scholarly journals Trend and Variance of Continental Fresh Water Discharge over the Last Six Decades

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 3556
Author(s):  
Chen Wang ◽  
Hui Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Discharge ◽  
Linear Method ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Discharge Data ◽  
Nonlinear Trend ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Eemd Method ◽  
Fresh Water Discharge

Trend estimation of river discharge is an important but difficult task because discharge time series are nonlinear and nonstationary. Previous studies estimated the trend of discharge using a linear method, which is not applicable to nonstationary time series with a nonlinear trend. To overcome this problem, we used a recently developed wavelet-based method, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), which can separate nonstationary variations from the long-term nonlinear trend. Applying EEMD to annual discharge data of the 925 world’s largest rivers from 1948–2004, we found that the global discharge decreased before 1978 and increased after 1978, which contrasts the nonsignificant trend as estimated by the linear method over the same period. Further analyses show that precipitation had a consistent and dominant influence on the interannual variation of discharge of all six continents and globally, but the influences of precipitation and surface air temperature on the trend of discharge varied regionally. We also found that the estimated trend using EEMD was very sensitive to the discharge data length. Our results demonstrated some useful applications of the EEMD method in studying regional or global discharge, and it should be adopted for studying all nonstationary hydrological time series.

scholarly journals Trends analysis of precipitation data over the tropical South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) basin using the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. 423-430
Author(s):  
K. BOODHOO ◽  
M. R. LOLLCHUND ◽  
A. F. DILMAHAMOD
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Intrinsic Mode Functions ◽  
South West Indian Ocean ◽  
South West ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
West Indian Ocean ◽  
Eemd Method

In this paper, we propose the use of the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method in the analysis of trends in climate data. As compared to existing traditional methods, EEMD is simple, fast and reliable. It works by decomposing the time-series data into intrinsic mode functions until a residual component is obtained which represents the trend in the data. The dataset considered consists of satellite precipitation estimates (SPE) obtained from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) for the tropical South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) basin recorded during the periods January 1998 to December 2013. The SWIO basin spans from the latitudes 5° S to 35° S and the longitudes 30° E to 70° E and comprises of part of the east coast of Africa and some small island developing states (SIDS) such as Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and Reunion Island. The EEMD analysis is carried out for summer, winter and yearly time series of the SPE data. The results from the study are presented in terms of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and the trends. The analysis reveals that in summer, there is a tendency to have an increase in the amount of rainfall, whereas in winter, from 1998 to 2004 there has been an initial increase of 0.0022 mm/hr/year and from there onwards till 2013 a decrease of 0.00052 mm/hr/year was noted.  

scholarly journals The Hybridization of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Forecasting Models: Application of Short-Term Wind Speed and Power Modeling

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1666 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neeraj Bokde ◽  
Andrés Feijóo ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari ◽  
Siyu Tao ◽  
Zaher Mundher Yaseen
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Power Modeling ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Eemd Method

In this research, two hybrid intelligent models are proposed for prediction accuracy enhancement for wind speed and power modeling. The established models are based on the hybridisation of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) with a Pattern Sequence-based Forecasting (PSF) model and the integration of EEMD-PSF with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. In both models (i.e., EEMD-PSF and EEMD-PSF-ARIMA), the EEMD method is used to decompose the time-series into a set of sub-series and the forecasting of each sub-series is initiated by respective prediction models. In the EEMD-PSF model, all sub-series are predicted using the PSF model, whereas in the EEMD-PSF-ARIMA model, the sub-series with high and low frequencies are predicted using PSF and ARIMA, respectively. The selection of the PSF or ARIMA models for the prediction process is dependent on the time-series characteristics of the decomposed series obtained with the EEMD method. The proposed models are examined for predicting wind speed and wind power time-series at Maharashtra state, India. In case of short-term wind power time-series prediction, both proposed methods have shown at least 18.03 and 14.78 percentage improvement in forecast accuracy in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) as compared to contemporary methods considered in this study for direct and iterated strategies, respectively. Similarly, for wind speed data, those improvement observed to be 20.00 and 23.80 percentages, respectively. These attained prediction results evidenced the potential of the proposed models for the wind speed and wind power forecasting. The current proposed methodology is transformed into R package ‘decomposedPSF’ which is discussed in the Appendix.

scholarly journals Analysis method of the cavitation vibration signals in poppet valve based on EEMD

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 168781402199811
Author(s):  
Beibei Li ◽  
Qiao Zhao ◽  
Huaiyi Li ◽  
Xiumei Liu ◽  
Jichao Ma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Center Frequency ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Vibration Signals ◽  
Poppet Valve ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Marginal Spectrum ◽  
Cavitation Intensity ◽  
Eemd Method ◽  
Peak Value

