scholarly journals Historical Changes in Land Use and Suitability for Future Agriculture Expansion in Western Bahia, Brazil

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1088
Author(s):  
Fernando Martins Pimenta ◽  
Allan Turini Speroto ◽  
Marcos Heil Costa ◽  
Emily Ane Dionizio

Western Bahia is a critical region in Brazil’s recent expansion of agricultural output. Its outstanding increase in production is associated with strong growth in cropland area and irrigation. Here we present analyses of Western Bahian historical changes in land use, including irrigated area, and suitability for future agricultural expansion that respects permanent protection areas and the limits established by the Brazilian Forest Code in the Cerrado biome. For this purpose, we developed a land use and land cover classification database using a random forest classifier and Landsat images. A spatial multicriteria decision analysis to evaluate land suitability was performed by combining this database with precipitation and slope data. We demonstrate that between 1990 and 2020, the region’s total agricultural area increased by 3.17 Mha and the irrigated area increased by 193,480 ha. Throughout the region, the transition between the different classes of land use and land cover followed different pathways and was strongly influenced by land suitability and also appears to be influenced by Brazil’s new Forest Code of 2012. We conclude that even if conservation restrictions are considered, agricultural area could nearly double in the region, with expansion possible mostly in areas we classify as moderately suitable for agriculture, which are subject to climate hazards when used for rainfed crops but are otherwise fine for pastures and irrigated croplands.

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 334
Author(s):  
Juraj Lieskovský ◽  
Dana Lieskovská

This study compares different nationwide multi-temporal spatial data sources and analyzes the cropland area, cropland abandonment rates and transformation of cropland to other land cover/land use categories in Slovakia. Four multi-temporal land cover/land use data sources were used: The Historic Land Dynamics Assessment (HILDA), the Carpathian Historical Land Use Dataset (CHLUD), CORINE Land Cover (CLC) data and Landsat images classification. We hypothesized that because of the different spatial, temporal and thematic resolution of the datasets, there would be differences in the resulting cropland abandonment rates. We validated the datasets, compared the differences, interpreted the results and combined the information from the different datasets to form an overall picture of long-term cropland abandonment in Slovakia. The cropland area increased until the Second World War, but then decreased after transition to the communist regime and sharply declined following the 1989 transition to an open market economy. A total of 49% of cropland area has been transformed to grassland, 34% to forest and 15% to urban areas. The Historical Carpathian dataset is the more reliable long-term dataset, and it records 19.65 km2/year average cropland abandonment for 1836–1937, 154.44 km2/year for 1938–1955 and 140.21 km2/year for 1956–2012. In comparison, the Landsat, as a recent data source, records 142.02 km2/year abandonment for 1985–2000 and 89.42 km2/year for 2000–2010. These rates, however, would be higher if the dataset contained urbanisation data and more precise information on afforestation. The CORINE Land Cover reflects changes larger than 5 ha, and therefore the reported cropland abandonment rates are lower.


2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christelle Vancutsem ◽  
Eduardo Marinho ◽  
François Kayitakire ◽  
Linda See ◽  
Steffen Fritz

Author(s):  
A. B. Rimba ◽  
T. Atmaja ◽  
G. Mohan ◽  
S. K. Chapagain ◽  
A. Arumansawang ◽  
...  

Abstract. Bali has been open to tourism since the beginning of the 20th century and is known as the first tourist destination in Indonesia. The Denpasar, Badung, Gianyar, and Tabanan (Sarbagita) areas experience the most rapid growth of tourism activity in Bali. This rapid tourism growth has caused land use and land cover (LULC) to change drastically. This study mapped the land-use change in Bali from 2000 to 2025. The land change modeller (LCM) tool in ArcGIS was employed to conduct this analysis. The images were classified into agricultural land, open area, mangrove, vegetation/forest, and built-up area. Some Landsat images in 2000 and 2015 were exploited in predicting the land use and land cover (LULC) change in 2019 and 2025. To measure the accuracy of prediction, Landsat 8 OLI images for 2019 were classified and tested to verify the LULC model for 2019. The Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural network was trained with two influencing factors: elevation and road network. The result showed that the built-up growth direction expanded from the Denpasar area to the neighbouring areas, and land was converted from agriculture, open area and vegetation/forest to built-up for all observation years. The built-up was predicted growing up to 43 % from 2015 to 2025. This model could support decision-makers in issuing a policy for monitoring LULC since the Kappa coefficients were more than 80% for all models.


