scholarly journals Gait Speed as a Predictor for Diabetes Incidence in People with or at Risk of Knee Osteoarthritis: A Longitudinal Analysis from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Author(s):  
Aqeel M. Alenazi ◽  
Bader A. Alqahtani ◽  
Vishal Vennu ◽  
Mohammed M. Alshehri ◽  
Ahmad D. Alanazi ◽  
...  

Background: This study examined the association between baseline gait speed with incident diabetes mellitus (DM) among people with or at elevated risk for knee OA. Materials and Methods: Participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative, aged 45 to 79 years, where included. Participants with or at risk of knee OA from baseline to the 96-month visit were included. Participants with self-reported DM at baseline were excluded. DM incidence was followed over the 4-time points. Gait speed was measured at baseline using a 20-m walk test. Generalized estimating equations with logistic regression were utilized for analyses. Receiver operator characteristic curves and area under the curve were used to determine the cutoff score for baseline speed. Results: Of the 4313 participants included in the analyses (58.7% females), 301 participants had a cumulative incidence of DM of 7.0% during follow-up. Decreased gait speed was a significant predictor of incident DM (RR 0.44, p = 0.018). The threshold for baseline gait speed that predicted incident DM was 1.32 m/s with an area under the curve of 0.59 (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Baseline gait speed could be an important screening tool for identifying people at risk of incident diabetes, and the determined cutoff value for gait speed should be examined in future research.

Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1462-P
Author(s):  
AQEEL M. ALENAZI ◽  
BADER ALQAHTANI ◽  
MOHAMMED M. ALSHEHRI ◽  
AHMAD D. ALANAZI ◽  
KAMLESH KHUNTI ◽  
...  

Rheumatology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (11) ◽  
pp. 3390-3399
Author(s):  
Alan M Rathbun ◽  
Michelle D Shardell ◽  
Alice S Ryan ◽  
Michelle S Yau ◽  
Joseph J Gallo ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives Osteoarthritis (OA) disease progression may lead to deteriorating psychosocial function, but it is unclear what aspects of disease severity are related to the onset of depression. This study assessed which components of OA disease progression cumulatively contribute to depression onset in persons with radiographic knee OA. Methods Osteoarthritis Initiative participants (n = 1651) with radiographic disease (Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥2) in one or both knees and below the screening threshold for probable depression [Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression (CES-D) scale &lt;16] at baseline were included. Disease severity was measured from baseline to the third annual follow-up visit using joint space width, 20-meter gait speed, and the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain subscale, each categorized into quintiles. Depression onset (CES-D ≥ 16) was assessed annually at four follow-up visits. Marginal structural models that account for time-dependent confounding and attrition evaluated the association between each time-varying disease severity measure and depression onset. Results Each disease severity measure exhibited a non-linear relationship concerning the probability of depression onset, with the higher quintiles generally being associated with a larger risk. The highest quintile (relative to the lowest) of joint space width and gait speed were both significantly associated with depression onset. By contrast, none of the higher pain quintiles compared with the lowest were significantly associated with the onset of depression. Conclusion Faster disease progression as measured by either worsening structural severity or decreasing physical performance corresponds to an increased risk of depression among individuals with radiographic knee OA.


Rheumatology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Runhaar ◽  
M Kloppenburg ◽  
M Boers ◽  
J W J Bijlsma ◽  
S M A Bierma-Zeinstra

Abstract Objectives There is a general consensus that a shift in focus towards early diagnosis and treatment of knee OA is warranted. However, there are no validated and widely accepted diagnostic criteria for early knee OA available. The current study aimed to take the first steps towards developing diagnostic criteria for early knee OA. Methods Data of 761 individuals with 1185 symptomatic knees at baseline were selected from the CHECK study. For CHECK, individuals with pain/stiffness of the knee, aged 45–65 years, who had no prior consultation or a first consultation with the general practitioner for these symptoms in the past 6 months were recruited and followed for 10 years. A group of 36 experts (17 general practitioners and 19 secondary care physicians) evaluated the medical records in pairs to diagnose the presence of clinically relevant knee OA 5–10 years after enrolment. A backward selection methods was used to create predictive models based on pre-defined baseline factors from history taking, physical examination, radiography and blood testing, using the experts’ diagnoses as gold standard outcome. Results Prevalence of clinically relevant knee OA during follow-up was 37%. Created models contained 7–11 baseline factors and obtained an area under the curve between 0.746 (0.002) and 0.764 (0.002). Conclusion The obtained diagnostic models for early knee OA had ‘fair’ predictive ability in individuals presenting with knee pain in primary care. Further modelling and validation of the identified predictive factors is required to obtain clinically feasible and relevant diagnostic criteria for early knee OA.


