scholarly journals The Risk Prediction of Coronary Artery Lesions through the Novel Hematological Z-Values in 4 Chronological Age Subgroups of Kawasaki Disease

Medicina ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 56 (9) ◽  
pp. 466
Author(s):  
Hwa Jin Cho ◽  
Woo Young Kim ◽  
Sung Man Park ◽  
Jung Hwa Lee ◽  
Hong Ju Shin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Younger Age ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Background and Objectives: Most cases of Kawasaki disease (KD) occur between the ages of 6 months and 5 years. Differences in immunological reaction and CAL (coronary artery lesion) by the age subgroups classified according to the prevalence of KD and those particularly in the earlier life of KD should be investigated. Materials and Methods: The laboratory data of 223 infantile and 681 non-infantile KD cases from 2003 to 2018 at Korea University Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with KD were divided into infants and non-infants and further subdivided into four subgroups by age. The age-adjusted Z-values were compared among the subgroups. Febrile controls were identified as patients with fever for >5 days and who showed some of the KD symptoms. Results: IVIG (intravenous immunoglobulin) resistance at the age of 6 months or less was significantly lower than that at the ages of 7–12 months and 13–60 months (respectively, p < 0.05). The significant risk factors for CAL in total KD patients were age, incomplete KD, post-IVIG fever, IVIG resistance, convalescent Z-eosinophil, and subacute platelet (p < 0.05). The significant risk factors for CAL at the age of 6 months or less were IVIG resistance, acute Z-neutrophil, subacute Z-neutrophil, subacute NLR (neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio), and subacute platelet (respectively, p < 0.05). Conclusion: Younger age and incomplete presentation in KD can be independent risk factors for CAL. The immune reactions of KD at a younger age are more tolerated compared with those at older ages during the acute phase. The immune response at the age of 6 months or less showed immune tolerance in terms of incomplete presentation and IVIG responsiveness. The risk factors such as IVIG resistance, subacute platelet, subacute NLR, and acute or subacute Z-neutrophil at the age of 6 months or less can be very useful parameters to predict CAL in young, incomplete KD.

Predictive value of serum lipid for intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery lesion in Kawasaki disease

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuran Shao ◽  
Kaiyu Zhou ◽  
Xiaoliang Liu ◽  
Lei Liu ◽  
Mei Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Lipid Profile ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
West China ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance ◽  
Resistant Group

Abstract Context Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance and coronary artery lesions (CALs) prediction are pivotal topic of interests in Kawasaki disease (KD). However, data on the predictive value of lipid profile for both IVIG resistance and CALs are limited. Purpose To investigate the predictive validity of lipid profile for IVIG resistance and CALs in KD. Design Prospective cohort study. Setting West China Second University Hospital. Patients 363 KD patients were divided into the initial IVIG-resistant group and initial IVIG-responsive group; repeated IVIG-resistant group and repeated IVIG-responsive group; CAL+ group and CAL- group. Main Outcome Measures Validity of lipid profile in predicting IVIG resistance and CALs. Results TG was significantly higher whereas TC, HDL-C, LDL-C as well as Apo A were significantly lower in initial IVIG-resistant subjects, with cut-off values of 1.625 mmol/L, 3.255 mmol/L, 0.475 mmol/L, and 1.965 mmol/L and 0.665 g/L, yielding sensitivities of 52%, 70%, 52%, 61%, 50%, and specificities of 68%, 53%, 78%, 71%, 81%, respectively. TC, LDL-C, and Apo A levels were significantly lower in repeated IVIG-resistant subjects, with cut-off values of 3.20 mmol/L, 1.78 mmol/L, 0.605 g/L, producing sensitivities of 91%, 70%, 57% and specificities of 55%, 67%, 70%, respectively. Apo-A level was significantly lower in the CAL group, with cut-off value of 0.805g/L, yielding sensitivity of 66% and specificity of 54%. Conclusions Lipid profiles were significantly dysregulated in KD patients suffering IVIG resistance and CALs. Some of them, such as LDL-c and Apo-A, could serve as complementary laboratory markers for predicting both IVIG resistance and CALs.