Author(s):  
I. C. Onuigbo ◽  
J. Y. Jwat

The study was on change detection using Surveying and Geoinformatics techniques. For effective research study, Landsat satellite images and Quickbird imagery of Minna were acquired for three periods, 2000, 2005 and 2012. The research work demonstrated the possibility of using Surveying and Geoinformatics in capturing spatial-temporal data. The result of the research work shows a rapid growth in built-up land between 2000 and 2005, while the periods between 2005 and 2012 witnessed a reduction in this class. It was also observed that change by 2020 may likely follow the trend in 2005 – 2012 all things being equal. Built up area may increase to 11026.456 hectares, which represent 11% change. The study has shown clearly the extent to which MSS imagery and Landsat images together with extensive ground- truthing can provide information necessary for land use and land cover mapping. Attempt was made to capture as accurate as possible four land use and land cover classes as they change through time.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chang Li ◽  
Zhili Wang ◽  
Yongjun Lu ◽  
Mingming Song

Abstract Quantifying the influences of land use/cover (LULC) change on hydrological processes is important for rational utilization of water resources. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impacts of spatiotemporal LULC change on hydrological components in a typical agricultural area located in the North China Plain at both basin and sub-basin scales. LULC change was quantified, and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool was optimized using parameters associated with LULC conditions. We concluded that the urban and forest areas increased by 25.57 and 10.56%, with the cropland area decreased by 36.76%. About half of the surface runoff (SURQ) in the basin was generated from the urban area, with the SURQ increased significantly in the upstream and downstream of the basin where overlapped with urbanized areas. The proportions of evapotranspiration generated by cropland and forest areas increased slightly (0.89 and 0.55%, respectively), especially in sub-basins where the conversion of cropland to forest was obvious. Urban, forest, and cropland were the main types that generated water yield (WYLD). The proportion of WYLD generated on the urban area increased by 9.55% and decreased in other areas, which may be related to the combined effects of urbanization and forest reduction.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amare Sewnet

Abstract Land cover is the physical and biological cover of the surface whereas land use covers the results of human activities for the exploitation of it. The land cover and landuse change is caused by both, natural and anthropogenic factors. The objective of this study was to detect land cover/use changes in Infraz Watershed. The study has used ArcGIS10 and ERDAS IMAGINE10, landsat images of 1973, 1986, 1995 and 2011 and socio-economic data to analyze land cover and landuse changes of Infraz watershed. The study has found that due to the population increase and improper agricultural activity bush and wetlands have declined where as farm and settlement lands expanded between the study years. About 1044 wetlands and 6338.7 ha of bush lands were lost and converted to cultivated and farm lands, grass lands and forest covers which were increased by 6685.3, 357.7 and 338.3 ha between the study periods respectively. There is an urgent need to limit the population growth rate and implementing land use policy in the Infraz watershed.


Author(s):  
Ujjwala Khare ◽  
Prajakta Thakur

<p>The expansion of urban areas is common in metropolitan cities in India. Pune also has experienced rapid growth in the fringe areas of the city. This is mainly on account of the development of the Information Technology (IT) Parks. These IT Parks have been established in different parts of Pune city. They include Hinjewadi, Kharadi, Talwade and others like the IT parks in Magarpatta area. The IT part at Talwade is located to close to Pune Nashik Highway has had an impact on the villages located around it. The surrounding area includes the villages of Talwade, Chikhli, Nighoje, Mahalunge, Khalumbre and Sudumbre.</p> <p>The changes in the land use that have occurred in areas surrounding Talwade IT parks during the last three decades have been studied by analyzing the LANDSAT images of different time periods. The satellite images of the 1992, 2001 and 2011 were analyzed to detect the temporal changes in the land use and land cover.</p> <p>This paper attempts to study the changes in land use / land cover which has taken place in these villages in the last two decades. Such a study can be done effectively with the help of remote sensing and GIS techniques. The tertiary sector has experienced a rapid growth especially during the last decade near the IT Park. The occupation structure of these villages is also related to the changes due to the development of the IT Park.</p> <p>The land use of study area has been analysed using the ground truth applied to the satellite images at decadal interval. Using the digital image processing techniques, the satellite images were then classified and land use / land cover maps were derived. The results show that the area under built-up land has increased by around 14 per cent in the last 20 years. On the contrary, the land under agriculture, barren, pasture has decreased significantly.</p>


Author(s):  
Dada Ibilewa ◽  
Mustapha Aliyu ◽  
Usman O. Alalu ◽  
Taiwo Hassan Abdulrasheed

Geo-spatial assessment of land use/cover dynamics in Akoko South West Local Government was instigated to bridge the knowledge gap created by data deficiency on the nature, scope and magnitude of land use/cover change in the area. This was done through the analysis of Landsat images of three epochs from 2000 through 2010 to 2020. The processing of the satellite images was done in ArcGIS 10.8 while the analysis and 2030 projection was done in Microsoft office excel using the result from the analysis. QGIS was used to remove the scan lines error on the 2010 image. The result showed increasing built-up area, reducing vegetation and farmlands and diminishing rock outcrops. The changes vary among the different classification characteristics. The increasing change in the second epoch was higher in built up areas while rock outcrops increased in the first epoch. Farmland and vegetation were on reducing trend throughout the study period. However, the moderate change observed in the second epoch for the two land cover classes were not as significant as the first epoch. Government policies on forest reserve should strictly be adhered to in order to preserve the vegetation in the area. People of the area should be advised to diversify their economy in order to avoid total dependence on the forest reserve.


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