scholarly journals The Impact of COVID-19 on Bank Equity and Performance: The Case of Central Eastern South European Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 11036
Author(s):  
Sylwester Kozak
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Financial Supervision ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Global Database ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Central Eastern ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this article is to examine the impact of the shock increase, in the value of nonperforming loans, on the equity level and profitability of 141 banks in 18 countries of Central Eastern South Europe (CESE). This study is important for assessing the financial stability of banks in this region in the face of the continuing negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the annual data, as of the end of 2020, from the S&P Global database, stress tests were carried out to check what value of NPL growth, over the next year, will lead to breach the regulatory capital requirements in domestic sectors and in individual groups of banks. The results indicate that the banks in CESE were well capitalized and had the ability to maintain capital requirements with a 12% increase in nonperforming loans. The resilience of domestic banking sectors varies, and it is higher in non-EU countries. Smaller and non-public banks show a greater ability to preserve the appropriate level of equity, although there is a risk that they may postpone the time of provisioning credit risk and additionally increase lending to lower the NPL ratio. Larger banks are more profitable in times of crisis. The results of the research are important for assessing the stability of the banking sector in CESE during the crisis and can be used by financial supervision of the region’s countries and banking market analysts.

scholarly journals Effect of Bank Competition on Financial Stability: Empirical Evidence from Nepal

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Surya Bahadur G.C. ◽  
Gyaneswar Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Bank Competition ◽  
Financial Industry ◽  
Banking Competition ◽  
The Impact

<p>There are two hypotheses about the relationship between competition and financial stability in the banking system: “competition-fragility” view argues that competition makes banks more likely totake excessive risks, thereby leading to fragility, while “competition-stability” view suggests that higherinterest rates in less competitive environments may cause borrowers to take higher risks,resulting in higher probability of non-performing loans and a more fragile system. This paper empirically examines the impact of competition on Nepalese banking system employing annual data of commercial banks from 1999 to 2012 period using fixed effects panel data model. The study period represents the era of rapid growth in financial institutions in Nepal. The HHI and n-bank concentration ratios are used as measure of competition while Z-index and nonperforming loans ratioare used as proxies of financial stability. The effects of macroeconomic factors and bank specific indicators are also taken into account. The results reveal that there is apositive relationship between greater banking competition and financial stability in Nepal, supporting the “competition-stability” view. Competition in banking sector is found to result in decrease in credit risk and contribute for financial stability. Mixed results have been achieved incase of the impact of bank competition on overall stability. The findings indicate that both higher concentration and higher competition are detrimental for stability. Hence, policymakers should facilitate further consolidation in the financial industry, however, it should be ensured that excessive consolidation doesn’t result in an environment that hinders competition. In addition,besides competition level in the banking system, macroeconomic situation of the country is found to be an important determinant of banking system stability.</p><p><em> </em><strong><em>Economic Literature</em></strong><em>, </em>Vol. XIII August 2016, page 19-31</p>

scholarly journals Structural modeling of the impact of bank nonperforming loans on the banking sector: the Ukrainian experience

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugenia Bondarenko ◽  
Olena Zhuravka ◽  
John O. Aiyedogbon ◽  
Ologunla Emmanuel Sunday ◽  
Vita Andrieieva
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Structural Equation ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Mutual Influence ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Noncentrality Parameter ◽  
Equation Modeling ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Banking Institutions ◽  
The Impact