Abstract O.07: The Clinical Risk Factors of Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance and Coronary Artery Lesion of Kawasaki Disease: Retrospective Analysis of 602 Cases

Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 131 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
lijian xie ◽  
Cuizhen Zhou ◽  
Renjian Wang ◽  
Tingting Xiao ◽  
Jie Shen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin ◽  
Clinical Evidence ◽  
Clinical Risk Factors ◽  
Ivig Treatment ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Sensitive Group

Introduction: The incidence of Kawasaki disease (KD) in China is increasing for years. The current coronary artery lesion (CAL) incidence is 5-10% in KD with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment. And the 10-20% KD patients still exhibit IVIG resistance. However, little clinical evidence on the occurrence of either CAL or IVIG resistance for big KD sample study in China during the past decade. Objective: In order to find clinical risk factors of CAL and IVIG resistance of KD in China. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical manifestations, laboratory results, treatment and complications of cardiac vascular of 602 KD cases from 2007 to 2012 admitted at Shanghai Children’s Hospital. The SAS 9.2 edition was used for statistical analysis. The mean ± standard deviation or the median were used for measurements. Case numbers and percentages were used for the count number. The t-test and the Mann-Whitney test were both used for mean comparisons. Single factor and multi-factor logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors. Results: 1. The KD gender male to female ratio was 1.85: 1. The KD median age was 2.0 years old (one month to 11.7 years old). 20.1% cases (121 of 602) exhibited CAL. There was no difference of CAL incidence between the gender (p=0.09). 2. The incidence of bright red cracked lips (p=0.001), peeling of the skin of the toes (p=0.021) and perianal skin peeling (p=0.031) are less in group with CAL. 3. Among the 602 cases, there were 525 cases that were sensitive to IVIG therapy. 100 of those cases had CAL with an incidence of 19.1%. Among the 26 IVIG resistance cases, there were 9 cases with CAL with an incidence of 34.6%, which was higher than the IVIG sensitive group (p=0.05). 4. ESR (p=0.014), CRP (p=0.017), PLT (p=0.003) and Hb (p=0.032) were much higher in the IVIG resistance group than the IVIG sensitive group, even though the IVIG resistance group started the IVIG treatment earlier (p=0.003). 5. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to show that GPT≥80IU/L was the independent risk factor of IVIG resistance, risk ratio was 2.945 (p=0.012) . Conclusion: This research suggests that risk factors of clinical evidence for IVIG resistance and CAL in KD.

scholarly journals A Machine Learning Model to Predict Intravenous Immunoglobulin-Resistant Kawasaki Disease Patients: A Retrospective Study Based on the Chongqing Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Liu ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Haodong Huang ◽  
Yunting Wang ◽  
Zuyue Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Retrospective Study ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Objective: We explored the risk factors for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in children with Kawasaki disease (KD) and constructed a prediction model based on machine learning algorithms.Methods: A retrospective study including 1,398 KD patients hospitalized in 7 affiliated hospitals of Chongqing Medical University from January 2015 to August 2020 was conducted. All patients were divided into IVIG-responsive and IVIG-resistant groups, which were randomly divided into training and validation sets. The independent risk factors were determined using logistic regression analysis. Logistic regression nomograms, support vector machine (SVM), XGBoost and LightGBM prediction models were constructed and compared with the previous models.Results: In total, 1,240 out of 1,398 patients were IVIG responders, while 158 were resistant to IVIG. According to the results of logistic regression analysis of the training set, four independent risk factors were identified, including total bilirubin (TBIL) (OR = 1.115, 95% CI 1.067–1.165), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR = 1.511, 95% CI 1.270–1.798), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (OR = 1.013, 95% CI 1.008–1.018) and platelet count (PLT) (OR = 0.998, 95% CI 0.996–1). Logistic regression nomogram, SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM prediction models were constructed based on the above independent risk factors. The sensitivity was 0.617, 0.681, 0.638, and 0.702, the specificity was 0.712, 0.841, 0.967, and 0.903, and the area under curve (AUC) was 0.731, 0.814, 0.804, and 0.874, respectively. Among the prediction models, the LightGBM model displayed the best ability for comprehensive prediction, with an AUC of 0.874, which surpassed the previous classic models of Egami (AUC = 0.581), Kobayashi (AUC = 0.524), Sano (AUC = 0.519), Fu (AUC = 0.578), and Formosa (AUC = 0.575).Conclusion: The machine learning LightGBM prediction model for IVIG-resistant KD patients was superior to previous models. Our findings may help to accomplish early identification of the risk of IVIG resistance and improve their outcomes.

