scholarly journals Reservoir Sizing at Draft Level of 75% of Mean Annual Flow Using Drought Magnitude Based Method on Canadian Rivers

Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 79
Author(s):  
Tribeni C. Sharma ◽  
Umed S. Panu

On a global basis, there is trend that a majority of reservoirs are sized using a draft of 75% of the mean annual flow (0.75 MAF). The reservoir volumes based on the proposed drought magnitude (DM) method and the sequent peak algorithm (SPA) at 0.75 MAF draft were compared at the annual, monthly and weekly scales using the flow sequences of 25 Canadian rivers. In our assessment, the monthly scale is adequate for such analyses. The DM method, although capable of using flow data at any time scale, has been demonstrated using monthly standardized hydrological index (SHI) sequences. The moving average (MA) smoothing of the monthly SHI sequences formed the basis in the DM method for estimating the reservoir volume through the use of the extreme number theorem, and the hypothesis that drought magnitude is equal to the product of the drought intensity and drought length. The truncation level in the SHI sequences was found as SHIo [ = (0.75 ‒ 1) µo/σo], where µo and σo are the overall mean and standard deviation of the monthly flows. The DM-based estimates for the deficit volumes and the SPA-based reservoir volumes were found comparable within an error margin of ±18%.

Author(s):  
Tribeni C. Sharma ◽  
Umed Panu

The traditional sequent peak algorithm (SPA) was used to assess the reservoir volume (VR) for comparison with deficit volume, DT, (subscript T representing the return period) obtained from the drought magnitude (DM) based method with draft level set at the mean annual flow on 15 rivers across Canada. At an annual scale, the SPA based estimates were found to be larger with an average of nearly 70% compared to DM based estimates. To ramp up DM based estimates to be in parity with SPA based values, the analysis was carried out through the counting and the analytical procedures involving only the annual SHI (standardized hydrological index, i.e. standardized values of annual flows) sequences. It was found that MA2 or MA3 (moving average of 2 or 3 consecutive values) of SHI sequences were required to match the counted values of DT to VR. Further, the inclusion of mean, as well as the variance of the drought intensity in the analytical procedure, with aforesaid smoothing led DT comparable to VR. The distinctive point in the DM based method is that no assumption is necessary such as the reservoir being full at the beginning of the analysis - as is the case with SPA.


1971 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 212-214 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. R. Freeman ◽  
J. L. Bucy ◽  
D. D. Kratzer

Freezing point measurements were made on 24 hr composite herd samples of milk obtained monthly for one year. Samples were obtained from 45 herds located in five soil areas of Kentucky, representing 975 individual cows. The mean freezing point was −0.540 C, the range −0.567 to −0.511 C, and the standard deviation 0.0073 C. It is recommended that, for regulatory purposes, −0.530 C be adopted as the official freezing point standard for herd milk, compliance to be ascertained on the basis of a three-sample moving average with the sampling interval being not less than 30 days.


Fractals ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 11 (03) ◽  
pp. 245-252
Author(s):  
David R. Bickel

Three aspects of time series are uncertainty (dispersion at a given time scale), scaling (time-scale dependence) and intermittency (inclination to change dynamics). Simple measures of dispersion are the mean absolute deviation and the standard deviation; scaling exponents describe how dispersions change with the time scale. Intermittency has been defined as a difference between two scaling exponents. After taking a moving average, these measures give descriptive information, even for short heart rate records. For this data, dispersion and intermittency perform better than scaling exponents.


1969 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 470-471
Author(s):  
M. DAVID MERRILL
Keyword(s):  

1972 ◽  
Vol 28 (03) ◽  
pp. 447-456 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. A Murphy ◽  
M. E Francis ◽  
J. F Mustard

SummaryThe characteristics of experimental error in measurement of platelet radioactivity have been explored by blind replicate determinations on specimens taken on several days on each of three Walker hounds.Analysis suggests that it is not unreasonable to suppose that error for each sample is normally distributed ; and while there is evidence that the variance is heterogeneous, no systematic relationship has been discovered between the mean and the standard deviation of the determinations on individual samples. Thus, since it would be impracticable for investigators to do replicate determinations as a routine, no improvement over simple unweighted least squares estimation on untransformed data suggests itself.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 56-66
Author(s):  
Irma Linda

Background: Early marriages are at high risk of marital failure, poor family quality, young pregnancies at risk of maternal death, and the risk of being mentally ill to foster marriage and be responsible parents. Objective: To determine the effect of reproductive health education on peer groups (peers) on the knowledge and perceptions of adolescents about marriage age maturity. Method: This research uses the Quasi experimental method with One group pre and post test design, conducted from May to September 2018. The statistical analysis used in this study is a paired T test with a confidence level of 95% (α = 0, 05). Results: There is an average difference in the mean value of adolescent knowledge between the first and second measurements is 0.50 with a standard deviation of 1.922. The mean difference in mean scores of adolescent perceptions between the first and second measurements was 4.42 with a standard deviation of 9.611. Conclusion: There is a significant difference between adolescent knowledge on the pretest and posttest measurements with a value of P = 0.002, and there is a significant difference between adolescent perceptions on the pretest and posttest measurements with a value of p = 0.001. Increasing the number of facilities and facilities related to reproductive health education by peer groups (peers) in adolescents is carried out on an ongoing basis at school, in collaboration with local health workers as prevention of risky pregnancy.