The paper aims to develop scientific and methodological approach to assessing the interaction of nonperforming loans of Ukrainian banking institutions, the profitability of the banking sector and its financial stability, which will allow a more detailed assessment of the directions and degree of mutual influence of these elements. To substantiate this interaction economically and mathematically, structural equation modeling was chosen. Particularly, Statistica was chosen as a software tool to assess the adequacy of the resulting model and determine the level of statistical significance of its parameters. Six key indicators were selected as a research information base, two for each subject of research: indicators of nonperforming loans in the banking sector (the volume of nonperforming loans and the ratio of problem loans excluding capital reserves), profitability indicators of the Ukrainian banking sector (assets profit and rate of return on capital), and indicators of financial stability of the Ukrainian banking sector (regulatory capital-to-risk-weighted assets ratio and liquid assets-to-total assets ratio). For calculations, statistic data of selected indicators for 2005–2019 were used. As a result of calculations, mathematical data were obtained that accurately described the interaction of nonperforming loans of Ukrainian banking institutions, the profitability of the banking sector and its financial stability. The adequacy of the model was verified based on the following criteria: main summary statistics (ICSF criterion, ICS criterion, discrepancy function, maximum residual cosine), noncentrality fit indices (noncentrality parameter, population noncentrality parameter, Steiger-Lind RMSEA index, McDonald noncentrality index, adjusted population Gamma index), other single sample indices (Akaike information criterion, Schwarz criterion), and a normal probability plot.

scholarly journals Investigating the Determinants of Nonperforming Loans in the Romanian Banking System: An Empirical Study with Reference to the Greek Crisis

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sofoklis D. Vogiazas ◽  
Eftychia Nikolaidou
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Greek Crisis ◽  
Time Series Modelling ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis ◽  
Greek Banks ◽  
The Impact

This paper aims to investigate the determinants of nonperforming loans in the Romanian banking sector by means of time series modelling. It is motivated by the hypothesis that macroeconomic-cyclical indicators, monetary aggregates, interest rates, financial markets, and bank-specific variables influence the nonperforming loans in the Romanian banking system. Using monthly series that span from December 2001 to November 2010, we cover both the booming period and the recent financial crisis. Given the significant presence of the Greek banks in Romania, the novelty of the paper lies in the introduction of variables that proxy the Greek crisis. Thus, we examine the existence of a potential transmission channel to the Romanian banking system by investigating the impact of the Greek crisis to the Romanian nonperforming loans. Our findings indicate that macroeconomic variables, specifically the construction and investment expenditure, the inflation and the unemployment rate, and the country's external debt to GDP and M2 jointly with Greek crisis-specific variables influence the credit risk of the Romanian banking system. The results have several implications for policymakers, regulators, and managers as the most recent published stress tests on the Romanian banking system are based on end 2008 data.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC FACTORS IN NONPERFORMING LOANS IN KOSOVO

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-131
Author(s):  
Donjeta Morina
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Influential Factors ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Impact

An efficient and developed banking system is essential for the growth of any economy and the purpose of any banking system is to operate profitably in order to maintain sustainability and financial stability. Banks carry out many activities to make a profit, and the main activity of each bank is lending, thus enabling consumption and investment in the economy. Despite the importance of this activity in terms of income for banks, the lending process is not as easy as one might imagine. During this activity, banks faced delays from borrowers, which resulted in non-performing loans, as an obstacle to the efficiency of banking activities. The level of these loans varies from country to country and is nowadays considered as an integral part of the commercial banking of each country. There are many factors that directly or indirectly affect the level of these loans and the key influential factors are considered the macroeconomic factors. They are considered to be the main cause of the increase in non-performing loans as they generally affect all sectors of the economy. As a result of the negative reversal of these factors, borrowers will encounter liquidity shortages, which in turn will increase the likelihood of delays in fulfilling liabilities to the bank, in this case directly affecting the level of nonperforming loans. The key macroeconomic factors examined in the literature are Economic Growth, Unemployment, Inflation, Credit Interest Rates and Exchange Rates.The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic factors such as GDP Growth, Inflation, Interest Rates on credits and Unemployment on the level of non-performing loans in Kosovo by looking at macroeconomic indicators over the period 2010 - 2018. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic factors such as GDP Growth, Inflation, Interest Rates on the credits and Unemployment on the level of non-performing loans in Kosovo by looking at macroeconomic indicators over the period 2010 - 2018. A multiple regression model was applied to see the effect of these factors on the level of non-performing loans in Kosovo over the years taken in the study. To realize the purpose of the study through this model are defined macroeconomic factors as independent variables as necessary for analysis and is seeing their impact in non-performing loans defined in study as the dependent variable. The results show that interest rates are considered as the main macroeconomic factor affecting the level of nonperforming loans in Kosovo and is the main factor positively related to this type of loans. In recent years, the decline of interest rates in the banking sector has had a positive impact on the decline of non-performing loans, which has increased the financial stability within this sector.