To study the vibration characteristics of the poppet valve induced by cavitation, the signal analysis method based on the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method was studied experimentally. The component induced by cavitation was separated from the vibration signals through the EEMD method. The results show that the IMF2 component has the largest amplitude and energy of all components. The root mean square (RMS) value, peak value of marginal spectrum, and center frequency of marginal spectrum of the IMF2 component were studied in detail. The RMS value and the peak value of the marginal spectrum decrease with a decrease of cavitation intensity. The center frequency of marginal spectrum is between 12 kHz and 20 kHz, and the center frequency first increases and then decreases with a decrease of cavitation intensity. The change rate of the center frequency also decreases with an increase of inlet pressure.

scholarly journals Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise with Convolution Based Gated Recurrent Neural Network: A New Deep Learning Model for South Asian High Intensity Forecasting

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 931
Author(s):  
Kecheng Peng ◽  
Xiaoqun Cao ◽  
Bainian Liu ◽  
Yanan Guo ◽  
Wenlong Tian
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
South Asian High ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Adaptive Noise ◽  
Deep Learning Model

The intensity variation of the South Asian high (SAH) plays an important role in the formation and extinction of many kinds of mesoscale systems, including tropical cyclones, southwest vortices in the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) region, and the precipitation in the whole Asia Europe region, and the SAH has a vortex symmetrical structure; its dynamic field also has the symmetry form. Not enough previous studies focus on the variation of SAH daily intensity. The purpose of this study is to establish a day-to-day prediction model of the SAH intensity, which can accurately predict not only the interannual variation but also the day-to-day variation of the SAH. Focusing on the summer period when the SAH is the strongest, this paper selects the geopotential height data between 1948 and 2020 from NCEP to construct the SAH intensity datasets. Compared with the classical deep learning methods of various kinds of efficient time series prediction model, we ultimately combine the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) method, which has the ability to deal with the nonlinear and unstable single system, with the Permutation Entropy (PE) method, which can extract the SAH intensity feature of IMF decomposed by CEEMDAN, and the Convolution-based Gated Recurrent Neural Network (ConvGRU) model is used to train, test, and predict the intensity of the SAH. The prediction results show that the combination of CEEMDAN and ConvGRU can have a higher accuracy and more stable prediction ability than the traditional deep learning model. After removing the redundant features in the time series, the prediction accuracy of the SAH intensity is higher than that of the classical model, which proves that the method has good applicability for the prediction of nonlinear systems in the atmosphere.

scholarly journals Fault Diagnosis for Analog Circuits by Using EEMD, Relative Entropy, and ELM

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Xiong ◽  
Shulin Tian ◽  
Chenglin Yang
Keyword(s):  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Relative Entropy ◽  
Analog Circuits ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Intrinsic Mode Functions ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Diagnosis Method ◽  
Eemd Method ◽  
Learning Machine ◽  
Elm Classifier

This paper presents a novel fault diagnosis method for analog circuits using ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), relative entropy, and extreme learning machine (ELM). First, nominal and faulty response waveforms of a circuit are measured, respectively, and then are decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with the EEMD method. Second, through comparing the nominal IMFs with the faulty IMFs, kurtosis and relative entropy are calculated for each IMF. Next, a feature vector is obtained for each faulty circuit. Finally, an ELM classifier is trained with these feature vectors for fault diagnosis. Via validating with two benchmark circuits, results show that the proposed method is applicable for analog fault diagnosis with acceptable levels of accuracy and time cost.

Spatiotemporal Trend and Variability of Precipitation in Taiwan Based on Multi-dimensional Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (MEEMD)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Hsiang Tang ◽  
Christina W. Tsai
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Intrinsic Mode Functions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Spatial Locality ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Climatic Scenarios

