scholarly journals The US Shale Gas Revolution and Its Externality on Crude Oil Prices: A Counterfactual Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 697 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 164 ◽  
pp. 356-361
Author(s):  
Tian Li

Crude oil is the most important material for the modern industry, while its volatility risk’s threatening to the industry developments is increasing stronger and stronger. In 2008 and 2009, some Chinese corporations have suffered from huge losses from their earlier hedging operations on crude oil prices. These incidents reflected the shortage of management methods and experiences on risks. In fact, those corporations might hedge their short positions on the crude oil puts by longing the US Treasury Bonds puts so as to avoid the huge losses.


Author(s):  
OMEKWE, Sunday Omiekuma Paul ◽  
OBAYORI, Joseph Bidemi

The paper examined crude oil and the Nigeria naira exchange rate. Crude oil is a natural resource found beneath the water table usually in the delta region or in the sea and ocean. Oil as a hydrocarbon was first found and drilled in Oloibiri in Bayelsa State in 1956, and has become the basic source of Nigeria’s foreign earnings and therefore its foreign exchange. Exchange rate is the value of another country's currency compared to that of your own. But the ups and downs in the price of crude oil has put the Nigerian economy at the edge of the sword. Moreover, since the announced global slump in oil prices, governments at all levels (federal, state and local) have had hard times meeting their expenditure needs. Also, the weak value of the naira in relation to the US. Dollar has not help the country economy. This is because, while the stream of income remained the same, one now need more Naira to pay for some commodities abroad. Also, any drop in crude oil prices tends to lead to a weakened Naira against the dollar on the black market. Therefore, in order to have a chance at developing, a country needs to maintain a competitive exchange rate that is not overvalued.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-89
Author(s):  
Senanu Kwasi Klutse ◽  
Gábor Dávid Kiss

Once again, the World has been faced with an oil price shock as a result of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic. This has resurrected an old debate of whether retail fuel prices adjust significantly to either increases or decreases in international crude oil prices. With many countries moving towards the deregulation of their petroleum sub-sector, the impact of the US dollar exchange rate on retail fuel prices cannot be overlooked. This study investigates the rate at which positive and negative changes in international Brent crude oil prices and the US dollar exchange rate affected the increases or decreases in the ex-pump price of premium gasoline between February 2012 and December 2019. Using a non-linear auto-regressive distributed lag model, the exchange rate was found to play a significant role in fluctuations in the retail price of premium gasoline in Ghana and Colombia in the long run, howev-er, the rate of adjustment between the negative and positive changes was not significant, dispelling the perception of price asymmetry. There was no significant relationship between the ex-pump price of premium gasoline and the international Brent crude oil price in Ghana and Kenya in the long run. This study recommends that the aforementioned countries prioritise the creation of ex-change rate buffers to prevent exchange rate shocks that may affect retail fuel prices.


2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
SOFIANE ABOURA

<p class="ESRBODY">We investigate, for the first time, the relationship between gasoline volatility and crude oil volatility. We aim to examine if the so-called asymmetric relationship between gasoline and crude oil prices holds for volatility. The approach employed is based on the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model as applied to the US WTI oil volatility and the French Super Carburant 95 gasoline volatility from 1990 to 2014.</p>The results reveal that gasoline volatility tends to be overreactive to changes in crude oil volatility. Moreover, it appears that the government taxation policy might amplify the gasoline volatility


Author(s):  
Claudiu Tiberiu ALBULESCU

This paper investigates the effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on the United States (US) economic policy uncertainty (EPU), with a focus on the pre-pandemic phase of the sanitary crisis. Using daily data for the period January 21 – March 13, 2020, our Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model shows that the new infection cases reported at global level, and the fatality ratio, have no significant effect on the US EPU during the first phase of the crisis, whereas the oil price negative dynamics leads to increased uncertainty. However, analysing the situation outside China, we discover that both new case announcements and the COVID-19 associated death ratio have a positive influence on the US EPU. Keywords: coronavirus; economic policy uncertainty; COVID-19; EPU; oil prices


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