Central bank digital currency: the future of institutional changes in the banking sector

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
pp. 26-48
Author(s):  
Volodymyr MISHCHENKO ◽  
◽  
Svitlana NAUMENKOVA ◽  
Svitlana MISHCHENKO ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Credit System ◽  
Bank Supervision ◽  
Bank Of China ◽  
Digital Currency ◽  
Financial Monitoring ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the article is to reveal the essence and features of the introduction of digital currency of central banks and their impact on the conditions of monetary policy, financial stability, as well as institutional transformations in the development of national banking systems. The study is based on an analysis of projects of issuance and use of digital currencies of the ECB and central banks of leading countries, as well as the results of pilot projects of the National Bank of China on the use of the digital yuan and NBU on the e-hryvnia circulation. It is proved that digital currency of the central bank should be considered as a new dematerialized form of national currency in addition to cash and non-cash forms. Particular attention is paid to the study of the impact of the use of digital currency by central banks on the main parameters of economic policy. The main directions of potential influence of digital currency use on transformation of mechanisms of realization of monetary, budgetary and tax, macroprudential policy, maintenance of financial stability, activization of action of channels of the monetary transmission mechanism, and also on reforming of system of the state financial monitoring and bank supervision are substantiated. It is determined that one of the consequences of the use of digital currency will be the ability to ensure full control over all monetary transactions, which will help reduce the shadow economy and corruption. Structural and logical schemes of centralized and decentralized models of issuance and circulation of digital currency of central bank have been developed, directions of changes in the structure and functions of commercial and central banks, as well as in the structure of the financial and credit system in general have been substantiated.

scholarly journals EVALUATION OF FUNCTIONAL PERFORMANCE OF THE BANKING SYSTEM OF UKRAINE IN CONDITIONS FINANCIAL INSTABILITY

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nataliia Danik ◽  
Kateryna Novak ◽  
Anastasiia Yakovenko
Keyword(s):  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Synergistic Effects ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Scientific Article ◽  
Financial Instability ◽  
Industrial Complex ◽  
The Impact

The article covers the problems of the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine during 2018-2021, as one of the main sectors of the financial market and the national economy as a whole. When analyzing the state of the banking sector, regularities and general trends in the functioning of the banking sector of Ukraine have been established, and appropriate calculations have been made. The impact of global financial crises on the activities of banking structures, which must operate in conditions of constant financial instability, is described. Today, the whole world, including Ukraine, is on the verge of a global financial and economic crisis. This raises the question of whether Ukrainian banks have the necessary margin of resilience to vulnerabilities to the financial and economic crisis. In recent years, the functioning and development of the banking system has been characterized by increased financial stability, the level of bank capitalization, liquidity, some improvement in asset quality, reducing risks in banking, as well as the presence of positive structural changes. Today, Ukraine's banking system operates in a complex socio-economic and legal environment, most of which - macroeconomic instability, irrational structure of the industrial complex, the crisis of science and technology, imperfect fiscal and monetary policy, low level of effective demand - complicate sustainable development banking sector and increase competitiveness. In conditions of instability, intensification of turbulent processes, the development of the banking system requires new innovative approaches to determining the mechanisms of effective functioning and stable development based on a system-synergetic approach, which led to the choice and relevance of the chosen topic of this scientific article. Efficiency of banks is a multicomponent, multifaceted, multidimensional system characteristic that depends on many factors and is an effective indicator of performance of functions and achievement of goals and objectives of banks development provided financial stability based on financial stability and dynamic balance, achievement of multiplicative and synergistic effects.

