Faculty Opinions recommendation of Chronic atrial fibrillation: Incidence, prevalence, and prediction of stroke using the Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age >75, Diabetes mellitus, and prior Stroke or transient ischemic attack (CHADS2) risk stratification scheme.

Author(s):  
Melvin Cheitlin
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinxing Gao ◽  
Xingming Cai ◽  
Yunyao Yang ◽  
Yue Zhou ◽  
Wengen Zhu

Background: Several bleeding risk assessment models have been developed in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with oral anticoagulants, but the most appropriate tool for predicting bleeding remains uncertain. Therefore, we aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the Hypertension, Abnormal liver/renal function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile international normalized ratio, Elderly, Drugs/alcohol concomitantly (HAS-BLED) score compared with other risk scores in anticoagulated patients with AF.Methods: We comprehensively searched the PubMed and Embase databases until July 2021 to identify relevant pieces of literature. The predictive abilities of risk scores were fully assessed by the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) values, calibration data, and decision curve analyses.Results: A total of 39 studies met the inclusion criteria. The C-statistic of the HAS-BLED score for predicting major bleeding was 0.63 (0.61–0.65) in anticoagulated patients regardless of vitamin k antagonists [0.63 (0.61–0.65)] and direct oral anticoagulants [0.63 (0.59–0.67)]. The HAS-BLED had the similar C-statistic to the Hepatic or renal disease, Ethanol abuse, Malignancy, Older, Reduced platelet count or function, Re-bleeding risk, Hypertension (uncontrolled), Anemia, Genetic factors, Excessive fall risk, Stroke (HEMORR2HAGES), the Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA), the Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation (ORBIT), the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF), or the Age, Biomarkers, Clinical History (ABC) scores, but significantly higher C-statistic than the Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, Stroke/transient ischemic attack history (CHADS2) or the Congestive heart failure/left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40%, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, Stroke/transient ischemic attack/thromboembolism history, Vascular disease, Age 65–74 years, Sex (female) (CHA2DS2-VASc) scores. NRI and IDI values suggested that the HAS-BLED score performed better than the CHADS2 or the CHA2DS2-VASc scores and had similar or superior predictive ability compared with the HEMORR2HAGES, the ATRIA, the ORBIT, or the GARFIELD-AF scores. Calibration and decision curve analyses of the HAS-BLED score compared with other scores required further assessment due to the limited evidence.Conclusion: The HAS-BLED score has moderate predictive abilities for bleeding risks in patients with AF regardless of type of oral anticoagulants. Current evidence support that the HAS-BLED score is at least non-inferior to the HEMORR2HAGES, the ATRIA, the ORBIT, the GARFIELD-AF, the CHADS2, the CHA2DS2-VASc, or the ABC scores.


Blood ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 106 (11) ◽  
pp. 2246-2246
Author(s):  
Miranda Murray ◽  
Howard Friedman

Abstract The vitamin K antagonist warfarin is currently the mainstay of anticoagulant therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), in whom it has been shown to be effective in preventing stroke. However, it is underused because, despite the quality of clinical care, warfarin can be a difficult drug to manage well. When initiating therapy, patients may require several visits to a coagulation clinic to achieve an international normalized ratio (INR) within the safe and effective range (INR 2–3). Thereafter, frequent monitoring of patients receiving warfarin may still be required due to intrapatient variability. Despite the benefits, studies have shown that approximately 50% of patients who should receive warfarin are not prescribed it or do not receive it. This study was performed to investigate the use of warfarin in eligible patients with AF, for whom it was indicated. Using the US PharMetrics database from 51 managed care organizations, data entered between January 1997 and April 2004, from 5940 patients (>18 years of age with a diagnosis of AF [ICD 9] for whom warfarin was indicated), were analyzed. Patients were excluded if they were not in the database 30 days before and 120 days after their initial diagnosis of AF. Patients were divided into four distinct cohorts, based on treatment patterns: steady users (at least 3 months of warfarin use); discontinued users (used warfarin for only 3 months); non-users (warfarin use for <30 days); and intermittent users (used warfarin prior to first diagnosis of AF, or had less than two prescriptions). Analysis showed that only 31% (1854) of patients were steady users, whereas 59% (3521) of patients were non-users. Also, 4% (246) and 5% (319) of patients were discontinued users and intermittent users, respectively. In addition to a diagnosis of AF, many patients had significant risk factors for stroke: hypertension (48%); diabetes (23%); congestive heart failure (21%); age 75 or older (19%); history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (7%). However, the study showed that patients prescribed warfarin did not have more risk factors compared with long-term steady warfarin users and warfarin non-users (see table). Overall, this study shows that warfarin is underused, even in patients with significant risk factors for stroke, which highlights the need for new, simpler, oral anticoagulant therapy. Risk factors Total population [n (%)] Steady warfarin (%) Discontinued (%) Non-warfarin (%) Intermittent (%) NB Cumulative numbers of risk factors were constructed by assigning one point for each of the following: congestive heart failure; hypertension; age >75; diabetes; with two points added for prior stroke or transient ischemic attack 0 2036 (32) 32 29 36 34 1 1774 (30) 30 27 30 30 2 1197 (20) 22 23 19 23 3 623 (10) 11 13 10 8 4 204 (3) 3 4 4 4 5/6 106 (2) 2 3 1 1


