scholarly journals Estimation of Maximum Hail Diameters from FY-4A Satellite Data with a Machine Learning Method

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 73
Author(s):  
Qiong Wu ◽  
Yi-Xuan Shou ◽  
Lei-Ming Ma ◽  
Qifeng Lu ◽  
Rui Wang

The magnitude of damage caused by hail depends on its size; however, direct observation or indirect estimation of hail size remains a significant challenge. One primary reason for estimations by proxy, such as through remote sensing methods, is that empirical relationships or statistical models established in one region may not apply to other areas. This study employs a machine learning method to build a hail size estimation model without assuming relations in advance. It uses FY-4A AGRI data to provide cloud-top information and ERA5 data to add vertical environment information. Before training the model, we conducted a principal component analysis (PCA) to analyze the highly influential factors on hail sizes. A total of 18 features, composed of four groups, namely brightness temperature (BT), the difference in BT (BTD), thermodynamics, and dynamics groups, were chosen from 29 original features. Dynamic and BTD features show superior performance in identifying large hail. Although the selected features are more closely correlated to hail sizes than unselected ones, the relationships are complicated and nonlinear. As a result, a two-layer regression back propagation neural network (BPNN) model with powerful fitting ability is trained with selected features to predict maximum hail diameter (MHD). The linear fitting R2 between predicted and observed MHDs is 0.52 on the test set, which signifies that our model performs well compared with other hail size estimation models. We also examine the model concerning all three hail cases in Shanghai, China, between 2019 and 2021. The model attained more satisfactory results than the radar-based maximum estimated hail size (MEHS) method, which overestimates the MHDs, thus further supporting the operational applications of our model.

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (16) ◽  
pp. 4499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Wei ◽  
Yu Gu

The brown core is an internal disorder that significantly affects the palatability and economic value of Chinese pears. In this study, a framework that includes a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) and extreme learning machine (ELM) (BP-ELMNN) was proposed for the detection of brown core in the Chinese pear variety Huangguan. The odor data of pear were collected using a metal oxide semiconductor (MOS) electronic nose (E-nose). Principal component analysis was used to analyze the complexity of the odor emitted by pears with brown cores. The performances of several machine learning algorithms, i.e., radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), BPNN, and ELM, were compared with that of the BP-ELMNN. The experimental results showed that the proposed framework provided the best results for the test samples, with an accuracy of 0.9683, a macro-precision of 0.9688, a macro-recall of 0.9683, and a macro-F1 score of 0.9685. The results demonstrate that the use of machine learning algorithms for the analysis of E-nose data is a feasible and non-destructive method to detect brown core in pears.


Geofluids ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Jinzi Liu

Machine learning method has gradually become an important and effective method to analyze reservoir parameters in reservoir numerical simulation. This paper provides a machine learning method to evaluate the connectivity between injection and production wells controlled by interlayer in reservoir. In this paper, Back Propagation (BP) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are used to train the dynamic data with the influence of interlayer control connectivity in the reservoir layer as the training model. The dataset is trained with dynamic production data under different permeability, interlayer dip angle, and injection pressure. The connectivity is calculated by using the deep learning model, and the connectivity factor K is defined. The results show that compared with BP, CNN has better performance in connectivity, average absolute relative deviation (AARD) below 10.01% higher. Moreover, CNN prediction results are close to the traditional methods. This paper provides new insights and methods to evaluate the interwell connectivity in conventional or unconventional reservoirs.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hironori Takemoto ◽  
Tsubasa Goto ◽  
Yuya Hagihara ◽  
Sayaka Hamanaka ◽  
Tatsuya Kitamura ◽  
...  

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