scholarly journals Effect of Sediment Load Boundary Conditions in Predicting Sediment Delta of Tarbela Reservoir in Pakistan

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 1716 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zeeshan Riaz Tarar ◽  
Sajid Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Iftikhar Ahmad ◽  
Shabeh ul Hasson ◽  
Zahid Mahmood Khan ◽  
...  

Setting precise sediment load boundary conditions plays a central role in robust modeling of sedimentation in reservoirs. In the presented study, we modeled sediment transport in Tarbela Reservoir using sediment rating curves (SRC) and wavelet artificial neural networks (WA-ANNs) for setting sediment load boundary conditions in the HEC-RAS 1D numerical model. The reconstruction performance of SRC for finding the missing sediment sampling data was at R2 = 0.655 and NSE = 0.635. The same performance using WA-ANNs was at R2 = 0.771 and NSE = 0.771. As the WA-ANNs have better ability to model non-linear sediment transport behavior in the Upper Indus River, the reconstructed missing suspended sediment load data were more accurate. Therefore, using more accurately-reconstructed sediment load boundary conditions in HEC-RAS, the model was better morphodynamically calibrated with R2 = 0.980 and NSE = 0.979. Using SRC-based sediment load boundary conditions, the HEC-RAS model was calibrated with R2 = 0.959 and NSE = 0.943. Both models validated the delta movement in the Tarbela Reservoir with R2 = 0.968, NSE = 0.959 and R2 = 0.950, NSE = 0.893 using WA-ANN and SRC estimates, respectively. Unlike SRC, WA-ANN-based boundary conditions provided stable simulations in HEC-RAS. In addition, WA-ANN-predicted sediment load also suggested a decrease in supply of sediment significantly to the Tarbela Reservoir in the future due to intra-annual shifting of flows from summer to pre- and post-winter. Therefore, our future predictions also suggested the stability of the sediment delta. As the WA-ANN-based sediment load boundary conditions precisely represented the physics of sediment transport, the modeling concept could very likely be used to study bed level changes in reservoirs/rivers elsewhere in the world.

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1411 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sardar Ateeq-Ur-Rehman ◽  
Minh Bui ◽  
Shabeh Hasson ◽  
Peter Rutschmann

A number of significant investigations have advanced our understanding of the parameters influencing reservoir sedimentation. However, a reliable modelling of sediment deposits and delta formation in reservoirs is still a challenging problem due to many uncertainties in the modelling process. Modelling performance can be improved by adjusting the uncertainty caused by sediment load boundary conditions. In our study, we diminished the uncertainty factor by setting more precise sediment load boundary conditions reconstructed using wavelet artificial neural networks for a morphodynamic model. The model was calibrated for hydrodynamics using a backward error propagation method. The proposed approach was applied to the Tarbela Reservoir located on the Indus River, in northern Pakistan. The results showed that the hydrodynamic calibration with coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.969 and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) = 0.966 also facilitated good calibration in morphodynamic calculations with R2 = 0.97 and NSE = 0.96. The model was validated for the sediment deposits in the reservoir with R2 = 0.96 and NSE = 0.95. Due to desynchronization between the glacier melts and monsoon rain caused by warmer climate and subsequent decrease of 17% in sediment supply to the Tarbela dam, our modelling results showed a slight decrease in the sediment delta for the near future (until 2030). Based on the results, we conclude that our overall state-of-the-art modelling offers a significant improvement in computational time and accuracy, and could be used to estimate hydrodynamic and morphodynamic parameters more precisely for different events and poorly gauged rivers elsewhere in the world. The modelling concept could also be used for predicting sedimentation in the reservoirs under sediment load variability scenarios.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sardar Ateeq-Ur-Rehman ◽  
Nils Broothaerts ◽  
Ward Swinnen ◽  
Gert Verstraeten

<p>Numerical hydro-morphodynamic models can simulate the impact of future changes in climate and land cover on river channel dynamics. Accurate predictions of the hydro-morphological changes within river channels require a realistic representation of controlling factors and boundary conditions (BC), such as the sediment load. This is, in particular, true where simulations are run over longer timescales and when sparse data on sediment load is available. Using sediment rating curves to reconstruct the missing sediment load data can lead to poor estimates of temporal variations in sediment load, and hence, erroneous predictions of channel morphodynamics. Furthermore, when simulating channel morphological changes at longer timescales, this comes at a high computational cost making it impossible to run various scenarios of changing boundary conditions to long river reaches with sufficient spatial detail.  Here, we apply different methods (morphological factors (MFs) and wavelet transform (WT)) to overcome these problems and to arrive at faster and more accurate predictions of long-term morphodynamic simulations.</p><p> </p><p>We modelled river channel bed level changes of the River Dijle (central Belgium) from 1969 to 1999. Detailed cross-sectional surveys every 20 to 25 m along the river axis were collected in 1969, 1999 and 2018. Since 1969, the river has been incised by about 2 m most probably as a response to land-use/land-cover changes and subsequent changes in discharge and sediment load.  Daily discharge and water level measurements are available for the entire period; however, daily suspended sediment load was only collected between 1998 and 2000. Therefore, WTs were coupled with artificial neural networks (WT-ANN) to calculate long-term sediment load BCs (1969-1999) from the short-term collected suspended sediment concentration samples. Sediment load predictions with sediment rating curves only obtain an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.115, whereas WT-ANN predictions of suspended sediment load data show an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.902.</p><p> </p><p>Using MFs the reference hydrograph was condensed with a factor of 10 and 20. WT is a mathematical tool that can convert time-domain signals into time-frequency domain signals by passing through low and high-level filters. Passing sediment load time series through these filters create another synthetic BCs containing the frequential and spatial information with half the original signal's temporal length. Thus we also compare the modelling performance using WT generated synthetic BCs with MFs. Similarly, 36x1 to 36x10 processors of an HPC was used to simulate 16 km river reach containing 3,33,305 mesh nodes (with 1.5 m mesh resolution).  Interestingly, with a significant reduction in computational cost, there was a mild difference (R<sup>2</sup>=0.802 using MFs 10 and R<sup>2</sup>=0.763 using MFs 20) in model performance without using MFs during initial trials. Surprisingly, generating a synthetic time series using WT did not perform well. Therefore, hydrograph compression using MFs is found the best option to reduce the computational cost, significantly. Although the computational time reduced from 30 days to only 3 days using MFs and more precise BCs calibrated model with R<sup>2</sup>=0.70, WT poor performance needs to be still investigated.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 6563-6569
Author(s):  
A. A. Mahessar ◽  
A. L. Qureshi ◽  
S. M. Kori ◽  
G. S. Faoowui ◽  
N. A. Memon ◽  
...  