2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (05) ◽  
pp. 472-481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Payam Yazdan-Ashoori ◽  
Zardasht Oqab ◽  
William F. McIntyre ◽  
Kieran L. Quinn ◽  
Erik van Oosten ◽  
...  

Aim To examine the choices Canadian family medicine residents make for oral anticoagulation (OAC) for patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Background AF increases the risk of strokes. An important consideration in AF management is risk stratification for stroke and prescription of appropriate OAC. Family physicians provide the vast majority of OAC prescriptions. Methods We administered a survey to residents in multiple Canadian family medicine training programmes. Questions explored the experiences and attitudes towards risk stratification and choices of OAC when presented with standardized clinical scenarios. In each scenario, a novel oral anticoagulant (NOAC) would be the preferred treatment according to the contemporary Canadian and European guidelines. Findings A total of 247 residents participated in the survey. Most used the congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75, diabetes mellitus, stroke or TIA (2 points) (81%) and congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 (2 points) or age 65-74 (1 point), diabetes mellitus, stroke or TIA, vascular disease including peripheral arterial disease, myocardial infarction, or aortic plaque, sex (female) (67%) risk stratification schemes while the preferred bleeding risk stratification scheme was hypertension, abnormal liver or renal function, stroke, bleeding, labile international normalized ratio, elderly (age ≥ 65), drugs or alcohol (84%). In the clinical scenarios, residents generally preferred warfarin in favour of NOACs, independent of training level. Residents ranked the risk of adverse events and the cost to the patient as their most and least important consideration when prescribing OAC, respectively. Therefore in patients with nonvalvular AF, Canadian family medicine residents prefer warfarin in comparison with NOACs despite the latest Canadian and European guideline recommendations. This knowledge gap may be enhanced by multiple factors, including a sometimes magnified fear of adverse events and a rapidly changing landscape in stroke prophylaxis.


Medicina ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 73
Author(s):  
Chia-Wen Hsu ◽  
Khai-Jing Ng ◽  
Ming-Chi Lu ◽  
Malcolm Koo

Background and Objectives: The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to develop a new score (RA-CHADSV) (rheumatoid arthritis - congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke/transient ischemic attack/thromboembolism, and vascular disease), modified from the CHA2DS2-VASc score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years (doubled), diabetes mellitus, stroke/transient ischemic attack (doubled), vascular disease, age 65–74 years, and female), in predicting the risk of ischemic stroke in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients without atrial fibrillation (AF). Materials and Methods: Using the Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database, 592 patients with RA diagnosed between 2000 and 2002 were identified and followed until first occurrence of ischemic stroke or the last available date in the database. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) of ischemic stroke for the CHA2DS2-VASc score were calculated using Poisson regression models. A new prediction score RA-CHADSV was developed using multiple logistic regression analysis with bootstrap validation. Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the newly developed RA-CHADSV score and the CHA2DS2-VASc score were 0.73 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.64–0.82) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.61–0.79), respectively. The RA-CHADSV score was significantly associated with a higher ischemic stroke incidence in the patients who scored ≥1 (adjusted IRR 7.39, p < 0.001). Conclusions: A simplified RA-CHADSV score, with comparable efficiency as the CHA2DS2-VASc score, but easier to use clinically was developed for predicting the risk of ischemic stroke among non-AF RA patients.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raymond B Fohtung ◽  
Michael W Rich ◽  
◽  

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a highly prevalent arrhythmia associated with a fivefold increase in the risk of stroke. However, this risk is not homogeneous and varies considerably depending on the presence of several demographic and clinical factors. Independent risk factors for stroke in patients with AF include age ≥65 years, female sex, congestive heart failure, prior stroke or transient ischemic attack, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and vascular disease. Based on these indicators, risk stratification schemes to identify patients at low-, moderate-, and high-risk for stroke have been developed and validated. The CHADS2and CHA2DS2-VASc schemes are widely used and have good predictive accuracy for stroke. Current guidelines recommend the CHA2DS2-VASc scheme, in part because it more accurately identifies patients at truly low risk for stroke who do not require antithrombotic therapy. This article provides an overview of risk factors for stroke in patients with AF, including discussion of the CHADS2and CHA2DS2-VASc schemes.


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