scholarly journals Labor Demand and Export-Oriented Industrialization of Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
pp. 115-121 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Diagnostic Test ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Time Duration ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Adf Test

This thesis based on the findings of a study on labor demand and export-oriented industrialization in Bangladesh at the time of 1992-93 to 2016-17. For this persistence, secondary data from different sources (BBS, WDI, EPB, BER, WB, BB, etc) for the time duration 1992-2017 has been composed and analyzed through econometric tools. The test approves that the disturbance terms are normally distributed. To detect that the data suffer from multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation problem, the diagnostic test has been adopted. From the diagnostic test, it is detected that while the data were free from heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation problems, however, the data suffer from severe multicollinearity problem. The multi-collinearity problem is removed using remedial measures. The Unit root test has been detected to test the stationarity of the composed data. Among different unit root test, ADF-test is adopted. The test displays that the data are stationary at the first difference level for export-oriented industrialization and the second difference level for labor demand. The Johansen co-integration test is adapted to test whether the data are cointegrated at any level. The test results approve that six variables are cointegrated on labor demand and one variable cointegrated on export-oriented industrialization. The Granger causality test under VAR (Vector Autoregressive Regression) framework displays the variable has a unidirectional causal relationship with the dependent variable where all independent variables lead, and the dependent variable follows. However, these relationships have found a statistically significant positive impact of labor demand and export-oriented industrialization in Bangladesh. Thus, there is a dynamic relationship between domestic labor demand, export, and economic progress in Bangladesh.

scholarly journals SMEs Formal Funding, a Lubricant for Economic Performance: The Nigerian Experience

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
S. Sunday, Ogunbiyi ◽  
O. Chinyere, Onita
Keyword(s):  
Economic Performance ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Small And Medium Enterprises ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Medium Enterprises ◽  
The Relationship

This study examined the relationship between Small and medium scale enterprises formal sources of funding and economic performance of Nigeria, for the period 1992 to 2018. We adopted secondary data that were sourced from the central bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin. We conducted unit root test, Bound co-integration test and auto regressive distributive lag tests. The tests revealed that, in the long run, Microfinance Banks credit is statistically significant in promoting economic performance of Nigeria. While, Bank of Agriculture credit and bank of industry credit were found not to be statistically significant in promoting Nigeria’s economic performance. However, jointly, credits from the banks studied have a positive relationship with the performance of Nigeria’s economy as represented by the GDP. The study therefore recommends that, access to microfinance credit by SMEs should be sustained, while the relevant agencies should work to improve the relationship between credits by Banks of Agriculture and Industry to Small and Medium Enterprises. 

scholarly journals Examining the Linkage between Poverty and Macroeconomic Variables in Malaysia: A Co-integration Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 6-15
Author(s):  
Gurmit Kaur ◽  
Siti Ayu Jalil
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Wald Test ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Integration Analysis

The purpose of this paper is to examine the linkage between the macroeconomic variables i.e. gross domestic product per capita (GDP), unemployment (UNE), tourist receipts (TOU), consumer price index (CPI) and poverty rate (POV) in Malaysia from 1969-2014. The econometric techniques used are unit root test and the Johansen Cointegration. The Granger Causality test using Block Exogeneity Wald test was added to analyze the causal relationships between the variables. The unit root test showed that all variables were stationary at first difference and thus the Johansen Co-integration test is an appropriate technique to employ. The evidence from co-integration test indicates that all the five series have three (3) co-integrating equations and significance at 1 percent level of significance. The causality test indicated there is a significant unidirectional causality between POV on GDP, CPI on POV, POV on TOU, GDP on UNE, GDP on TOU and CPI on TOU and bidirectional causality between POV and UNE. This paper is possibly the first to discuss these relationships in Malaysian context using Co-integration analysis. The finding implies that poverty is the key issue that should be addressed to achieve a high-income country status in the year 2020.