COMPETITION-STABILITY RELATIONSHIP IN DUAL BANKING SYSTEMS: EVIDENCE FROM EFFICIENCY-ADJUSTED MARKET POWER

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
MUDEER AHMED KHATTAK ◽  
OMAR ALAEDDIN ◽  
MOUTAZ ABOJEIB
Keyword(s):  
Market Power ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Market Competition ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Banking Competition ◽  
Precise Measure ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
The Impact

This research attempts to explore the impact of banking competition on financial stability employing a more precise measure of market power. It was found that Islamic banks are less stable and are enjoying lower market power. The analysis shows that higher market competition makes the banking sector vulnerable to defaults, supporting the “competition-fragility view”. This research finds no difference in the relationship for Islamic banks indicates that Islamic banks might be involved in traditional banking activities as conventional banks. The results are consistent and robust to different estimation approaches and subsamples. This research carries regulatory and policy implications.

scholarly journals Impact of the Basel III bank regulation on US agricultural lending

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 (3) ◽  
pp. 321-337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Nooree Kim ◽  
Ani L. Katchova
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Detailed Examination ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Following the recent global financial crisis, US regulatory agencies issued laws to implement the Basel III accords to ensure the resiliency of the US banking sector. Theories predict that enhanced regulations may alter credit issuance of the regulated banks due to increased capital requirements, but the direction of changes might not be straightforward especially with respect to the agricultural loans. A decrease in credit availability from banks might pose a serious problem for farmers who rely on bank credit especially during economic recessions. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the impact of Basel III regulatory framework implementation on agricultural lending in the USA is examined. Using panel data of FDIC-insured banks from 2008 to 2017, the agricultural loan volume and growth rates are examined for agricultural banks and all US banks. Findings The results show that agricultural loan growth rates have slowed down, but the amount of agricultural loan volume issuance still remained positive. More detailed examination finds that regulated agricultural banks have decreased both the agricultural loan volume and their loan exposure to the agricultural sector, showing a possible sign of credit crunch. Originality/value This study examines whether the implementation of the Basel III regulation has resulted in changes in agricultural loan issuance by US banks as predicted by the lending channel theory.

Bank Capital Requirements after the Financial Crisis

2019 ◽  
pp. 706-735
Author(s):  
Mark E. Van Der Weide ◽  
Jeffrey Y. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Global Banking

Regulators responded with an array of strategies to shore up weaknesses exposed by the 2008 financial crisis. This chapter focuses on reforms to bank capital regulation. We first discuss the ways in which the post-crisis Basel III reforms recalibrated the existing framework by improving the quality of capital, increasing the quantity of capital, and improving the calculation of risk weights. We then shift to the major structural changes in the regulatory capital framework—capital buffers on top of the minimum requirements; a leverage ratio that explicitly accounts for off-balance-sheet exposures; risk-based and leverage capital surcharges on the largest banks; bail-in debt to facilitate orderly resolution; and forward-looking stress tests. We conclude with a quantitative assessment of the evolution of capital in the global banking system and in the US banking sector.

scholarly journals The Bahamas

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (199) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Banking Supervision ◽  
Property Market ◽  
The Bahamas ◽  
Poor Growth ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Consumer Loans ◽  
Risk Monitoring

The Bahamas appears to be resilient to current threats to its financial stability, but action is needed to safeguard against potential weaknesses. There is a large stock of problem assets that needs to be dealt with from a variety of perspectives: systemic risk monitoring, banking supervision, and crisis management. Vulnerabilities to natural disasters and external economic contagion heighten this need. The banking sector dominates the financial system and has focused on residential mortgages and consumer loans during a long period of economic stagnation. Despite poor growth the sector has remained profitable. However, the small domestic residential property market backing most secured lending is prone to shocks and illiquidity. This has historically led to high and persistent levels of nonperforming loans (NPLs), which significantly increase uncertainty and fragility in the banking system.

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