scholarly journals Association between Alanine Aminotransferase/Aspartate Aminotransferase Ratio (AST/ALT Ratio) and Coronary Artery Injury in Children with Kawasaki Disease

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Jinxin Wang ◽  
Jiawen Li ◽  
Yue Ren ◽  
Hongying Shi ◽  
Xing Rong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Aspartate Aminotransferase ◽  
Alanine Aminotransferase ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Clinical Manifestations ◽  
Resistance Rate ◽  
Thrombin Time ◽  
Illness Onset ◽  
Ivig Resistance

Objective. To investigate the association between the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AST/ALT ratio, AAR) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance, coronary artery lesions (CAL), and coronary artery aneurysms (CAA) in children with Kawasaki disease (KD). Design. We retrospectively studied 2678 children with KD and divided them into two groups: a low-AAR group and a high-AAR group with a median AAR of 1.13 as the cut-off point. The differences in laboratory data, clinical manifestations, and coronary artery damage rates were compared between the two groups. Results. The incidence of CAL was higher in the low-AAR group than in the high-AAR group at 2 and 3-4 weeks after illness onset (p<0.001, respectively). The IVIG resistance rate was significantly higher in the low-AAR group than in the high-AAR group (29.94% vs 21.71%, p<0.001). The levels of C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, white blood cell count, bilirubin, fibrinogen, thrombin time, D-dimer, and brain natriuretic peptide were also significantly higher in the low-AAR group compared with the high-AAR group. The levels of albumin and IgG were significantly lower in the low-AAR group compared with those of the high-AAR group. The proportion of typical KD cases in the low-AAR group was significantly higher than that in the high-AAR group. Low-AAR correlated with the risk of coronary artery damage and IVIG resistance. Conclusion. Children with KD who had low-AAR value were more likely to develop coronary artery damage and IVIG resistance. Low AAR is a risk factor for CAL, CAA, and IVIG resistance in KD.

scholarly journals Prediction of Repeated Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance in Children With Kawasaki Disease

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaheng Lu ◽  
Tingting Chen ◽  
Yizhou Wen ◽  
Feifei Si ◽  
Xindan Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin ◽  
Multiple Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Ivig Treatment ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance ◽  
Resistant Group ◽  
Resistance Prediction

Abstract Background: Repeated intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance prediction is one of the pivotal topics in Kawasaki disease (KD). Those non-responders of repeated IVIG treatment might be improved by an early-intensified therapy to reduce coronary artery lesion and medical costs. This study investigated predictors of resistance to repeated IVIG treatment in KD.Methods: A total of 94 children with IVIG-resistant KD treated at our hospital between January 2016 and August 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the therapeutic effect of a second dose IVIG treatment, the children were divided into repeated IVIG-responsive group and repeated IVIG-resistant group, and the clinical and laboratory data were compared. Predictors of repeated IVIG resistance and the optimal cut-off value were determined by multiple logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.Results: The laboratory data of the percentage of neutrophils (N%) and levels of serum procalcitonin (PCT), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) on admission were significantly higher in repeated IVIG-resistant group compared with repeated IVIG-responsive group, while levels of serum sodium (Na+) and albumin (ALB) were significantly lower (P<0.05). The clinic data showed no significant differences between the two groups. PCT exhibited the largest AUC (0.751) in predicting repeated IVIG resistance in KD compared with N%, Na+, ALB, and NT-proBNP. PCT>1.81ng/ml was an independent predictor of repeated IVIG resistance in KD (OR 4.161, 95% CI 1.441~12.017, P=0.008). Conclusions: Our study illustrates the serum PCT level before initial IVIG treatment could be used to predict repeated IVIG resistance in KD.