1988 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. D. Young ◽  
J. M. Robert ◽  
W. P. Shofner

1. The responses of neurons in the ventral cochlear nucleus (VCN) of decerebrate cats are described with regard to their regularity of discharge and latency. Regularity is measured by estimating the mean and standard deviation of interspike intervals as a function of time during responses to short tone bursts (25 ms). This method extends the usual interspike-interval analysis based on interval histograms by allowing the study of temporal changes in regularity during transient responses. The coefficient of variation (CV), equal to the ratio of standard deviation to mean interspike interval, is used as a measure of irregularity. Latency is measured as the mean and standard deviation of the latency of the first spike in response to short tone bursts, with 1.6-ms rise times. 2. The regularity and latency properties of the usual PST histogram response types are shown. Five major PST response type classes are used: chopper, primary-like, onset, onset-C, and unusual. The presence of a prepotential in a unit's action potentials is also noted; a prepotential implies that the unit is recorded from a bushy cell. 3. Units with chopper PST histograms give the most regular discharge. Three varieties of choppers are found. Chop-S units (regular choppers) have CVs less than 0.35 that are approximately constant during the response; chop-S units show no adaptation of instantaneous rate, as measured by the inverse of the mean interspike interval. Chop-T units have CVs greater than 0.35, show an increase in irregularity during the response and show substantial rate adaptation. Chop-U units have CVs greater than 0.35, show a decrease in irregularity during the response, and show a variety of rate adaptation behaviors, including negative adaptation (an increase in rate during a short-tone response). Irregular choppers (chop-T and chop-U units) rarely have CVs greater than 0.5. Choppers have the longest latencies of VCN units; all three groups have mean latencies at least 1 ms longer than the shortest auditory nerve (AN) fiber mean latencies. 4. Chopper units are recorded from stellate cells in VCN (35, 42). Our results for chopper units suggest a model for stellate cells in which a regularly firing action potential generator is driven by the summation of the AN inputs to the cell, where the summation is low-pass filtered by the membrane capacitance of the cell.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2421
Author(s):  
Roberta Fusco ◽  
Vincenza Granata ◽  
Mauro Mattace Raso ◽  
Paolo Vallone ◽  
Alessandro Pasquale De Rosa ◽  
...  

Purpose. To combine blood oxygenation level dependent magnetic resonance imaging (BOLD-MRI), dynamic contrast enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI), and diffusion weighted MRI (DW-MRI) in differentiation of benign and malignant breast lesions. Methods. Thirty-seven breast lesions (11 benign and 21 malignant lesions) pathologically proven were included in this retrospective preliminary study. Pharmaco-kinetic parameters including Ktrans, kep, ve, and vp were extracted by DCE-MRI; BOLD parameters were estimated by basal signal S0 and the relaxation rate R2*; and diffusion and perfusion parameters were derived by DW-MRI (pseudo-diffusion coefficient (Dp), perfusion fraction (fp), and tissue diffusivity (Dt)). The correlation coefficient, Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney U-test, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were calculated and area under the ROC curve (AUC) was obtained. Moreover, pattern recognition approaches (linear discrimination analysis and decision tree) with balancing technique and leave one out cross validation approach were considered. Results. R2* and D had a significant negative correlation (−0.57). The mean value, standard deviation, Skewness and Kurtosis values of R2* did not show a statistical significance between benign and malignant lesions (p > 0.05) confirmed by the ‘poor’ diagnostic value of ROC analysis. For DW-MRI derived parameters, the univariate analysis, standard deviation of D, Skewness and Kurtosis values of D* had a significant result to discriminate benign and malignant lesions and the best result at the univariate analysis in the discrimination of benign and malignant lesions was obtained by the Skewness of D* with an AUC of 82.9% (p-value = 0.02). Significant results for the mean value of Ktrans, mean value, standard deviation value and Skewness of kep, mean value, Skewness and Kurtosis of ve were obtained and the best AUC among DCE-MRI extracted parameters was reached by the mean value of kep and was equal to 80.0%. The best diagnostic performance in the discrimination of benign and malignant lesions was obtained at the multivariate analysis considering the DCE-MRI parameters alone with an AUC = 0.91 when the balancing technique was considered. Conclusions. Our results suggest that the combined use of DCE-MRI, DW-MRI and/or BOLD-MRI does not provide a dramatic improvement compared to the use of DCE-MRI features alone, in the classification of breast lesions. However, an interesting result was the negative correlation between R2* and D.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1303
Author(s):  
Pshtiwan Othman Mohammed ◽  
Thabet Abdeljawad ◽  
Faraidun Kadir Hamasalh

Monotonicity analysis of delta fractional sums and differences of order υ∈(0,1] on the time scale hZ are presented in this study. For this analysis, two models of discrete fractional calculus, Riemann–Liouville and Caputo, are considered. There is a relationship between the delta Riemann–Liouville fractional h-difference and delta Caputo fractional h-differences, which we find in this study. Therefore, after we solve one, we can apply the same method to the other one due to their correlation. We show that y(z) is υ-increasing on Ma+υh,h, where the delta Riemann–Liouville fractional h-difference of order υ of a function y(z) starting at a+υh is greater or equal to zero, and then, we can show that y(z) is υ-increasing on Ma+υh,h, where the delta Caputo fractional h-difference of order υ of a function y(z) starting at a+υh is greater or equal to −1Γ(1−υ)(z−(a+υh))h(−υ)y(a+υh) for each z∈Ma+h,h. Conversely, if y(a+υh) is greater or equal to zero and y(z) is increasing on Ma+υh,h, we show that the delta Riemann–Liouville fractional h-difference of order υ of a function y(z) starting at a+υh is greater or equal to zero, and consequently, we can show that the delta Caputo fractional h-difference of order υ of a function y(z) starting at a+υh is greater or equal to −1Γ(1−υ)(z−(a+υh))h(−υ)y(a+υh) on Ma,h. Furthermore, we consider some related results for strictly increasing, decreasing, and strictly decreasing cases. Finally, the fractional forward difference initial value problems and their solutions are investigated to test the mean value theorem on the time scale hZ utilizing the monotonicity results.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document