2014 ◽  
Vol 74 (7) ◽  
pp. 1353-1359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hans Liebl ◽  
Gabby Joseph ◽  
Michael C Nevitt ◽  
Nathan Singh ◽  
Ursula Heilmeier ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo evaluate whether T2 relaxation time measurements obtained at 3 T MRI predict the onset of radiographic knee osteoarthritis (OA).Materials and methodsWe performed a nested case–control study of incident radiographic knee OA in the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort. Cases were 50 knees with baseline Kellgren–Lawrence (KL) grade of 0 that developed KL grade of 2 or more over a 4-year period. Controls were 80 knees with KL grade of 0 after 4 years of follow-up. Baseline T2 relaxation time measurements and laminar analysis of T2 in deep and superficial layers were performed in all knee compartments. The association of T2 values with incident OA was assessed with logistic regression and differences in T2 values by case–control status with linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index (BMI) and other covariates.ResultsBaseline T2 values in all compartments except the medial tibia were significantly higher in knees that developed OA compared with controls and were particularly elevated in the superficial cartilage layers in all compartments. There was an increased likelihood of incident knee OA associated with higher baseline T2 values, particularly in the patella, adjusted OR per 1 SD increase in T2 (3.37 (95% CI 1.72 to 6.62)), but also in the medial femur (1.90 (1.07 to 3.39)), lateral femur (2.17 (1.11 to 4.25)) and lateral tibia (2.23 (1.16 to 4.31)).ConclusionsThese findings suggest that T2 values assessed when radiographic changes are not yet apparent may be useful in predicting the development of radiological tibiofemoral OA.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Liu ◽  
James R. Hebert ◽  
Nitin Shivappa ◽  
Jianjun Guo ◽  
Ke Tao ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To examine the relation between inflammatory potential of diet and incident knee osteoarthritis (OA) and the role of BMI in the association of interest. Methods In the Osteoarthritis Initiative, the energy-adjusted dietary inflammatory index (E-DIITM) scores were calculated based on the Block Brief 2000 Food Frequency Questionnaire and categorized into sex-specific quartiles. Outcomes were incident: (1) radiographic knee OA (ROA) (i.e., a KL grade ≥2), (2) symptomatic knee OA (SxOA) (i.e., a combination of a frequent knee pain and ROA). We fitted generalized estimating equation models to examine the association between E-DII scores and incident knee OA. We performed mediation analyses to assess potential mediation by BMI in the DII-OA relation. Results Over a 48-month follow-up period, 232 and 978 knees developed ROA and SxOA, respectively. Compared with the lowest (most anti-inflammatory) E-DII quartile, the odds ratio (OR) of incident ROA for the highest (most pro-inflammatory) E-DII quartile was 1.73 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15 to 2.62, Ptrend= 0.007). The corresponding OR for SxOA was 1.43 (95% CI: 1.16 to 1.76, Ptrend = 0.001). The DII-OA association was significantly mediated via BMI with an indirect effect of 1.08 (95% CI: 1.04,1.13) for ROA and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.16) for SxOA, accounting for 20.4% and 44.5% of total effect, respectively. Conclusions A higher inflammatory potential of diet increased the risk of knee OA. The association was significantly mediated via BMI. Targeting inflammatory potential of diet may be beneficial to reduce risk of knee OA.