scholarly journals Prediction of repeated intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in children with Kawasaki disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaheng Lu ◽  
Tingting Chen ◽  
Yizhou Wen ◽  
Feifei Si ◽  
Xindan Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin ◽  
Multiple Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Ivig Treatment ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Reactive Protein ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance ◽  
Resistant Group

Abstract Background Repeated intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance prediction is one of the pivotal topics in Kawasaki disease (KD). Those non-responders of repeated IVIG treatment might be improved by an early-intensified therapy to reduce coronary artery lesion and medical costs. This study investigated predictors of resistance to repeated IVIG treatment in KD. Methods A total of 94 children with IVIG-resistant KD treated at our hospital between January 2016 and August 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the therapeutic effect of a second dose IVIG treatment, the children were divided into repeated IVIG-responsive group and repeated IVIG-resistant group, and the clinical and laboratory data were compared. Predictors of repeated IVIG resistance and the optimal cut-off value were determined by multiple logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results The Pre-IVIG laboratory data showed the percentage of neutrophils (N%) and levels of serum procalcitonin (PCT), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were significantly higher in repeated IVIG-resistant group compared with repeated IVIG-responsive group, while levels of serum sodium and albumin (ALB) were significantly lower (P < 0.05). The post-IVIG laboratory values of N% and C-reactive protein (CRP) were significantly higher in the repeated IVIG-resistant group compared with repeated IVIG-responsive group, while hemoglobin and ALB were lower (P < 0.05). Pre-IVIG PCT and post-IVIG CRP exhibited AUC of 0.751 and 0.778 respectively in predicting repeated IVIG resistance in KD. Pre-IVIG PCT > 1.81ng/ml (OR 4.1, 95 % CI 1.4 ~ 12.0, P < 0.05) and post-IVIG CRP > 45 mg/L (OR 4.6, 95 % CI 1.3 ~ 16.2, P < 0.05) were independent predictors of repeated IVIG resistance in KD. Conclusions Our study illustrates the serum PCT level before initial IVIG treatment and CRP after initial IVIG could be used to predict repeated IVIG resistance in KD.

scholarly journals Analysis of Risk Factors of Kawasaki Disease With Coronary Artery Lesions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinling Hu ◽  
Weidong Ren
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Cervical Lymphadenopathy ◽  
Artery Aneurysm ◽  
Pairwise Comparison ◽  
Coronary Artery Lesions ◽  
Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Objective:To identify factors predictive of coronary artery lesions (CALs) in children with Kawasaki disease (KD).Methods:The clinical data of 420 children with KD who were hospitalized between January 2018 and December 2020 were retrospectively evaluated after assignment to groups by the presence of coronary artery aneurysm (CAA), coronary artery dilation (CAD), or no CALs. The association between coronary artery damage and patient clinical and laboratory values was investigated by pairwise comparison of the three groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression identified independent risk factors. The predictive value of patient variables for development of CAA and CAD was estimated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.Results:CALs occurred in 17.6% (94/420) of children with KD. Duration of fever, cervical lymphadenopathy, intravenous immune globulin resistance, immunoglobulin (Ig)A, procalcitonin, hemoglobin (Hb), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein, and others differed between patients with CALs and without CALs and were significantly associated with the development of CAA and CAD. The largest area under the curve was for combined CAA or CAD indicators, 0.851 for CAA (sensitivity of 68.09% and specificity of 60.62%) and 0.714 for CAD (sensitivity of 65.96% and specificity of 70.77%). Fever of >7 days before treatment was predictive of severe CAA or CAD.Conclusion:Fever duration, ESR, IgA, Hb, and cervical lymphadenopathy were independent risk factors of CAA; CRP, ESR, and cervical lymphadenopathy were independent risk factors of CAD, with combined factors having increased sensitivity and specificity. Early, active treatment is essential to reduce the occurrence of CALs.