Sediment material transported by the Indus River has two origins, the catchment and its wetted perimeter, whereas the amount of materials transported from the river itself depends on variables such as the flow type and the sediment load. The annual sediment load transported in the Indus River ranged from 270 to 600 million tons (MT) before the building of dams and barrages. The average sediment load is 0.715 MT/day or approximately 260 MT/ year after the construction of hydraulic structures. The average particle size, D50, of the bedload is approximately 0.125mm at the Sukkur barrage [1]. In this study, research was conducted to evaluate sediment problems in the Nara Canal, take-off from the left pocket of the Sukkur Barrage on the Indus River. The collected data from the left pocket, the bed, and suspended material in upper Nara and its off-taking canals were analyzed to assess sediment transport dynamics of upper Nara canal at various locations and its off-taking canals. The bed material at RD 553+600 shows a minimum size of 0.07 and a maximum of 0.7mm with 54% fine-sand mixed with 46% medium-sand in 2003. Fine-sand increased to an average of 75% while medium sand diminished to 25% at RD 553+600 in Nara canal and at RD 595+000 in Jamrao complex in 2013. The suspended load with low and high flows during 2012 exhibits that in all the cases the sand proportion was increasing in the Upper Nara canal system flowing to the Jamrao complex. The sediment concentration value indicates that there is the deposition of sand at the upper Nara canal and the Jamrao complex causing a discharge reduction in the Nara Canal system.


1974 ◽  
Vol 96 (4) ◽  
pp. 1322-1327
Author(s):  
Shun Cheng ◽  
C. K. Chang

The buckling problem of circular cylindrical shells under axial compression, external pressure, and torsion is investigated using a displacement function φ. A governing differential equation for the stability of thin cylindrical shells under combined loading of axial compression, external pressure, and torsion is derived. A method for the solutions of this equation is also presented. The advantage in using the present equation over the customary three differential equations for displacements is that only one trial solution is needed in solving the buckling problems as shown in the paper. Four possible combinations of boundary conditions for a simply supported edge are treated. The case of a cylinder under axial compression is carried out in detail. For two types of simple supported boundary conditions, SS1 and SS2, the minimum critical axial buckling stress is found to be 43.5 percent of the well-known classical value Eh/R3(1−ν2) against the 50 percent of the classical value presently known.


1970 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 384-392 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Baruch ◽  
O. Harari ◽  
J. Singer

The stability of simply supported conical shells under axial compression is investigated for 4 different sets of in-plane boundary conditions with a linear Donnell-type theory. The first two stability equations are solved by the assumed displacement, while the third is solved by a Galerkin procedure. The boundary conditions are satisfied with 4 unknown coefficients in the expression for u and v. Both circumferential and axial restraints are found to be of primary importance. Buckling loads about half the “classical” ones are obtained for all but the stiffest simple supports SS4 (v = u = 0). Except for short shells, the effects do not depend on the length of the shell. The physical reason for the low buckling loads in the SS3 case is explained and the essential difference between cylinder and cone in this case is discussed. Buckling under combined axial compression and external or internal pressure is studied and interaction curves have been calculated for the 4 sets of in-plane boundary conditions.


2011 ◽  
Vol 338 ◽  
pp. 467-472 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Duo Jin ◽  
Xiao Dong Yang ◽  
Yu Fei Zhang

The stability, natural characteristics and critical axial force of a supported beam are analyzed. The both ends of the beam are held by the pinned supports with rotational spring constraints. The eigenvalue problem of the beam with these boundary conditions is investigated firstly, and then, the stability of the beam is analyzed using the derived eigenfuntions. According to the analytical expression obtained, the effect of the spring constants on the critical values of the axial force is discussed.


Geology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joel S. Scheingross ◽  
Michael P. Lamb

Waterfall plunge pools experience cycles of sediment aggradation and scour that modulate bedrock erosion, habitat availability, and hazard potential. We calculate sediment flux divergence to evaluate the conditions under which pools deposit and scour sediment by comparing the sediment transport capacities of waterfall plunge pools (Qsc_pool) and their adjacent river reaches (Qsc_river). Results show that pools fill with sediment at low river discharge because the waterfall jet is not strong enough to transport the supplied sediment load out of the pool. As discharge increases, the waterfall jet strengthens, allowing pools to transport sediment at greater rates than in adjacent river reaches. This causes sediment scour from pools and bar building at the downstream pool boundary. While pools may be partially emptied of sediment at modest discharge, floods with recurrence intervals >10 yr are typically required for pools to scour to bedrock. These results allow new constraints on paleodischarge estimates made from sediment deposited in plunge pool bars and suggest that bedrock erosion at waterfalls with plunge pools occurs during larger floods than in river reaches lacking waterfalls.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document