Author(s):  
Rachel J Burns ◽  
Esther Briner ◽  
Norbert Schmitz

Abstract Background Elevated depressive symptoms are associated with an increased risk for diabetes. Depression is a heterogeneous and chronic condition in which symptoms may remit, emerge, lessen, or intensify over time. Purpose The purpose of this study was to determine if trajectories of depressive symptoms measured at five time points over 8 years predicted incident diabetes over an 8-year follow-up in middle-aged and older adults. A secondary aim was to determine if trajectories of depressive symptoms predict incident diabetes, above and beyond depressive symptoms measured at a single time point. Methods Data came from the Health and Retirement Study (n = 9,233). Depressive symptoms were measured biennially from 1998 to 2006. Self-reported incident diabetes was measured during an 8-year follow-up. Results Five trajectories of depressive symptoms were identified (no depressive symptoms, low depressive symptoms, low-moderate depressive symptoms, moderate depressive symptoms, elevated and increasing depressive symptoms). Compared to the no depressive symptoms trajectory group (referent), all other trajectory groups were at higher risk of developing diabetes after adjusting for covariates. In most cases, trajectory group membership was associated with incident diabetes after controlling for depressive symptoms at a single time point. Conclusions Patterns of depressive symptoms over time were associated with incident diabetes. Patterns of depressive symptoms may be more predictive of diabetes incidence than depressive symptoms measured at a single time point.


Blood ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 104 (11) ◽  
pp. 181-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Joachim Deeg ◽  
F. R. Appelbaum ◽  
B. Storer ◽  
M. Cassarella ◽  
B. Scott ◽  
...  

Abstract GvHD is a major cause of morbidity and mortality after allogeneic hemopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Recent data suggest that rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (THY) given pre-transplant is effective in reducing the incidence of GvHD. We transplanted 54 patients, 9-65 (median 49) years of age, with advanced myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS, beyond Refractory Anemia[RA], n=29), myelofibrosis (n=12), or other myeloid disorders (n=13), after conditioning with a regimen of targeted busulfan (BU; steady state level 800-900ng/ml), cyclophosphamide (CY) and THY (Thymoglobulin, Sangstat) which was given on days -3,-2 and -1. The starting dose was 4.5 mg/kg (total), to be escalated (in cohorts of 15 patients) to 6.0 and 7.5 mg/kg, dependent upon GvHD incidence and EBV reactivation ≥1000 copies). Patients also received methotrexate (MTX) + cyclosporine (CSP). Seventeen ( patients were accrued in the first cohort (2 did not receive the prescribed dose of THY), and none activated EBV; among 20 patients in the second cohort (5 with incomplete THY dose) one re-activated EBV, and, thus, the third cohort was to receive the same dose, 6 mg/kg, (n=17; two with incomplete THY dose). Donors were HLA-identical siblings in 28, and HLA matched unrelated volunteers in 26 patients. All but two patients had sustained engraftment; 32 (59%) developed acute, and 24 of 46 patients at risk (52%) developed chronic GvHD. The incidence of acute/chronic GvHD was 41%/45% for related, and 60%/36% for unrelated patients given the prescribed doses of THY (80%/85% for the 9 patients in both groups with incomplete THY dose). Relapse incidence for patients given the prescribed dose of THY was 16% for related, and 2% for unrelated recipients; it was 44% among the 9 patients who did not receive the full dose of THY. There was a suggestion that greater ‘area under the curve’ for the CY metabolite CEPM was correlated with non-relapse mortality. Overall, 38 patients (70%) are surviving with a follow-up of 3-20 (median 13) months. Concurrently, 27 patients, 11-64 (median 51) years of age, with low-risk MDS (RA) were conditioned with the identical targeted BUCY regimen (and MTX+CSP) but without THY, and transplanted from HLA-identical related (n=14) or unrelated donors(n=13). All patients engrafted, and none relapsed; 24 (89%) developed acute, and 24 of 25 patients at-risk (96%) developed chronic GvHD. Overall 18 patients (67%) are surviving at 9-39 (median 23) months; there was no difference between related and unrelated transplants. These data suggest that THY, added to targeted BUCY, reduced the incidence of acute and chronic GvHD. With EBV monitoring it may be possible to further escalate the dose of THY and further reduce the incidence of GvHD. However, because of actual or presumed toxicity, 16% of patients did not receive the prescribed dose of THY. There was no evidence for an increase in infections or relapse compared to historical data. The projected survival of patients with advanced disease is encouraging, but longer follow-up is needed.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Pozza ◽  
Sandro Domenichetti ◽  
Davide Dèttore