scholarly journals Sonographic Gallbladder Abnormality Is Associated with Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance in Kawasaki Disease

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chih-Jen Chen ◽  
Fu-Chen Huang ◽  
Mao-Meng Tiao ◽  
Ying-Hsien Huang ◽  
Li-Yan Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Clinical Features ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Ivig Treatment ◽  
Coronary Artery Lesions ◽  
Abdominal Sonography ◽  
Ivig Resistance ◽  
Group B

Objective. Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute systematic vasculitis in children which causes coronary arterial lesions and hydrops of gallbladder. Our objective is to correlate the clinical significance and influence on disease outcome of patients with gallbladder abnormalities in Kawasaki dissease.Methods. Children who met KD diagnosis criteria and were admitted for IVIG treatment were retrospectively enrolled for analysis. Patients with abdominal sonography were divided into 2 groups based on the absence (Group A,N=61) or presence (Group B,N=16) of gallbladder abnormalities (GBA), defined as hydrops or acalculous cholecystitis. Between the two groups, clinical features, demographic data (including admission days, coronary artery lesions, IVIG resistance), and laboratory data before/after IVIG treatment were collected for analysis.Results. The presence of sonographic gallbladder abnormalities is correlated with higher levels of serum CRP, GPT, and neutrophils. It also points to an increased number of IVIG resistance rates in group B. There was no significant statistical difference among clinical features, age, gender, admission days, or coronary artery lesions between the two groups.Conclusion. Sonographic gallbladder abnormalities are associated with higher CRP, GPT, neutrophil and IVIG resistance in KD. It can be used as a predictor of IVIG resistance in patients with KD.

scholarly journals Z-score is a possible predictor of the risk of coronary artery lesion development in patients with Kawasaki disease in Japan

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takayuki Suzuki ◽  
Nobuyuki Kakimoto ◽  
Tomoya Tsuchihashi ◽  
Tomohiro Suenaga ◽  
Takashi Takeuchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Kawasaki Disease ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Laboratory Data ◽  
Delayed Diagnosis ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Coronary Artery Lesion ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Male Sex

Abstract ABSTRACT Risk factors for coronary artery lesion (CAL) development in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) include male sex, age <12 months, intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance, and delayed diagnosis. We aimed to explore the relationship between CAL development and Z-score. We enrolled 281 patients with KD who were treated with our protocol. Echocardiography was performed in three phases: pre-treatment (P1), post-treatment (P2), and 4 weeks after onset (P3). The highest Z-score of the right, left main, left anterior descending, and left circumflex coronary arteries was expressed as Zmax at each phase. P3-Zmax ≥2.5 represented CAL development. Clinical parameters, such as laboratory data and Z-scores, were retrospectively compared between patients with and without CAL development. Sixty-seven patients (23.8%) showed a P1-Zmax ≥2.0, and CAL development occurred in 21 patients (7.5%). Independent risk factors associated with CAL development were P1-Zmax, a ΔZmax (P2-Zmax − P1-Zmax) ≥1, male sex, <12 months of age, and resistant to the first IVIG administration (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.98 [1.01–3.92], 4.04 [1.11-14.7], 6.62 [1.33–33.04], 4.71 [1.51–14.68], 5.26 [1.62–17.13], respectively). Using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a P1-Zmax ≥1.43 detected CAL development with an area under the curve of 0.64 (sensitivity = 81.0%; specificity = 48.1%). Conclusions : Our results suggest that P1-Zmax and a ΔZmax (P2-Zmax − P1-Zmax) ≥1 may predict CAL development.

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