scholarly journals Financial Deepening and Domestic Investment in Nigeria

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frances N. Obafemi ◽  
Chukwuedo S. Oburota ◽  
Chukwunonso V. Amoke
Keyword(s):  
Structural Break ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Interest Rate Spread ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The study examined the relationship between financial deepening and investment in Nigeria. Secondary data spanning from 1970 to 2013 was used for the empirical analysis. It adopted the Gregor-Hansen Endogenous structural break methodology and the supply-leading hypothesis in building the model. The study also employed the Unit Root Test, Co Integration Test and Granger Causality Test. It discovered a unidirectional causality, running from financial deepening to investment. It also found that the financial deepening has a statistically significant impact on domestic investment. Based on these empirical findings, the study recommended increased integration of the credit and thrift societies, cooperatives, rural saving organization etc into the mainstream formal financial sector in order to shore up the mobilization of savings for investment. It also recommended subsidizing the operational cost of financial intermediation so as to narrow the gap in interest rate spread. These steps when judiciously executed will ultimately promote financial deepening by easing the rigidities involved in mobilizing and accessing of credit for investment purpose.

scholarly journals A LONG RUN RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GOLD PRICE AND INFLATION- EVIDENCE FROM THE INDIAN EXPERIENCE

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 100-107
Author(s):  
Anjali ◽  
K.T. Thomachan
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Indian Experience ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller

The study examines the long run relationship between gold price and inflation from the Indian experience.  The main objective of the study is to identify whether there is long run relationship between the gold price and inflation.  For the investigation three year monthly data from July 2011 to June 2014.  The study is conducted by Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Johansen Co-integration Test and Granger Causality Test and finally came to the conclusion that there is no long run relationship between gold price and inflation.

scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Aids on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 194-204
Author(s):  
Isiaka Najeem Ayodeji ◽  
Makinde Wasiu Abiodun
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

This study investigated the impact of foreign aids on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data spanned from 1990 to 2017. The research considered the secondary data that were gathered from CBN statistical bulletin 2017 and World Bank Data Indictors. Ordinary Least Square techniques was adopted in the study and used Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test, co integration test, granger causality test, ECM to estimates data employed. The findings revealed that all the variables employed were stationary at first difference and integrated at the same order1(I), the co-integration test shows that variables are co-integrated at one co-integrating equation which means that there is a long run relationship. The Error Correction Model established that the error that caused disequilibrium in the short run is being corrected in the long-run at a speed of adjustment at 6%. The findings revealed real gross domestic product responds inversely to changes in official development assistance and foreign direct investment. Based on these findings the study concluded that foreign aids have a significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. Different diagnostic tests are applied in order to confirm the major assumption of multiple regression analysis like multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. Therefore, the study recommends among others that government needs to formulate strong and effective education and healthcare policies to facilitate and attract investment in the sectors and improve their efficiency in the long-run that will influence productivity.

scholarly journals HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA PENERIMAAN PAJAK DAN PENGELUARAN NEGARA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2000-2015

2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-39
Author(s):  
Ridha Elvianti
Keyword(s):  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Critical Value ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller

This research intended to analyze the causal relationship between tax revenue and government expenditure in Indonesia. The data used in this research is secondary data form of time series. This resesarch using the approach of quantitative with Unit Root Test and Granger Causality. The observation samples in this research is annual data in the period 2000-2015 and this study examines tax revenue causes government expenditures or vice versa. Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) method indicates that the two variables have not stasionary unit root on data level, but the two variables have a stasionary unit root on firstdifference. Based on the result of granger causality test with a probability value of 0.7 which is below the critical value of 10% show that there is unidirectional causality from tax revenue to government expenditure.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment Led Growth Hypothesis and Economic Development in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 376-393
Author(s):  
Ubong Edem Effiong ◽  
Nora Francis Inyang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Bounds Test ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

This study was an inquiry into the nexus of the foreign-direct investment (FDI) led growth hypothesis, and how it translates into the development of the Nigerian economy as of 1970 – 2018. The study utilized secondary data from the ‘World Development Indicators’ which were analysed using the Bounds test for cointegration and the ‘autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to divulge both the short-term cum the long-term influence of foreign direct investment net inflow on ‘economic development’ of Nigeria. The Bounds test was conducted after the unit root test revealed that the variables were stationary at mixed order of level and first difference. The outcome of the ARDL Bounds test supported confirmation of long-term association among the variables. The ARDL short-run error correction showed that 14.62% of the instability in the model was corrected yearly. In the short-term, it was discovered that FDI wielded a deleterious and substantial weight on ‘economic development of Nigeria. Meanwhile, the long-term estimates indicated that FDI influenced economic development positively, though not in a significant manner. The Granger causality test supported the fact that FDI causes ‘economic development’ in Nigeria. Given this potential of FDI exerting a positive effect on ‘economic development’, the paper recommended that bottlenecks inherent in FDI influxes in the country should be removed so as to reap the fullest benefits of such inflows in Nigeria.