Abstract Cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) is a first-line strategy in reducing or delaying risk of transition to psychosis among young individuals with at-risk mental states (ARMS). However, there is little knowledge about its effects on other outcomes associated with ARMS. No study on CBT for ARMS has assessed worry, an important process associated with this condition. The present study investigated changes in worry at immediate post-treatment and 14-month follow-up after CBT for young individuals with ARMS seeking psychiatric care in mental health services. Thirty-seven young individuals (mean age = 26 years, SD = 6.07; 22.20% female) seeking psychiatric care in mental health services and classified as reporting ARMS through the Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States were included. The Positive And Negative Syndrome Scales (PANSS) and Penn State Worry Questionnaire (PSWQ) were administered at baseline, post-treatment, and follow-up. CBT consisted of 30 weekly individual 1-hour sessions based on a validated CBT for ARMS manual enriched with components targeting worry [psychoeducation, problem-solving, (meta)cognitive restructuring, behavioural experiments]. Seven participants (18.91%) at follow-up had cumulatively made transition to psychosis. Repeated measures ANOVA with post-hoc pairwise comparisons showed significant changes in PSWQ scores from baseline to post-treatment and from baseline to follow-up; PSWQ scores remained stable from post-treatment to follow-up. This is the first study investigating changes in worry after CBT for ARMS, which appears to be a promising strategy also for this outcome. Future research with a larger sample size and control group may determine whether changes in worry are also associated with reduced transition risk. Key learning aims (1) To understand CBT evidence and procedures for young individuals with ARMS. (2) To reflect on the current limitations in the literature on CBT for ARMS. (3) To understand the importance and clinical implications of assessing worry in ARMS. (4) To focus on changes in worry as an outcome after CBT for ARMS. (5) To reflect on future research directions on the role of worry in CBT for ARMS.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-88
Author(s):  
Dorthe Schoeler Ziegler ◽  
Rikke Krüger Jensen ◽  
Lisbeth Storm ◽  
Leah Carreon ◽  
Mikkel Oesterheden Andersen

Study Design: Longitudinal cohort study. Objectives: To investigate whether a cutoff point in leg pain intensity measured preoperatively or at early follow-up could identify patients at risk of poor outcomes in terms of disability at 1-year and 2-year follow-up after first-time lumbar discectomy, and to identify the characteristics associated with early postoperative leg pain intensity. Methods: From 2010 to 2013, 556 patients underwent lumbar discectomy. Leg pain intensity was measured preoperatively and at early postoperative follow-up and dichotomized according to an established cutoff point on a 0 to 100 visual analogue scale (mild <30, moderate/severe ≥30). The outcome measurement was Oswestry Disability Index (ODI). Generalized estimating equations modelling established the association between leg pain intensity and ODI. Characteristics associated with early postoperative leg pain intensity were identified using common hypothesis tests. Results: Moderate/severe leg pain intensity at early follow-up showed a statistically significant association with higher ODI at 1-year and 2-year follow-up compared to mild leg pain intensity (median [interquartile range]: 24 [26] and 26 [26] versus 12 [18] and 10 [20], respectively). Patients reporting moderate/severe leg pain intensity were more often smokers, were more prone to receive social benefits, and were more prone to have chronic back pain. The preoperative measurement of leg pain intensity showed inferior associations. Conclusion: The proposed cutoff point in leg pain intensity at early follow-up can identify patients at risk of disability at both 1-year and 2-year follow-up after first-time discectomy. Future research should be undertaken to investigate whether patients with moderate/severe leg pain intensity at early postoperative follow-up could benefit from additional or more intensive postoperative interventions.


2016 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony W. Flores ◽  
Alexander M. Holsinger ◽  
Christopher T. Lowenkamp ◽  
Thomas H. Cohen

We provide a comparison of analyses used to estimate predictive validity, across fixed (logistic regression and area under the curve receiver operating characteristic [AUC-ROC]) and variable (Cox regression and Harrell’s C) lengths of follow-up. This study adds to research demonstrating a relationship between time at risk offense free and recidivism in two ways. First, reoffending hazard rates were calculated across levels of general offending risk to better understand how failure relates to time at risk. Second, this research compared validity estimates derived from Cox and logistic regression analyses to examine the importance of variable versus fixed follow-up periods. Results show that risk declines as a function of time offense free for all but low risk offenders. In addition, findings demonstrate remarkable stability in estimates of validity after just 7 months of follow-up. Finally, comparisons of Cox and logistic regression analyses, along with their related Harrell’s C and AUC-ROC validity estimates, revealed little substantive differences in prediction


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