<p>Abstract</p><p>Most of the time series in nature are nonlinear and nonstationary affected by climate change particularly. It is inevitable that Taiwan has also experienced frequent drought events in recent years. However, drought events are natural disasters with no clear warnings and their influences are cumulative. The difficulty of detecting and analyzing the drought phenomenon remains. To deal with the above-mentioned problem, Multi-dimensional Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (MEEMD) is introduced to analyze the temperature and rainfall data from 1975~2018 in this study, which is a powerful method developed for the time-frequency analysis of nonlinear, nonstationary time series. This method can not only analyze the spatial locality and temporal locality of signals but also decompose the multiple-dimensional time series into several Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs). By the set of IMFs, the meaningful instantaneous frequency and the trend of the signals can be observed. Considering stochastic and deterministic influences, to enhance the accuracy this study also reconstruct IMFs into two components, stochastic and deterministic, by the coefficient of auto-correlation.</p><p>In this study, the influences of temperature and precipitation on the drought events will be discussed. Furthermore, to decrease the significant impact of drought events, this study also attempts to forecast the occurrences of drought events in the short-term via the Artificial Neural Network technique. And, based on the CMIP5 model, this study also investigates the trend and variability of drought events and warming in different climatic scenarios.</p><p> </p><p>Keywords: Multi-dimensional Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (MEEMD), Intrinsic Mode Function(IMF), Drought</p>

Application of MEEMD-ARIMA combining model for annual runoff prediction in the Lower Yellow River

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 865-876 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianqi Zhang ◽  
Wei Tuo ◽  
Chao Song
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Yellow River ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Annual Runoff ◽  
Lower Yellow River ◽  
The Lower Yellow River ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Runoff Prediction

Abstract The prediction of annual runoff in the Lower Yellow River can provide an important theoretical basis for effective reservoir management, flood control and disaster reduction, river and beach management, rational utilization of regional water and sediment resources. To solve this problem and improve the prediction accuracy, permutation entropy (PE) was used to extract the pseudo-components of modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition (MEEMD) to decompose time series to reduce the non-stationarity of time series. However, the pseudo-component was disordered and difficult to predict, therefore, the pseudo-component was decomposed by ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). Then, intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and trend were predicted by autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) which has strong ability of approximation to stationary series. A new coupling model based on MEEMD-ARIMA was constructed and applied to runoff prediction in the Lower Yellow River. The results showed that the model had higher accuracy and was superior to the CEEMD-ARIMA model or EEMD-ARIMA model. Therefore, it can provide a new idea and method for annual runoff prediction.

Denoising of the Base Vibration Signal Based on EEMD

2011 ◽  
Vol 143-144 ◽  
pp. 689-693 ◽  
Author(s):  
X.J. Li ◽  
K. Wang ◽  
G.B. Wang ◽  
Q. Li
Keyword(s):  
Vibration Signal ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Decomposition Level ◽  
Denoising Method ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition Method ◽  
The Common ◽  
Eemd Method ◽  
Selection Of ◽  
Better Than

Vibration signals of rotating machinery on the base are very weak and always buried in noisy noise; the common denoising methods have become powerless. It presents an ensemble empirical mode decomposition method (EEMD) that is used to denoise for the base vibration signal, which not only to overcome the problem of mode mixing, but also to avoid the selection of wavelet basis function and decomposition level of the problem. Experimental results of simulation and measured data show that EEMD method can effectively reduce the base vibration signal noise, which is better than the wavelet and EMD denoising method.

scholarly journals Forecasting Crude Oil Prices Using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Sparse Bayesian Learning

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1882 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taiyong Li ◽  
Zhenda Hu ◽  
Yanchi Jia ◽  
Jiang Wu ◽  
Yingrui Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Bayesian Learning ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Sparse Bayesian Learning ◽  
Crude Oil Prices ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Model Confidence Set

Crude oil is one of the most important types of energy and its prices have a great impact on the global economy. Therefore, forecasting crude oil prices accurately is an essential task for investors, governments, enterprises and even researchers. However, due to the extreme nonlinearity and nonstationarity of crude oil prices, it is a challenging task for the traditional methodologies of time series forecasting to handle it. To address this issue, in this paper, we propose a novel approach that incorporates ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), sparse Bayesian learning (SBL), and addition, namely EEMD-SBL-ADD, for forecasting crude oil prices, following the “decomposition and ensemble” framework that is widely used in time series analysis. Specifically, EEMD is first used to decompose the raw crude oil price data into components, including several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residue. Then, we apply SBL to build an individual forecasting model for each component. Finally, the individual forecasting results are aggregated as the final forecasting price by simple addition. To validate the performance of the proposed EEMD-SBL-ADD, we use the publicly-available West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil spot prices as experimental data. The experimental results demonstrate that the EEMD-SBL-ADD outperforms some state-of-the-art forecasting methodologies in terms of several evaluation criteria such as the mean absolute percent error (MAPE), the root mean squared error (RMSE), the directional statistic (Dstat), the Diebold–Mariano (DM) test, the model confidence set (MCS) test and running time, indicating that the proposed EEMD-SBL-ADD is promising for forecasting crude oil prices.

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