattini: Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer HealthCare: Honoraria. Agnelli: Bristol Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer HealthCare: Honoraria. Dentali: Daiichi Sankyo: Honoraria; Bayer: Honoraria; Sanofi: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Honoraria; Novartis: Honoraria; Boehringer: Honoraria; Alfa Sigma: Honoraria.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (26) ◽  
pp. 5128-5133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiziano Barbui ◽  
Guido Finazzi ◽  
Alessandra Carobbio ◽  
Juergen Thiele ◽  
Francesco Passamonti ◽  
...  

Abstract Accurate prediction of thrombosis in essential thrombocythemia (ET) provides the platform for prospective studies exploring preventive measures. Current risk stratification for thrombosis in ET is 2-tiered and considers low- and high-risk categories based on the respective absence or presence of either age > 60 years or history of thrombosis. In an international study of 891 patients with World Health Organization (WHO)–defined ET, we identified additional independent risk factors including cardiovascular risk factors and JAK2V617F. Accordingly, we assigned risk scores based on multivariable analysis–derived hazard ratios (HRs) to age > 60 years (HR = 1.5; 1 point), thrombosis history (HR = 1.9; 2 points), cardiovascular risk factors (HR = 1.6; 1 point), and JAK2V617F (HR = 2.0; 2 points) and subsequently devised a 3-tiered prognostic model (low-risk = < 2 points; intermediate-risk = 2 points; and high-risk = > 2 points) using a training set of 535 patients and validated the results in the remaining cohort (n = 356; internal validation set) and in an external validation set (n = 329). Considering all 3 cohorts (n = 1220), the 3-tiered new prognostic model (low-risk n = 474 vs intermediate-risk n = 471 vs high-risk n = 275), with a respective thrombosis risk of 1.03% of patients/y versus 2.35% of patients/y versus 3.56% of patients/y, outperformed the 2-tiered (low-risk 0.95% of patients/y vs high-risk 2.86% of patients/y) conventional risk stratification in predicting future vascular events.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 939
Author(s):  
Oliver S. Mueller ◽  
Katharina M. Rentsch ◽  
Christian H. Nickel ◽  
Roland Bingisser

Disposition is one of the main tasks in the emergency department. However, there is a lack of objective and reliable disposition criteria, and diagnosis-based risk prediction is not feasible at early time points. The aim was to derive a risk score (TRIAL) based on routinely collected baseline (TRIage level and Age) and Laboratory data—supporting disposition decisions by risk stratification based on mortality. We prospectively included consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department over 18 weeks. Data sets of routinely collected baseline (triage level and age) and laboratory data were used for multivariable logistic regression to develop the TRIAL risk score predicting mortality. Routine laboratory variables and disposition cut-offs were chosen beforehand by expert consensus. Risk stratification was based on low risk (<1%), intermediate risk (1–10%), and high risk (>10%) of in-hospital mortality. In total, 8687 data sets were analyzed. Variables identified to develop the TRIAL risk score were triage level (Emergency Severity Index), age, lactate dehydrogenase, creatinine, albumin, bilirubin, and leukocyte count. The area under the ROC curve for in-hospital mortality was 0.93. Stratification according to the TRIAL score showed that 67.5% of all patients were in the low-risk category. Mortality was 0.1% in low-risk, 3.5% in intermediate-risk, and 26.2% in high-risk patients. The TRIAL risk score based on routinely available baseline and laboratory data provides prognostic information for disposition decisions. TRIAL could be used to minimize admission in low-risk and to maximize observation in high-risk patients.


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