scholarly journals HINTERLAND MEDAN CITY BETWEEN BINJAI CITY: A GRAVITATION APPROACH

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nasir
Keyword(s):  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Gravity Models ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Hierarchical Relationship ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Variable Population ◽  
Vecm Granger Causality ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The City

Regional economy explains that there is an urban hierarchical relationship, cities that have higher hierarchy will serve cities that are below it as well as cities that are in the hierarchy undersupplying cities that are in the hierarchy above them, so there is a gravitational relationship between the two. This study aims to determine the gravitational relationship of Medan city to the hinterland of the city of Binjai. Furthermore, this study also wants to explain its influence on economic growth in both cities. This analysis tools used are descriptive statistics, gravity models, unit root test, co-integration test, optimal lag, VECM, Granger causality test, impulse response function, and variance decomposition. The results showed that the city of Medan has a gravity style greater than the gravitational style of the city of Binjai. The VECM estimation results show that the gravitational variable in the city of Binjai in lag -1 and lag-2 has a positive and significant effect on the economy of Medan city. Then the economic variable of the city of Binjai itself in lag-1, the population of the city of Medan in lag-2 and the gravity of the city of Medan in lag-2 had a positive and significant effect on the economy of Binjai city. While the variable population of Binjai city in lag -1 and residents of the city of Medan in lag -1 negatively affected the economy of Binjai city.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy and Return on Equity of Quoted Insurance Firms: A Time Series Study from Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-76
Author(s):  
Macfubara, Minafuro Suzane ◽  
Norteh Dumbor ◽  
Gberesuu, Barida Barry
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Insurance Firms

The financial system is the transmission channel of monetary policy. This study examines the effect of monetary policy on the performance of insurance firms in Nigeria from 1990 – 2017. The objective is to investigate the existing relationship between monetary policy instruments and the performance indicators of insurance companies. Secondary data were sourced from Stock Exchange factbook, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin. Multiple linear regressions were formulated to examine the effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable. Return on equity was modeled as a function of treasury bill rate, monetary policy rate, interest rate, growth of money supply and exchange rate.  R2, T-Statistics, β Coefficient, F-Statistics and Durbin Watson were used to examine the extent to which the independent variables affect the dependent variables while augmented dickey fuller unit root test, granger causality test, cointgration test and error correction models was used to ascertain the dynamic relationship between monetary policy variables and return on equity of the insurance firms. Findings revealed that, all the explanatory variables have positive effect on return on equity except treasury bill rate.  The unit root test found that the variables are stationary at first difference, the cointgration test found the presence of long run relationship while the granger causality test found a uni-directional causality. The study concludes that monetary policy has moderate effect on the return on equity of the insurance firms. We recommend that management of insurance companies should devise measures of managing the negative effects of the monetary policy instruments to enhance the performance of the insurance companies.

scholarly journals COINTEGRATING RELATION BETWEEN EXCHANGE RATE AND GOLD PRICE

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
pp. 263-269
Author(s):  
Ranjusha ◽  
Devasia ◽  
Nandakumar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Relationship

The very purpose of this paper is to analyse the relationship between gold price and Rupee – Dollar exchange rate in India. The study utilises the annual data of exchange Rate (ER) and Gold Price (GP) from 1970 to 2015 to determine the relationship. Different econometric tools like Unit root test, Johansen co integration test, Vector error correction model, Granger causality test are used for detecting the long run relation, if any between the mentioned variables. The result shows that there exists a long run cointegrating relation between the variables. That is we can stabilise the Gold Price movement by controlling the exchange rate fluctuations. Likewise it also shows that Exchange rate doesn’t Granger cause to Gold price and vice versa. It means that the time series data of one vasriable cannot be used to predict another.

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